Conservative party

A question of commitment

Punchy stuff from Michael Fallon in today’s Telegraph.  The Tory deputy chairman of the Treasury Select Committee sets out five ways for his party to “get real” over public spending cuts.  Over at ConservativeHome, Tim Montgomerie dwells on perhaps the most striking of those five: a recommendation that the Tories should think again about national pay bargaining in the public sector.  But, for those interested in interal Tory politics, Fallon’s first point also stands out: “No, if we really want to cut public spending, there are five things we need to do. The first is to convince the shadow cabinet. There’s little evidence that it has the faintest idea of

Lansley refines his approach on NHS spending

Sit down, take a deep breath and steady yourself: we’ve had a change of approach from the Tories on NHS spending.  No, they’re not promising cuts.  But they are promising, for the first time, a much slower rate of real-terms spending increases.  Andrew Lansley has said that he can only guarantee “small increases” in the health budget, adding a simple point that we haven’t heard too many times from his corner: “We have trebled the amount taxpayers spend on the NHS but we have not seen a real return … We are determined to turn this situation around. The NHS, just like any other organisation in this recession, needs to

How the Tories will repeal the hunting ban

The Guardian has a story today about how field sports enthusiasts are donating heavily to Nick Herbert, the shadow DEFRA secretary. The paper links the donations to the fact that the Tories are committed to holding a vote on the repeal of the hunting ban. As the Norwich North by-election showed, Labour will have a go at turning this into an election issue—hoping that it will aid their attempt to paint Cameron and Osborne as people most interested in looking after their wealthy friends. Norwich North suggests this attack won’t have that much cut through. But once elected, the politics of repealing the hunting act will be tricky. It would

Playing the war game

Over at ConservativeHome, Tim Montgomerie has written about a ‘war game’ that Portland PR held yesterday. The idea was to explore the various challenges that would face the next government. Portland had gathered together an impressive group including key Tory advisors, a senior figure from the Blair government, a former US government official, a senior military bod and a fair few hacks including yours truly. The thing that struck me once the exercise was done was just how buffeted by events the Cameron government is going to be. It will inherit a global situation that is as bad as the economic situation, if not worse, and a slew of other

Mission accomplished for Cameron’s cost-cutting speech

So what has David Cameron achieved with his speech on “cutting the cost of politics” yesterday?  Quite a lot, judging by this morning’s papers.  The coverage it receives ranges from wholehearted scepticism in the Guardian to front-page celebration in the Daily Mail, but – more importantly, from a Tory perspective – it steals the thunder from Alistair Darling’s public spending speech.  The Chancellor’s innuendo about “nasty Tory cuts” is much less resonant when juxtaposed against the Tory leader calling for cuts in MPs’ perks, whether those cuts are regarded as populist or not. What’s more, Cameron has drawn quotes from Labour and the Lib Dems that may look a little

One giant leap for David Cameron?

It’s a busy day here at Spectator Towers, so we’ll have more on Cameron’s speech on “cutting the cost of politics” later.  For now, here’s Sky’s edited footage, and you can find a great summary over at ConservativeHome.

Sir George Young to replace Alan Duncan

After Alan Duncan’s demotion, it’s emerged that Sir George Young is to fill the position of shadow leader of the Commons.  It’s a canny move by David Cameron: Young is the chairman of the Commons’ Standards and Privileges Committee, and was a popular choice among Tories to replace Michael Martin as Speaker.  As Paul Waugh says, Young did get the Telegraph Treatment, but you imagine he’ll be seen as a much cleaner pair of hands than Duncan, especially in the wake of the infamous “rations” video.  Now, how long before someone points out that Young is another Old Etonian…

Alan Duncan demoted from shadow cabinet

So was the “rations” video a gaffe too far?  The news has just come in that Alan Duncan has been demoted from the shadow cabinet, going from shadow leader of the Commons to shadow prisons minister.  Having spoken to various Tory sources, I understand that the decision was made in an “amicable” meeting between Duncan and Cameron – where the former acknowledged he has become a “lightning conductor” for public anger over expenses – and that, apparently, Duncan is “relaxed and relieved” to be working under Dominic Grieve. Some people might be surprised at the timing: many expected Cameron to hold off until next year, so as not to rile

New Com Res poll has the Tories 16 points ahead

Andrew Grice has just blogged about a new poll in the Indy tomorrow which has the Tories 16 points ahead. The poll also shows that the majority of the population favour scrapping Trident. However, the public wants real term increases in health and education spending every year.

Are the Tories actually doing ok in the North?

Over at the indispensable UK Polling Report, Anthony Wells runs the rule over the latest Telegraph/YouGov poll: “The Telegraph today has looked at their Yougov poll and decided it shows the Conservatives doing badly in the North. For what it’s worth, it doesn’t even do that – it shows the Conservatives 2 points behind in the North, an aggregate of government regions in which they trailed the Labour party by 19 points in 2005 – so it actually shows a swing to the Conservatives of 8.5 points in the North, marginally better than this poll suggests they are doing in the country as a whole. That, however, is beside the

Labour may outflank the Tories on health and overseas aid spending – but will struggle to do so on reform

If you want some insights into where Labour are going next, then do read this story in today’s Guardian.  The main points are that Brown and Darling have agreed not to spare the health and international development budgets from cuts; that Labour’s public spending cuts will be set out over the next couple of months, beginning with a couple of speeches this week; and that Labour wants to frame its cuts as a return to the public service reform agenda.  As one “cabinet source” tells the paper: “The new economic context is a challenge for us, but New Labour in its original form never saw spending more money as the

Buckingham Conservative Association Executive Committee stands behind Bercow

Tim Montgomerie reports that a senior source at CCHQ has said that John Bercow will not stand as an official Conservative candidate at the general election, and therefore party members will not be required to vote for him.   So, will they be for or against Bercow? Councillor Netta Glover, the Buckingham Association’s deputy chairman and political officer, told me that the executive committee were “standing firm behind Mr Bercow”, and that Tory party rules stated that “anyone seeking an official nomination against the speaker would be barred by the returning officer” – so de-selection can be discounted. However, and this has induced a joint migraine for Central Office and

Obama and Cameron: who thought what about whom?<br />

Remember that New Statesman article about Obama calling Cameron a “lightweight”?  Well, the Journalist Closest to Obama, Richard Wolffe, has a different take.  Here’s what he told the Today programme this morning, courtesy of the ever-alert Andrew Sparrow: “He had a strong impression, a strong reaction, to both Cameron and Brown. It was right at the end of his foreign trip. And he was really taken with Cameron. He and his aides thought that he had energy and verve, a dynamism that suggested he was a good candidate – remember this was a candidate at the time, not a president. And there was bonding that took place which you might

If Britain hasn’t returned to growth by the end of the year, will it still be ‘no time for a novice’?

Looking at the OECD’s latest economic forecast it seems that the UK—unlike the US and the Euro-Zone–will not return to growth by the end of this year. (Although, one can’t help but wonder if Brown will start heralding zero percent growth in the fourth growth). Indeed, the OECD projects that the UK economy will shrink by 4.7 percent over this year as a whole—although the worst appears to be behind us with the rate of shrinkage slowing since the last quarter of 2008 and the first quarter of this year.   As Kevin Maguire suggests today, Labour’s election strategy is likely to be that Britain is not out of the

Can Cameron learn from Wilson?

Few Tories will enjoy looking back on 1974, but they may find it useful to study the second Wilson government and its successor, the Callaghan government, when it comes to the question of Europe.  Back then, we had a government coming to power in the midst of a severe economic climate, and which sought to change the pro-European course that its predecessor had set, including by re-negotiating Britain’s relationship with the EU and by appealing to fraternal parties in France and Britain. However, it ultimately ran into blades of domestic discontent and international indifference. The question is: could this end up being the story of a Conservative government from the

The Sky debate could be a lifeline for Brown

As the Megrahi case grows more serious by the day, one thing should be cheering up those in the Brown bunker: Sky’s plan to host a debate among the party leaders. Now, Brown might be the only party leader yet to have agreed to the debate but he is the one with the most to gain from it. If Brown is to have any hope of stopping David Cameron from winning the next election outright, he needs a game changing moment—and a debate might just produce one. The first televised leaders’ debate will be a hugely hyped event. One has to imagine that it would draw a huge TV audience

Cameron should be wary of taking the moral high ground in opposition

I’ve just re-read Cameron’s article in the Times and it contains one section that might come back to haunt him, should he become Prime Minister. He writes: ‘Many will be disgusted by the suggestion that ministers in Whitehall encouraged al-Megrahi’s release — and did so for commercial reasons. Diplomacy often involves hard-nosed backroom deals. It would be naive to think otherwise. But there need to be lines you are not prepared to cross; values you will not compromise, whatever deal you broker. I believe even to hint that a convicted terrorist could be used as makeweight for trade is a betrayal of everything that Britain stands for.’  I agree with

Cameron is the winner of the al-Megrahi scandal 

It is clear that the al-Megrahi release has damaged Labour, not least because their collective refusal to condemn, or at least have an opinion on, the release of the Lockerbie bomber has confirmed that the government is totally out of touch with public opinion. On the other hand, David Cameron has played a blinder. In stark contrast to the Prime Minister’s Trappist monk act, Cameron has led this issue, voicing considered condemnations of Kenny MacAskill’s decision, the government’s reticence and the its supposedly ethical foreign policy. Cameron writes a piece in today’s Times branding the entire affair a ‘fiasco’ and a ‘failure of judgement by the Scottish government…the British government…and

Political viewing

If you feel like wearing a political anorak on this sunny bank holiday Monday, then here’s a video history of the Conservative Party which the Tories have updated for the launch of the new ‘History’ section on their website. Alastair Cooke introduces the whole project on the Blue Blog, here. Hat-tip: ConservativeHome

Lisbon treaty moves closer, but Tories stay mum

Sometimes if you fear something intensely or hate something very strongly, it can cloud your otherwise excellent judgement and analytical foresight. That seems to be happening to many euro-sceptics when they talk or think about the Lisbon Treaty and the forthcoming second Irish referendum. They do not like the treaty and so will find it almost unthinkable that the Irish will vote yes. But a ‘yes’ vote looks like the most likely scenario.  That will mean that the British Conservatives have to be less mealy-mouthed about their post-referendum strategy; if the treaty is ratified will they try to re-open the document if they win power or let sleeping dogs lie?