Politics

Read about the latest political news, views and analysis

Watch: Crispin Blunt calls for a coalition with the Brexit party

It's fair to say that Theresa May's decision to indulge in cross-party talks with Labour have not gone down well with Brexiteers in her party so far. This itself is no surprise, the talks involve two very unpalatable things for Tory MPs: working with Jeremy Corbyn, and adding a customs union to the Withdrawal Agreement (which would prevent the UK striking new trade deals). But it appears Tory Brexiteers have not given up on unusual coalitions altogether. Last night the Tory MP Crispin Blunt was on Newsnight, and reflecting on the party's disastrous polling ahead of the European elections, called for the Tories to 'reinvent ourselves properly as a Brexit party'.

Brexit is a symptom of Europe’s problems

Three decades after the fall of the Berlin wall, Europe is once again at a crossroads. In 1989 and the years that followed, the Soviet Union ceased to exist and Germany was unified. The newly independent, once Communist states – including my home country of Poland – embarked on the road to democracy, free markets, and the rule of law. Poland was welcomed back into the European family, and we joined the ranks of Nato. But Europe now faces a threat to its hard-won unity. The threat can be seen in the imminent departure of the United Kingdom, violent protests in France, and the rise of insurgent political parties across the continent rebelling against arbitrary power concentrated in the hands of bureaucrats in Brussels.

Jeremy Hunt shows some ankle with defence budget pitch

With Theresa May's departure expected later this year, the race is underway among her Tory colleagues to position themselves as her likely successor. The weekend papers were filled with ministers at pains to prove their credentials – with Liz Truss calling for one million homes to be built on the green belt and Matt Hancock and Amber Rudd sparking rumours of a double ticket after they penned an article calling for a 'modern, compassionate Conservative party'. On Monday evening Jeremy Hunt appeared to show some ankle of his own with a speech to the Lord Mayor's Banquet. Discussing Britain's place in the world, the Foreign Secretary said the UK is held in 'far higher respect abroad than we sometimes have for ourselves at home'.

Scotland’s dirty little secret: we’re as anti-immigration as England

In August 2007, three months after coming to power at Holyrood, the SNP launched its National Conversation on Scotland’s constitutional future. We have been talking about little else since. Among the many national conversations postponed is one on immigration. The CBI has tried to kick-start such a discussion by warning that, within 20 years, just one third of Scotland’s population will be of working age. Given that figure is currently 64 per cent, it is an arresting claim. It is also entirely plausible. The Office for National Statistics predicts the number of working-age Scots to grow by just one per cent between now and 2041, while the pensioner population is expected to surge by 25 per cent.

Sunday shows round-up: Blair claims Brexit is ‘based on a myth’

Nigel Farage: This BBC is ‘in denial’ Andrew Marr was joined by Nigel Farage, whose Brexit party is in strong contention to win the European elections that are now required to take place on 23rd May. One poll has even put the fledgling party polling higher than the Conservatives for elections to the UK Parliament. With this in mind, Marr chose to pursue Farage on a number of other areas, which led to the interview rapidly becoming extremely heated. Katy Balls has more on ‘the most ridiculous interview ever’: https://twitter.com/BBCPolitics/status/1127508938105057281 NF: You're just not interested are you?... This is absolutely ludicrous. I’ve never in my life seen a more ridiculous interview than this.

‘The most ridiculous interview ever’ – Farage sets out his stall in tense Marr interview

The weekend papers are filled with grim poll predictions for the Conservative party – and good news for Nigel Farage's Brexit party. An Opinium poll suggests that the Brexit party will win a larger share of the vote in the European elections than the Tory party and Labour combined. With regards to a general election, the Telegraph has published a poll which says the Brexit Party has also overtaken the Conservatives in Westminster voting intention for the first time – and predicts that the party would win 49 seats in a general election now.  Building on that momentum, Farage appeared on the Andrew Marr sofa this morning to lay out his party's pitch ahead of the vote later this month.

What the Peterborough debacle says about the LibDems

I see that the Lib Dems were also involved in trying to put up a joint candidate with the Greens, Renew and the ludicrous Change UK for the Peterborough by-election. This really is the tail wagging the dog. Leave the Greens aside for one moment, Change and Renew are not parties in the accepted sense of the word. Change want to change nothing and its (arriviste) members – as Rachel Johnson brilliantly demonstrated – disagree with nothing in the Lib Dem manifesto. Renew, meanwhile, scarcely exist at all. A more muscular party than the Lib Dems would have told these vaulting, arrogant dilettantes to get stuffed and hammered them at the polls.

When will Theresa May bring the Withdrawal Agreement Bill to the Commons?

Theresa May has one last hope for getting her Brexit deal through. As I say in The Sun this morning, she can bring the Withdrawal Agreement Bill to parliament and try and get MPs to vote for it. Not John Bercow, or anyone else, can stop her from using this as a fourth attempt to get her deal through. But if MPs defeat it again, then Mrs May will have nothing left. If the WAB was voted down, then a new Queen’s Speech would be required to bring it back—and Mrs May would struggle to pass one of those. This is why there’s such intense debate about when to bring this bill to the Commons. Number 10 is more gung-ho than the Brexit Department which worries about the consequences of bringing the bill and losing it.

Oxford’s EU flag sends out the wrong message to applicants

As I walked through central Oxford at the weekend, an unfamiliar sight greeted me from the top of one of the university’s central buildings: the flag of the European Union had found its way amongst the spires. It fluttered gently in the breeze on the Clarendon Building, only yards from the Bodleian Library in the heart of the city. The flag’s arrival looked like a statement. After all, it is not customary for the university to represent a political entity on its flagpoles. At a time of continued debate across the country, the flag has been widely read as the university taking a stance on an ongoing and fractious national discussion.

How do the Project Fear prophets explain the good news about Britain’s economy?

Of course, we shouldn’t read too much into a set of good economic figures when they are so obviously down to stockpiling ahead of Brexit. If GDP rose by 0.5 per cent in the first three months of 2019 it was only thanks to all that condensed milk we have all stacked in the understairs cupboard – that and the riot helmets we all went out and bought in case of a hard Brexit and the marauding masses trying to break into houses in order to pilfer our said emergency store.   Yet you might think that hardened Remainers could just admit to a tiny of nugget of good news in that the economy has continued to defy the recession they so confidently predicted would result from a vote for Brexit. But not a bit of it.

Full interview: Ben Shapiro vs Andrew Neil

Ben Shapiro is the famous, fast-talking conservative pundit who regularly ‘owns’ aggressive university students with his quick wit and rapid repartee in America. Alas, Shapiro isn’t so ‘crazy smart’ when he comes up against difficult questions from a real interviewer. Yesterday he just couldn’t cope with an interrogation from the BBC’s Andrew Neil. He decided that Neil must be a typical BBC leftist (complaining at one point that he'd never heard of him) and had an epic tantrum, before storming out of the studio. https://twitter.com/RobBurl/status/1126816217669488640 He then realised his blunder, and that he'd confused rigorous questioning with "political Leftism" and was about to become a laughing stock.

Watch: Rachel Johnson compares Change UK to the royal birth

When things don't go to plan, it's natural to use stories to put things into context. Theresa May earlier this week compared her flagging Brexit deal to Liverpool's surprise comeback against Barcelona. While on This Week, the new Change UK MEP candidate, Rachel Johnson, sought to find a way to put her fledgling party's woes into context. When asked by host Andrew Neil why she had moved from the Lib Dems, when her new party seemed to be on life support, and asked if she was the first rat to join a sinking ship, Johnson surprisingly tried to compare the Independent Group's 'teething issues' to the royal birth, saying: 'I'm going to mention Meghan's birth. She had a lovely idea that she was going to have a home birth at Frogmore cottage, in the end she was medevaced to the Portland.

A show of loyalty

After the sacking of Gavin Williamson, a former No. 10 insider said of Theresa May: ‘One of Theresa’s big faults is that she basically doesn’t trust any other elected politicians. She places her trust in advisers and officials, because they are loyal to her.’ The Roman emperor Claudius (r. 41-54 ad) too found it hard to know whom to trust. He turned to an adviser of the previous emperor. Claudius, nephew of the emperor Tiberius, was born in 10 bc but because of some disability (his mother Antonia called him a monster) he was never taken seriously by the imperial family. However, when the emperor Caligula was assassinated in 41 ad, Claudius was made emperor by the army. Since the senate strongly disapproved, Claudius could hardly trust them.

Diary – 9 May 2019

Multiple copies of a Labour leaflet for the European elections are being shared on messaging apps by horrified activists. Not only does the draft leaflet omit mention of a second referendum, it seems to suggest Labour’s MEP candidates will ‘do a Brexit deal with Europe’ while actually being members of the European Parliament. The leaflet causes a furore among the candidates, is disavowed by Labour HQ as a ‘draft’, and the whole caravan of Brexit chaos lurches forward to its next absurdity. Game of Thrones means Monday mornings are the new Sunday nights in our household. The battle of Winterfell is as thrilling as it is absurd. If you have seen ballistae on the battlefield, and know they can hit dragons, why deploy trebuchets?

Change UK’s Peterborough by-election no-show

The Brexit Party has had a further boost in the polls today, but as Nigel Farage's fledgling group continues to hoover up support from both main parties, the story on the other side has been rather different. Start-up pro-remain party Change UK has been locked in a rivalry with its doppelgänger, the Lib Dems, achieving exactly nothing in terms of progress but creating a healthy groundswell of remainer exasperation on Twitter. Even the Change UK activists' networks have been infected with a creeping feeling of futility, with many struggling to name a good reason to not vote for the Lib Dems or give a solid defence for why their new party even exists.

No ‘Brexit backlash’, says internal Labour election analysis

After a disappointing local election result for Labour last week, politicians were quick to blame the party's Brexit ambiguity for the net loss they suffered. Labour councillors in Sunderland and Barnsley said talk of a second referendum had been unhelpful on the doorstep. Meanwhile, MPs including Jess Phillips suggested that a clearer call for a so-called People's Vote would boost support for the party. Downing Street hoped they could capitalise on the party's Brexit worries by convincing the Labour frontbench to back some form of Brexit deal in order to bring the matter to a close. However, the view in Labour a week on is rather different.

Theresa May could be gone by the first week of June

The 1922 executive committee thinks it has finally laid a surefire trap for Theresa May – by securing a promise from her to hold the second reading of the core Brexit legislation, the Withdrawal Agreement and Implementation Bill, before EU elections in two weeks. The point is that either the bill passes, and she resigns as soon it becomes law (as she has promised to do), or it flops, which is what most Tories expect, and it becomes unambiguously clear that she can never deliver Brexit – in which case they will force her out in June or July. Tory MPs assume she knows this. But they will drive the point home when the executive committee meets her next week (at her suggestion).

Listen: Rachel Johnson can’t name a single Lib Dem policy she disagrees with

It seems inevitable that the European elections this month will be seen as a litmus test of the British public's attitude to Brexit, especially when it comes to a second referendum. And, if Nigel Farage's Brexit party triumphs over the Remain coalition, the case for a People's Vote will be weaker than ever. So as you can imagine, the Lib Dems and Greens (as two parties backing a second referendum) are deeply unhappy that a third, Change UK, has joined the fray and will further split the Remain vote on 23 May. They may be even unhappier though when they realise that Change UK candidates aren't even sure why they're not Lib Dems.

At last, a Tory leadership contender talking about policy

The Tory leadership contest hasn’t formally begun but the shadow-boxing has been uninspiring. Brexit positioning dominates, leavened with a bit of backstory and personal colour: Dominic Raab’s kitchen, Michael Gove’s parental home in Aberdeen, Liz Truss’s Instagram account, Jeremy Hunt’s wife. And Boris Johnson keeping quiet, for some reason. To be fair, Rory Stewart’s simple honesty — he fancies the job and reckons he’d be good at it: why can’t the rest speak so plainly? – has been cheering, but it’s not yet clear if he’s really a serious candidate. On the whole, we’ve heard grimly little from the folk in the running about what they would actually do with the job.