James Heale

What will European politics look like in 2029? Nigel Farage is hoping that it resembles something like the pictures he posed for in London today, shaking hands and flashing smiles with Jordan Bardella, the president of France’s National Rally (RN). Both men are part of a pan-continental trend of radical parties challenging their established rivals to gain power in the years ahead. For Bardella, the crunch year is 2027, when President Macron's term in the Élysée is up. Polls show Bardella is the RN frontrunner, with Reform keen to learn the lessons of best practice. The two men had never met before but they shared a convivial lunch at 5 Hertford Street – with Farage's partner Laure Ferrari serving as a translator.

If you speak to Labour MPs about looming battles in the new year, most are quick to mention the elections in May. But an almighty scrap is shaping up beforehand over David Lammy’s bid to strip back jury trials. There is deep unease about the Justice Secretary’s plan, with dozens of MPs expected to publicly criticise the proposals. Angela Rayner – regarded by some within the party as the queen over the water – is believed to share such concerns. She has reportedly told allies that there are serious unanswered questions about access to justice and whether restricting juries would really cut the court backlog of 80,000 outstanding cases. Public opinion is against Lammy’s reforms, according to Opinium polling for The Spectator.

Malcolm Offord has today quit Kemi Badenoch’s Conservatives to join Reform UK. The peer was unveiled at a press conference today in Falkirk, as Nigel Farage’s party ramp up their campaigning ahead of the Holyrood elections next year. Offord, a former minister, becomes the second sitting frontbencher to quit the Conservatives in recent months, following Danny Kruger’s departure in September. It means that Reform UK now boast their first peer in the House of Lords. Offord will stand down from the Upper House if he is elected to the Scottish Parliament in May. It is worth remembering that Offord enthusiastically backed Kemi Badenoch for leader Offord cited his Unionism as the main motive for his defection.

For more than a decade, Westminster has been obsessing about whether Nigel Farage will do a deal with the Tories. First, it was Ukip in 2015; then the Brexit party in 2019. Now, the question is whether some kind of pact should be struck by 2029. This age-old debate has been reopened today. First, the Financial Times claimed Farage has told donors that the two parties will come to an accord. Then, the Times reported that that senior figures within Reform want Robert Jenrick, the shadow justice secretary, to defect from the Tories. Farage has slapped down the first story and refused to comment on the second. But there are certainly plenty of people in British politics who are keen to talk up both stories.

They think it's all OBR – it is now. Political journalists should always be wary of that word 'inevitable'. But from the moment it was revealed on Wednesday that the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) had accidentally leaked details of the Budget, it always seemed likely that this story only had one ending. Richard Hughes, the watchdog's chairman, has tonight fallen on his sword and accepted responsibility for the data leak. It came two hours after a damning report was published into last week's data breach, calling the incident the 'worst failure in the 15-year history of the OBR'.

After two days of discord and division, Your Party has voted and it finally has a name – Your Party. This afternoon, 37 per cent of members chose to keep the party's existing title rather than select one of the three alternatives: Popular Alliance, For The Many or Our Party. This marked one of the few highlights from the party's inaugural conference in Liverpool. It otherwise proved to be an acrimonious affair in which the tensions between Jeremy Corbyn, Zarah Sultana and their respective allies have been on display for all to see. Clearly it is the Green party leader who will dominate the British left for the near future Membership rules and the leadership question were the two issues that dominated the conference hall this weekend.