Uk politics

Saturday

Peter Hoskin

Ed Miliband needs David Miliband if he’s to make proper headway

Are the seeping knife wounds healing at last? This morning's Guardian reveals that Ed Miliband has offered his older brother a role as Labour's "unofficial ambassador on university and college campuses", and that David Miliband has accepted. Although party sources tell the paper that "this should not be seen as a sign that [MiliD] is being lined up for an early shadow cabinet return," it surely is a sign that the two brothers are repairing their damaged relationship. From barely speaking to each other to mutually preaching the Labour gospel to a bunch of students. It's progress.   Putting aside the fraternal aspects of the story, it is also an encouraging political development for Ed Miliband.

Friday

Peter Hoskin

‘Fessing up to drug use, the Mensch way

Just the thing to liven up a slow news day: a response from the Tory backbencher Louise Mensch to a series of insinuating points put to her by "David Jones Investigative Journalists". The points were all about her time working at the record company EMI in the 90s; about her drug use, night-clubbing habits, that sort of thing. And she has answered them in marvellously unapologetic fashion. You can — and should — read the whole exchange here, although Mensch's response to the question of whether she "took drugs with Nigel Kennedy at Ronnie Scott's in Birmingham, including dancing on a dance floor, whilst drunk, with Mr Kennedy, in front of journalists," is worth pulling out: "Although I do not remember the specific incident, this sounds highly probable.

Jonathan Jones

Coffee House, distracting civil servants since 2007

A cracking, little story that we arrived at via the Daily Mail website: thanks to an FoI request put in by the Taxpayers' Alliance, the Department for Transport has revealed which websites its staff visited on work computers between January 1st and May 31st this year. The full list is here, and there are some eye-catching entries to say the least. Take the role-play site bearsfaction.org.uk, where you are advised to "conduct yourself as a Bear would" — that got 183 hits per day. Or the infamous sexymp.co.uk on 142 hits per day. Even the website of the website of Page 3 girl Claire Tully got 5 hits per day. And there's more more, much more. The Department's sad cohort of Arsenal fans visits a trio of Gooner sites to the tune of 412 hits a day.

Thursday

Peter Hoskin

The shifting sands of public opinion on Libya

All of the buccaneering rhetoric has been sucked from the Libyan conflict this week, replaced with words of concession, compromise and caution. A few days ago, it was the news that — contrary to what they might previously have said — the government is prepared to let Gaddafi remain in the country after all. Today, William Hague deploys the same line in an interview with the Times (£), in which he also warns that there are "a lot of problems and even convulsions" to come in northern Africa. As it happens, the depressed mood of our foreign-policymakers reflects the tide of public opinion. Here, for CoffeeHousers' benefit, are a couple of graphs that we've made from YouGov's polling questions on Libya.

Peter Hoskin

The phone hacking scandal rumbles on

"The News of the World proved is is a force for good." So said Sara Payne, the mother of the murdered schoolgirl Sarah Payne, in a column for the final edition of the paper. Its writers and editors had supported her unerringly, she wrote, in her campaign for tighter laws against child molesters. "I shall miss you all and to you I say thank you and good luck." All of which makes the latest phone hacking allegations particularly disquietig. According to the Guardian, Glen Mulcaire, the private investigator hired by the News of the World, had Sara Payne's phone number in his extensive collection.

Peter Hoskin

The romance isn’t dead on Downing Street

Westminster, today, is all a-titter about an anecdote contained within this FT article about Steve Hilton. It is, it must be said, a good 'un: "Mr Hilton’s crusade against employment legislation also saw him suggest that Mr Cameron just ignore European labour regulations on temporary workers, prompting an exasperated exchange with Jeremy Heywood, Downing Street’s permanent secretary. 'Steve asked why the PM had to obey the law,' said one Whitehall insider of a meeting in March to discuss the government’s growth strategy. 'Jeremy had to explain that if David Cameron breaks the law he could be put in prison.

Peter Hoskin

Alexander’s balancing act

Remember that merry dance between the government and the unions over public sector pensions, a few weeks ago? Expect a minor reprise today, and much more over the summer. The government today announces how much extra public sector workers will have to pay to maintain their pension levels, and already the Telegraph has the numbers. When it comes to the 40,000 best-paid public sectorees — all on considerably over £100,000 — their contributions will rise by around £3,000 a year. And then it's a sliding scale all the way down to the 750,000 least well-paid workers, who will face no increase at all. The unions, who will rejoin the government in talks soon, are unlikely to respond kindly.

Wednesday

Jonathan Jones

One year to go, but the public aren’t convinced

Boris may think next year's London Olympics will be "the most exciting thing that's happened in the eastern part of the city since the Great Fire", but - according to a slew of new polls - he's got some way to go to persuade the rest of the country. Here's an opener from YouGov:   In the same poll, there's also widespread scepticism over what benefit the Olympics the bring to Britain:    The clearest perceived benefit is for London's sporting facilities, with 54 per cent agreeing that they will be much better "not just for the games themselves but for years afterwards". However, when it comes to London's public transport, only 32 per cent think it will see significant improvement, while 41 per cent disagree.

Peter Hoskin

The scramble away from cosiness

Aside from Boris's exhortations to George Osborne, one of the most ear-catching lines of the day has been uttered by Jeremy Hunt. "I think the relationships between politicians and the media got too cosy," said the culture secretary on Radio 5 this morning. He's certainly not the first to make the point, but he is one of the most prominent Conservatives to do so. The words, I suspect, were chosen to cool the heat rising from yesterday's lists of meetings between ministers and media organisations. Hunt himself, it was revealed, has met seven times with News Corp types since the general election. Hunt's admission also opens the prospect of a fevered struggle between the Tories and the Lib Dems to appear less cosy with the media establishment.

Peter Hoskin

Universally speaking

As Paul Waugh notes, James Purnell's article for the Times today (£) is striking for its attack on universal benefits. "I have never bought the argument," writes the former welfare secretary, "that universal benefits bind the middle classes in. It feels too much like taxing with one hand to give back with another." Although this is, in truth, a point that he has been making for some time. He said something similar in a speech back in April. The question, really, is how much Purnell's viewpoint will percolate down through Labour circles.

Peter Hoskin

Boris to the fore

Politics has a big, blond hair-do today, with Boris wiff-waffing all across the airwaves. The Mayor of London has already, this morning, called on George Osborne to do more to cut taxes, specifically the 50p rate and national insurance. And he will be leading a series of events, throughout the day, to mark the fact that the Olympic Games are exactly one year away. The Aquatic Centre will be baptised, the medal designs revealed, and general celebration staged across the city. It's difficult not to see all this as part of Boris's re-election bid, and perhaps as a marker for his wider ambitions. Although London's Olympics have not been an unambiguous positive so far, they still give him a bigger and friendlier platform than most politicians will enjoy over the coming year.

David Blackburn

Rengotiating the loan with Ireland

All eyes were on Greece at last week’s crisis summit in Brussels, but other indebted countries took advantage of Angela Merkel’s generous mood. In line with concessions made to Greece, the Irish secured a substantial cut in interest repayments on its bailout loan: the rate has fallen from 6 per cent to somewhere between 3.5 per cent and 4 per cent, and the loan period has been extended from seven to 15 years. This was a long-term goal of Enda Kenny’s government and the renegotiations are being heralded as a major victory. But the matter does not end there.

Tuesday

Peter Hoskin

Cameron compromises, but Gaddafi might not

What a difference four months of air sorties make. Back in the early days of the Libya intervention, David Cameron was unequivocal when it came to Muammar Gaddafi remaining in the country: there was "no future" for the dictator within its borders, he said. But now, on top of comments by William Hague yesterday, the Prime Minister is thought to be softening his stance. As the Independent says today, he has decided that "the time has come to find a way out of the conflict and back a French proposal to allow Gaddafi to stay in the country as part of a negotiated settlement with rebel forces." So, from no future for Gaddafi to some sort of future, and all while the bombs have been dropping. But France and Britain's change in tack is unlikely to have much effect on the ground.

Jonathan Jones

How do you measure cuddles?

There's been a lot of fuss about this morning's GDP numbers, but if David Cameron has his way we'll soon be fretting about an entirely different set of statistics. The Prime Minister has given the data-crunchers at the Office for National Statistics a new mission: measure the nation's well-being. The idea is to create new stats to accompany economic figures like the Gross Domestic Product as an additional gauge of how well things are going in the UK. It's an idea that makes a great deal of sense. After all, the shortcomings of GDP are well-known. As Bobby Kennedy put it back in 1968: "It measures neither our wit nor our courage, neither our wisdom nor our learning, neither our compassion nor our devotion to our country.

David Blackburn

GDP grew by 0.2 per cent in Q2

Growth in the 2nd quarter was an anaemic 0.2 per cent, in line with recent predictions. Another headline is that manufacturing fell by 0.4 per cent, in line with global slowdown in the sector. Also, the ONS says that growth would have been 0.7 per cent if it weren't for the Bank Holidays, the fine weather and external economic factors. Now the political fun starts.

Peter Hoskin

The Game of Growth

The release of the Q2 growth figures is still half-an-hour away, but Westminster is already on the boil. Much of the fuss and froth is because it's expected that the economy barely grew at all between April and June, or perhaps even shrank. But some of it is down to this Telegraph story, which suggests not just that "Downing Street aides [have] become increasingly impatient with a lack of growth," but that David Cameron's permanent secretary, Jeremy Heywood, recently held a meeting with Treasury and Business officials, and "read them them Riot Act". So is the longstanding friendship between Dave and George fraying at the edges? Benedict Brogan says not, but adds that things are far from rosy when it comes to their respective teams.

Monday

Matt Oakley

How to get from Plan A to Plan A+

Terrible events in Norway and the ongoing phone hacking scandal have kept the economy out of the media in the last couple of weeks. Coverage of the latest bail-out of Greece last week was comparatively muted, especially considering how important it is for the eurozone and, by implication, the UK. However, if the soothsayers are correct, it is unlikely that the release of the Q2 GDP figures tomorrow will fail to hit the headlines. When the Office for Budget Responsibility published their forecast for the UK economy in April they had forecast growth of 1.7 per cent this year, but signs are that tomorrow's Q2 data will raise stark questions about the likelihood of that level of growth. Indeed, many commentators have revised their UK GDP forecasts down in recent weeks.

Fraser Nelson

What you need to know ahead of tomorrow’s growth figures

By now, George Osborne will have seen tomorrow's GDP figures and I suspect will be having a mid-afternoon whisky. Ed Balls will be warming up for his demands for a Plan B. "Austerity isn't working," he'll say — and will doubtless tour TV studios with his usual bunch of dodgy assumptions which he hopes broadcasters won't challenge. Here, as a counterweight, are a few facts and figures about austerity, how harsh it is, etc. — and the case for a Plan A+. 1. Where are the "deep, harsh" cuts? The Q2 GDP data will complete the economic picture for the first year of George Osborne's time in the Treasury. But where are the cuts? The Treasury produces figures for current spending each month. Here they are below, in cash terms and adjusted for CPI inflation.

Peter Hoskin

Lansley’s letter pours fuel on Labour’s bonfire

Just when everyone is all afroth about the murky connections between the political class and the media, a letter by Andrew Lansley to Danny Alexander has mysteriously leaked to the Telegraph. It was sent two months ago, and it concerns the government's public sector pension proposals. For five pages, Lansley riffs on about why the reforms may not be such a good idea, particularly when it comes to NHS workers. "We face a real risk, if we push too hard," he says, "of industrial action involving staff groups delivering key public services." He suggests that lower and higher paid staff may just opt-out of the pensions scheme altogether, leaving the Exchequer with "reduced receipts in the short term while still having to pay for past pension promises.

Friday

David Blackburn

More questions for Murdoch?

Much though most readers probably want it to, the phone hacking saga just won’t do the decent thing and die. Today brings fresh revelations. Colin Myler and Tom Crone, respectively former editor and head of legal affairs at the News of the World, have said that they sent an email to James Murdoch that supposedly undermines Murdoch’s testimony to the Culture, Media and Sport Committee. The Guardian reports that the email, “known as ‘for Neville’, because of its link to the paper's former chief reporter Neville Thurlbeck, is thought to have been critical in News International's decision to pay out around £700,000 to Taylor in an out-of-court settlement after he threatened to sue the paper.