Michael Simmons

Michael Simmons

Michael Simmons is The Spectator's economics editor. Contact him here.

The Bank of England holds interest rates – for now

In a relief for mortgage holders, anyone with a job and the government, the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has voted 8–1 to hold interest rates at 3.75 per cent. That is despite rising inflation thanks to the Iran war, which is likely to hit Britain worse than almost anywhere else. Had it

Why is Rachel Reeves flirting with rent controls?

Rachel Reeves may have lost the plot. The Guardian reports that the Chancellor is considering a one-year rent freeze on private-sector flats and houses in England, as fears mount in government about the economic effects of the Iran war. Meanwhile, Angela Rayner, Andy Burnham and the Green party, flanking Reeves and Keir Starmer from the left, risk

Don’t believe the headline: the truth about unemployment data

Unemployment unexpectedly fell to 4.9 per cent this week. Some in government may been using this to mark a healthy economy but don’t believe the headlines. Whilst unemployment may be down, economic inactivity is up. And figures show its predominately graduates who are struggling to find work. Michael Simmons looks at the data and explains

Don't believe the headline: the truth about unemployment data

The Iran war hits inflation

The Iran war is being felt in Britain’s economy. Figures just released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show inflation rose to 3.3 per cent in March – up from 3 per cent the month before.  The rise was mainly driven by fuel prices, which jumped at their fastest rate in more than three

Unemployment has fallen – but not in a good way

On the face of it, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) have just released great news on unemployment. The rate – against all expectations – has fallen from 5.2 per cent to 4.9 per cent. Radio 4’s Today programme welcomed the ‘surprising’ news. But this is no good news story. To be classed by statisticians

How the leasehold mafia screwed a generation of homeowners

Buying a flat in Britain has increasingly become a fool’s errand, driven in part by the leasehold system trapping homeowners into flats. When Labour wrote their manifesto they promised reform to the leasehold system, but it remains a sticking point in Westminster due to heavy lobbying. Michael Simmons is joined by Harry Scoffin, founder from

How the leasehold mafia screwed a generation of homeowners

Britain’s economy is growing – but not for long

It must be bittersweet being Rachel Reeves. Figures just released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show the economy grew by 0.5 per cent in February. That is significantly better than economists had expected and, coupled with the fact that January growth has been revised up, it marks probably the first piece of seriously

The IMF growth downgrade is more bad news for Rachel Reeves

Rachel Reeves lands in Washington tonight to be greeted with bad news. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) – whose spring meeting the Chancellor is attending – has just handed Britain the largest GDP downgrade of any G7 country.  In the freshly released update to their world economic outlook, the IMF forecast growth for the UK

Is Britain losing its sense of fairness?

49 min listen

Has Britain become a freeloader’s paradise, asks the Spectator’s economics editor Michael Simmons in our cover piece this week. Michael analyses ‘the benefits of benefits’, at a time when Britain’s welfare bill is burgeoning and most households are struggling with cost of living. For example, while a family of four can expect to pay £111

Is Britain losing its sense of fairness?

Benefits treats: how Britain became a freeloader’s paradise

Plastered around Westminster this Easter were adverts for the Tower of London. ‘The perfect place for troublemakers – pre-book now,’ the poster read. ‘Members go free.’ So too – near enough – do those on Universal Credit (UC). Easter-holiday treats can be expensive for hard-working families. For those on benefits they’re a breeze. A trip

Could the Iran war wreck your mortgage?

What has the war in Iran got to do with Britain’s house buyers? Michael Simmons takes a look at conflicting predictions from economists and the markets on the impact rising oil prices could have on interest rates. 2026 was expected to be one of the best years for first-time buyers to finally get on the

Could the Iran war wreck my mortgage?

Why is Britain so exposed to rising energy prices?

The IMF has warned Britain is particularly vulnerable to another spike in energy prices, and is more exposed than many of its European neighbours. Why is that the case? And does the government have any real plan to shield households and businesses from the fallout? With the Tories and Reform calling for the government to

Why is Britain so exposed to rising energy prices?

Energy crisis: are we in 1973 territory?

10 min listen

The panic has set in around the cabinet table about this energy crisis, and fears of history repeating itself. Tim Shipman writes in the magazine about the comparisons being made to 1973 and the Opec oil shock, with the government preparing for oil prices to reach £150 a barrel. What levers are available to the

Energy crisis: are we in 1973 territory?

Why is Britain so ill-equipped to deal with economic shocks?

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has just confirmed what we already knew: Britain will be hit harder than almost anywhere else by the economic fallout triggered by the war in Iran. Updated OECD forecasts released today slashed predictions of UK growth for this year to just 0.7 per cent from the 1.2

To drill or not to drill, that is the question

15 min listen

In the final Prime Minister’s Questions before Easter recess, Kemi Badenoch pushed Keir Starmer to commit to new oil & gas drilling licences. The Conservatives spot an easy win here – cost of living concerns are rising as America’s war with Iran continues. Plus, with a burgeoning welfare bill, the trade-offs are even trickier for

To drill or not to drill, that is the question

Inflation stalls before the energy shock hits

Prices rose by 3 per cent last month – the same rate as the month before. Figures just released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show that – ironically – falling petrol costs were one of the main things keeping the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) from climbing. This data was, of course, collected before