Fraser Nelson

Fraser Nelson

Fraser Nelson is a Times columnist and a former editor of The Spectator.

Anas Sarwar is favourite to lead Scottish Labour

Now that Johann Lamont has quit as leader of Scottish Labour, bookies are now taking odds on her successor. Four of the eight most likely candidates are Westminster MPs and third-favourite is Gordon Brown himself. He's struggling to find a role nowadays, and there's not much demand for him in the international speaker circuit. His role in the referendum campaign was seen, by some, as decisive. So is it now time for him to settle down to a new fiefdom? He has some support. Here is Michael Connarty, Labour MP for Linlithgow and East Falkirk, on BBC Radio Scotland this morning:- "People are talking about Gordon Brown as leader. I think he should lead us into this next election. I think that Gordon has shown he is a Scottish voice, he is a voice for Scotland.

The NHS Wales disaster vindicates Tony Blair, not David Cameron

[audioplayer src="http://traffic.libsyn.com/spectator/TheViewFrom22_23_January_2014_v4.mp3" title="Charlotte Leslie and James Forsyth join Sebastian Payne to discuss the NHS." startat=1410] Listen [/audioplayer] As someone who believes that a Labour government would be a calamity for Britain, I ought not to mind the recent fuss about NHS Wales. Yes, it is a disaster – as the Daily Mail has been cleverly highlighting. And it has been run by Labour for 15 years, so they're guilty as charged. Jeremy Hunt, the Health Secretary, makes this point powerfully today. But if the English NHS is much better by comparison to Wales, it’s not because of him, nor because of David Cameron. It’s because of Tony Blair.

Nigel Farage does ‘do God’ – and has the Bible to prove it

Ever the insurgent, Nigel Farage decided to give his post-Clacton interview to BBC Sunday Politics today rather than Andrew Marr show. He would have regretted fairly soon: the line of questioning was all about Ukip policies, which are notoriously flimsy. What about Patrick O’Flynn’s idea for a SamCam tax on luxury goods? Farage dropped it, but said today there was nothing to drop. He once said on Telegraph TV that the NHS should be run by businessmen – is that Ukip policy? There’s a “very strong argument” for that, he said, but was it policy? He didn’t say. Lucky the BBC’s current inability to beam in an interview in to his studio from Britain (as opposed to Afghanistan) cut him short. The audio, or what little there was of it, is below.

Every 73 seconds, police use snooping powers to access our personal records. Who’ll rein them in?

At its peak, the Stasi employed one agent for every 165 East Germans. Spying was a labour-intensive business then — you needed to monitor telephone calls, steam open mail, plant a bug, follow suspects on shopping trips and then write reports for the KGB. The advantage was that, human nature being what it is, the Stasi would probably succeed in gathering dirt on all but the most saintly. The drawback: trying to gather files on so many millions could almost bankrupt a government. How much easier it is nowadays. By interrogating someone’s mobile phone, the police can gather more information than the Stasi could dream of compiling. The modern smartphone contains all the secrets of a life: bank balances, emails to lawyers, texts to lovers.

Why every Tory should wish the Liberal Democrats a successful conference

Every Conservative should wish the Liberal Democrats a successful conference in Glasgow this week and not from any misplaced sense of coalition loyalty. The poor souls are on a pathetic 7 per cent in the polls, against 23 per cent in the general election. The Tories' embrace has proven toxic for them. Yes, it was daft of Nick Clegg to agree to the (absurd) Tory ring fencing of health at the expense of his tuition fees pledge - and yes, he has paid the price for this historic misjudgement. Did he think people would ever forget his making promises like this one?

Why David Cameron’s tax reform won’t break the bank

It’s odd to see David Cameron’s tax pledge being denounced as profligate, even in publications like the Financial Times. The Prime Minister has always been a moderate on tax, and remains one now. He has astutely positioned his promise to rise the 40p threshold as a giveaway, which makes sense politically. But the truth is a little more complex, and I look at it in my Daily Telegraph column today. Under Labour, every year was a ‘giveaway’ insofar as tax thresholds increased with RPI inflation. David Cameron has, in effect, decided to bring back this policy. If this is a craven tax bribe for Middle England then it is one that Blair and Brown made every year in office.

Meet our new online comment editor: Anne Jolis, from the Wall Street Journal

I’m delighted to introduce a new editor here at Coffee House: Anne Jolis, who will be joining The Spectator later this month as online comment editor. She’s an American, and started her career at the Gloucester County Times in New Jersey and she ended up as a Wall St Journal comment editor. She is a winner of the coveted Bastiat Prize for journalism but, more importantly to us, she’s a finalist for two of our recent writing awards: the Matt Ridley prize for reality-based science writing and Shiva Naipaul prize for travel writing. Anne will be the third Shiva finalist to have joined the staff of The Spectator: the other two were Mary Wakefield and Clarissa Tan.

Cameron’s speech show us why he is still the Tories’ greatest single asset

David Cameron has yet again delivered a belter of a party conference speech, peppered with announcements. His performance is a reminder of why, even now, he remains the Tory Party’s greatest single asset. His speech was a powerful invocation of the strengths of Conservatism, perhaps the clearest he has given from a conference stage. It was passionate, eloquent and, overall, the speech of a Prime Minister. What a contrast with the Ed Miliband's attempt last week. There were promises galore. The advantage of holding a party conference before the Liberal Democrats is that you can scoop their policies – in his case, announcing another increase to the tax-free income tax threshold from £10,500 to £12,500.

Oops! The ONS admits the UK economy is far stronger than it had thought

Why do economists use decimal points? To show that they have a sense of humour. Never was this old gag more relevant than when considering the data on Britain's economic output, or GDP. A couple of months ago, the ONS announced that the economy had returned to its pre-crash levels – the FT splashed the news. Today, the Office for National Statistics admits that after improvements to its methodology this actually happened last year. The old picture, compared to the new, is above – produced by Michael Saunders at Citi (pdf here). The ONS has not made an error, it is simply applying new methodology under instruction. But it suggests Osborne has been making more progress than he had been given credit for.

Is London’s Richard Barnes the final Ukip defector?

The gossip here in Birmingham is that there is a third defector from the Tories to Ukip, that David Cameron knows his name and isn't too bothered. But if that person is Richard Barnes, a former deputy Mayor of London who has announced his defection today, you can see why the PM is quite chillaxed about it. He's someone with no national profile who was expelled from the Party earlier for this year for standing as an Independent against the Conservative Party's approved candidate. He is also defecting in part of the country where Ukip support is at its lowest. Barnes has recited the now-familiar list of reasons for defecting to the Evening Standard.

If David Cameron wants seven-day GP clinics, he’ll need market reform

Today, David Cameron will pledge that if he’s re-elected he’ll give everyone access to a family doctor seven days a week. He will say:- “People need to be able to see their GP at a time that suits them and their family. That’s why we will make sure everyone can see a GP seven days a week by 2020. We will also support thousands more GP practices to stay open longer, giving millions of patients better access to their doctor. This is only possible because we’ve taken difficult decisions to reduce inefficient and ineffective spending elsewhere as part of our long-term economic plan. You can’t fund the NHS if you don’t have a healthy, growing economy.

George Osborne’s speech in six graphs

George Osborne normally shines at Tory conferences. A historian by training, Osborne knows the power of narrative and he had a clear one for the activists today: the recovery started when he took office and its progress has been extraordinary. Many of his claims were well-founded, some less so. Here’s my selection. Let’s start with his statement that ‘Britain is the fastest-growing most job-creating most deficit-reducing country on earth. Britain we did this together.

What George Osborne should learn from the Scottish ‘yes’ campaign

George Osborne will give his speech in a few minutes, and we’ll analyse it straight after. But I’d like to pick up on something he said this morning on Radio 4. It was an aside, a claim that For the first time in my lifetime, the march of the separatists in Scotland has been reversed This is, of course, not quite true – the SNP have been pushed into reverse many times. Depressingly they tend to bounce back, stronger than ever. After devolution, it looked as if their fox had been shot. After Salmond quit the first time, they looked like a quaint irrelevance.

Brooks Newmark quits after sending explicit photos of himself in paisley pyjamas

The Tory MP Brooks Newmark has quit the government - after having been tricked into sending “inappropriate messages” on WhatsApp to a journalist posing as a 20-year-old Tory activist. As the Sunday Mirror puts it:- As part of a series of exchanges, he sent a graphic picture exposing himself while wearing a pair of paisley pyjamas No laws were broken and the paisley pyjamas at least show that some Tory traditions are being upheld. He's not standing down as an MP - as we know, sending such pictures need not end a political career (Labour's Chris Bryant says this increased his majority). But it doesn't help a ministerial career: Newmark is out as civil society minister.  He becomes he second Tory to quit in a day.

How The Spectator stopped Mark Reckless from reaching parliament in 2005

When Mark Reckless stands for election as a UKIP candidate for Rochester and Strood, The Spectator will be against him. But we were against him when he stood as a Tory in 2005. Indeed, in that general election The Spectator backed the Conservatives (as you'd expect) but made a specific exception for Reckless, running for what was then Medway. Peter Oborne, then political editor, went so far as to draft a campaign statement for Bob Marshall-Andrews, the Labour MP whom Reckless was trying to depose. Marshall-Andrews, Oborne argued, was the true Conservative candidate. Peter Oborne’s leaflet was distributed very widely during the campaign and Reckless was defeated by a fairly narrow margin (213 votes).

Mark Reckless’s stunning defection to Ukip is further proof of the great Tory split

The defection of Mark Reckless is the best possible end for Nigel Farage's party conference, and the worst possible start for David Cameron's. Tomorrow's newspapers will lead on the story of Tory split, with Reckless and Douglas Carswell only the first two - I will be surprised if there is not a third before the election. Yes, Ed Miliband has had a dreadful party conference but every opinion poll and every bookmaker still has Labour on course to win the next general election. Why? Because there has been a great reversal in British politics: the left is now united and the right is split.

Five main points from Michael Fallon’s hawkish interview in The Spectator

James Forsyth interviews Defence Secretary Michael Fallon in this week's Spectator. You can read the full interview here. Here are five key points from the piece: 1. A ‘new Battle of Britain':  ‘We’ve had attacks on the streets of London, on our transport system, at Glasgow Airport, the murder of Lee Rigby – how much more evidence do you need that this is a very clear and dangerous threat to our way of life and to all the democracies of the west.  This is a new Battle of Britain.’ 2.

Podcast special: Miliband’s speech, the verdict

Ed Miliband has spoken - for 65 minutes - snarling at Tories, while laying out his 10-year plan and presenting himself as the man who can shake up the complacent Westminster elite. James, Isabel and I were all there in Manchester and we met up straight afterwards to compare notes.