James Forsyth

James Forsyth

James Forsyth is former political editor of The Spectator.

42% of people don’t feel it is safe to go out at night

This YouGov poll in the Daily Mirror makes for depressing reading. 42% of people don’t believe that it is safe to go out at night, while 11% don’t ever feel secure in their neighbourhood. 50% say they are less safe than when Labour came to power. The poll also shows that 89% of the public think that parents should be held responsible for the behaviour of their children. 62% say that poor parenting is most responsible for loutish behaviour and, despite all the attention given to the issue, only 5% argue that the biggest problem is the availability of alcohol.

The curious case of the spy who fell to his death

When a man falls to his death from a balcony, some cynics wonder: was he pushed? When that man happens to be the most infamous spy in the history of the modern Middle East, it’s the first question on everyone’s lips. On 27 June the body of Ashraf Marwan was found on the pavement below his flat in Carlton House Terrace, one of London’s most expensive streets, which overlooks the Mall and St James’s Park. Marwan was an astonishingly well-connected Egyptian, the son-in-law of the late Gamal Abdel Nasser, the Egyptian president and hero of pan-Arabism, and the consigliere of Nasser’s successor, Anwar Sadat.

Stand up for Channel 4 and press freedom

Channel 4 is not everyone’s favourite TV station, but the way it is being treated by the West Midlands Police and the CPS is disgraceful and represents an existential threat to freedom of expression in this country. Just to recap, last week West Midlands Police and the CPS issued an extraordinary joint statement criticising the editing of Channel 4’s Undercover Mosque documentary and stating that they had investigated Channel 4 for stirring up racial hatred grounds but concluded there was insufficient evidence to prosecute. The CPS charged that the programme had “completely distorted what the speakers were saying” while West Midlands Police went even further, referring the programme to Ofcom.

Heathrow’s 3rd runway won’t tip the earth into the balance

Alice Miles argues in her Times column on the climate change protests at Heathrow  that, "Pretty much anyone without shares in BAA would not wish another runway on that particular part of England (if, indeed, upon any of it)." I really don’t think this is true, even if some people won’t admit to wanting another runway in green company. I’d wager that the vast majority of those who have been delayed taking off or landing at that airport would welcome something that would cut down on these delays. While everyone I know who flies out of there regualrly is positively clamouring for it.

Part of the problem, not part of the solution

The BBC website is currently running a piece fretting that we all get too many emails. The story opens with the line: "Today's e-mail glut is a constant worry for many office workers, with a third saying they get stressed by the volume of messages, according to a report.”But guess which story is currently the most emailed on BBC News?

The cause of the sub-prime crisis

If you want to know what to make of the current panic in the financial markets and the role of sub-prime mortgages in creating it, do read Sebastian Mallaby in the Washington Post this morning. As Mallaby argues, the problem isn’t sub-prime mortgages per se—which have played a huge part in raising the US home-ownership rate—but the failure to sufficiently appreciate the risks of this kind of investment. Mallbay’s assessment of how the current storm will blow itself out is also wroth paying heed to. Mallaby writes: “There's more pain to come in this shakeout. Now that financial markets are panicking, bystanders who never touched a subprime mortgage may get trampled.

Extreme in any context

Charles Moore has a must-read in the Telegraph today about the Dispatches programme “Undercover Mosque” that the CPS and the West Midlands police have criticised. They claim that the programme apparently took the quotes of various Islamic preachers out of context. But, as Moore points out, no one is claiming that the quotes were made up. While adding ‘context’ to observation such as that the Taliban who killed a British Muslim solider in Afghanistan was a hero, doesn’t make them any less disturbing.

Ignoring our debt to the Iraqi interpreters

I would have thought that the idea of granting asylum to those Iraqis who have served as interpreters for British troops would be fairly uncontroversial. But Neil Clark has issued a ferocious broadside against it today on Comment is Free, saying "let's do all we can to keep self-centred mercenaries who betrayed their fellow countrymen and women for financial gain out of Britain.” What’s particularly striking, or one might say sickening, about Clark’s arguments is that he is under no illusions about what will happen to these people once the British leave.

Hold The Jaws Remake

It is safe to go back in the water in Cornwall. It turns out that the the great white shark that was supposedly seen off Newquay was actually photographed in South Africa by a Cornish nightclub bouncer who sent the photos into the papers claiming he had snapped them off the Cornish coast as a bit of a laugh.

What’s wrong with the right

Over at Conservative Home, Peter Franklin has written a hard-hitting piece setting out some ‘home truths for the right.’ He accuses various bits of it of being self-indulgent, hypocritical and living in the past amongst other things. I wouldn’t agree with everything he says, but it is well worth a read.

Miles off

‘Food miles’ is one of the new eco buzz phrases and makes people think that buying local food is inherently better for the environment. But an op-ed in the New York Times today flags up some new research that shows this is not the case when you consider all the energy used in producing the food not just the amount of CO2 emitted while transporting it. Here’s the key point about what the researchers discovered: “they found that lamb raised on New Zealand’s clover-choked pastures and shipped 11,000 miles by boat to Britain produced 1,520 pounds of carbon dioxide emissions per ton while British lamb produced 6,280 pounds of carbon dioxide per ton, in part because poorer British pastures force farmers to use feed.

Forcing the issue

It is good news that the government has finally got round to making certain that forced marriages are illegal. (How on earth it took this long baffles me. It is hard to imagine a more clear cut case of denying someone their rights than forcing them to marry someone against their will). But as Sunny Hundal points out over at Comment is Free, the bill actually does far less than it should—social services can still turn a blind eye while victims can not sue for compensation.  How supposedly good feminists like Harriet Harman are content to sit by while the government is so weak on these issues never ceases to amaze me.

The back story to the Cameron-Miraj showdown

Martin Bright has some great detail on the lead up to the Cameron, Miraj row. Here’s the key passage: “I understand that at a meeting this year Cameron himself urged Miraj to accept to fight another marginal as local Tories were becoming increasingly hostile to the imposition of non-white candidates. Sayeeda Warsi, now shadow minister for community cohesion, also found it nigh-on impossible to find a seat. In Warsi's case, Cameron nominated her for a place in the Lords, which may explain the discussion between Cameron and Miraj about peerages.

Bush’s banter

Nick Robinson has a funny little blog post up on the ongoing needle between him and President Bush. Back in December 2006, Robinson asked Bush if he was in denial on Iraq. Bush bristled at the question, he doesn’t much like Fleet Street’s finest who he reportedly views as a bunch of smart alecs and Robinson with his quick-fire question seemed to embody that. So yesterday when the BBC man popped up to ask his question, Bush grunted “you still hanging around.” But it was at the end of the press conference when Bush got his real dig in. As Robinson writes, the president looked at me, sweating in the swampy conditions, and said, "next time you should cover your bald head". I made the fatal error of answering a quip with a quip: "I didn't know you cared".

Searching for an identity

This week’s Newsweek has a piece on what it calls “Britain’s post-Blair identity crisis.” Most of the article is about Gordon Brown’s current obsession with Britishness but this fact in it stood out: “every second child in London is now born to an immigrant mother.” This isn’t a problem if these children are being brought up in a way that leaves them feeling part of society rather than in opposition to it. (On that front, it is not encouraging that “only 26 percent of the 1.3 million British residents of Pakistani and Bangladeshi descent are fluent” in English). But it does show how imperative it is that we articulate a sense of identity that the population as a whole can appreciate.

As Brown heads to America, Cameron hits out at Iraq policy

With Gordon Brown en route to Camp David, David Cameron has chosen to deliver his sharpest criticism of Iraq to date; telling the Sunday Times that we must “Learn the lessons of Iraq. Liberal democracy can’t be dropped from a distance of 45,000ft. Order and stability must come first. A bit of scepticism is needed in the mix. Tony Blair’s foreign policy was liberal interventionism, without a reality check.” Cameron’s comments will actually help Brown in his relationship with the Bush administration as they reinforce the point that there is no pro-American alternative waiting in the wings.

How bad is it for the Tories?

There is some very astute commentary in the papers this morning about the situation that the Tory party finds itself in. Do read Charles Moore in the Telegraph on how Cameron needs to be ready for when the story changes, Peter Oborne in the Mail on the consequences if Cameron fails and Matthew Parris on why the Tories would be suicidal to destabilise the leadership now.  All three pieces give you a sense of how high the stakes are.

The clunking fist connects

To date, Cameron has got the better of Brown at PMQs but the clunking fist had some good lines today. I’d bet that this one--"The wheels are coming off the Tory bicycle; it's just as well he's got a car following him!"—will be on the news tonight. As Tony might say, clunk!

Lost in Translation

This morning, I linked to Open Europe’s translation of the EU Constitution. Now the former Europe Minister Denis MacShane is claiming that Open Europe has mistranslated it to “whip up Euroscpetic fears.” He’s even offering to check their translations in future in exchange for a reasonable fee. Now MacShane, who is rightly proud of his ability to converse in many languages, might be right about the odd phrase or two but it is worth pointing out that Open Europe only had to do their own translation because the document was only released in French and as the government has no plans to produce an English version of the text before Parliament rose for the summer.

New EU treaty is 96% the same as the constitution

The invaluable think-tank Open Europe has translated the text of the European treaty formerly known as the constitution into English; something the government has so far failed to do.  Their work shows that 96 percent of the text is as it was in the constitution.  In some ways this doesn’t come as a surprise, Bertie Ahern said that it was 90 percent the same, but it does illustrate how disingenuous the government is in trying to deny people the referendum they were promised in the Labour manifesto. But Brown clearly believes that the Tories will be too nervous about ‘banging on about Europe’ to go after him on  this.