Peter Hoskin

Labour starts accepting the “headless chicken” charge

From our UK edition

A passage in Rachel Sylvester's column today quotes two Labour figures - one a Downing St adviser and the other a "normally loyal minister" - effectively accepting the "headless chicken" charge that the Tories aim at Brown & Co: “The long succession of announcements may have diminishing returns,” a Downing Street adviser admits. “We're burning up money, which can't go on, and the frenetic activity makes us look like headless chickens.” A normally loyal minister is even franker: “Gordon is behaving like the Leader of the Opposition rather than the Prime Minister. It's all tactics rather than strategy. He makes an announcement, gets the headline then moves on when what really matters is making sure it works.

The Tories’ waste-cutting message matures

From our UK edition

Good work from the Tories today, who are finally taking the fight to Labour over Government waste.  Out of fear of the "Tory cuts" attack, they've tended to shy away from highlighting just how much taxpayers' cash this Government flushes down the fiscal plughole.  But no longer.  The report released by George Osborne and Francis Maude today is a clear and unabashed attack on Brown's spending record - there's even a "Roll-call of waste" - and it contains some sensible sounding methods for controlling spending under a Tory administration, including greater accountability for wasteful civil servants.  Whether the proposals will translate to government remains to be seen, but the message is encouraging - and refreshing - enough.

Brown’s spending dilemma

From our UK edition

And so the wheels fall off.  As the Times discloses this morning, Alastair Darling's Big Idea to bring forward capital spending projects looks like it just ain't happening.  The thinking was that £billions of this spending could be funded via the Private Finance Initiative - which Brown's always liked, because of its "Buy Now, Pay Later" qualities, and because the costs can be swept under the fiscal carpet - but now the banks aren't willing to lend the necessary cash.  Other sources of funds have also dried up as the credit crunch bites, so now the Government's left with a stark choice - either cut back on the spending projects, which include work on schools and hospitals, or fund them with even more borrowing.

Has Obama determined our Budget date?

From our UK edition

This article in today's Guardian gives us a good idea of what to expect in the forthcoming Budget.  Basically, even if Brown 'n' Darling don't reveal the full horror of the situation, things are still going to look decidedly messy - more borrowing to fund a "second emergency package of tax and spending measures"; a lower growth forecast; and, surely, downgraded tax receipt forecasts. Aside from all that, one other detail from the article struck me: "Darling has spent the last few weeks thinking of possible new expansion plans for a budget tentatively scheduled either for early March or after the visit of Obama to the G20 meeting." Now, counting backwards, the last few Budgets have been delivered on 21 March, 22 March, 16 March, 17 March ... you get the picture.

Devising an early warning system that won’t be ignored

From our UK edition

Just taking a Sunday stroll through this week's magazines, and thought I'd flag up the Economist's special report on the future of finance.  Plenty of worthwhile stuff in there - but this passage on how, historically, early warning systems have been ignored jumped out at me: "Some would seek to limit the ebb and flow of confidence with early warnings, as if financial busts were a hurricane or an outbreak of plague. Gordon Brown, Britain’s prime minister, would like to see the IMF cast in that role. History suggests that such schemes do not work. People enjoy booms. Walter Bagehot, an editor of The Economist in the 19th century, observed that “all people are most credulous when they are most happy.” Whatever Mr Brown says now, politicians like booms too.

Cash for amendments threatens to sink Parliament’s reputation further

From our UK edition

One of last year's most memorable political quotes came courtesy of Frank Field, always one of the Good Men of Parliament.  In the aftermath of the Derek Conway affair, he lamented "...it is difficult to think how much lower our collective reputation might sink among voters generally."  It sounded true enough at the time. Under a year later, though, that reputation has sunk to lower depths.  In one way or another, the squabble over the publication of expenses, the Damian Green arrest, and fresh donations scandals have all undermined Parliament's standing - and rightly so.  And now there could be a new villainy to add to the list.  The Sunday Times alleges today that Labour peers are "prepared" to accept cash from "business clients" in exchange for amending laws.

Will Brown serve up some cold revenge?

From our UK edition

One of the great political losers of the past six months has been David Miliband.  Only last August, he was launching his attempt on the party leadership and Polly Toynbee was feting him as Labour's best chance for a bright future.  But shares in the Foreign Secretary started plummeting in the wake of those infamous banana and 'Heseltine' moments.  And, after his disastrous visit to India - during which he embarrassed himself and, by extension, the UK on the world stage - one wonders whether he's got any political capital left at all.

A coded message from Campbell?

From our UK edition

I wonder what Downing Street made of Alastair Campbell's plea to Spurs manager Harry Redknapp in the Thunderer column this morning: "Redknapp at least had the good grace to look embarrassed as he shook [Burnley manager, Owen] Coyle's hand, and the post-match phone-ins were flooded with Spurs fans saying that they didn't deserve to win. In which case all that remains to be done - a long shot, I know - is to appeal to their sense of fairness. If Harry truly wants to concentrate on avoiding relegation, if he really is a man of the people, surely he has to do the decent thing. Stand aside." Quite.

Will Brown ever come clean about the liabilities we face?

From our UK edition

Well done the Treasury Select Committee, who are today calling on Brown 'n' Darling to release quarterly accounts showing just how much the banking bailout is costing the taxpayer.  It's an absolutely crucial demand - not just for the sake of accountability and transparency, but also to reassure creditors and investors that the Government has anything like a clue of what's going on.  Failure to meet it could make credit rating agencies even warier of the UK economy - and, in turn, that could cause the situation to nosedive even further. Thing is, I doubt that will worry Brown; for whom short-term political gain generally trumps what's right for the economy.

The Pickles approach

From our UK edition

Over at ConservativeHome, Tim Montgomerie has an intriguing post on what Eric Pickles hopes to bring to the role of Tory party chairman.  Here's a snippet: "An aide to the new Party Chairman tells me that this visit communicates two of the big themes that Eric Pickles wants to characterise his tenure at CCHQ: graft (he promises to match the sacrifice of volunteers) and a focus on the LibDems.  With opinion polls pointing towards a perhaps decisive increase in the Tory lead some party strategists are recommending a significant shift of battleground resources into unseating Liberal Democrat MPs.  Eric Pickles is a big advocate of the lovebombing tactic.

Basket case Britain

From our UK edition

An article in today's New York Times captures the mounting fear and loathing with which the UK economy is regarded.  Here's how it begins: "LONDON — An island nation that bulked up on debt and lived beyond its means. A plunging currency. And a financial system edging toward nationalization. With the pound at a multidecade low and British banks requiring ever-larger injections of taxpayer cash, it is no wonder that observers have started to refer to London as 'Reykjavik-on-Thames.' While that judgment seems exaggerated, there are uncomfortable parallels between Iceland’s recent financial downfall and Britain’s trajectory.

A gentlemen’s agreement?

From our UK edition

Read Sam Coates's latest blog post and despair.  Turns out, certain Tory backbenchers had bashed out a "gentlemen's agreement" over expenses with the Government.  The idea was that they were going to vote with Brown to block the publication of MPs' expenses on a "receipt by receipt" basis.  But thanks to David Cameron whipping his MPs against the Government's proposals - and thanks also to Brown's panicked climbdown over the vote  - their plans have been scuppered.  Good. Sometimes it's just plain astonishing how quickly MPs will jettison their duty to the public, and their loyalty to the party, when the issue of expenses comes up.

PMQs live blog | 21 January 2009

From our UK edition

Welcome to Coffee House's live blog of PMQs today.  As always, things will kick off at 1200, so stay tuned from then. 1204: Here's the Dear Leader.  After condolences, he gives a welcome to President Obama: "The stress that President Obama places on action..." First question from Douglas Carswell, and it's an important one: "Why is the PM whipping his MPs when it comes to revealing details of MPs' expenses."  Brown claims that the Government wants to introduce more transparency - or trans-pair-ancy, as he puts it. 1207: Brown: Holocaust Memorial Day will be commemorated by a debate in the House next Thursday. 1208: Cameron's up now.  Echoes Brown's good wishes for Obama.  Then leads on today's grim economic stats.

The bounce gives way to despair

From our UK edition

Two striking passages from Alice Miles' article in the Times today, demonstrating the rising pessimism in Labour ranks: “Clarke's return kills ‘toffs' and it kills ‘novice',” said one adviser this week. “You look at that team now and you think, ‘yes'.” And that was an adviser to Mr Brown speaking. And,  “I don't know why anyone thought that people were going to be grateful for the fact that the economy is going down the spout,” conceded one Labour strategist this week. He added that he thought that if the polls got worse month after month and end in wipeout in the local and European elections on June 4, Mr Brown could yet face a leadership challenge.

Now’s the time for “new politics” again, Dave

From our UK edition

Remember how promising things sounded in the wake of the Derek Conway affair last year?  All the party leaders had basically the same message - This Can't Happen Again - but it was Cameron who refined it into something of a driving philosophy, with his talk of a "new politics" which stands against the political class.  Sadly, that talk faded as the year progressed, and it became more and more likely that we'd never see the full publication of MPs expenses. With the discovery today that Gordon Brown has - disgracefully - imposed a three line whip on Labour MPs to vote for a block on the full publication of expenses, it's time for the Tories to reheat that "new politics" message.

Alex Massie joins Spectator.co.uk

From our UK edition

I'm delighted to welcome Alex Massie to our team of regular bloggers on Spectator.co.uk.  Alex is a seasoned journalist who's gained a devoted following on the blog he set up back in April 2007 - The Debatable Land.  Now that blog's been ported over here, and you can follow it by heading to this address: http://spectator.com/alexmassie.  What will you come across?  Quite simply, some stunningly incisive writing - on everything from British and American politics to cricket.  Perhaps the best place to start is Alex's own introductory post here.  Do check it out.

Obama’s inauguration: live blog

From our UK edition

Welcome to Coffee House's live blog of Barack Obama's inauguration.  Obama's at Capitol Hill now, and the ceremony will start shortly.  Stay tuned, and keep refreshing the page for updates. PH: Plenty off security concerns surrounding events today.  In a bulletin yesterday evening, the FBI said they have reason to believe a Somalia-based Islamist group - called al-Shabaab - may be plotting something.  The Times has a good piece on the security measures that are in place:    JGF: 4.40PM Joe Biden, who I suspect will keep us all entertained these next four years, come out just before Obama. When the President-elect enters, the whole place goes crazy. PH: Expect a (dispiriting) tug of war between Labour and the Tories over Barack Obama's Inaugural Address.