Jacob Shapiro

Jacob Shapiro is an independent geopolitical analyst. He provides custom presentations and research to clients around the world and co-hosts the Geopolitical Cousins podcast. He lives in New Orleans with his wife and two daughters.

El Mencho is dead. What’s next for Mexico?

From our US edition

For as long as there has been a Mexico, there have been cartels. Geography is not always destiny, but in Mexico’s case it has been stubbornly close. For centuries, states have tried to impose order on Mexico’s northern frontier. None have succeeded. Power in Mesoamerica always radiated outward from the Valley of Mexico. The Aztecs built their empire there. The Spanish consolidated their rule there. The modern Mexican state governs from there. To the north lies a harsher landscape – arid, mountainous, thinly populated and historically resistant to centralized control. Deserts and mountains provide space. Space creates autonomy. Autonomy, in weakly governed regions, creates opportunity for dissent, for rebellion, for smuggling, for criminal enterprise.

el mencho