Isabel Hardman

Theresa May's MPs are now constantly pressuring her to come up with a 'vision' of what she wants to do, whether it be on Brexit or on the domestic front. Those who are more sympathetic to the Prime Minister's caution, though, argue that her vision is constrained by the parliamentary arithmetic. Why try something that just isn't going to get through the House of Commons? One answer would be that May wouldn't lose all that much by trying and failing than she thinks. As I wrote last week, she is currently more in danger of weakening her authority by not trying at all. But another is that the Prime Minister could work with that parliamentary arithmetic to get reforms in place using a cross-party consensus.

Despite having to answer questions about whether or not she is a 'quitter', Theresa May must be reasonably glad that she's got a few days' escape from her domestic agenda while she is visiting China. But being away does mean that she has left her party to stew without her, and it's not clear that those around her are doing much to calm things down. Over the past few days, I've spoken to a range of Conservative backbenchers and ministers who either privately or publicly hold concerns about the way May is leading (or isn't, as the case may be). All agree that things are rather critical for the Prime Minister, and have a number of thoughts about how she might survive. But barely any of the MPs I spoke to have had any sort of contact from the Tory whips.

Can Theresa May really solve the latest crisis affecting her leadership? Previously, her survival owed a great deal to Conservative backbenchers, who vowed to protect her against a badly-behaved Cabinet, but everyone is restless now. So what can she do? The Prime Minister isn't going to have a personality transplant, but this doesn't mean that she is destined to continue doing absolutely nothing. She may never be able to conjure up small talk with her own MPs, but she has in the past shown that she can make bold decisions (the snap election was, admittedly, a bad example of this) and have a reforming zeal. The absence of any activity or vision for the domestic agenda is what has agitated Tory MPs quite so much in recent weeks.

Theresa May likes to avoid awkward rows at all costs: that much we already know. Today's papers carry two stories showing this: she is said to be abandoning plans to give a Brexit speech just in case it causes further divisions in her Cabinet, and is also racking up what The Times estimates is a £230 million bill by delaying the refurbishment of Parliament. Both the Cabinet and Parliament are dangerously unstable, with chunks falling from them every day. The latter, though, has been here a long time, is one of the most famous buildings in the world, and attracts vast numbers of tourists. Philip Hammond and Greg Clark don't raise quite so much interest, oddly.

Theresa May does seem to lose more authority with each week. A reshuffle in which people refuse to move, followed by Cabinet ministers using the media to ask for more money for the NHS and defence. But does this make her more likely to go soon? That the Prime Minister is weak has been priced in since the general election. It means Cabinet ministers feel so confident that they can turn down job moves, send the head of the army out to complain about defence spending, and brief the newspapers about something they haven’t yet said. But the fact that this is so well-acknowledged, and has been for a long time, makes it less likely that May will have to go because people are settling in to the reality of a weak government.

This post first appeared in the Spectator's Evening Blend email, a free round-up and analysis of each day's politics. Sign up for free here. Why is Boris Johnson quite so keen on improbable-sounding bridges? The Foreign Secretary became obsessed with the idea of a ‘garden bridge’ across the river Thames when he was Mayor, a project that was cancelled by his successor Sadiq Khan after it became clear that public money would be needed to build the structure, which would then not always be open to the public. Unabashed, Boris is now suggesting something much bigger and more eye-catching: a bridge across the Channel to France. Johnson was talking about major infrastructure projects when he suggested the bridge, which is apparently technically possible.

If you thought the main fallout from Theresa May’s reshuffle was last week, think again: over the past few days the Conservatives have been appointing their parliamentary private secretaries, which means the reshuffle has only just about ground to a halt. These PPS jobs are unpaid but count as government payroll, meaning the MP in question must be loyal to the government as well as carrying a minister’s bag around. The problem is that not every ambitious MP can be made a PPS. Worse, not every PPS can be made a minister, which means that there are a fair few Tory backbenchers and PPSs swirling around who are feeling a little sore.

What is Michael Gove up to? The Environment Secretary seems to be on a tree-hugging rampage at the moment, announcing a new green measure every week. Not content with unveiling the Tories’ 25 year environment plan last week, Gove has given an interview to today’s Sunday Times in which he attacks the water companies for using tax havens. The water companies are interesting enough, given Jeremy Corbyn has called for them to be renationalised. But what’s really revealing about what Gove’s overall mission is comes later in the interview, when he says: ‘Brexit creates opportunities, particularly in my area. Brexit could be the catalyst for some of the biggest, boldest environmental steps forward as we transform our fisheries and agriculture policy.

Chris Williamson’s resignation from the Labour frontbench shows that the party isn’t just a protest movement any more. The staunch Corbynite found himself the focus of Tory campaign graphics this week after suggesting that council tax should be doubled on some of the highest-value properties.  This afternoon, Labour confirmed that their Shadow Fire Minister had stepped down. Williamson said: ‘I will be standing down from my role with immediate effect so that I can return to the backbenches, where I will be campaigning on a broader range of issues. I will continue to loyally support the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn from the backbenches and hope to be a voice for the party’s members.

As with most reshuffles, today’s is being viewed largely as a test of the Prime Minister’s strength. Will she move the ministers who aren’t working well in their current posts? Will she underwhelm with what she eventually manages to do? Will she accidentally appoint Chris Grayling to another job for 30 seconds? So far, that test of strength isn’t going so well, with the attention largely focusing on deleted tweets and people getting out of cars. It’s easy on reshuffle day to forget the impact that moving ministers around has on government.