Politics

Read about the latest political news, views and analysis

Wednesday

Steerpike

Trump suggests he could become Scotland's next First Minister

Watch out, John Swinney – Donald Trump is, it seems, eyeing up your job. During the US President’s trip up north to visit his Turnberry golf course and open his new ‘Mona Lisa’ course in Aberdeenshire, Trump was full of praise for bonnie Scotland and its people, going so far as to single out the First Minister to call him a ‘terrific guy’ during yesterday’s opening ceremony. Goodness… But while the President was full of compliments for the SNP leader, he suggested he wouldn’t mind knocking him off the top spot to take the First Minister job himself at some point. When quizzed whether he’d ever want to run Scotland,

Stephen Pollard

Starmer's Palestine U-turn shows how dangerous he is

We often think of Sir Keir Starmer as the dull bureaucrat, all at sea in politics – a Prime Minister who is elevated from the concerns of so many of his colleagues, and who just can’t relate to them. Starmer is certainly a leader on the defensive: pushed around by his backbenchers, rather than the man who delivered a Labour landslide who has then plotted his government’s direction of travel. If Starmer is judged on his actions, a damning picture emerges of a man incapable of sticking to any one position But in any meaningful sense, the ‘worthy but dull’ caricature of the PM is plain wrong – and demonstrably so.

Steerpike

Watch: Gary Neville turns his guns on Starmer

Back to Gary Neville, the left-wing right-back who has never met a camera he didn’t like. Just when we thought he’d disappeared from our screens for good, the lefty ex-footballer has reared his head again to take a pop at, er, Labour. That’s a turnaround for the books! Speaking to Sky News this morning, the card-carrying Labour member decided to opine on some of the Treasury’s decision-making of late. First caveating that he is very much in favour the government’s choice to up the minimum wage – ‘I honestly believe that people, to be fair, should be paid more’, the millionaire pundit confessed – Neville turned his guns on Sir Keir

David Shipley

The horror of police involvement in the grooming gangs

However bad you think the rape gang scandal is, it keeps getting worse. Yesterday, the BBC published a detailed investigation which stated that ‘five women who were exploited by grooming gangs in Rotherham as children say they were also abused by police officers in the town at the time.’ The report, based on interviews with the five women, along with testimony from 25 other victims, says that ‘corrupt police officers worked alongside the gangs or failed to act on child sexual exploitation.’  Most of the alleged victims were ‘in their teens but some were as young as 11’. Again and again we see signs that these rape gangs acted with

Steerpike

Few Brits believe minor crimes are properly policed

It’s the second week of Reform’s six-week ‘Lawless Britain’ campaign and there has been some back and forth about whether crime rates in the UK are getting better or worse. New polling out today reveals, however, what the public think about the tackling of crime in this country – and the results are rather damning. A YouGov poll, conducted between 23-24 June, found that few British adults believe that criminals who commit minor crimes are likely to face justice. Less than 10 per cent of Brits think that those who steal bicycles, snatch phones, scam people online or dodge fares will face punitive action. This is in stark contrast to

Ross Clark

Has the IMF changed its tune on Brexit?

Given the perilous condition of Britain’s public finances, perhaps we ought to start taking the IMF and its World Economic Outlook a little more seriously. It is not impossible to foresee Rachel Reeves or her successor having to repeat what one of her Labour predecessors, Denis Healey, had to do in 1976: and beg the IMF for an emergency loan. What the IMF thinks of the prospects for the UK economy will be key to what sort of deal she might be able to secure. The IMF has, at least, ceased to make out that Britain is doomed to suffer a self-inflicted, Brexit-generated recession all of its own. On the

Jonathan Sacerdoti

Starmer’s Palestine position is perverse

Keir Starmer’s declaration that Britain will recognise a Palestinian state unless Israel takes ‘substantive steps’ to end the war in Gaza is, on its face, a symbolic diplomatic gesture. Yet symbols, particularly in international affairs, carry weight. And this one is a blow to Israel, both politically and strategically. The question is not whether this decision is consequential, but how and for whom. If recognition is contingent on Israel achieving a ceasefire, then Hamas has every reason to prolong the conflict Framed as a humanitarian imperative, the British ultimatum appears, on closer inspection, to rest on an unsettling inversion of logic. The precondition for recognition of a Palestinian state is

Gareth Roberts

As a gay man, let me tell you the truth about Section 28

‘As a gay man…’ is a handy signal; in 99 per cent of cases, it tells you that whatever follows is going to be irrelevant rubbish. This certainly held true during the excruciating appearance on Iain Dale’s LBC show the other day by Zack Polanski, one of the candidates in the current campaign for leadership of the Green party. Polanski had been ambushed by phone-in caller Dr Shahrar Ali, who isn’t just a random member of the public. In fact, he is the former deputy leader of the Green Party, who last year won a legal case against them for discrimination without following a fair process. The Greens had removed

David Spencer

The Met must fix London’s street crime crisis

It’s a statement of the bleeding obvious: London is in the grip of a street crime epidemic. Between 2021 and 2024, knife crime in London increased by 58.5 per cent to 16,789 offences – the highest number ever recorded. Most, about 60 per cent, are robberies, and in a significant proportion of them the item stolen was a mobile phone. Over 81,000 mobile phones were reported stolen in London last year. What has gone wrong, who is responsible and what can be done about it? One of the key insights Policy Exchange reveal in its report today is that knife crime is highly geographically concentrated. Only 4 per cent of neighbourhoods

Tuesday

Michael Simmons

The US-China trade war is not over yet

Stockholm, Sweden The United States and China have concluded two days of trade negotiations in Stockholm without reaching an agreement to extend the truce in their ongoing trade war. Shortly after the talks ended, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who led the American delegation, told reporters that any decision to extend the current 12 August deadline – at which point tariffs would revert to 34 per cent – rests solely with President Trump. A meeting between Trump and President Xi Jinping was not on the agenda. The Chinese delegation said both sides had agreed to ‘push’ for such an extension. Bessent, along with Trump’s trade adviser Jamieson Greer, told me

James Heale

Starmer to recognise a Palestinian state

Following a lengthy cabinet meeting this afternoon, No. 10 announced that the UK is prepared to follow France in recognising a Palestinian state in September. Keir Starmer intends to press ahead with this plan unless three conditions are met: that Israel takes substantive steps and reaches a ceasefire, makes clear that there will be no annexation of the West Bank and commits to a long-term peace process to deliver a two-state solution. Given that Israel is currently unlikely to commit to any, let alone all three, of these conditions, British recognition of Palestine now looks inevitable. The official Downing Street read-out of today’s session stretches to 664 words. That is

Tim Shipman

How much pressure is Starmer facing over Gaza?

20 min listen

Ministers have been recalled for a rare cabinet meeting during recess to discuss the deteriorating humanitarian situation in Gaza. As the UN warns of famine and aid agencies are raising concern about widespread starvation, countries are coming under pressure to change their approach and influence Israel. In the UK, the focus is on recognition of a Palestinian state, following Emmanuel Macron’s decision that France will do so in September and after more than 200 cross-party MPs signed a letter endorsing recognition. Political editor Tim Shipman and senior associate fellow at RUSI Michael Stephens join deputy political editor James Heale to discuss the situation, recognition and the UK’s role in the

Constantin Eckner

Germany isn't happy about the EU-US trade deal

The US-EU trade deal has been given a lukewarm reception in Europe. Although the agreement between US president Donald Trump and the president of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen is merely a framework, rather than a full-trade deal, there are already major concerns on the continent, especially in Germany – a country famously reliant on exports. German chancellor Friedrich Merz did not seem too pleased with the deal, negotiated by his party colleague von der Leyen. ‘I’m not satisfied with the result in the sense that (it was said) this is good as it is,’ Merz stated. ‘Which, in plain terms, means the German economy will suffer significant

Tom Jones

What Labour's Jimmy Savile attack on Nigel Farage reveals

Nigel Farage is on the side of sex offenders like Jimmy Savile. That’s the verdict of Labour Technology Secretary Peter Kyle, after the Reform leader criticised the government’s Online Safety Act. Kyle, is of course, speaking nonsense: opposing a law that fails to protect children and cracks down on free speech doesn’t put you in the same group as Savile. But Kyle’s comments do make one thing clear: Labour is seriously rattled about the rise of Reform. Farage has demanded an apology from Kyle, who has so far refused to back down. Instead, having told Sky News ‘make no mistake if people like Jimmy Savile were alive today he would be

Ross Clark

Trump is right about North Sea oil

Maybe it is Donald Trump’s way of getting back at Keir Starmer for Labour sending activists to campaign for Kamala Harris in last year’s presidential election. Either way, the US president seems to have no intention of obeying the convention that leaders of democratic do not delve into the domestic politics of their counterparts in other nations – and especially not while they are on a foreign tour. Today, Trump has doubled down on his attack on the windfarms he says are spoiling the view from his golf courses in Ayrshire and Aberdeenshire. Posting on his Truth Social account he asserted that UK government ministers ‘have essentially told drillers and

Steerpike

Corbyn and Sultana use same crowdfunder as Tommy Robinson

You’d think two botched party launches would have chastened Zarah Sultana and Jeremy Corbyn somewhat. Not so. The duo continue to heap praise on the number of sign-ups their new group has seen – reaching 550,000 in the last 24 hours – while Sultana uses the rising figure to barb Reform, boasting at the weekend that it had overtaken Nigel Farage’s party membership. But, as Reform figures were quick to point out, a free sign-up is a rather different thing than being a paid-up party member… And Mr S has spotted another amusing feature of the dynamic duo’s freshly-formed website. YourParty – which Sultana rather confusingly insists is not the

Kate Andrews

Trump, MAGA, and US foreign policy

Kate Andrews speaks to Damir Marusic, assignment editor at The Washington Post and co-founder of Wisdom of Crowds. They examine Donald Trump’s surprising foreign policy moves in his second term: his position on the Israel-Gaza conflict, why he’s armed Ukraine despite MAGA frustration, and whether his instincts are reshaping Republican foreign policy for good.

Alexander Horne

How could Britain deport more foreign offenders?

Barely a week passes without headlines about the UK’s ongoing issues deporting foreign national offenders (FNOs). Foreign offenders are estimated to make up around 12 per cent of the UK prison population and many are not deported upon release. While some stories may be exaggerated or misrepresented – such as the well-known case of an Albanian offender who initially avoided deportation due to his son’s aversion to foreign chicken nuggets (a decision later overturned on appeal) – there’s little doubt that the current system is both inefficient and somewhat unpredictable. It would be possible to exclude the immigration tribunal system entirely – potentially eliminating the drawn-out appeal process Despite claims that the deportation

Steerpike

Labour minister: Nigel Farage is on Jimmy Savile's side

An extraordinary exchange on Sky News this morning. Peter Kyle was invited on to discuss the reaction to the implementation of the Online Safety Act, amid concern that it is stifling free speech on the internet. But the Science Secretary opted to hit out at Nigel Farage after his comments at press conference yesterday, by suggesting that the Reform leader was enabling grotesque sexual predators. Kyle told Sky: I see that Nigel Farage is already saying that he would overturn these laws. So we have people out there who are extreme pornographers, pedalling hate, pedalling violence. Nigel Farage is on their side. Make no mistake about it: if people like

Lucy Dunn

Will the SNP get another independence referendum?

Tumult, turmoil, chaos: select as appropriate how best to describe the last two years for the Scottish National party. Nicola Sturgeon’s resignation, the infighting that followed and the infamous Operation Branchform police probe caused public trust in the party of government to plummet. Fast forward through the gaffe-a-day leadership of Humza Yousaf and current First Minister John Swinney has managed to regain control somewhat, with the SNP noticing a turnaround in the polls and projected to become the largest party in Holyrood next year.  Yet while it has been suggested that the nationalists could pick up a third of the vote, this is some way off a majority. The worry