Fraser Nelson

Sajid Javid's promotion to Culture Secretary will not surprise his many fans. And it underlines an advantage that the Conservative party has over Labour right now - the talent in its back benchers. The Tories, quite simply, have far more MPs who could be Prime Minister - thanks to the hugely successful recruitment process that David Cameron ran after becoming leader . One of them is Sajid Javid, who is interviewed by the Mail on Sunday today – this was done (as ever) months earlier by James Forsyth in the Spectator (his interview here). They're both worth reading, as I suspect Javid is one of these guys we'll be hearing a lot more from in coming years.

Two of the writers I most admire have fallen out over the Clegg vs Farage debate. James Kirkup calls it for the Lib Dem leader (his reasons here) and Peter Oborne for Farage – but I’m in the happy position of being able to disagree with both of them. I think they both lost, and I explain why in my Daily Telegraph column today. Clegg has decided to ride the Ukip wave, positioning himself as the patron saint of Europhiles who loathe the sight of Nigel Farage. He will be calculating that there are more of them than LibDem supporters. But I regarded their debate on Wednesday as rather sterile, laden with clichés and extremist positions. I don’t think that the EU is an evil empire with 'blood on its hands' as Farage bizarrely claimed.

I'm not sure how many winnable Tory seats still need a candidate, but the Prime Minister has invited the Mayor of London to get in the ring. Here's what he said in an interview with James Corden, who was guest editing The Sun for Sport Relief: Corden: If you are in a room together, like even if you are at the Olympic stadium and he [Boris] is sat the other side of the stadium… Cameron: …he still makes me laugh… Corden: …and you are sat the other side can you feel his eyes piercing at you going… Ghaaaaaaar – I want your job!?! Cameron: That is brilliant. No. It wouldn’t be a great job to have if people didn’t want it. There is nothing ignoble about wanting my job. But I thought he did brilliantly over the Olympics.

Today’s announcement of childcare subsidy, up to the value of £2,000 per kid under the age of 12, is welcome news. As The Spectator argued last week, this is perhaps the smartest single move the Chancellor can make – too many highly-skilled women want to work, but cant afford to as they’d face Europe’s highest childcare fees. And then the Treasury has to spoil it all by lying about the policy. The government website has this to say: The first thing parents need to know is that the scheme is not ‘tax-free childcare’ at all. So how on earth does the Treasury justify claiming otherwise?

Today's Sunday Times has news which would be laughable, if it were not to plausible. That George Osborne intends to pour some more petrol on the property market fire next week by extending his discredited Help To Buy equity loan scheme - in effect, a flagrant example of politicians using taxpayers' money in an attempt to buy votes. It's a sign that Osborne intends to use help-to-buy as an election weapon, and as loaned money doesn't show up on the deficit figures he's quite relaxed. Here's the start of the Sunday Times story:- The Help to Buy scheme, designed to help people get on to the housing ladder, is likely to be extended in this week’s budget.

Ed Balls has announced today that he’d scrap even the tiny tax break that George Osborne is planning to offer next year, thus drawing another dividing line with the Tories. Cameron’s proposed tax relief is not about promoting marriage, or favouring any lifestyle over another. He wants to make the government more marriage-neutral. That means eroding the bias against marriage, which is one of the most pernicious poverty traps in the British today. When I was writing for the News of the World, I was contacted by a reader who said that he loved his family, but had concluded they’d be (financially) a lot better off without him. He sent the calculations, and they were all correct.

For those who missed Dominic Cummings, recently departed Michael Gove adviser, on BBC Radio 4's World At One, here's the extraordinary transcript which confirms what Coffee Housers will have feared. He didn't give an interview, but responded to the BBC's questions (below) about Nick Clegg's plan to give free school meals to all school pupils - even the offspring of millionaires. And to me, this sums up why coalitions are a bad idea. The junior partner gets desperate for a jazzy-sounding idea to call their own, so ambush their senior partner. An announcement is made, for reasons of spin and nothing else. No policy work is done. The expectations of millions of parents are raised, schools without kitchens are plunged into chaos, and unaffordable promises made.

Normally, we wouldn’t blog about a journalist moving jobs — but Tim Montgomerie is an exception. He is an actor in, not just an observer of, Britain's political drama which is why it's significant that he has decided to step down as opinion editor of The Times, to do other things (as yet undefined). Normally, ‘do other things’ is a euphemism – but in Tim’s case, it fits a pattern. He is a serial political entrepreneur, an ex-Iain Duncan Smith staffer who set up ConservativeHome website, and the Centre for Social Justice think tank and can be found behind various other projects (PoliticsHome, 18 Doughty Street TV, and others).

Another day, another hole blown in Alex Salmond's case for breaking up Britain. The IFS has today published its estimates (based on the OBR's) for Scottish oil and gas revenues, and they're less than half those of the SNP administration in Edinburgh. Salmond forecast oil and gas revenues of between £6.8 billion and £7.9 billion in 2016-17. The IFS puts it at £3.3 billion. Salmond's best-case scenario for 2017-18 has Scotland with a deficit of 1.0 per cent of GDP; the IFS's figures suggest that'll be closer to 3.6 per cent of GDP. A country like Britain can ride out such fluctuations, but Salmond may find he's swapping rule from London by rule by OPEC.