Lisa Haseldine

The moment many European leaders had been awaiting with nervous anticipation arrived yesterday evening when the American Under-Secretary of War, Elbridge Colby, announced that the US would, at long last, be undertaking a review of its military presence on the continent as part of its commitment to Nato. Colby said: ‘This will be a real review, designed to ensure that Nato is moving fast and irreversibly toward Europe taking primary responsibility for its conventional defence.’ The US Department of War has been threatening to launch this review for much of this year so far. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth used a meeting of Nato defence ministers in June to confirm that the review would be going ahead imminently.

Andy Burnham has given precious little away on his approach to foreign and defence policy since taking office last week. Today, however, we got a small glimpse of one aspect of what that might look like. This afternoon Volodymyr Zelensky, the Ukrainian president, became the first foreign leader to be hosted by the new prime minister in Britain.  The pair met at Portsmouth naval base to inspect the 200-odd Ukrainian soldiers currently completing maritime exercises there. Burnham afterwards confirmed that the pair had also discussed the question of supplying anti-ballistic missiles to Ukraine ahead of the winter to allow it to better protect its critical infrastructure.

If European leaders had a bingo card of all the fights Donald Trump could pick with them, at this week’s Nato summit in Ankara they would have won a blackout. Starting as he meant to go on, Trump used a joint briefing with Nato chief Mark Rutte this morning to reheat his litany of grievances with fellow members of the alliance. Trump today declared that he was ‘not happy with Nato because of what they did with Greenland’ and their refusal, as he sees it, to help the US with the war in Iran. Greenland, the President said, was a ‘big problem for us’, going on to claim – falsely – that ‘it’s not important for Denmark’.

With just a few weeks until he is expected to step down as prime minister, Keir Starmer chose a drone factory in Berkshire as the location from which to deliver his swansong: the Defence Investment Plan (DIP). Starmer was joined at the venue by Defence Secretary Dan Jarvis – in the job for less than three weeks – and, unexpectedly, Chancellor Rachel Reeves to present the headlines of the DIP, published today after a delay of more than seven months. Reeves confirmed that the Treasury is handing the Ministry of Defence (MoD) £15 billion over the next four years as part of the DIP.

Despite resigning as prime minister and leader of the Labour party on Monday, Keir Starmer is determined to publish the much-delayed defence investment plan (DIP) ahead of the Nato summit in Turkey on 7 July. Speaking at a conference in London yesterday, Defence Secretary Dan Jarvis confirmed that he was ‘working to finalise and publish the DIP before I travel to Ankara with the Prime Minister' in less than a fortnight. The fact that Starmer is still determined to publish the DIP is surprising. Most presumed after his resignation that the defence spending blueprint, along with any other unfinalised policies and projects, would be put on ice, ready for his successor – expected to be the former Manchester mayor Andy Burnham – to review, drop or push through.

As the fallout from Keir Starmer’s defence funding row continues, Britain has been served a timely reminder of the importance of being prepared for a fresh escalation of tensions with Russia. A Russian warship, the Admiral Grigorovich, fired warning shots at an unarmed British civilian yacht in the Channel shortly before lunchtime yesterday. The circumstances around the incident – which took place 20 nautical miles off the Isle of Wight, outside British waters – remain somewhat unclear. The owners of the 40-foot British yacht, Jane and Alan Kelvey, claim they came no closer than 500 metres (0.3 miles) to the 409-foot Admiral Grigorovich. The Russian warship then sounded its horn a number of times before firing its guns, they said.

After a week of government paralysis, it appears something has finally broken the deadlock: John Healey has resigned as Defence Secretary. In a withering letter to Keir Starmer, Healey accused the Prime Minister of being ‘unable’ and the Treasury ‘unwilling to commit the resources that the nation needs to defend the country at this time of rising threats’. The Defence Investment Plan (DIP), he said, ‘falls well short’ of what Britain’s defences need. In his letter, Healey revealed that he was first given sight of the final DIP settlement on Monday, which revealed that support would be backloaded and rise to just 2.68 per cent of GDP in 2030. This falls well short of the 3 per cent by 2030 that Healey has been pushing Starmer and Chancellor Rachel Reeves to commit to.

Earlier this week, Ukraine was subjected to one of the largest aerial assaults by Russia since the start of Vladimir Putin’s invasion over four years ago. Overnight from Monday into Tuesday, Russia sent 73 missiles and 656 drones into Ukraine, killing at least 21 and injuring dozens across the country. According to the Russian Ministry of Defence, this strike was retaliation for a Ukrainian attack on a vocational school in the occupied region of Luhansk on 22 May. But, as the Kremlin’s war grinds on well into its fifth year, it also appears to signal a step change in how the Russian armed forces are choosing to fight.

Thanks to Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin could enjoy his Victory Day parade in Moscow safe in the knowledge that no Ukrainian drones would come hurtling onto Red Square while he was inspecting the Russian troops. Taking to Truth Social last night, the American president declared that he had requested that Moscow and Kyiv observe a three-day ceasefire, starting today and lasting until 11 March.  ‘This ceasefire will include a suspension of all kinetic activity, and also a prison swap of 1,000 prisoners from each country,’ Trump said. At the time of writing that truce is still holding, with both Putin and his Ukrainian counterpart Volodymyr Zelensky stating that they would stick to the agreement.

With Donald Trump’s noisy war on Iran about to enter its third month, it can be easy to forget that another conflict is going on much closer to Britain’s shores. Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine is creeping towards a grim milestone of its own: by the beginning of June, it will have gone on for longer than the First World War. Today, Navy chief Sir Gwyn Jenkins issued a timely reminder that the danger posed by Moscow extended far beyond eastern Europe. ‘Russia remains the gravest threat to our security,' he warned. Speaking at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) think tank in London, Jenkins, First Sea Lord and Chief of the Naval Staff, revealed that incursions by Russian ships and submarines into British waters had jumped by almost a third in the last two years.