Politics

Read about the latest political news, views and analysis

Britain’s Macron moment – and why we should be worried about it

When French president Emmanuel Macron stormed to power in 2017, his ability to respond to the weakness of France’s mainstream parties, capture a large centrist majority and defeat the populist right seemed to offer a model of hope for liberal internationalists everywhere. Yet despite the president’s undeniable talents as a political communicator, the fate of his administration illustrates the desperate futility of any politicians left clinging to the centrist dream. To the chagrin of countless podcasters and centrist dads, the UK has so far escaped the problems of a Macron-style revolution Between 2017 and 2025, Macron’s centrist revolution has steadily unravelled. His approval ratings have fallen from 64 per cent

The Good Friday Agreement doesn't stop Britain quitting the ECHR

It has become an article of faith in some quarters that the UK’s withdrawal from the European Convention on Human Rights (the ECHR) would breach or undermine the Belfast (Good Friday) Agreement. The Prime Minister, Keir Starmer, played this card only last week, in response to the Reform party’s proposals for addressing illegal migration. For her part, the Leader of the Opposition, Kemi Badenoch, said that ECHR withdrawal ‘could affect the Good Friday Agreement and needed to be done in a way that would not destabilise the country or the economy’. Even Nigel Farage, the leader of the Reform party, seemed to concede the point, saying that the Belfast Agreement would need to be ‘renegotiated’, implying that without a new

How have the 2024 intake found frontline politics?

20 min listen

As Parliament returns from summer recess tomorrow, three rising stars of the 2024 intake join Coffee House Shots to provide their reflections on frontline politics so far. Labour’s Rosie Wrighting, the Conservatives’ Harriet Cross and the Liberal Democrats’ Joshua Reynolds tell deputy political editor James Heale how they have found Parliament so far, and their most – and least – favourite thing about being an MP. Plus: while they are all new, and young, MPs, their parties’ fortunes have all varied wildly – how have they dealt with that? Produced by Patrick Gibbons.

Angela Merkel unleashed chaos on Europe

A decade ago today, on 31 August 2015, Angela Merkel made the unilateral decision to open Europe’s borders. The rallying cry of the German Chancellor has gone down in history: ‘Wir schaffen das’ – ‘We can do this’. If we can’t, she added, ‘if Europe fails on the question of refugees, then it won’t be the Europe we wished for’. Merkel was motivated by conflict in the Middle East, notably in Syria and Iraq, but her invitation to seek refuge in Europe was seized on by many others. Of the estimated 1.3 million people who flooded into Europe in 2015, there were vast numbers of Afghans, Pakistanis, Iraqis, Nigerians, Moroccans, Algerians and

Life isn't good for everyone in the Cotswolds

On paper, Charlbury is everything the Cotswolds is supposed to be. Stone cottages the colour of anaemic butter. Sash windows in a riot of Farrow & Ball sage. A train station that survived the Beeching cuts and gets you to London in an hour. ‘People talk about the Chipping Norton set, but that disguises how rough parts of Chipping Norton and Witney can be.’ It looks like the kind of place where nothing ever happens. And in many ways, it has worked hard to stay that way. While the setting – close to where US vice president JD Vance recently rented a manor house – may look like postcard England,

America needs its allies

There are ‘great powers’ and other powers. This is a truism of international relations thinking for those who espouse a ‘realist’ point of view. And for them, being a great power gives a state enormous advantages. Russia, for instance, was widely called a ‘great’ power before its full scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 while Ukraine decidedly was not. The results of that analysis were predictable. It was widely stated that Great Power Russia, led by strategic genius Vladimir Putin, was going to steamroller weaker Ukraine in a matter of days. After all, great powers were the alpha males of the international relations world, able to bully lesser powers

Trump’s tariff war faces its toughest test yet

Trying to work out what is going on with global trade doesn’t get any easier. Just as the world was settling down to the new reality of Donald Trump’s trade war and governments were stitching up hurried trade deals to minimise the sweeping damage from the tariffs announced on ‘Liberation Day’ in April, the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit has thrown a very large spanner into the works. It has ruled that the whole exercise is unlawful because the tariffs were not approved by Congress. They will not be removed immediately – the court has allowed them to remain in place until 14 October to give Trump a

How we turned universities into immigration machines

Fifty per cent, or some 560,000, of those admitted to the UK under the student visa system since 2022 remained in the country after their original visa expired. Meanwhile, close to one-third of asylum claims now come from those who originally came her on a student visas. These are the stark findings of a report published this week by the Think Tank Migration Watch UK which exposes what ministers and the influential and well-funded education and international student lobby refuse to admit: that the driver of Britain’s very high net migration is not illegal arrivals in dinghies – not to underplay the seriousness of illegal immigration – but the influx of international

Why a peacekeeping buffer zone in Ukraine won't work

The 24 hours within which Donald Trump promised to end the war in Ukraine have turned into more than six months of desultory negotiations, and there is still no sign of even a temporary halt to the fighting. This is a blow for the so-called ‘coalition of the willing’, the loose affiliation of 31 countries assembled by Sir Keir Starmer and Emmanuel Macron to help implement the terms of a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine. There had first been informal discussions between the UK and France about creating some kind of alliance as early as November 2024, but the Prime Minister formalised the idea in March this year when

Why Angela Rayner is so iconic

17 min listen

The Daily Telegraph have run a story this week that Angela Rayner may have dodged stamp duty on her second home. But beyond the story, its the photos of the Deputy Prime Minister on the beach at Hove – drinking and vaping – that went viral. Christian Calgie, senior political correspondent for the Daily Express, joins James Heale to unpack the story and the wider questions it raises for British politics, but also to discuss Rayner herself. Could ‘teflon Ang’ turn around the Labour Party’s fortunes? And why do so many people – including many Tories – like her so much? Produced by Megan McElroy and Patrick Gibbons.

Keir Starmer should call another EU referendum

It can’t be much fun, being Sir Keir Starmer right now. If the people across the country chanting ‘Keir Starmer’s a wanker’ isn’t evidence enough, consider the polls. The Labour party is not merely experiencing a dip in support – it is in a state of freefall. A YouGov poll this week has them on 20 per cent. This is a party that won a commanding majority just over a year ago. Meanwhile Find Out Now has Labour on a scrotum-tighteningly excruciating 18 per cent – their equal worst poll ever. The same poll has the feared Farage on 33 per cent: way out in front. He would return to

Reform take 15 point-lead over Labour

Party conference begins next week when Reform UK kick off their two-day jamboree in Birmingham. Spirits within Nigel Farage’s party are high after a successful summer in which they dominated the recess period with a well-executed ‘flood the zone’ media strategy. A steady drumbeat of weekly announcements culminated on Tuesday when Reform’s long-awaited deportation strategy was unveiled. Now, the party has received a further boost with a new poll for the i paper which gives them their highest polling to date: Reform 35, Labour 20, Conservatives 17 per cent. This is the first time Reform has hit 35 points. Polling averages are what matters most but today’s survey is a

Bell Hotel latest: 'two tier justice'?

17 min listen

Human rights barrister Dr Anna Loutfi and deputy political editor James Heale join Michael Simmons to unpack the latest court ruling over the migrants housed at the Bell Hotel. The government has won an appeal today – but how much of a victory is it really? Anna explains how the legal questions considered by this case raise a much wider debate about the rights of citizens. Is this another example of ‘two tier justice’? Produced by Patrick Gibbons and Natasha Feroze.

Tom Slater, Justin Marozzi, Iben Thranholm, Angus Colwell & Philip Womack

28 min listen

On this week’s Spectator Out Loud: Tom Slater says that Britain is having its own gilet jaunes moment; Justin Marozzi reads his historian’s notebook; Iben Thranholm explains how Denmark’s ‘spiritual rearmament’ is a lesson for the West; Angus Colwell praises BBC Alba; and, Philip Womack provides his notes on flatmates. Produced and presented by Patrick Gibbons.

The Epping hotel ruling is a victory – and a defeat – for Labour

It wasn’t surprising that the Home Office chose to back an urgent appeal in the Epping hotel case. Not only were its asylum arrangements in tatters as a result of Mr Justice Eyre’s decision last week: more important, the deadline of 12 September set by the court to stop the use of the Bell Hotel in Essex as a migrant centre on planning grounds faced it with a potential logistical nightmare. If more authorities followed the Epping line, things could have got exponentially worse. Legally, the Home Office has won; politically, its victory could be remarkably Pyrrhic The Court of Appeal’s discharge of the interim injunction this afternoon gives the

Kyiv and Budapest are at war over Druzhba pipeline

Relations between Ukraine and Hungary have soured once again after Robert Brovdi, the Ukrainian drone commander of Hungarian descent, struck the Druzhba pipeline several times this month. The latest attack on the Unecha pumping station on the pipeline in Russia’s Bryansk region choked off Russian oil supplies to Hungary for several days, until it was repaired this week. Budapest fears that the taps could be turned off again: in response, Hungary accused Ukraine of trying to drag it into the war, banned Brovdi from entering the country and threatened to cut vital electricity exports to Ukraine if the pipeline is hit once more. Kyiv’s reaction, it seems, is: ‘We will

Flashback: Rayner hits out at tax avoidance 

If there are two things Angela Rayner can’t stand, it’s Tories (previously labelled scum) and tax avoiders. So Tories avoiding tax, that really gets her riled up. Back in 2017, Rayner tweeted: ‘@jeremycorbyn correct to raise tax dodging issue, the public are furious with those who get away with tax avoidance while they pay! #pmqs’ Similarly, in the same year, Rayner tweeted: HMRC staff cut as corporate/super rich tax dodgers not challenged, PM does not have the answers, tax avoidance damaging our country #pmqs  These tweets are now coming under scrutiny in light of today’s claims that Rayner has ‘dodged’ tax herself. The Telegraph reports Rayner avoided £40,000 in stamp duty by removing her