Isabel Hardman

Isabel Hardman

Isabel Hardman is assistant editor of The Spectator and author of Why We Get the Wrong Politicians. She also presents Radio 4’s Week in Westminster.

Can Nick Clegg survive his party’s wrath?

Will Nick Clegg survive his mauling in the European elections? The front pages this morning don't do the Lib Dem leader any favours - although his main leadership rivals, Tim Farron and Vince Cable, did by pledging their loyalty to him. There is considerable suspicion in the party that the polling on the Guardian front page was commissioned by one of Cable's allies, with or without the Business Secretary's knowledge or approval. It's certainly had more impact than an open letter or pithy op-ed, and whoever the 'Lib Dem supporter' responsible for the leak is, they're certainly not a Nick Clegg supporter. Privately, Clegg has admitted that he wishes his 'party of In' campaign had more nuance on the question of reform so that he didn't sound blindly pro-European.

The real sign of a professional Ukip

Nigel Farage hasn't just been enjoying today, he's been using it as a springboard for a professional, grown-up Ukip. He told a press conference in London that his party would challenge Ed Miliband's focus on the cost-of-living crisis and do so in the Labour leader's own town. He also said the party had been doing 'substantial work on the NHS'. Even though he's had a torrid few weeks of scrutiny on every reach of his party and his own views, you can't fault Nigel Farage for continuing to plug away at trying to make his party grow up. But while more prominent policies than just Europe are an important part of growing up, the real sign that Ukip is a 'professional' party will come when it makes its first unpopular pledge - what Nick Clegg would describe as a 'difficult decision'.

Vince Cable breaks his silence

Vince Cable, definitely not in the Team Nick camp, has finally broken his silence from a trade visit in China to defend his colleague. In the past few minutes the Business Secretary has released this statement: 'These were exceptionally disappointing results for the party. Many hard working Liberal Democrats, who gave this fight everything they had and then lost their seats, are feeling frustrated and disheartened and we all understand that. 'Nick did a bold thing in standing up to the eurosceptic wave which has engulfed much of continental Europe. We are the only party to have taken that on and he personally deserves tremendous credit for that. There is no leadership issue.

Candidate fury at CCHQ campaign demands

Conservative MPs and candidates are, it's fair to say, pretty exhausted this afternoon after last-minute campaigning for the local and European elections and all-nighters watching the results come in. But with the Newark by-election drawing closer, they're not flopping into their beds just yet. All candidates have been summoned to a 10am briefing in Newark on Sunday. They were only told on Monday that the meeting was taking place, and that it was compulsory, with Grant Shapps demanding a personal explanation from those who cannot make it. The email says: 'There will be a briefing meeting for everyone on the Candidates List on Sunday 25th May at 10.00 am in Newark, which will be followed by delivering.

Labour MP warns on party’s failure to equip activists for battle with Ukip

Labour's performance in the local elections is a blessing for the Conservatives. A less impressive showing in the polls for the Opposition a year out from the general election, with key target councils failing to go red and what John Curtice has described as a 'failure to do well enough' means the story is not just about the government getting a pounding. Number 10 sources are arguing that 'Labour are actually going backwards'. Some MPs long known to be vocal critics of Ed Miliband are taking to the airwaves to criticise him. Graham Stringer has attacked the Labour leader's 'unprofessional' team. Simon Danczuk has just told LBC that 'I'm not going to pretend that Ed Miliband as an issue doesn't come up on the doorstep, of course it does'.

Shapps slaps down fresh calls for Ukip pact

Inevitably, given Ukip has made strong gains overnight, some Conservative MPs have been renewing their calls for a Tory-Ukip pact. Conservative ministers have been quick to brush this off, with Grant Shapps arguing: 'We’re not going to have a pact or joint candidates, or whatever. It can’t happen on a technical basis because we do not allow joint candidates to stand... It’s not going to happen because we’re the Conservative party; we are the best chance to offer an in/out referendum, the only chance.' Michael Gove was also asked about this on Good Morning Britain, and he said: 'Absolutely not. I don't think we should have a pact.' The Tories had been quite bullish about the local results in their briefings in the run-up to these polls.

Local elections 2014: overnight round-up

Around a third of all councils up for election yesterday have now declared. Here are the results so far: So far the Conservatives have lost eight councils, with 15 declared Conservative. The Tories have 1,005 seats (a loss of 85). Labour has gained 73 seats with 1,280 now Labour and two councils, with 25 declared Labour. The Lib Dems have one council declared for them, losing one. Seven councils have moved to no overall control - a total of 16 councils are NOC so far. Ukip has not won any councils but has gained 81 seats taking it 102. This means the party has already met its target of 80 gains. Here are some of the most interesting results: - Labour has taken control of flagship Conservative council Hammersmith and Fulham.

The other awkward European vote

When polls close tonight, another vote will open in one part of the country that could cause a bit of European trouble for David Cameron. Tory MPs Peter Bone and Philip Hollobone and Conservative candidate for Corby Tom Pursglove are running a In/Out referendum in North Northamptonshire, consulting around 250,000 people across three constituencies on Britain's membership of the European Union. The trio have timed the poll for after the European and local elections have closed for votes but before the result of the European elections is declared, partly so that they cannot be accused of making trouble in any way. They are, they argue, simply following Conservative party policy (now rather than two years ago, when a referendum was not Conservative party policy).

Today’s migration figures show why Cameron should drop his ‘tens of thousands’ target

The inconveniently-timed net migration figures are out this morning, and they're not good for the Prime Minister's pledge to get immigration into the 'tens of thousands' by the general election. The Office for National Statistics estimates that net long-term migration to the UK was 212,000 in 2013. This is a rise—one the ONS says is 'not a statistically significant increase'—from 177,000 the previous year. But what is 'significant' is the increase in the number of EU migrants – 201,000 EU citizens came to the UK in 2013, up from 158,000 the previous year. [datawrapper chart="http://static.spectator.co.uk/ZtESo/index.

Cameron defends government policy his Tory colleagues hate

A Prime Minister defending a government policy is usually quite unremarkable. But today David Cameron defended the Government's free school meals policy, and given the amount of vitriol this has attracted between the two Coalition parties in recent weeks, that really is remarkable. He told the World at One: 'I don’t really accept it was made on the hoof because, as I say, it was trialled, a decent amount of time has been set aside for its introduction, £150m… Any change is always difficult and I think you should judge the change as it comes in.

Ed Miliband’s weak shadow cabinet batting order

Most of the reshuffle-related excitement in Westminster is focused on a pending Tory one. But does Ed Miliband's top team need a bit of freshening up too? I blogged last week that Labour backbenchers, including a number with serious experience of government, were unhappy with the way many of the Labour top dogs are failing to go out to bat for their leader. Miliband has certainly trodden on his stumps in the past few days with some broadcast gaffes, but he does have a problem with the batting order below him.

Joint Ukip candidates is Farage’s second best option

Nigel Farage has stirred up talk again this morning of joint Conservative/Ukip or Labour/Ukip candidates. This has been doing the rounds ever since the Ukip leader mooted it in an interview with James in the Spectator, but neither main party is keen. The reason is that this would effectively outsource candidate selection to someone outside the Conservative or Labour party: only candidates Ukip considered sufficiently 'sound' according to its own standards would get the Farage kitemark, and therefore local parties with Ukip breathing down their necks might be tempted to choose a more Ukippish type to stand for them than otherwise. But there's another point worth making about the joint ticket.

Carnival of the Ukippers

Ukip's we're-not-racist ethnic minority carnival in Croydon always looked as though it was going to provide plenty of material for sketchwriters and critics. It was another attempt by the party to showcase its non-white members and candidates, with local candidate Winston McKenzie on hand too. But the event aimed at spinning a line about the party's open-mindedness spun out of control. The steel band told journalists they didn't know they'd been booked by Ukip, and were pretty unhappy about it too. Then a group of protesters accused the party of being Nazis. Then McKenzie, explaining why Nigel Farage had pulled out of attending the event, described the town he is standing for election in as a 'dump' and 'unsafe' because it had been failed by successive governments.

Exclusive: Leading Tory eurosceptic calls for Cameron to ditch net migration target

The next set of net migration figures are, conveniently, released on the day of the European and local elections. Some wonder whether this will add grist to the mill of those on the Tory Right who want to cause trouble for Cameron as they can demand that he crack down further on immigration. But I've discovered that if there is one demand eurosceptics will make, it will be for the Prime Minister to scrap the target, rather than try harder to meet it. The reasoning behind this is that the Prime Minister could argue that freedom of movement in the European Union makes it impossible for the Conservatives to have any real chance of meeting this target, save by introducing ever-tougher restrictions on non-EU immigration.

Inflation rises – should the coalition be worried?

Inflation has risen for the first time in ten months, with the consumer prices index growing by 1.8 per cent in the year to April 2014, up from 1.6 per cent in March. [datawrapper chart="http://static.spectator.co.uk/09O5L/index.html"] On the surface, this looks like bad news for the Coalition, which has boasted that falling inflation shows that Ed Miliband's cost-of-living crisis is coming to an end. And certainly Labour has tried to capitalise on the rise already, with Shadow Treasury Minister Catherine McKinnell saying: 'These figures underline why this Tory-led government is wrong to be so complacent about the cost-of-living crisis.

Is he or isn’t he a racist? Why politicians don’t want to give a straight answer about Farage

Mainstream politicians, never known for giving a straight answer, have been giving particularly wibbly and unclear responses to one particular question today. Is Nigel Farage a racist and was what he said about Romanians moving in next door racist? Ed Miliband did pick a particularly tortured definition of what Nigel Farage had said when asked about it on the Today programme. It was a 'racial slur' but Farage is not a racist, or at least, Miliband didn't want to make politics more 'disagreeable' by accusing Farage of being a racist. But he did say that Farage was right to apologise. Helpfully, Nick Griffin pitched in to tell BBC News that Farage wasn't racist, presumably on the basis that it takes one to know one.

The danger for Miliband of being too confident about his anti-business stance

Why is Ed Miliband so content with accusations that he's anti-business and a bit of a lefty? The Labour leader was grilled this morning on his relations with business leaders when he appeared on the Today programme, and while he did an adequate job of defending himself, he didn't seem too perturbed by the questions levelled at him, nor the suggestion that his party is bleeding votes to Ukip. Why is he displaying such zen-like calm? listen to ‘Miliband: UK 'one of worst developed countries' over low pay’ on Audioboo The reason is not just the Labour leader's intellectual self-confidence but also because the former is a way of solving the latter.

On the road with the Tories

The Conservatives are holding another one of their road trips tomorrow, this time to Chester and Cheadle, where about 120 activists and MPs will hold a 'day of action' where they canvass and campaign in the constituency. The last one was in Enfield a few weeks ago, where the sitting MP Nick de Bois is fighting to hold onto his 1,692 majority. The City of Chester is held by Conservative MP Stephen Mosley with a 2,583 majority, while Cheadle is currently a Lib Dem seat, with Mark Hunter sitting on a 3,272 majority and the Tories in second place. Obviously these campaign days help those MPs or candidates fighting in the respective constituencies.