Annabel Denham

You can't fault Mel Stride for trying. Conscious that our current levels of worklessness are neither sustainable nor likely to win the Tories plaudits at the next general election, the Work and Pensions Secretary has been proposing a range of wild and wacky solutions. In February, it was reported the government would be expanding ‘midlife MOTs’ to get the unemployed under-50s back to work. In July, the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) policy generator was at it again, encouraging doctors to refer patients to life coaches rather than sign them off sick.  Now we're getting the stick: new reforms would see people who refuse take on work placements or to engage with job centre staff having their Universal Credit and other entitlements, such as dental care, stopped.

Another day, another wheeze from a desperate government as it tries to move the polls. Benefit claimants could soon have their bank accounts checked each month to ensure they are not lying about their savings. The law change, designed to crack down on benefits fraud, appears to be the government's answer to the fact that welfare payments have exploded in recent years. It will reportedly be unveiled in the Autumn Statement, with estimates suggesting it could save the taxpayer £100 million a year. But will it make a difference? The Department for Work and Pensions' total proposed expenditure for 2023/24 is set to reach £279 billion (almost half of which is pensioner benefits). As a result, this £100 million figure – which itself sounds optimistic – is a mere drop in the ocean.

The Trades Union Congress (TUC) has vowed to report the government to the UN workers' rights watchdog over its controversial strikes bill, but how seriously can we take this threat? The TUC's leader, Paul Nowak, certainly sounds like a man on a mission: earlier this year, Nowak claimed the legislation was 'almost certainly illegal', a curious assertion given it was going through parliament at the time. Now that the bill has received royal assent, it appears the TUC is doubling down on its war on the strikes bill. Yet it's hard not to see the TUC's complaint as anything other than a stunt designed to further denigrate the Tories who, to the union's mind, have spent 13 years wickedly chipping away at workers' rights.

The current government will do almost anything to avoid reforming welfare or the NHS. Last month, we were informed school leavers might be allowed to train as doctors without a traditional medical degree in an ill-conceived cosplay scheme. And it was reported yesterday that GPs may be encouraged to refer patients to life coaches, rather than issue sick notes, to help people get back into work. Between the starts of 2019 and 2023, the number of economically inactive working adults with depression or anxiety jumped by 40 per cent to hit 1.35 million. There are 400,000 more people on long-term sickness than before the pandemic. Yet rather than hiring more staff to carry out face-to-face ‘fit to work’ tests, the government is proposing to scrap capability assessments altogether.

After a bruising week, perhaps Andrew Bailey could take some solace in Rishi Sunak’s interview with Laura Kuenssberg this weekend. For a start, the Prime Minister threw his support behind the Bank of England governor, after senior figures within the Conservative party accused Bailey of being ‘asleep at the wheel’. But it was also a reminder that, no matter how bad things may seem at Threadneedle Street, they’re probably worse in No. 10.

This week Rishi Sunak ruled out direct government intervention to protect homeowners from impending catastrophe. It’s a welcome development – bailing out mortgage debtors would be financially ruinous and grossly unfair on renters. But just a few days ago the Prime Minister was ordering banks to shield borrowers from surging rates, and the Treasury still insists that the chancellor wants banks to 'live up to their responsibilities' – the vagueness of which leaves a lot to be desired. There are reports of ministers working with banks to offer more indirect help, like payment holidays. The government has led people to believe that politicians will shield them from any hardship It's unclear whether the Tories will buckle and end up subsidising mortgages anyway.

Britain is paying a terrible price for two decades of fiscal incontinence. Our borrowing costs have risen to the highest amongst advanced economies. Core inflation (which excludes food and energy) is actually rising. Mortgage costs are spiking as expectations mount that interest rates will be raised once again. Chancellor Jeremy Hunt has conceded he would be comfortable with a recession if it brought down inflation. We have been living beyond our means, and the day of reckoning is here.  Rishi Sunak has lost any claim of being a 'safe pair of hands' at the tiller; all the opposition really needs to do is sit back and watch the Conservatives lose the next general election. Labour now have a 17-point lead over the Tories.

Clever people often believe that their cleverness gives them the right to control other people. Nowhere is this more manifest than in nanny state Britain.  So fixated was Public Health England on shielding us from our own bad decisions that when an infectious disease arrived on our shores the quango was woefully unprepared. Junk food advertising bans were prioritised over protecting us against an epidemic.  And so determined are politicians to insulate us from hardship that they attempt to regulate anything that moves. Arguably the most troubling recent development concerns the tacit raising of the age of majority. Since 1969 it has been accepted that we are treated as adults by law from 18. The age had broadly trended down over the years.

Supermarkets are once again back in the firing line. Henry Dimbleby, the Leon co-founder turned government food tsar, has blamed the current food shortages on their ‘weird culture’. When food is scarce UK supermarkets won't raise their prices, he claimed. It leads to growers selling less here and more in Europe, exacerbating shortages. He wasn’t alone in blaming supermarkets. Last month, in an attempt to absolve the government of blame, food and farming minister Mark Spencer demanded the heads of big chains join him for a discussion on 'what they are doing to get shelves stocked again.' In the end, only middle-management showed up.  The average supermarket stocks 20,000 items with around 40 types of vegetables on the shelves. Over 1.