Politics

Read about the latest political news, views and analysis

Wednesday

Ben Lazarus

Will Iran respond to Israel’s assassinations?

The Israelis were busy last night. First, Fouad Shukur, Hezbollah’s top military commander was, in the words of Israel’s defence minister Yoav Gallant, ‘eliminated’ in Beirut. Shukur was targeted for his role in a rocket attack on the Golan Heights on Saturday which killed 12 Druze children and teenagers playing football. Hours later, Hamas’s political leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in Tehran, where he was visiting for the inauguration of Iran’s new president, Masoud Pezeshkian. For now, Israel and Hezbollah say they both want to avoid total war It’s a huge blow for Hamas and their Iranian paymasters. Haniyeh was the face of Hamas’s international diplomacy, and is the most senior Hamas

Catherine Ellis

Venezuela’s Nicolas Maduro doesn’t like losing

There are sore losers and then there’s Venezuela’s Nicolas Maduro. The socialist president has ruled the South American country for 11 years, and despite opinion polls – and now physical vote tallies from the presidential election – proving that he’s not as popular as he wants to be, he seems to really want to stay in his job. So much so, that there are reports Maduro’s regime may be plotting the arrest of the man who is not only beating him in the popularity contest, but appears to have thrashed him at the polls: Edmundo Gonzalez. A similar scheme is reportedly being hatched against Maria Corina Machado, the woman whom Gonzalez

Limor Simhony Philpott

Hamas and Hezbollah leaders killed in strikes on Iran and Lebanon

Israel has been accused of killing Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in a strike on Iran overnight. No one has claimed responsibility for the attack but Hamas said Haniyeh was ‘killed in a treacherous Zionist raid’ and vowed revenge. If indeed Israel did target Haniyeh in his Tehran residence it could mark a major escalation in the conflict. Iran will be humiliated that, even in the heart of its capital, Haniyeh was not safe. Hamas said Haniyeh was ‘killed in a treacherous Zionist raid’ Israel is yet to respond or issue a statement, but the country did say that it carried out a separate strike on Beirut yesterday in response to a

Gareth Roberts

Just Stop Oil and the secret power of the middle class

Just Stop Oil isn’t what it was. When a handful of protestors from the environmental group tried to block a departure gate at Gatwick Airport this week, they failed miserably. It wasn’t much of a protest: they just plonked themselves down and adopted the traditional JSO expression: a stance of neutrality aimed at looking noble and martyrish but, in reality, comes over as suggesting they are mildly constipated. Embarrassed air travellers merely stepped over them, although one traveller did speak for the nation by suggesting that they reconvene elsewhere, using a two-word expression, one of them composed of four letters. The power of the middle class to charm officers of

John Keiger

Even the Olympics can’t unite France

Writing of the state of France in the twilight of the fateful Second Empire, the left-wing journalist Henri Rochefort observed: ‘France contains 36 million subjects, not including the subjects of discontent.’ Has anything changed since 1868? From the European to the legislative elections, France is a profoundly divided nation. At present and probably until mid-August, she has a caretaker government because the National Assembly is irremediably split into three camps. One might have thought that the Paris Olympic Games could have united the country. Instead, it has deepened division. France was desperate to be enthralled, and above all, distracted by the Games France was desperate to be enthralled, and above all,

Jake Wallis Simons

The far-right threat to Israel’s democracy is growing

Israel is the only meaningful democracy in the Middle East. This is as true today as it was last week. But the shameful scenes of far-right violence in response to the arrest of a group of soldiers is a gift to those who wish to undo it. On Monday, dozens of hardline activists tried to disrupt the arrest of nine reservists detained as part of an investigation into ‘suspected substantial abuse of a Palestinian detainee’. They were accompanied by far-right politicians, who barged into an army base and occupied it for several hours. A firebrand like Ben-Gvir is clearly the last thing Israel needs at a time like this When

Tuesday

Steerpike

Kemi Badenoch hits back at the Guardian

Ding ding ding! The Tory leadership race is heating up, with the final six candidates now declared. But with Kemi Badenoch currently the bookies’ favourite to win, the Guardian has tonight published a story claiming she was guilty of ‘bullying and traumatising’ behaviour when running the Department for Business and Trade. The paper cites sources who accuse her of being ‘toxic and intimidating’ in the role, thanks to her ‘mercurial’ moods. The Graun also claims that at least three officials found her behaviour so difficult that they felt they had to leave. One ‘insider’ is quoted as claiming Badenoch had people she would ‘single out’, alleging she was ‘passive-aggressive’ and subjected

Kristina Murkett

Labour’s private school VAT raid will stunt social mobility

Following the announcement of Rachel Reeves’ spending cuts on Monday, the Treasury confirmed that VAT will be applied to private school fees from January 2025. Although the debate on whether to charge this tax on private schools has raged for months, this is still earlier than most of the sector expected. ‘Anti-forestalling’ measures will be introduced so that any advance payments for the January term are, from this week, also taxed. This means parents can no longer avoid the extra 20 per cent by paying fees upfront. Perhaps most importantly, Treasury documents have also confirmed that ministers expect the new tax to drive some private school parents to the state

Steerpike

Labour’s war on beautiful housing

Another day, another drama – and this time Sir Keir’s government is in the spotlight. In the National Planning Policy Framework published today by the Ministry of Housing, the author’s handiwork is clear for all to see. The 84-page file details more than just the government’s approach to housebuilding – it specifies exactly what deletions have been made from earlier editions. The document has been published with new tracked updates dotted throughout – and Mr S has been rather interested in the war that Starmer’s government appears to be waging on, um, ‘beautiful’ homes… Here are a few other examples of the changes that have been made… The contents page

Tom Slater

The real reason Just Stop Oil target airports

Just Stop Oil’s campaign to infuriate ordinary people has moved up a gear. After bringing traffic to a standstill and disrupting play at the snooker, now its activists are targeting those havens of peace, harmony and low blood pressure: Britain’s bustling airports during the school summer holidays. A group of JSOers sat themselves down on the floor and locked their hands together at Gatwick’s south terminal yesterday, in an attempt to block the path through security. (Intrepid holidaymakers merely stepped over them and they were swiftly removed.) Now, JSO poster girl Phoebe Plummer – fresh from her conviction for throwing soup at Van Gogh’s Sunflowers – has popped up at a protest in which paint was sprayed

Jonathan Spyer

Can Israel hold back from all-out war with Hezbollah?

On 27 July, 12 children from the Druze community of the Golan Heights were slaughtered when an Iranian Falaq 1 missile hit a soccer field in the town of Majdal Shams. The office of Israel’s Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, issued a terse statement on the same day vowing that the country would ‘not allow the murderous attack to simply pass on by, and that Hezbollah will pay a heavy price for this that it has not paid until this point’. This incident was the single bloodiest attack on an Israeli target since the massacres of 7 October. It represented a severe escalation in the conflict which has been under way

Patrick West

We’ve forgotten how to say ‘no’

It has been widely observed that we live in a society marked by cancellation, censorship and cowardice in the face of mob rule. To this we might add a fourth ‘c’: capitulation. The decision announced yesterday by Rachel Reeves to offer junior doctors an average pay rise of a 22.3 per cent in an effort to end the strikes is the most glaring example, being all-too-reminiscent of the catastrophic efforts by the craven Labour governments of the 1970s to placate the unions with inflation-accelerating pay-deals. Whether this announcement, and the decision to give six million public sector workers including nurses, teachers and police officers rises of about 5 per cent,

Katy Balls

Winter for boomers

-18 min listen

Rachel Reeves wakes to mixed headlines today after she announced a range of spending cuts to part fill a £22 billion ‘shortfall’ in public spending for this year alone.  The most controversial move by Reeves on Monday was her decision to axe the winter fuel benefit for pensioners not eligible for benefits. That saves £1.5 billion but has already been blasted by Martin Lewis and Age UK as a blunt measure that will hurt those on modest pensions who struggle to make ends meet.  Is there more hard medicine to come? Katy Balls speaks to Kate Andrews and John McTernan, former political secretary to Tony Blair.

James Heale

Who is Richard Fuller, the unknown Tory chairman?

When you ask Tory MPs about Richard Fuller, you’re likely to get one of two replies. ‘Nice guy’ from those who know him; ‘Who?’ from those that don’t. It tells you why Rishi Sunak chose him to be Tory chairman, as the party dusts itself off from its electoral drubbing. Fuller, along with Bob Blackman of the 1922, will guide the party through the next three months, as the Conservatives begin the long task of choosing a new leader and rebuilding from the financial ruin of this election. Fuller was chosen for the role after the resignation of his predecessor Richard Holden. Other than a name, the two have little

Steerpike

Watch: Just Stop Oil stage another failed protest

Uh oh. After Just Stop Oil’s failed attempt to disrupt travellers at Gatwick Airport on Monday, the eco-activist group are back at it again – now taking their bizarre spray paint antics to Heathrow instead. Two activists have this morning decided to try and disrupt more commuters by spraying some of the airport’s departure boards orange. The stunt only lasted approximately 15 minutes before police dragged the pesky protestors off the premises, and an airport spokesperson was clear that ‘the airport continues to operate as normal and passengers are travelling as planned’. Mr S is rather sceptical about exactly what Just Stop Oil think it has managed to pull off

Patrick O’Flynn

Why Kemi Badenoch’s leadership pitch sets her apart

The Conservative party is preparing the ground for its sixth leader since the Brexit referendum eight years ago. Were one of those actuaries who help insurers assess probabilities let loose on the Tory leadership race, it is hard to envisage any of the six candidates being rated as a likely future prime minister. Even removing David Cameron from the list of former PMs and discounting the impending leader leaves us with four completed leadership cycles in eight years. At that rate, the person becoming leader on 2 November could be expected to last until autumn 2026. One assumes the party will ultimately alight on a Young Lochinvar with a dash of

Matthew Lynn

Why has Donald Trump embraced crypto?

No one ever accused Donald Trump of ideological consistency. And yet, even by the standards of a man who often seems capable of switching positions several times in the same speech, and sometimes in the same sentence, it is quite a turnaround. As president he condemned Bitcoin and other crypto currencies ‘a scam against the dollar’. And yet, during this campaign he has turned into an enthusiastic convert, promising to govern as a Bitcoin President if he retakes the White House in November. That raises an intriguing question. Could the Crypto Bros turn Trump into a small state libertarian?  Trump’s embrace of cryptocurrencies will shift him towards small-state liberalism Speaking

Freddy Gray

The truth about Kamalamania

In a society that worships the self, identity politics is a very powerful force. We see this now in Kamalamania – the dizzying speed with which the vice-president and presumptive Democratic nominee has been turned, through mass acclamation, from national embarrassment to Democratic saviour.  Will Kamalamania last until the election is over? The fact that Harris’s transfiguration doesn’t make much sense is sort of the point – the more improbable it seems the better. We are memetic creatures, especially in the digital age, and the meme of the moment is that Harris has magically invigorated the Democratic base and turned the 2024 US presidential election around in their party’s favour. It’s

Katy Balls

Rachel Reeves’ biggest controversy is yet to come

Rachel Reeves wakes to mixed headlines today after she announced a range of spending cuts to part fill a £22 billion ‘shortfall’ in public spending for this year alone. The Chancellor accused the Tories of spending money they did not have in government and going more than six billion pounds over budget on asylum. These claims have been rubbished by the former chancellor Jeremy Hunt who in turn suggests that Reeves is indulging in political theatre having been reluctant to openly talk about tax rises and difficult spending choices in the election. Monday’s political theatre paved the way for tax rises in the autumn budget The most controversial move by

Jake Wallis Simons

Why should Israel tolerate Hezbollah’s deadly rocket attacks?

The slaughter of a dozen child footballers on Sunday came as a startling sign that the situation in northern Israel cannot continue. Since October 7, thousands of Hezbollah rockets have rained down on the Jewish state, claiming many lives and causing 70,000 people to flee their homes. There comes a point where the only option is war. According to UN Resolution 1701, issued in 2006, Hezbollah forces must not stray south of the Litani river, about 18 miles from the Israeli border. They have violated that ruling for years, with no real punishment from the UN or anybody else. On a trip to the region before October 7, I saw