Uk politics

Neither the Tories nor Ukip deserve to win the Rochester by-election

Let's be honest, just for a moment. The Rochester and Strood by-election has been a disgrace. It has been a sewer race during which the two leading protagonists have done their best to demonstrate their lack of fitness for office. In this, if nothing else, they have been successful. I wouldn't expect anything better from Mark Reckless and Ukip. We know who they are; the type of people they are. So it's no great surprise that Reckless is happy to allow people to think Ukip's revolution will lead to the repatriation of immigrants. As usual, Ukip are living down to expectations. But so, alas, are the Conservatives. Their own candidate, Kelly Tolhurst, is just as repellent as Mr Reckless.

The immigration arms race

Who is tougher on immigration? Neither the Tories nor Labour want to be left behind by Ukip, and have descended into an arms race over who can best crack down on EU migration. Today Ed Miliband's party launched a two-pronged attack on the subject, with Yvette Cooper speaking in the morning about her plans to hire 1,000 additional border guards by imposing a charge on visitors from certain countries including the US, and Rachel Reeves announcing plans for a clampdown on EU migrants claiming out-of-work benefits. Amusingly, Reeves gave her policy to the MailOnline as an exclusive, just a few days after Ed Miliband spoke about dark forces out to get the Labour party.

The Hunting Act has been successful and popular. It should now be made even better.

It’s hard to believe a whole decade has passed since the Hunting Act was passed on 18 November 2004. This legislation, undeniably one of the most contentious seen in modern political times, outlawed the killing of foxes, hares, mink and deer by dogs, ending centuries of cruelty. Over that period of time we have seen governments and Prime Ministers come and go, and yet the same arguments and political tensions over the Act persist. Just this year the Government abandoned any plans to weaken the Act, since it was clear they didn’t have sufficient Parliamentary support to proceed. The recent debate gave an opportunity for the pro-repeal lobby to make their case about the Act’s supposed ineffectiveness.

MPs push George Osborne to give Autumn Statement wings

This year's Autumn Statement isn't going to be full of a great deal of Christmas cheer. But as it'll take place just over five months before the General Election, Tory MPs are still pushing for small giveaways from the government to tempt voters to back their party. One such campaign comes from Andrew Bridgen, who has a track record of getting what he wants from the government by hook or by crook. He was a key figure in the rebellion which halted British intervention in Syria last year, and this year persuaded ministers to look at decriminalising non-payment of the TV licence fee. Now he wants the Treasury to abolish air passenger duty for children under 12.

Myleene Klass attacks Ed Miliband’s ‘sexy’ mansion tax

Myleene Klass had a bit of a go at Ed Miliband last night when she appeared next to the Labour leader on The Agenda. She was very cross about what she described as a 'sexy tax that says let's take from the rich and give it to the poor', which is of course Labour's mansion tax. Apart from a rather awkward bit when she started pointing at a glass of water and said 'you can't just point at things and tax them!', Klass has a point about the 'sexy tax' (which would be a great Labour theme tune, adapted from Justin Timberlake's 'Sexy Back', in which the party could tell voters that they've 'got a sexy tax, them other parties don't know how to act' and then threaten to tax anyone who misbehaves and so on and so forth).

Home Office questions: It’s all Labour’s fault

A week after uproar in the Commons over the vote on the European Arrest Warrant that was or wasn't a vote, depending on what you fancied believing, Theresa May faced MPs at Home Office questions where she was rather quickly pulled up on that debacle. Shadow Home Office minister David Hanson asked why the House of Lords did get a vote on the European Arrest Warrant when MPs were denied the opportunity last week.

Anger at government incoherence on spending and debt

David Cameron had hoped that the UK's £650 million contribution to the Green Climate Fund wouldn't get much attention in the week that the Tories are going head-to-head with Ukip in Rochester and Strood. But there it is, in the newspapers today, with angry quotes. It is being billed as a threat to the Tory fight against Ukip, but some MPs think it has a wider resonance. One grumbles: 'Why is Cameron one minute promising in the Guardian to not let up in tackling our debt and then the next splashing £650 million on a UN green fund? He's like the guy who, when on a night out with people he is trying to impress, throws all reason out of the window and starts buying rounds of champagne!

David Cameron warns of ‘red warning lights’ in world economy

Over the past few months, ministers have been using increasingly upbeat language about the British economy. 'Britain is coming back', 'the economy is booming', and 'Britain, we did this together' are examples of just some of the things George Osborne and colleagues have been saying. So why is David Cameron writingin the Guardian about 'red warning lights' on the dashboard of the global economy? The first reason is that all that upbeat language has always been couched in warnings about the global economy. George Osborne's Conservative party conference speech this year contained a long passage about the problems in the world economy, so this is not a change in tune.

How should mainstream politicians talk about Ukip?

Mainstream politicians still aren't sure how to talk about Ukip. There's the question of whether the party's European election and by-election successes will power them to a good result at the 2015 election, or whether this protest movement will fade a little by the time voters start thinking about the sort of government they like. There's the question of whether Ukip is borrowing members of each mainstream party's 'core vote', or whether neither the Tories nor Labour should consider voters 'theirs' any more anyway. And then there's the question of how to talk about Ukip. Most senior politicians are agreed that you can't call people who vote for Ukip fruitcakes or closet racists. But the question still lingers of how to approach the Ukip leadership.

How the Rich Get Richer – my Channel 4 documentary

(Update: you can now watch the documentary online here) Inequality is rising up the political agenda right now, but the debate usually descends into clichés about wealth, bankers and tax. On Monday, I try to look at the subject more broadly in a Dispatches documentary for Channel 4 entitled How the Rich Get Richer (clip above). I write about it in the Sunday Telegraph today. Inequality UK, a documentary presented by Fraser Nelson from Fraser Nelson on Vimeo. First, the problem is not (as Ed Miliband would have you believe) rich people paying zero tax. For the documentary, I submitted a Freedom of Information request asking after the top 0.01 per cent of earners – ie, the top 3,000. They pay 4.2 percent of all income tax, more than the bottom £9 million.

Why Rochester won’t provide much relief for Labour

Thursday can’t come soon enough for shadow Cabinet loyalists. They believe that the Rochester by-election will provide Ed Miliband with some ‘breathing space’ and turn the spotlight on David Cameron’s troubles with his own side.   To be sure, losing another seat to Ukip will be bad for Cameron and the Tories. But based on conversations I’ve had in the past few days, I don’t think it will cause the crisis that many expected just a few weeks ago. Equally, Labour won't gain any positive momentum out of a by-election in which it comes third.   There are, I say in the Mail on Sunday, two reasons why the expected Cameron crisis won't materialise. The first is the difficult few weeks Ed Miliband has had and the narrowing in the polls.

Hammond tries to thread the needle on EU immigration

Philip Hammond’s interview in The Telegraph this morning is striking for several reasons. First, Hammond admits that Britain isn’t going to regain full control of its borders in the renegotiation. As he puts it, ‘“If your ambition is that we have total unfettered control of our own borders to do what we like, that isn’t compatible with membership of the European Union, it’s as simple as that. And people who advocate that know jolly well it is not compatible with membership of the European Union. So if that’s what you want, you’re essentially talking about leaving the European Union.”   But he does seem to think that agreement on something that delivers similar results to a quota system is possible.

The recklessness of CCHQ

The Conservatives have released a rather silly leaflet for the Rochester by-election contrasting Mark Reckless with their candidate Kelly Tolhurst. As if to highlight that it might be a silly leaflet, it features the phrase 'the straight choice', which some thought had gone out of fashion in 1983. Then it goes through Tolhurst's local credentials, followed by Reckless's Establishment background. You can see what they're trying to do here, which is to undermine Ukip's anti-Establishment pitch. That's why the Conservatives held a postal primary to select their new candidate once Reckless had defected.

Scotland’s Neverendum begins and there’s nothing Unionists can do to stop it

Oh look, it's a Neverendum. Who could have predicted that the SNP (and the wider Yes movement) would treat defeat in the independence referendum as just a temporary set-back? Well, some people did. Here's a thing from April: 55-45 will now be reckoned a decent result [for Unionists] but it’s not an outcome that will settle the matter. Not even for a generation. Of course, during the campaign itself the Nationalists had to pretend that a No vote would put the question of independence to bed for a generation. They were kidding and anyone who chose to believe assurances that the SNP had no desire for a Neverendum is guilty of egregious gullibility. Because without independence what is the SNP for? What else binds its disparate parts together? What else settles all other arguments?

Sir John Major, Cameron’s unofficial EU negotiator

John Major's speech in Berlin yesterday was aimed at a European audience, but his warning that Britain has a just under 50% chance of quitting the EU still gets plenty of pick-up in the British press this morning. The former Prime Minister hasn't always helped Downing Street out in his interventions over the past few years, but Number 10 did work with Major on this speech. His arguments are beautifully-written and striking because they come from a pro-European former leader. Major is not someone who European leaders will discount as a raving eurosceptic, and therefore his stark warning about the chances of Britain leaving should be taken seriously. He said: 'I put the chance of exit at just under 50%. But if the negotiations go badly that percentage will rise.

John Major: Nearly 50% chance of Britain leaving the EU

This is the text of a speech delivered by Sir John Major in Berlin. Thank you for your kind invitation.  I feel privileged to be here to talk about the future relationship of the UK and her European partners. Often, on these occasions, speakers deliver their messages delphically;  almost in code.  But this evening I wish my message to be clear.  I do not wish to be misunderstood or misinterpreted.  The issue at stake is too important. And the timing is ironic. Twenty-five years ago this week, the Berlin Wall came down.  German was reunited with German – and an arbitrary and brutal division of Europe was, at last, at an end. It was a great moment in European history – a triumph of freedom over repression.

Labour’s war on the media is working, as activists turn on hacks

Labour’s efforts to demonise the hostile anti-Ed media is working. At the Labour leader’s eighth ‘relaunch’ speech on Thursday at Senate House, every single question from journalists was greeted by boos, hisses and tuts. The Labour leader actually dealt with the smattering of questions about his latest leadership woes rather well, yet the crowd were having none of it. Party members even hissed the polite chap from the BBC, much to the acute embarrassment of Mr Miliband, who was forced to calm his crowd with a ‘come on now, it’s a fair question’. When another hack asked if Ed felt he had made any mistakes as leader, one passionate activist audibly spat out ‘yes, taking a question from you.

Ed Miliband turns down head-to-head debate with Nigel Farage

Earlier today, Ukip leader Nigel Farage sent what appeared to be a typewritten letter to Ed Miliband challenging him to a head-to-head debate. The Labour leader has now used a more modern form of communication to respond. And, funnily enough, it's a no: .@Nigel_Farage Bring it on. I look forward to a debate with you, @David_Cameron and @Nick_Clegg in the election campaign. — Ed Miliband (@Ed_Miliband) November 13, 2014 Actually what Miliband would dislike far more than an hour fighting Farage on television (which didn't work out all that well for Nick Clegg when he did it before the European elections), would be any televised debate involving the Green Party, who are currently excluded.

Coffee Shots: Miliband heads for the exit

One of the things that every political team needs is a Liz Sugg. Sugg works in Downing Street and makes sure that every trip the Prime Minister makes anywhere runs with military precision and doesn't involve him walking through a door with the word EXIT on it when he's delivering a make or break speech after serious questions about his leadership, for instance. Who does that for Miliband?