Politics

Read about the latest political news, views and analysis

Wednesday

James Kirkup

A-levels vs BTECs is the story of British politics

Exam question: what percentage of 17 and 18-year-olds sit A-levels? The answer – I’ll come to it in a bit – might just be the most important fact in British politics that most people in British politics don’t know. I ask because this is A-level results week, the annual festival of photogenic teenagers jumping joyously to mark their results and annoying celebrities sharing think-positive truisms about failing your exams not being the end of the world. It’s all lovely and familiar and predictable and utterly missing the big picture.

Robert Peston

Why Boris Johnson needs an election to deliver Brexit

What more-or-less all Tory MPs seem to have missed is that Philip Hammond, the ex-chancellor who has become the anti-no-deal Sandinista, agrees with Boris Johnson and Dominic Cummings on the big thing that matters. Hammond loudly – and Johnson, with his consigliere Cummings sotto voce – all accept that EU leaders and negotiators do not see ANY way of negotiating a new Brexit deal on the basis of what Britain's new Prime Minister says he wants. As one Brussels official confirmed to me, even if EU leaders – and especially Ireland's Taoiseach Leo Varadkar – were prepared to do as Johnson asks and rip up the backstop, which they most definitely are not, they could not do so unless Johnson offered a detailed proposal for what would replace the backstop.

The Spectator

Full text: Boris Johnson’s ‘People’s PMQs’ debut

Good afternoon. I'm speaking to you live from my desk in Downing Street for the first-ever People's Question Time, People's PMQs, and at the moment I'm afraid MPs are all still off on holiday. But I can take questions unpasteurised, unmediated from you via this machine. So I'm going to go straight away to Luther in Cheshire. And Luther says, 'I'd like to know how you intend to leave the EU on the 31st of October with no movement from the EU on their terms and still so much opposition in Parliament.' Luther, you've asked the crucial question and there's a terrible kind of collaboration, as it were, going on between people who think they can block Brexit in parliament and our European friends.

Isabel Hardman

Why Philip Hammond could just be making things easier for Boris Johnson

Is Philip Hammond's intervention today really a problem for Boris Johnson? The former Chancellor comment piece in the Times declares that he's kept quiet for all of three weeks, but that 'now it is time' to speak out and warn the new Prime Minister that he risks betraying the British people if he goes for a no-deal Brexit. There has been a sufficiently energetic response from Number 10 sources to suggest that they are rattled by Hammond. But those sources insist that everyone in Westminster had already priced in such a complaint, and that the public will see Hammond and his acolytes bickering over process and trying to stop Brexit, which will just make voters more enraged with the Remainers in parliament.

Ross Clark

Who is Philip Hammond to lecture Boris Johnson on Brexit?

There is a role in British public life known as the Elder Statesman – a former cabinet minister who dispenses wisdom to those currently in office based on their own experiences and observations. There are two qualifications for such a position: firstly, that you leave a decent period between leaving office and setting yourself up in the role, so that it is clear you are not simply trying to settle old scores; and secondly that you are prepared to take an objective approach to your own time in office, admitting to mistakes, saying how you would now approach the problems that you faced in office, with the benefit of hindsight. Philip Hammond fails on both grounds.

Tuesday

Daniel DePetris

Matteo Salvini prepares for his big gamble

Italians have had ten prime ministers in the last 20 years. They may soon have another. Matteo Salvini, the interior minister, deputy prime minister, and leader of the League, is ready to pull the plug on a coalition government increasingly pitted against itself. The League and its coalition ally, the Five Star Movement or 5SM, are less ideological brothers-in-arms than sibling rivals forced to live under the same roof. Salvini and Five Star Leader Luigi Di Maio are two strong personalities who were never completely aligned to begin with – Salvini having represented Italy’s industrial north, Di Maio coming onto the national scene as the leader of a grassroots party with significant support in the agricultural south.

Ian Acheson

Boris Johnson is right to talk tough on crime. But can he deliver?

Remember #rorywalks? This was the hashtag created to follow the progress of Tory leadership candidate Rory Stewart as he travelled around Britain meeting people in places detached from mainstream politics. One encounter that sticks in my mind happened when he met a couple from east London, who told him that they wouldn’t start a family because their local area was too unsafe to bring a child into the world. Whether apocryphal or not, it is clear that there are parts of Britain where criminality and incivility has become normal, battering the morale of our most vulnerable citizens.

Isabel Hardman

Could we be heading for a Coupon election?

He might be the only MP to have accidentally posted a screenshot of emails about 'GE2019' on Instagram, but Damian Hinds is far from the only one spending their summer planning to fight in a poll later this year. All the parties are gearing up for a campaign. We've even had glimpses of how Boris Johnson would fight such an election, with today's ComRes poll for the Telegraph suggesting that 44 per cent of voters would back Boris Johnson if he suspended parliament to get Brexit done. There are quibbles about the way the questions were asked in this poll, but it's an important one because it chimes with the thinking in Downing Street about how to win a 2019 snap poll. Johnson will pitch himself as the man of the people fighting a recalcitrant parliament that's actively blocking Brexit.

Steerpike

Watch: Boris Johnson’s Kinder Surprise

Boris Johnson appeared shell shocked today when he discovered the lengths to which inmates at HMP Leeds go to to exploit prison security. During a tour of the prison, the PM was shown an X-ray scan of the plastic innards of a Kinder egg lodged inside an inmate who was caught sneaking contraband. Johnson recoiled in horror as he realised the full extent of the smuggling operation, asking the prison guard: 'A Kinder egg? So is that inside? He’s ingested it? He's plugged it?' https://twitter.com/joepike/status/1161271612727091200?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw The boost to prison spending promised by Boris Johnson will no doubt help officers crack down on bad eggs...

Steerpike

The truth about Spreadsheet Phil’s bid to block no deal

Philip Hammond's former top advisor has confirmed what many in Westminster have known for some time. Writing in the Guardian, ex-special advisor Poppy Trowbridge came out all guns blazing, calling Boris Johnson 'reckless' and accusing him of 'mistaken posturing and trash talk'. In the article, entitled 'Boris Johnson talks tough but still hasn’t said what he’s doing to get a Brexit deal', she laments the failures of May's withdrawal agreement and writes in support of spreadsheet Phil's bid to stave off no deal. But the Chancellor's former SpAd also admitted the extent of Hammond-era resistance to Brexit.

Steerpike

Eight contenders for the top job in a national unity government 

'Only a government of national unity can deliver us from no deal,' according to Guardian columnist Polly Toynbee. But who should lead it? In these turbulent times, Mr S considers eight challengers who might fancy their chances for the top job as national unity leader: Caroline Lucas Caroline Lucas faced embarrassment yesterday after floating the idea of a national unity government headed by an all-woman cabinet. Her proposal was quickly shot down by critics for not being diverse enough and Lucas was forced to make a grovelling apology. But Lucas insisted in her apology that 'fresh thinking' is still needed. Might she have herself in mind?

The Spectator

A US trade deal is good news for Britain

Now that America is offering a trade deal – or as John Bolton says, a series of mini deals – can the Brexiteers handle it? And ought the internationalist Remainers to welcome it? The topic tends to send leading figures from both sides into a spin, raising questions as to how prepared they are for what might follow.  Many of those who are keenest to assert the importance of free trade with the EU tend to retreat in fright whenever the prospect of a trade deal with the US is raised. Exit the single market, they tell us, and Britain will face a shrinking economy, along with shortages of food and medicine.

James Kirkup

It’s time David Cameron returned to fix his Brexit mess

In private moments of exasperation with rebellious Tory MPs, prime minister David Cameron used to complain that “too many of my colleagues think they’re here as tribunes of the people”. For him, as for Conservatives since the days of Edmund Burke, MPs should be representatives autonomously exercising judgment, not delegates meekly obeying instructions. Well congratulations Dave. Thanks to your brilliant decision to risk EU membership – and the entire British political settlement on a coin-toss, MPs are all tribunes now. There are some serious caveats about the ComRes poll on the front of the Daily Telegraph today: the question looks loaded and the “don’t know” figure is very high.

Monday

Alexander Pelling-Bruce

Jacob Rees-Mogg and the mystery of the conference recess

“What is going on with the conference recess?” asked Valerie Vaz during Jacob Rees-Mogg’s first outing for Business Questions as Leader of the House. She sounded exasperated, and who can blame her? After all, it was the sixth week in a row she asked the question. And it was the sixth week that she was fobbed off. So what is going on? Normally conference recess dates are bundled together with the dates of other recesses and tabled earlier in the parliamentary session. In 2018, the recesses for the forthcoming summer, conference, November and Christmas were approved on March 20th. In 2017, summer and conference went together on June 22nd (after the general election).

Katy Balls

No. 10 seeks to restore Tory reputation for law and order

It's law and order week in No. 10. After a series of announcements over the weekend, on stop and search and a promise of more prison places, Boris Johnson has today announced a review of sentencing guidelines for rapists and murderers. More announcements and appearances are expected as the week goes on to further hammer home the message that this is a Government that's tough on crime. With 80 days to go until the UK is to leave the EU, No. 10 is focussed on three main areas: Brexit, health and law and order. It follows that these three topics are also what the Tories are expected to campaign on in an early election. Under Theresa May, the Conservatives' reputation as the party of law and order has suffered.

Steerpike

Caption contest: Caroline Lucas’s emergency Cabinet

It's an emergency! So says Caroline Lucas, who has called for an all-female cabinet to step in and block a no-deal Brexit. The Green party MP said her planned national unity government would hit the 'pause button' on Brexit while the likes of Emily Thornberry, Lib Dem leader Jo Swinson, Scotland's first minister Nicola Sturgeon and Tory MP Justine Greening stepped in to clear up the mess. 'In my experience, women tend to be less tribal, they tend to find it easier to establish trust more quickly,' according to Lucas. Fortunately, in the interests of gender equality, there is likely to be one place for a man at the Cabinet table:  Dominic Grieve. Mr S. has tried his hand at seeing what Lucas's dream anti-Brexit Cabinet might look like. Captions in the comments.

Ross Clark

If Boris plays the system on Brexit, Corbyn can hardly complain

A standard version of this autumn’s events is beginning to emerge. Labour brings a no-confidence vote in the Government on 4 September. The Tories, down to a majority of one – and with several Conservative old-timers vowing to go out in style by torpedoing their own Government in a last act of defiance to stop a no-deal Brexit – loses. Rather than resign, Boris spends the 14 days he would be allowed under the Fixed Term Parliament Act trying to build a majority. He fails. And Corbyn, too, is unable to form a majority. Boris calls a general election – but crucially stretches it out just beyond 31 October, when we drop out of the EU without a deal. No further Parliamentary efforts can be made to stop no deal because the Commons will be prorogued for the election.

Steerpike

The Observer’s unfortunate mix-up

Someone at No. 10 must have had the shock of their lives over the weekend. The new chancellor Sajid Javid had written in the Observer calling for a vote of no confidence in Boris Johnson before offering his ‘full support’ to a government of national unity to extend Article 50. Perhaps the former Remain campaigner turned Leave backer had been reconverted to his former cause by the infamous doom-mongers at the Treasury? In fact, the offending article – ‘It’s no time to play parliamentary poker. Let the people decide on Brexit’ – had been written by Labour Mayor of London Sadiq Khan, rather than Sajid Javid. Oh dear...

Sunday

Steven Fielding

Lib Dems are eyeing a bigger prize than blocking a no-deal Brexit

Politicians determined to prevent a no-deal Brexit are locked in a Mexican stand-off. If Boris Johnson cannot command a Commons majority, Jo Swinson has made it clear that under no circumstances will Liberal Democrats support a caretaker Jeremy Corbyn-led Labour government. John McDonnell has indicated that Labour will not back a temporary national unity government under an as-yet unnamed backbench MP. With Parliament in recess we are in the realm of second-guessing what might happen next. When MPs return to Westminster, Johnson might win a vote of confidence. But even if he loses, the Prime Minister could possibly engineer a general election to subvert the cunning plans of the no-no Dealers.

Katy Balls

Interview: David Mundell on being sacked, IndyRef2 and no-deal Brexit

When Boris Johnson sacked David Mundell as Scottish Secretary, Ruth Davidson was said to be 'livid' over the decision. One of 17 ministers to leave government with Theresa May, there had been an expectation among Scottish Tories that he would stay in place – as a figure with ministerial experience unlike the bulk of the Scottish Conservative MPs who entered Parliament in 2017. In the end, the job went to Alister Jack – a politician who is more relaxed about the prospect of no deal. With reports of a growing rift between the Scottish Conservatives and Boris Johnson, I sat down with Mundell at the Fringe by the Sea festival to discuss the future of conservatism in Scotland.