Politics

Read about the latest political news, views and analysis

Wednesday

Laurie Wastell

Lord Hermer and the political prosecution of Lucy Connolly

Was the prosecution of Lucy Connolly in the public interest? That is the question now being asked of the embattled Attorney General, Richard Hermer, following my story in the Sunday Telegraph that Hermer approved the charge of stirring up racial hatred against the mother and childminder last summer, over a hastily deleted tweet on the night of the Southport attack. ‘Lord Hermer of Chagos’ has faced further questions over his political judgement and yet more calls for him to be sacked. In their blinkered appeals to sentencing guidelines and legal procedures, these lawyers seem utterly deaf to the central political and moral question of whether someone should be liable to go

James Heale

Kemi has a new favourite word: chaos

Whisper it, but there was some rather good lines amid the dross of today’s PMQs. ‘Mr Speaker, I asked the Prime Minister what he believes in’, jibed Kemi Badenoch at one point. ‘He had to look in his folder to find out the answer.’ The Speaker responded in kind. ‘Please’, he said, during one of Keir Starmer’s lengthier evasions, ‘Let’s listen to the answer even if you don’t believe you’re getting one.’ But it was one word, repeated more than a dozen times, which emerged from today’s session: chaos. Badenoch hit the PM with it at every chance, pointing to the winter fuel and two-child benefit U-turns as proof of

Matthew Lynn

Starmer doesn't have long to save his US trade deal

It has only been a few weeks since the UK agreed to a trade deal with the United States that exempted us from the worst of President Trump’s tariffs. There was a grand, if slightly awkward, ceremony in the White House. The deal was sold as a triumph of negotiation and diplomacy for the Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, and even more for our ambassador in Washington, Lord Mandelson. But it seems Starmer may have got ahead of himself, for this deal appears to only have been a temporary truce. Right now there is a real risk that the government may blow the deal – and that would be hugely

Henry Donovan

Can Germany control its borders?

Two days. That’s how long Friedrich Merz’s signature border policy survived before walking into a perfectly laid ambush. While international economists celebrate Germany’s potential economic resurgence under new leadership, the country’s Chancellor is discovering that electoral victories mean little when faced with opponents who don’t need votes to wield power. The weapon of choice? Legal challenges so precisely timed and coordinated they make Swiss clockwork look amateur. Just as the OECD forecasts Germany’s potential return as Europe’s economic powerhouse, Merz finds himself outmanoeuvred not by coalition partners or opposition politicians, but by advocacy organisations whose resources and coordination capabilities would impress military strategists – opposition far more sophisticated than traditional

Natasha Hausdorff

Israel is not conducting a genocide in Gaza

Since Hamas’s brutal attack on Israel on 7 October 2023, the Jewish State’s most vociferous critics have been busy. Their most egregious claim is that Israel is committing a genocide. As is so often the case with Israel, the crimes it is accused of are rooted in an inversion of the truth. Israel’s critics must stop politicising and weaponising international law to spread blood libels Genocide has been committed during this conflict: by Hamas terrorists who rampaged through southern Israel and massacred over 1,000 innocents, targeting Jews. They executed their barbaric atrocities in the hope this would inspire simultaneous attacks on Israel’s other borders. On that day, Yahya Sinwar’s terror

Ross Clark

Labour won’t win back the north with new trams

So now we know how Labour intends to try to head-off the threat from Reform UK. It is going to fight them on the tram lines. Rachel Reeves will announce this morning £15 billion worth of new tram lines in the Midlands and the North as part of a £113 billion package of public investment. There will be £2.4 billion for trams in the West Midlands, £2.1 billion for a new tram system in Leeds, an extension of the Manchester tram system to Stockport and an embryonic tram system between Derby and Nottingham. The idea of a ‘north-south divide’ is 25 years out of date. The gulf now lies more

Steerpike

Watch: White House attacks BBC over Hamas coverage

As ever, these days the Beeb is better at becoming the news than making it. Now the White House has taken a pop at the corporation, with President Donald Trump’s press secretary Karoline Leavitt accusing the BBC of having to correct its reporting from Gaza about aid distribution – and of taking Hamas’s word as ‘total truth’. Ouch. Pointing to a document of screenshots of the BBC’s website, she fumed: The BBC…had multiple headlines: they wrote Israeli tank kills 26, Israeli tank kills 21, Israeli gunfire kills 31. They had to correct and take down their entire story, saying: ‘We reviewed the footage and couldn’t find any evidence of anything.’

Stephen Daisley

Scottish voters are tired of devolution

For some time now, I’ve been documenting a growing devoscepticism in Scotland, only to be assured, variously, that voters are not sceptical of devolution, that some are but their number isn’t growing, and that some are and their number is growing but it’s all just boomers and so it doesn’t matter anyway. It ought to trouble devolutionists that one in three Scots would shutter the Scottish parliament tomorrow Eight years ago, I wrote about a poll showing one in five Scottish voters supported the abolition of the Scottish Parliament. Last year, it was a poll recording satisfaction with devolution at just 50 per cent, with 26 per cent of voters

David Shipley

Starmer's plan to 'smash the gangs' isn't serious

Keir Starmer has repeatedly promised to smash the gangs to secure our borders. But the reality is rather different. Yesterday, the Prime Minister tweeted a short clip once again attempting to reassure British voters that the government is ‘going to the source to smash the people smuggling gangs’. The video is an odd, cheap thing. Set to possibly the most generic soundtrack available and voiced over by an utterly bored-sounding young man, it shows images of small boats full of migrants, foreign police, and open water. Eye-catchingly, it promises to reveal just ‘how we’re controlling our borders’. Unfortunately, almost every single claim it makes is misleading or laughable. The narrator

Tuesday

Andrew Gilligan

Why won’t TfL staff stop fare dodgers?

In Robert Jenrick’s fare-dodging video, it felt a little unfair for the Tories’ checked-shirt crusader to include that shot of the Tube station assistant with his feet up. The guy was probably just on his break, and you don’t blame the infantry for the failings of the generals. But on a wider level, the mayor, Sadiq Khan, and TfL management have had their own feet up for nine years now, with results that people are starting to notice.  Today’s London is not, of course, New York in the 1970s. But parts of the London Underground are looking rather like it. Each time I’ve travelled on the Bakerloo Line recently, the

Ross Clark

It will take more than 3% to make Britain 'battle ready'

Does anyone really think that spending 3 per cent of GDP on defence would make Britain ‘battle-ready’, as Keir Starmer claims? (Assuming, that is, that he really did spend all that money rather than merely have an aspiration to do so). Here is the statistic of the day, to remind us of what a wartime economy really looks like. In 2023, according to the World Bank, Ukraine spent 36.7 per cent of its GDP on defence. And no, the reason that percentage is so high is not because Ukraine’s GDP collapsed: on the contrary, Ukraine’s GDP in 2023 was higher than in any year except the Covid rebound year of

Steerpike

Listen: Healey flails over defence plan costs

Dear oh dear. Mr S offers his condolences to anyone who tuned into Defence Secretary John Healey’s car crash interview with LBC’s Nick Ferrari this morning. The Labour man stumbled his way through a rather excruciating conversation, in which Ferrari took him to task over his defence plan’s figures. Starting on submarines, the LBC host quizzed Healey on whether the UK government’s defence plans were cast-iron commitments or merely aspirations: ‘You talk about the nuclear submarines and to develop ‘up to’ 12. What does ‘up to’ mean? That could mean one.’ JH: These are… long-term decisions first of all. NF: How many is it, Secretary of State? I could lose

Michael Simmons

Will Rachel Reeves heed the warnings over the UK's gloomy economic outlook?

Rachel Reeves has been warned again that the slim headroom against her ‘ironclad’ fiscal rule could be wiped out if growth prospects worsen. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said in its latest economic outlook for the UK that ‘very thin fiscal buffers could be insufficient to provide adequate support without breaching the fiscal rules in the event of renewed adverse shocks’. The OECD also downgraded Britain’s growth forecast. It predicted the economy will grow by 1.3 per cent in 2025 and then just 1 per cent next year – a fall from their previous forecast of 1.4 and 1.2 per cent. The OECD said this downgrade was

James Heale

Is the public ready for difficult decisions on defence?

16 min listen

Former Commander of Joint Forces Command – and one of the authors of the Strategic Defence Review – General Sir Richard Barrons joins Lucy Dunn and James Heale to talk through the main conclusions of the review, and the questions it raises. Labour have talked up the fact that this is the first government in a generation to not reduce the size of the armed forces. But, as Sir Richard explains, difficult choices await politicians and the public if the UK wants to be more prepared, and faster, for potential threats. Produced by Patrick Gibbons. 

Steerpike

Fact check: top policewoman's grooming gangs claim

To BBC Newsnight, where Deputy Chief Constable Becky Riggs – the national policing lead on child protection and abuse investigations – has hit back at claims by shadow justice secretary Robert Jenrick about grooming gangs. Speaking on the programme last night, Riggs said it was ‘not true’ that these types of crimes are committed predominately by British Pakistani men – despite acknowledging that they are ‘overrepresented when you look at their share of the population’. So what is true? Pakistani men are up to five times as likely to be responsible for child sex grooming offences than the general population Well, Pakistani men are up to five times as likely

Gavin Mortimer

France's border patrol is playing a losing game

In a 24-hour period at the weekend, 184 migrants were rescued in the English Channel by the French coastguard. The most southerly group that got into trouble was picked up off Fort-Mahon in the Somme Department, and the most northerly were off Dunkirk, more than 80 miles up the coast. The coastguard was also called to incidents in Wimereux and Grand-Fort-Philippe. In other words, it is not just England that is being invaded. So is France, its rugged coastline saturated by thousands of predominantly young men all intent on crossing the Channel. I’ve written before of their violent desperation: the mob who last year attacked a group of hunters who

Ross Clark

Net zero is a gift to Nigel Farage in Scotland

It wasn’t long ago that Nigel Farage seemed a hopeless sell in Scotland. In 2013, on his way to campaign in a by-election in Aberdeen, he didn’t get further than Edinburgh’s Royal Mile before he had to be escorted from a pub by police for his own safety. Ukip, which he then led, had a derisory presence north of the border – even when it was making in-roads into working class areas in the North of England. The destruction of North Sea oil and gas is very big deal for Scotland, especially in Aberdeen where Farage was campaigning yesterday What has changed to make Reform UK, Farage’s current party, serious

James Bartholomew

Reform’s risky economic experiment

At last they have found it. Or, at least, they think they have. Sir Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch have been hunting around for months trying to find Nigel Farage’s Achilles’ heel. While they have been searching, the popularity of the Reform party has soared ahead of that of their own parties. But now, finally, they reckon to have identified the weak spot. In their shared enthusiasm, they both described Reform’s emerging tax plans as ‘fantasy economics’. Starmer gave the bemused workers at a glass factory a seven-minute harangue about it, declaring Reform’s plans a ‘mad experiment’. Badenoch fumed that ‘Jeremy Corbyn’s “magic money tree” is back’ with a Reform

Jonathan Spyer

Why Hamas won't accept Witkoff's Gaza ceasefire offer

US Envoy Steve Witkoff finally received an answer to his latest proposal for a ceasefire and hostage exchange in Gaza over the weekend from Hamas: a no in all but name. This apparent rejection by the terror group confirms the essential issue under dispute in the conflict. The Gaza Islamist movement is determined to secure a situation in which Israeli forces withdraw from the territory and in which Hamas can begin the process of replenishing and reorganising its own forces and capacities. Any agreement which threatens to reduce the main asset Hamas holds to prevent Israel from executing a full push towards its destruction – namely, the remaining Israeli hostages

Andrew Tettenborn

Brace yourselves for more Quran-burning trials in Britain

You might well have felt slightly repelled if last February you had passed someone ineptly trying to set fire to a copy of the Quran on the streets of London, while simultaneously using some remarkably fruity language about Islamic doctrine and its effect on believers. The man was Turkish dissident Hamit Coşkun: much to the disgust of a passing Muslim, he was burning the book outside the Turkish consulate as a demonstration against the excessive Islamification of Turkey under Recep Erdoğan. The effect on free speech of this judgement is very concerning But whatever your distaste, you should be very worried about the fact that this man has now been