Peter Hoskin

Will Obama shun Brown?

From our UK edition

This from Ben Brogan: "I'm told Mr Obama's interest in British politicians fluctuates with the polls: when Mr Brown was in a hole and David Cameron was flying high, the Obama mob were keen to maximise time with the Tory leader. With every poll that passes showing Mr Brown sliding backwards, does that reduce the chances of an early invite to touch the hem of The One?" Numerous Labour people I speak to still feel that this April's G20 summit in London - which Obama is attending - will be a major PR coup for Brown.  The idea is that the Dear Leader will be able to play MacMillan to Obama's Kennedy - and all in front of the world's watchful cameras.  What chance that, though, if Labour's poll ratings continue to slide southwards with the economy?

Your brief Inaugural Address primer

From our UK edition

So here it is.  The day when Barack Obama succeeds George Bush to become to the 44th President of the United States of America.  James has already written a preview of Obama's inaugural address - but if you want to squeeze in some extra relevant reading ahead of 1700 GMT, then you could do worse than Jill Lepore's piece for last week's New Yorker; certainly one of the liveliest, most information-packed short histories of the inaugural address that I've yet come across.  This article from Sunday's New York Times is also a neat, little scene-setter. Otherwise, the best place to start is where many Presidents-elect start when preparing for their own inauguration: Abraham Lincoln's two addresses, which have rightly become the yardstick by which all others are measured.

Does the Government think we’re all doomed?

From our UK edition

There's a doom-laden air around Westminster today, neatly captured by Fraser's post earlier.  Will the fresh injection of £billions of taxpayers' cash do anything to help?  Few have any hope, let alone certainty, that it will - and that includes the Government.  Gone is the "we've saved the banking system" bravado of a few weeks ago, to be replaced today by statements on rising unemployment and - as the Standard's Paul Waugh blogged earlier - warnings that "global economic downturn [has been] intensifying in the past two months".  Sadly, green shoots are there none. Perhaps Brown & Co. are starting to wake up to the lose-lose situation they're in during the run-up to March's Budget.

CCHQ confirms all shadow cabinet changes

From our UK edition

And here they are, courtesy of ConservativeHome: New to the Shadow Cabinet The Rt Hon Kenneth Clarke QC MP Shadow Secretary of State for Business, Enterprise and Regulatory Reform Mark Francois MP Shadow Minister for Europe New Shadow Cabinet responsibilities Alan Duncan MP Shadow Leader of the House of Commons Chris Grayling MP Shadow Home Secretary The Rt Hon Dominic Grieve QC MP Shadow Secretary of State for Justice Nick Herbert MP Shadow Secretary of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs The Rt Hon Theresa May MP Shadow Secretary of State for Work and Pensions and Shadow Minister for Women Eric Pickles MP Chairman of the Conservative Party Caroline Spelman MP Shadow Secretary of State for Communities and Local Government.

More reshuffle news

From our UK edition

The reshuffle rumours keep flooding in.  Iain Dale's list has Theresa May going to shadow work and pensions; Caroline Spelman to Local Government, Nick Herbert to Environment; Dominic Grieve to Justice; Chris Grayling to Home; and Alan Duncan as shadow leader of the Commons.  So far, May, Grayling, Herbert and Duncan have been confirmed.  Spelman and Grieve match with what we're hearing in Coffee House Towers. To my mind, it's mixture of good and bad.  Grayling's one of the Tories' best attacks dogs and should bring a bit of Davis-style punchiness to the shadow Home Secretary role.

With delicate management, Clarke can be a powerful asset for Cameron

From our UK edition

What's my take on the return of Ken Clarke? Hm. I guess it's summed up by four-and-a-bit words: let's wait and see. A wishy-washy response, I know, but so much depends on whether Cameron's got himself Clarke the Angel or Clarke the Devil that it's hard to talk about success or failure in advance. Apparently, Clarke's assured the Dave they he'll be angelic - that he won't stir up a storm over Europe, that he won't deal out economic prescriptions that contradict the party line - but will the most rebellious Tory MP in the Commons be able to change his spots? Possibly. But it's going to require some delicate man-management from Cameron. Given the way in which Clarke's been unveiled to the press, it seems that the delicate management is in full swing already.

Brace yourselves for the “mother of all bank insurance schemes”

From our UK edition

Given his, ahem, prescience on these matters, it's worth flagging up Robert Peston's latest blog post.  He suggests that the Government's next set of measures to prop up the ailing banking industry, expected Monday, won't involve the establishment of a state-run "bad bank," as had been mooted. Instead we can expect the "mother of all bank insurance schemes": "I don't know why the Government hasn't knocked on the head the idea that it's working on the creation of a bad or toxic bank that would buy our biggest banks' dodgy loans and investments. What I expect it to announce on Monday (although the timetable could slip a day or so) is the creation of the mother-of-all bank insurance schemes.

Why did Harman’s Big Idea see the light of day?

From our UK edition

Harriet Harman's idea of imposing a legal obligation on public bodies to narrow the gap between rich and poor has the potential to be a dangerously regressive measure.  With that in mind, we should welcome the suggestion in Andrew Grice's Independent article this morning that it doesn't have the backing of the Government: "The second 'class war' accusation came when the social mobility paper was published. This time it was more justified. Harriet Harman, the Equalities minister, wants a new law to put 'the persistent inequality of social class' on the same footing as discrimination on grounds of race, gender, sexuality or disability. Contrary to some reports, she did not win the Cabinet's backing on this one.

The Tories should heed Milburn’s warnings

From our UK edition

There's been a lot of garbage spoken about social mobility in the past few days - almost all of it from the government.  But if Tories need reminding that Alan Milburn - the new social mobility czar - gets it, then they should read his interview with Alice Thomson and Rachel Sylvester in today's Times.  Here's one particularly striking paragraph: "Labour's arch-moderniser is not, however, going to limit himself to considering the number of internships at law firms. In his view, the key to social mobility is education, and he has radical plans for reforming the entire schools system. He backs the Tory proposal to allow companies, charities and parent groups to set up their own schools, but he says: 'The Conservatives haven't gone nearly far enough.

The split over Heathrow

From our UK edition

The Standard's Paul Waugh flags up a new YouGov poll on attitudes to a third runway at Heathrow.  Do check out Paul's blog for some intriguing below-headline findings (i.e. it seems that men are much more in favour of the project than women), but here are the main numbers: Among Londoners For a third runway --- 35 percent Against --- 43 percent Don't know --- 22 percent Among West Londoners For --- 37 percent Against --- 50 percent Don't know --- 13 percent I guess time will tell whether this issue will be electorally important, but these numbers should at least give some London-based MPs food for thought.

All about timing and delivery

From our UK edition

Great timing by Dave with his environmental proposal today.  After the Heathrow announcement yesterday, talk of a greener national infrastructure by the Tory leader is sure to irk a few Labour MPs, and could set the political dividing lines in his party's favour.  What's more, the Tory policy idea - a £1 billion "investment" in what would apparently be a smarter, cleaner, more efficent National Grid - sounds like something that even the envirosceptics can sign up to; depending, of course, on where that £1 billion comes from. Marks also have to be given for delivery.  Today's announcement is set to be the UK's first online policy launch - and viewers will be able to fire questions at Cameron.

Digby Jones gives the civil service a kicking

From our UK edition

Sounds like Lord Digby Jones, the former trade minister, gave a fiery performance during his select committee appearance earlier.  This quote on his experience of the civil service is simply too good not to reprint:  "I was amazed by how many people frankly deserved the sack - and yet that was the one threat they never worked under, because it doesn't exist as long as they have not been criminal." And now Gordon Brown's waded into the fray, issuing this through his spokesman: "I think you will find that the civil service is full of honest, decent people who work hard." I guess that's ok then...

Bad news buried under the third runway

From our UK edition

Just to point out an important post by Sam Coates over at Red Box.  Turns out the House has chosen today, when the airwaves are dominated by the Heathrow announcement, to publish an audit of MPs' expenses (pdf here).  I'll leave you to check out the details in Sam's post, but it's now looking less likely that we'll see a full publication of expenses or, indeed, any proper restrictions introduced.  All in all, I wouldn't be too surprised if the Government's quite pleased that John McDonnell has been suspended from the Commons for protesting the Heathrow expansion.  There'll be even less room in the papers for these dispiriting cover-ups to be exposed.

Will Mandy’s latest scheme kickstart the car industry?

From our UK edition

What to make of Peter Mandelson's latest idea to prop up the car industry, as splashed by today's Times?  Basically, the plan is that the Bank of England will use taxpayers' cash to back the loans offered by finance companies to potential car buyers.  And the hope is that this will free up credit and stimulate demand for all those cars sitting unsold on garage forecourts across the nation.  There's much room for initial mischief from the Opposition - "Gordon Brown: buying someone else's car with your money," that kind of thing - but greater damage will come if the plan simply doesn't work.  And there's certainly potential for that.

It’s a matter of rhetoric for Miliband

From our UK edition

There's plenty of hoo-haa about David Miliband's "'War on Terror' was wrong" article in the Guardian today.  But, truth be told, it's probably less significant than it first appears.  You see, Miliband the Elder is talking rhetoric - he's simply saying that the phrase 'War on Terror' was the wrong one to use because of what it implies; because it panders to unnuanced "us and them" thinking; because it suggests that the only solution is a military one.  In a week that George Bush admitted some of his rhetoric "has been a mistake", that sounds fairly uncontroversial to me. Fact is, whatever name it's given, Western strategy is increasingly premised on recognising the nuances of the situation and the opportunities for non-military action.

Who’s for Ken?

From our UK edition

With the debate over whether Cameron should bring back Ken Clarke raging away in Westminster, we’ve put together this list of prominent commentators who have publically come out for or against the idea – along with links to their articles on the matter.   All for posterity’s sake, you see.

Lansley gives Ben Bradshaw’s Brownies the response they deserve

From our UK edition

Looks like Ed Balls isn't the only one who's trying out Brownies based on Tory spending commitments at the moment.  Health Minister Ben Bradshaw is doing his best to spread the idea that the Tories would cut health spending, despite Cameron's commitment to "protect" real terms increases in the health budget.  He tried to push the Brownie in a letter last month, which I publish at the bottom of this post.  First, though, Andrew Lansley's reponse - which was sent out today, and which is a textbook example of how to deal with the little manipulations that Brown & Co.

Reshuffle rumours ahoy!

From our UK edition

Plenty of Tory reshuffle speculation swirling around the Westminster washbowl today, but this from Ben Brogan is worth highlighting: "News just in: Cabinet ministers heading for PMQs seem to think that Iain Duncan Smith is about to be brought back to the Shadow Cabinet to take on James Purnell. Must be a spot of fun following the Hague thing. Cue jokes about "bald beasts" and Michael Howard returning to take on home affairs." If IDS were to return to the frontline, many would see it as a deserved reward for his excellent work with the Centre for Social Justice.