Isabel Hardman

Isabel Hardman

Isabel Hardman is assistant editor of The Spectator and author of Why We Get the Wrong Politicians. She also presents Radio 4’s Week in Westminster.

When should George Osborne switch to Plan B?

Announcements from the International Monetary Fund are worded in such a way that everyone reading them comes away with something slightly different. So shortly after today's report on the UK economy was released, Ed Balls put out a statement saying the report was a 'very serious warning to the Chancellor that urgent action to boost jobs and growth is needed'. He concluded his press release by asking 'how much worse do things have to get before the Chancellor finally changes course?'. Now, today's report from the IMF is not cheery reading for George Osborne. It passes this bleak judgement on the economy: 'Recovery has stalled. Post-crisis repair and rebalancing of the UK economy is likely to be more prolonged than initially envisaged. Confidence is weak and uncertainty is high.

Miliband and monopolies

Ed Miliband used his speech this morning on policing to attack the shambles on Olympic security staffing created by G4S. That was a sensible thing for an opposition leader to do, and he managed to give quite a sensible speech, all in all. He did not fall into the trap of saying that all outsourcing is bad - which would have been a strange thing for the Labour leader to say, anyway, given it was under his party in government that firms like G4S flourished. But he did point to what many across the political spectrum agree is a problem: that G4S effectively holds a monopoly on security and policing functions.

Cameron shows his hand on Europe

David Cameron's interview with the Telegraph today reveals that the Prime Minister would not campaign for an 'out' vote in a referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union. This will confuse some Conservatives, who had hoped that the 'fresh deal and a fresh settlement' that the Prime Minister described in the chamber earlier this month would either lead to a successful renegotiation followed by a referendum in which the government pushed for a 'yes' vote, or a failed attempt at renegotiation followed by a referendum in which the government pushed for a 'no' vote. But Cameron told Robert Winnett that he would never campaign for an 'out' vote. He adds: 'It comes back to this, who are going to be the winning nations for the 21st century?

Cameron intervenes on disabled troops

David Cameron made a surprise visit to Camp Bastion this afternoon. After a lunch of German sausage and potato with the troops, the Prime Minister made one announcement that may rile military chiefs, and another designed to keep them on side. The possibly irritating statement was that Cameron is 'confident' he could meet his promise to bring British troops back from Afghanistan by the end of 2014. He said an announcement about the number of soldiers to be brought back in 2013 will be made at the end of this year. But senior military sources have warned the Press Association that 'we need to maintain a strong presence' in Afghanistan if the government is to meet its aims in the state.

What the Casey report teaches us about problem families

Louise Casey's report on troubled families has come in for a few knocks today. The 'troubled families tsar' interviewed 16 families to draw up a picture of the challenges that those within the 120,000-strong group that the Prime Minister identified after last summer's rioting as in need of focused work. Peter Mullen in the Telegraph says the research spells out 'the blinking obvious', which in many ways it does: the lives of the families on this list are messy beyond most people's normal experience. Casey has simply conducted a very small-scale exercise in qualitative research and then published it. Like many CoffeeHousers, I'm more of a quantitative data person myself.

All eyes on the Work Programme

Today's headline figures on unemployment are good news: a 65,000 fall in the number of unemployed people to 2.58 million in the three months to May and a 0.2 per cent fall in the unemployment rate to 8.1 per cent of the economically active population. The focus is now growing on the Work Programme to deliver on its promises. Liam Byrne's response to the figures was that they were 'fresh evidence that the beleaguered Work Programme isn't working'. But as Fraser blogged last week, it's rather too early to tell either way, actually. The CBI says that a 6,100 rise in the number of people claiming Jobseekers Allowance, and 441,000 people who have been unemployed for over two years is evidence that the Work Programme must deliver.

Restoring the coalition’s credibility

The coalition's infrastructure shopping spree to cheer itself up after a miserable few weeks continues today. George Osborne and Danny Alexander are offering guarantees on up to £40 billion of 'ready or nearly ready' projects such as transport, communications and energy. They are also announcing a £6 billion temporary lending programme and a £5 billion export guarantee facility, which will give long-term support for British exporters. Today's announcements are clever because they don't commit any extra money, using the government's balance sheet purely to guarantee the projects and get them off the ground.

Buckling under the strain

During the Home Affairs Select Committee's evidence session with Nick Buckles it was difficult not to fall into the trap of feeling rather sorry for the G4S chief. He was softly spoken and anxious-looking. His haircut made him look rather boyish. Next to the garishly pinstriped Ian Horseman-Sewell, he appeared more muted. Buckles even seemed a little confused by the hearing. Was the committee speaking in fluent English, Keith Vaz asked him, slightly jovially, at one point. Buckles confounded him rather by saying he didn't know. When asked by David Winnick whether this was a 'humiliating shambles for your company', Buckles gave a sheepish reply. 'I cannot disagree with you,' he said quietly.

Making an independent adviser truly independent

The row over Jeremy Hunt's dealings with the Murdoch empire during its takeover bid for BSkyB seems rather a long time ago, even though only a month has passed since it peaked. But even though other rows have eclipsed this one, MPs are debating a very interesting backbench motion in the Commons this afternoon which criticises some of the decisions that the Prime Minister took around the Hunt affair. The motion is being led by Bernard Jenkin, chair of the Public Administration Select Committee, and runs as follows: 'That this House calls on the Government to implement the recommendation made by the Public Administration Select Committee in paragraph 44 of its Twenty Second Report of Session 2010-12, The Prime Minister's Adviser on Minister's Interests: independent or not?

Five questions for Nick Buckles

G4S chief Nick Buckles will face MPs on the Home Affairs Select Committee today. Here are some key questions they will want to ask him about the security firm's handling of staffing for the Olympics: 1. When did you start processing applications from potential staff? G4S launched its recruitment drive at the end of January, and just days later told the press it had been swamped by 20,000 applications. Ministers say they were repeatedly assured that the firm would overshoot its targets. So why did it take so long to realise that those 20,000 applications were not going to translate into 10,000 staff? 2. When did you realise that you were not going to meet your targets?

Railing against government policy | 16 July 2012

The cabinet is out and about today, trying to smooth feathers ruffled by last week's Lords reform row by splashing out on £9 billion worth of investment for railways. Today's announcement by David Cameron and Nick Clegg is, as much as anything else, an attempt to put into practice the Prime Minister's claim yesterday that the coalition is still capable of making real progress on big issues, despite differences on constitutional reform. Handily for Nick Clegg, today's announcement may also encourage some friendly feelings from his own constituents, as it includes electrifying the line between Bedford to Sheffield. But the work isn't starting tomorrow, which means this announcement could be quickly forgotten once the next row flares up back in Westminster.

The danger for Labour in the G4S shambles

The row over G4S' failure to provide sufficient security cover for the Olympics is starting to feel a little awkward for Labour. This afternoon in the Commons, Yvette Cooper managed to rouse a sardonic chuckle from not just the benches opposite but also the hacks perched in the press gallery when she said that everyone wanted the Olympics to be a success. Why the laughs? Well, the danger for Labour is that in slamming the government's handling of G4S, the party gets too carried away and appears to be branding the Olympics a shambles too.

Downing Street: G4S is a ‘good story’

I've just returned from the morning lobby briefing, where the Prime Minister's official spokesman was grilled on the unfolding G4S debacle. He rather surprised journalists by claiming 'the story is a good one' on the Olympics because all the venues have been delivered on time and the Government had thought to put contingency plans in place on this matter, which it can now use given G4S' failure to recruit sufficient numbers of security staff. 'There are going to be millions of additional visitors to London over the next few weeks and people will notice the difference, but we have plans to deal with those challenges and we have contingency plans for all of these things.

Railing against government policy

The cabinet is out and about today, trying to smooth feathers ruffled by last week's Lords reform row by splashing out on £9 billion worth of investment for railways. Today's announcement by David Cameron and Nick Clegg is, as much as anything else, an attempt to put into practice the Prime Minister's claim yesterday that the coalition is still capable of making real progress on big issues, despite differences on constitutional reform. Handily for Nick Clegg, today's announcement may also encourage some friendly feelings from his own constituents, as it includes electrifying the line between Bedford to Sheffield. But the work isn't starting tomorrow, which means this announcement could be quickly forgotten once the next row flares up back in Westminster.

Cameron’s coalition healthcheck

The coalition is doing pretty well, thank you very much. In case last week's rebellion of the 91 on Lords reform and continuing tensions over Europe had you fooled, up pops the Prime Minister this morning with a soothing comment piece in the Sunday Times.  David Cameron tries to shrug off Lords reform within three paragraphs of his op-ed. 'What's far more significant is that we are working together on so much else - and after last week, it's vital that everyone reminds themselves of that fact,' he argues. As part of his health-check piece, the Prime Minister details signs that the coalition is functioning well. When he mentions the reforms the two parties are working together, the piece is very carefully worded. He starts with investment in infrastructure.

King joins Libor drama

Up to now, Sir Mervyn King has played largely a walk-on part in the Libor scandal, prompting Bob Diamond's resignation after he warned Barclays that the regulators no longer had confidence in Diamond's leadership of the bank. Now the Governor of the Bank of England has also been dragged into the drama after email exchanges released by the Bank revealed that he was aware of deliberate misreporting of the rate in June 2008. Timothy Geithner, who was then the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, emailed Sir Mervyn with a list of recommendations for improving Libor, one of which tackles how to 'eliminate incentive to misreport'. The Governor forwarded this on to his deputy Paul Tucker, and replied to Geithner that his recommendations 'seem sensible to us'.

Clegg’s ‘sensitive little violets’ get tough

Two rather interesting reconciliations are taking place today. Ed Miliband is making the first speech of a Labour leader at the Durham Miners' Gala since 1989. And Nick Clegg has been trying to charm the left of his party into believing that all is well in the Liberal Democrat world. The latter largely involved Clegg trying to encourage the left-leaning Social Liberal Forum's annual conference to develop a sort of persecution complex. So the audience was told not to 'underestimate how much the right and the left want to destroy us', and to remember that 'if we aren't going to stick up for ourselves, no-one else will'. It was difficult, he acknowledged, to have doors slammed in your face on the campaign trail because 'we're sensitive little violets'.

The race to secure the Olympics

G4S' security arrangements for the Olympic games are turning into the story that keeps on giving, which is a good thing for journalists only, given the opening ceremony is just weeks away. The headlines this morning aren't just about the 'Olympic chaos' that Theresa May tried to address when she made a statement to the Commons yesterday, but contain more revelations: staff failing to notice dummy explosives during test exercises, 18 and 19-year-old 'yobs' being recruited to fill the spaces, and the firm not being penalised for failing to recruit enough staff. That last revelation is awkward for May, as she implied yesterday that there was a chance G4S could face penalties.