Sebastian Payne

Podcast: Gove’s battle for justice, the perils of a small majority and the Labour leadership contest

From our UK edition

Repealing the Human Rights Act is one of the most difficult tasks the government faces. On this week’s View from 22 podcast, the Conservative MEP Daniel Hannan and barrister Greg Callus discuss how and why Michael Gove intends to break Britain’s link with the European Court of Human Rights. Is it a purely symbolic gesture to repeal the HRA or should ordinary people care about this? Is the legal community generally supportive or against the move? And how does Gove’s personality help this battle? James Forsyth and Isabel Hardman also discuss the perils of a small majority government and how the Tory rebels intend to make life difficult for David Cameron.

Nigel Farage insists he has future plans for Suzanne Evans

From our UK edition

Peace appears to have broken out across Ukip, albeit after Nigel Farage has stamped down on those who criticised him. Suzanne Evans is the latest casualty of the Ukip wars, with her job as Head of Policy coming to an end. While Mark Reckless is rumoured to have been offered the role, Evans is stepping aside gracefully: 'It has been a great privilege to work with UKIP for the past four months to produce the 2015 General Election manifesto. I was delighted with the way it was received, especially by party members and supporters.

Is Mark Reckless set to become Ukip’s Head of Policy?

From our UK edition

Mark Reckless has been rather quiet during the recent Ukip wars. After losing Rochester & Strood to the Conservatives, it has been expected he would return to the party in some role or another. Now, it is rumoured that he will become the party's new Head of Policy - replacing Suzanne Evans, who wrote the 2015 manifesto. Given that he temporarily gave the party its second seat, it would be cruel not to give Reckless something after a defeat many in the party expected. I understand that Reckless was offered the job during the contentious NEC meeting last week, where Nigel Farage unresigned as leader. It's unknown whether he will accept the job, telling Guido 'I don’t want to comment on my future plans. Nothing has been agreed.

Patrick O’Flynn issues humiliating apology and resigns as economics spokesman

From our UK edition

Patrick O’Flynn has apologised for starting last week’s Ukip wars. I understand that O’Flynn met with Farage in Strasbourg this morning — the first time the pair had sat down since his comments in the Times last week. In a slightly bizarre turn of events, the party has released the following statement from O'Flynn: ‘I would like to express to colleagues my sincere regret at going public with my frustrations about the turn of events following polling day. And more than that, I would like to apologise directly to Nigel for the phrase 'snarling, thin-skinned and aggressive'. This was a fragment of a wider passage about perceptions and is not what I think of him.

Liz Kendall’s campaign still confident of getting 35 MPs

From our UK edition

Despite her early entry, Liz Kendall’s leadership campaign is failing to keep up with rivals when it comes to noise and backers. Yvette Cooper and Andy Burnham have emerged as the early favourites, while some are wondering if Kendall can persuade the necessary 35 MPs to back her — particularly if Tristram Hunt runs and splits the moderate vote. But I understand her campaign remains confident they will make the cut. ‘The current direction of travel is that the final ballot will be Burnham, Kendall and Cooper,’ says a Labour source. ‘But, in the PLP nothing is set in stone — not even Ed stone’. The official nominating process does not begin until June 9, so there is plenty of time for people to change their minds.

Does David Cameron have the patience to achieve substantive EU reform?

From our UK edition

David Cameron is wisely using his first 100 days to tackle the biggest challenge of this parliament head on: the EU referendum. This morning’s papers report that a new referendum bill will be a core part of next week’s Queen’s Speech and Cameron is keen to accelerate the vote to 2016. The logic behind this is sound: by seizing on his fresh democratic mandate, Cameron can hope to convince Brussels he is serious about achieving substantive reforms and his Cabinet now includes those who would definitely consider voting Out (Philip Hammond, Boris Johnson, Sajid Javid). If they decline to play ball, then it’s goodbye to Blighty. This strategy all hinges on whether Brussels will listen.

Len McCluskey and the trade unions need Labour as much as the party needs them

From our UK edition

Can Labour's links with trade unions survive the leadership contest? This morning, Harriet Harman will outline in a speech at Labour HQ how the new party leader will be elected — and she will say the unions won't be deciding who it is: ‘We will have strict rules to ensure there is a level playing field for each one of the candidates. Last time the unions communicated directly with many of their members, sending them ballot papers with accompanying material only mentioning one candidate. There will be none of that this time. The Electoral Reform Society will send out individual ballot papers to each member of the electorate.’ ‘The winner of this election is not going to be the choice of the unions or any single section or faction of the Labour Party.

Ukip’s Suzanne Evans: ‘nobody wants Nigel to leave’

From our UK edition

Ukip's internal warfare continues today with interventions from both sides. Suzanne Evans, the party's deputy chairman, appeared on the Andrew Marr Show this morning to play down the tensions. She told Andrew Marr that the situation has been overegged: 'I don't think anyone hates anyone, I genuinely don't. I think we've had some problems with some advisers around Nigel who very much kept him in their pocket if you like and he's had too much influence from them. But they've gone.' She singled out Raheem Kassam, Farage's ex-senior advisor, who she happily noted has left the party and returned to work for Breitbart, a 'far right, Tea Party, American style shock-and-awe publication' where she thinks 'he'll be right at home'.

Jim Murphy resigns as Scottish Labour leader and condemns Len McCluskey

From our UK edition

Jim Murphy is quitting Scottish Labour. After only narrowly surviving a vote of no confidence from the party's executive this morning, Murphy announced that after a ‘terrible election defeat’, he will still tender his resignation in a month’s time. As well as acknowledging Scottish Labour’s terrible performance in the general election, Murphy opened both barrels at Len McCluskey and Unite the Union, who he blames for some of the party's troubles in Scotland: ‘I know in the past few days, I’ve been at the centre of a campaign by the London leadership of Unite the Union and they’re blaming myself for myself and the Scottish Labour party for the defeat of the UK Labour party in the general election.

Douglas Carswell breaks cover and says Farage ‘needs to take a break now’

From our UK edition

Nigel Farage said today his critics need to put up or shut up and Douglas Carswell has chosen the former. Confirming that he is the ‘senior figure’ Farage mentioned earlier, the Clacton MP has written an op-ed in the Times tomorrow calling for a change in direction. He says that ‘Ukip has arrived — and Ukip is here to stay’ but calls for Farage to step aside as leader, temporarily or permanently: ‘On Monday, Ukip’s national executive committee made a decision to reinstate Nigel as party leader. Yet even leaders need to take a break. Nigel needs to take a break now.’ But in classic Carswell style, he denies that he wants to lead the party himself.

Paul Lambert out as Ukip’s head of communications

From our UK edition

The Ukip wars have taken another casualty: the party’s head of communications Paul 'Gobby' Lambert. Guido reports that the 'press office has declared war on the leader' and it appears Lambert is a casualty of the fighting. Lambert was brought in from the BBC last year to run the party's media operation but there have been concerns from those around Farage about his performance in the role. Others in the party suggest he wanted to leave anyway after a long and exhausting campaign. From my understanding, Lambert decided he'd had enough and had no desire to renew his contract after the election. As with Raheem Kassam yesterday, it's not entirely clear if he has been sacked or not.

Nigel Farage tells mystery ‘senior figure’ to put up or shut up

From our UK edition

Nigel Farage’s fight back has continued with an interview on Sky News this morning. Following on from his appearance on Question Time, the Ukip leader described an ‘astonishing’ level of support for him within the party. But he admitted that there is someone high up within the party trying to cause trouble or oust him as leader: 'I mean, I've never had support like it. There is one senior figure in UKIP briefing every single day, consistently, and he's now moved on to “there must be a leadership election”. 'That individual must make his mind up whether his future is with UKIP or not. What is clear is that the sheer level of support for me within UKIP ... frankly, it's astonishing.

Have Nigel Farage and Douglas Carswell reached détente over Ukip’s Short money?

From our UK edition

The row over what to do with its Short money was the tinderbox for Ukip’s internal tensions. Although the war between Team Farage and Team O’Flynn has been bubbling away for months, the question of what to do with the £650,000 of public funds, combined with Nigel Farage’s un-resignation, kicked off a briefing war that brought these fights into the public domain. But we may have détente between Douglas Carswell and Nigel Farage on state funding.

Podcast: the end of Miliband and the Tories’ one nation challenge

From our UK edition

Ed Milband and his team were not ready for their major defeat on election night. On this week's View from 22 podcast, Dan Hodges discusses the final days of Miliband's leadership with Andrew Harrop of the Fabian Society. What were the majority mistakes of the Labour campaign? Was vital polling information about his seat kept from Ed Balls? Will Labour be able to regenerate into a party ready to govern within five years? Isabel Hardman and James Forsyth also discuss the first week of the new Conservative government and the challenges facing David Cameron. Few in the Tory party were expecting a majority, so how will the ideological vacuum be filled? And what does the new Cabinet show about the Prime Minister's strategy to manage his party?

Raheem Kassam un-sacked as Nigel Farage’s senior adviser

From our UK edition

Raheem Kassam, senior adviser to Nigel Farage, has not been 'sacked' from Ukip after all. It was reported earlier this afternoon that he had left the party today — as Patrick O'Flynn appeared to be asking for. But the party is being careful with its language. The party's press office are simply saying: 'Raheem Kassam is no longer working for Ukip' This is technically correct: he is not 'working' for Ukip as he is currently on holiday in New York. Kassam has released his own statement, pointing out that he was only employed for the election campaign and his contract was due to finish at the end of the month: 'I was GE2015 staff. My contract has always expired at the end of the month and I am on holiday until then.

Does Patrick O’Flynn actually want a new leader for Ukip?

From our UK edition

Patrick O’Flynn has surfaced to explain his remarks about Nigel Farage and the team around him. On Sky News, O’Flynn denied he was gunning for Farage's position, describing him as ‘my political hero’, but blamed a ‘couple of people in his inner circle’ who he said are ‘wrong ‘uns’: ‘The advisers he’s got around him have got an awful lot to account for… some people around him who would like to take Ukip in the direction of some hard right ultra-aggressive American Tea Party-type movement.

Exclusive: Team Farage suggests O’Flynn has had ‘personal problems’

From our UK edition

The briefing war inside Ukip continues with the Nigel Farage camp hitting back at Patrick O’Flynn, after his remarks in the Times today. The battle is between two sides: those who are close to and work for Nigel Farage, and others in the party who are concerned about who the Ukip leader is listening to. Team Farage believe the battle is about power and influence with the leader. But the attacks are getting personal: one source close to the Ukip leader suggests that O’Flynn has had ‘personal problems and this may be the manifestation of them’. Although Team Farage failed to deliver a victory in South Thanet, those who worked on his campaign are keen to point out that the party won four million votes under his leadership.

Ukip wars, part 389: Patrick O’Flynn declares war on Nigel Farage

From our UK edition

Ukip is doing a very good job of convincing voters it is not a serious party. After days of shadowboxing over the use of Short money to fund the party in Westminster, its economic spokesman Patrick O”Flynn has broken cover to attack Nigel Farage — and he certainly isn't holding back. In today’s Times, O’Flynn says the Ukip leader has become ‘snarling, thin-skinned, aggressive’, instead of a ‘cheerful, ebullient, cheeky, daring’ politician.

How the polls got it so wrong

From our UK edition

Not all the pollsters got it wrong. On the morning of the election, a set of strikingly accurate predictions was slapped on David Cameron’s desk. They had been compiled by Jim Messina and Lynton Crosby, the strategists who had been running a campaign derided as dull and repetitive. But, as their research showed, it was also effective. Messina is now back in his office in Washington DC. ‘We predicted 312 seats that morning to Lynton,’ he says. This was in line with the exit poll (316 Tory seats) that shocked Westminster. Yet, every day of the campaign, the polls had the Tories and Labour neck and neck. Did he ever doubt his methods? ‘No, not at all,’ he says. Crosby carried out daily tracker polls and Messina was conducting analytics.