Labour party

Monday

Martin Bright

Old Comrades Drift Back to Labour

From our UK edition

I have had a number of shocked emails from old friends on the left following my previous post here, which many saw as an endorsement of the Liberal Democrats. In fact, I remain one of the great undecided. This weekend I witnessed some good comrades embracing the party of the workers. Nick Cohen devoted his column in the Observer to the thesis (adapting Chesterton) that "when people stop believing in Labour they don't believe in nothing – they believe in anything". Meanwhile, Norman Geras of normblog has published the five reasons he will be voting Labour. There is much soul-searching out there in liberal Britain. The Observer's brilliant but tortured endorsement of the Lib Dems came very close to being an argument for voting Labour.

Peter Hoskin

Nothing but negativity

From our UK edition

A telling passage from Nicholas Watt and Patrick Wintour's campaign report this morning: "Gordon Brown visited 10 London constituencies [yesterday] eventually leaving a pub in Kilburn by a side door after it was besieged by Tory and Lib Dem activists. He is now running a campaign almost exclusively warning of Tory cuts, and claiming that the party's first tax cut would be for Britain's richest millionaires. Brown also described the Tory manifesto as a 'horror show', flagging up their plans on inheritance tax, public services and the deficit, adding: 'I say the Conservative party is not fit for government if it has policies like that.

Sunday

Daniel Korski

Gordon Brown knows he is finished

From our UK edition

Gordon Brown knows he is finished. My prediction is that he will not use his constitutional right to hang on if the Tories are the largest party in a hung parliament. OK, the Labour leader might try to stay in No 10 – for a second, maybe a minute, perhaps even an academic quarter, trying desperately to persuade a triumphant Nick Clegg that a Lib-Lab coalition is vital for Britain, and that the Tories are evil and must be resisted. But he will soon give up, throw down the phone in anger, shout at Stewart Wood, ask his colleagues to leave him alone and sit in the office alone for a minute, acknowledging his Greek fate.

Peter Hoskin

The Brownites still think they can win the election

From our UK edition

So, back to the Labour leadership with Patrick Hennessy's snappy article on the subject for the Sunday Telegraph.  The main sweep of Hennessy's piece is that Brown is likely to step down quickly in the event of defeat; that Harriet Harman could well fill the caretaker leader role; and that certain Dark Forces are moving to install David Miliband as party leader proper.  The colour, though, lies in a couple of juicy snippets which are worth repeating here: "Last week, this newspaper has learnt, Lord Mandelson was overheard telling colleagues of his difficulties running the campaign when other figures – who could only be Miss Harman and her followers – kept insisting that every event must have a proper 'gender balance.

Saturday

Fraser Nelson

Why the Guardian should have backed the Tories

From our UK edition

The Guardian missed a trick today. It should have endorsed the Conservatives. As a regular reader of that great newspaper, I can diagnose the ailment: it is confusing intentions with outcomes. It wishes for a more progressive society, greater equality and the betterment of the most vulnerable. But it has not quite worked out that these aims cannot be achieved by a powerful government: and that state-directed attempts at promoting a "progressive" society actually make it less equal, more regressive and end up empowering a bureaucratic elite. The Guardian lets itself down here: it has focused on what is said – not what is done. In doing so, it does a disservice to its own progressive values.

Peter Hoskin

The curtain starts to fall on Gordon Brown

From our UK edition

There's a strange fin de siècle air about Labour this weekend: a new appreciation that the forthcoming election marks either the end of their reign, or – at best – is the start of a different, diluted kind of power.  There are still a few signs of life and struggle, sure.  I mean, Gordon Brown's interview with Jeremy Paxman last night was fairly proficient by his standards, if typically disingenuous.  But, even then, the PM is struggling to move the conversation on from Gillian Duffy.  In interview with the Telegraph today, he admits that he has "paid [a] heavy price" for his gaffe. That line forms the headline of the article. Even Tony Blair can't inject much joy into Labour's campaign.

Friday

Fraser Nelson

Darling socks it to Balls

From our UK edition

The election is six days away, Labour civil war is seven days away. And Alistair Darling has today delivered a rather nice put-down to Ed Balls for BBC Campaign Straight Talk. Here is his conversation earlier today with Andrew Neil: Andrew Neil: Has Mr Brown given you any indication that you’d stay as Chancellor if he wins? Alistair Darling: Yes he has, and I would. AN: You would? AD: Yes. AN: And you’d be happy to do so? AD: Very happy. AN: So Ed Balls should not be packing his bags to move into Number 11? AD: I don’t think Ed has got any intention of doing that. AN: Well he did it once, but he had to unpack them again. AD: There’s nothing wrong with having ambition. Wonderful.

Fraser Nelson

Yet another Brown disaster

From our UK edition

Word reaches me of another Brown live mic incident, breaking now. Our Dear Leader has just been at Blidworth Oaks Primary School in Mansfield, talking to eight year olds about NICE and drug rationing - boring the bejesus out of them. The teacher, sensing impending classroom unrest, tried to shut Brown up by thanking him for his contribution. Brown says: "Am I being thrown out?" Reply: "Um... Yes". And in more ways than one.

Peter Hoskin

The quiet rise of Alistair Darling

From our UK edition

A noteworthy set of observations from Iain Martin over at the Wall Street Journal: "The Labour family is starting to realise that if it is out of power it would need a caretaker leader in place quickly so that it can regroup, rethink and then work out which of the competing contenders has the best chance of beginning the work of reconstruction. In this context, I hear the name of Alistair Darling being mentioned increasingly as the interim option. It makes a lot of sense. The Chancellor has had a good crisis and he could steady the ship. He also has a great sense of humour - which will be crucial in the circumstances. Johnson is said not to really want it and Jack Straw is done for. Harriet Harman?

Alex Massie

The Darling Option

From our UK edition

Last October I suggested that if Labour wanted to find a caretaker leader they could do much worse than appoint Alistair Darling to the job. Granted, there were a couple of difficulties with this notion: Darling is Scottish and there is no party of Darling or interest that will swing behind him. Well he can't do much about the former, but the latter can be turned to his advantage (if he decides he wants the job) since, evidently, his elevation doesn't dash anyone else's hopes or interest. As I put it in October: Now, sure, Darling isn't a perfect candidate. But if such existed we wouldn't be having this discussion. But he has a certain calmness about him that might, just might, be what Labour need.

Peter Hoskin

Too little, too late | 30 April 2010

From our UK edition

My gosh, these latest Labour posters are open for all kinds of spoofery. But at least they're positive and colouful - unlike Gordon Brown's performance in the TV debate last night.  Which, really, highlights Labour's fundamental problem during this campaign.  The big set-piece events have been almost relentlessly negative, whilst they've left what passes for a positive prospectus to posters which will barely make it past the confines of the political blogosphere.  But, never mind - Tony Blair thinks that "Labour's got every chance of succeeding."  So all's well then.

David Blackburn

Labour’s campaign implodes

From our UK edition

Labour’s campaign has been dysfunctional. ‘Bigot-gate’, the concealed cuts, the absence of a spending review, open challenges to the leadership, infighting and a manifesto that read like the terms of surrender, it has been beset by gaffes and self-immolation. Last night, Gordon Brown personified the desperation at Labour’s core. He was negative – dour predictions accompanying an ashen expression. He defibrillated the old cuts versus investment line – a lurid grope for his core vote and one that is incredible in the current circumstances. We expected all of that; what we did not expect was that Brown no longer agrees with Nick.

Peter Hoskin

The Tories’ final push

From our UK edition

Fresh from David Cameron's victory in the final TV debate, the Tory campaign has taken another assured step this morning.  As Tim Montgomerie reports over at ConservativeHome, they're going to flood the doorsteps with the leaflet, 'A contract between the Conservative Party and you' (pdf here).  Inside, a list of clear policy commitments from "publishing every item of government spending over £25,000," to "reducing immigration" to the levels of the 1990s – meaning tens of thousands a year, instead of the hundreds of thousands a year under Labour."  And, on the back page, a refutation of some of Labour's most misleading claims about the Tories.  Clear, simple and direct.

James Forsyth

Tonight David Cameron turned in the performance he needed to. In the post-debate polls, Cameron has won three comfortably, one narrowly and tied the other

From our UK edition

For the first forty-five minutes it was rather like the first debate. Brown attacked Cameron, Cameron hit back and all the while Clegg soared above it. But then immigration, Clegg’s Achilles heel, was thrown into the mix. Cameron went hard for Clegg over his amnesty policy, and Clegg had no clear answer—initially backing away from the policy, before coming back to it. Throughout this exchange, Cameron had covering fire from Brown. Clegg appeared knocked back as he came under the most sustained attack of the campaign and didn’t get back into his groove until his closing statement. In the meantime, Cameron capitalised; delivering some of his strongest answers of the whole debate series.

Thursday

Fraser Nelson

Cameron shines, Clegg wobbles and Brown sinks

From our UK edition

Well, Cameron saved the best till last. His aides are even joking that they could do with a fourth debate because their man is really getting in the swing of it. He looked more confident, assured – and spoke convincingly about immigration at last, a subject he fluffed last time. I’d place Clegg second. Brown was worse than awful: third in this debate, and will probably be third next week’s election too. Clegg was his usual telegenic self – in thespian terms, an accomplished performance. But he ran away from his own asylum policy, and was comically inept with the facts. He screamed at Cameron: “Will you admit that 80 percent of immigrants come from the EU?” Cameron did not: because the real figure is a third.

Peter Hoskin

Sunshine wins the day for Cameron

From our UK edition

So that's the second time that immigration has had a major impact upon proceedings this week.  Until we came to the question on that topic, I thought Clegg was bossing the TV debate.  He was clear, personable and managed to hover elegantly above Brown and Cameron's dusty brawl over spending cuts.  But as soon as it came to clarifying Lib Dem policy on an amnesty for illegal immigrants, the wings rapidly fell off the yellow bird of liberty.  All of a sudden, Clegg sounded rattled and unpersuasive.  From then on in, it was Cameron's game. It helped that Cameron had the clearest – and, I suspect, the most popular – line on immigration: "We would cut immigration from the hundreds of thousands to the tens of thousands.

Martin Bright

An Important Election Intervention from the Left-Wing Intelligentsia

From our UK edition

The letter in support of the Lib Dems in today's Guardian was a brave intervention from Richard Reeves, John Kampfner and a group of prominent figures from left-liberal Britain. It is all too easy to dismiss such interventions as the actions of the usual suspects addicted to writing to the papers to remind themselves of their own sense of importance. But this marks a real shift of the intellectual centre of gravity on the left. The letter ends: "The question is where the energy for the future of progressive politics is to be found. It is a contemporary political fact that the stronger the performance of the Liberal Democrats on 6 May the better the chances of progressive reform. The Liberal Democrats are today's change-makers.

Peter Hoskin

The final TV debate – live blog

From our UK edition

2227, JGF: Rumour going around the press room that a certain A Campbell has been overheard saying 'I think we've had it' 2201, PH: And that's it. I'll be putting up my verdict in a separate post shortly. Thanks for tuning in. 2200, PH: Woah. Brown starts positive - thanking everyone involved in the debates.  But he's soon into hardcore negativity: attaking the Tories for their inheritance tax plans and pointing out what areas of spending they will cut.  It's all scaremongering about child tax credits, cancer guarantees and the like.  This, lest you need reminding, is his pitch for the country. 2128, PH: Clegg hones in on the "old parties," claiming that they will stand in the way of "real change".  He says that he will "fight for fairness".

Peter Hoskin

A tale of two images

From our UK edition

Labour's, erm, "poster" ahead of the TV debate tonight: And Coffee House's take on what Number 10 might look like on May 7th (with thanks to the great Carla Millar for putting the photo-montage together):.