Gavin Mortimer

Historians will look back on the tears of Christoph Heusgen as a defining moment of the early 21st century. When the German began blubbing as he wrapped up the Munich Security Conference last Sunday, he wasn’t just crying for himself but for all his generation who believed that the collapse of Communism had marked the ‘end of history’. The phrase was coined by the American political scientist, Francis Fukuyama, in his 1992 book of that name. He claimed that the end of the Cold War was the ‘end-point of mankind's ideological evolution and the universalisation of western liberal democracy as the final form of human government’. Fukuyama is a Baby Boomer, as is Christoph Heusgen. They were both born in the early 1950s.

The United States is no longer an 'ally' of Europe, according to a former high-ranking figure in Nato. In an interview with Times Radio, Stefanie Babst, erstwhile deputy assistant secretary general of the alliance, said President Trump has 'switched sides' and aligned the US with Russia, led by the ‘war criminal’ Vladimir Putin. 'I don’t think that the Trump administration is prepared to really commit any longer to Nato, to the trans-Atlantic alliance as such,' said Babst, 'and he couldn’t care really less for European security.' Babst’s remarks appear to contradict what she said in an interview exactly twelve months ago with a Washington think-tank.

On Wednesday evening, a man threw a fragmentation grenade into a café in Grenoble, leaving 15 people injured. The following day, an Afghan shouting ‘Allahu Akbar’ drove his car into a crowd in Munich and injured more than two dozen. The previous week in Brussels, two men strolled through a metro station firing bursts from Kalashnikovs – one of several shootings that day in the Belgian capital, which wounded three people. It is believed that Wednesday’s attack in Grenoble was the latest in the drugs war being fought across the country by rival cartels from North Africa. Last year, I described Grenoble as ‘one of the most dangerous places in France’, although there are other contenders.

If Europeans wanted evidence that it is judges and not politicians who run their countries this month has proved it. At the start of February, the Rome court of appeal ordered that 49 migrants who had been rescued at sea and transferred to Albania – under the terms of an agreement struck between the two countries – be returned to Italy. It is the third time in four months that a court has intervened to thwart Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s attempt to combat illegal immigration. According to the judges, sending migrants to Albania is a contravention of an EU court ruling that member states must assess the safety of a country to which it sends migrants. Albania is an official candidate for accession to the EU.

If a week is a long time in politics then eight years is an eternity. Just ask Donald Trump and Emmanuel Macron. Back in 2017 the two newly-elected presidents met for the first time in Brussels. They shook hands for the cameras, and kept shaking for several seconds, a game of machismo that tickled the commentariat. ‘That’s how you ensure you are respected,’ declared Macron. ‘You have to show you won’t make small concessions.’ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1DwijJfVbBg The French president believed he was the future. Little did he know he would be the last of the progressive poster boys. The Guardian reported in 2017 how in Brussels Macron ‘pointedly swerved past Trump to embrace German chancellor Angela Merkel’.

Spain has been receiving some lavish praise of late in the British press. ‘Booming Spain is on track to a new age of prosperity’ was the headline in the Times last week, a response to the news that its GDP is forecast to grow by 2.5 per cent this year. The Financial Times was similarly effusive about Spain’s economy in a piece last October, in which it quoted the country’s prime minister, Pedro Sánchez. ‘I can say that Spain is living an extraordinary moment. Our country is experiencing great success.’ The Times explained that Spain is growing at three times the rate of the Eurozone for three reasons: immigration, tourism and lower energy prices.

Britain can’t cope, that was the response of Nigel Farage to last week’s disclosure by the Office for National Statistics that the population will hit 72.5 million in 2032. The leader of Reform said that Britain has already reached saturation point at 67.6 million, adding: ‘Our quality of life for all of us is diminishing directly as a result of the population explosion.’ The French feel the same, and examples abound of the strain being placed on the country as a result of mass immigration. The Friday before last a class of schoolchildren in Paris were having a PE lesson when it came to an abrupt halt. City Council officials arrived and ordered the children to collect their belongings and vacate the sports hall because it was needed to house 200 migrants.

To the great surprise of very few the European Court of Human Rights this week rejected an appeal by Calin Georgescu to overturn last month’s annulment of Romania’s presidential election. The Eurosceptic Georgescu had won the first round of November’s election, but days before the second round Romania’s Constitutional Court cancelled the result because of alleged Russian interference on social media. In its decision, the ECHR said that Georgescu’s appeal fell outside its jurisdiction. That was the bad news for Georgescu. The good news was the publication of a poll this week that puts him firmly in front to win the election when it is re-run in May.

The PM's warm words will count for little. Starmer's pledge is reminiscent of the one made by Theresa May in June 2017 Keir Starmer has pledged to act in light of the revelations about Southport killer Axel Rudakubana. The 17-year-old murdered three young girls at a Taylor Swift-themed dance class last year, and it has since emerged that Rudakubana – who also pleaded guilty to owning an online version of an al-Qaeda training manual – had been flagged for his radicalism on three occasions between 2019 and 2021. As the Prime Minister explained: ‘On each of these occasions, a judgment was made that he did not meet the threshold for intervention, a judgment that was clearly wrong and which failed those families.

A poll published last week by the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) found that much of the world is relishing the return of Donald Trump to the White House. Eighty-four per cent of Indians think Trump will be good for their country as do 61 per cent of Saudis. In Russia, South Africa, China and Brazil, more citizens have faith in The Donald than don’t. It is in Europe where pessimism reigns. Only 15 per cent of Britons believe Trump will benefit them, a figure that rises to 22 per cent in the EU.