Uk politics

The Spectator: One step ahead of David Cameron’s EU manoeuvres

From our UK edition

While David Cameron's EU speech today made all the front pages, it is far from fresh news. Two weeks ago, James Forsyth revealed to Spectator readers what the Prime Minister would say in his speech. But as far back as last May, we revealed that a referendum on EU membership was almost certain: A referendum on Europe is the obvious answer. It is one the leadership seems set to embrace. The popularity of Cameron’s EU veto made his circle realise how much of a political asset Euroscepticism could be, if used in the right way. There is also concern in No. 10 that if the Tories don’t offer the public a vote, Labour will. One source intimately involved in Tory electoral strategy told me recently that a referendum in the next manifesto was ‘basically a certainty’.

Why fall for Cameron’s cast-iron EU pledges?

From our UK edition

Tory MPs have fallen for David Cameron’s cast-iron pledges to hold a referendum before. So are they right in buying into his latest promise? Labour is trying to expose cracks in the pledge to re-negotiate our relationship with the EU, then hold a plebiscite mid-way through the next Parliament, if the Tories win the election. But Ed Miliband rather misses the point when he asks Mr Cameron at PMQs whether he might later change his pledge to campaign for a 'yes' vote. Surely, the problem is not that Cameron could change his mind and campaign for a 'no' vote.

The private rented sector is blocking aspiration and isolating families

From our UK edition

The private rented sector is no longer fit for the people it now serves. Almost half of those renting are over 35, and the proportion of privately rented homes has rocketed by 69 per cent. As MPs debate standards in the sector this afternoon, we'll have to recognise that it isn't just Neil and the Young Ones, but families who typify this part of the market, and it needs to change to recognise that. The default tenancy is the Assured Shorthold Tenancy, which allows landlords and tenants to enter into short-term agreements with regular rent reviews and the ability for either party to break after six months with one month's written notice. When they were introduced by the Housing Act in 1988, they were a huge step forward from previously restrictive forms of tenancy.

Labour’s ‘for now’ policy on an EU referendum

From our UK edition

The Tory spinners were in an exceptionally good mood after PMQs today. The general feeling was that Ed Miliband had messed up, and this wasn't helped by his aides having to clarify that when he told the Prime Minister that 'my position is no - we don't want an In/Out referendum', he actually meant that currently they don't want an In/Out referendum now. 'The position has not changed,' said one party source. 'We do not think that an In/Out referendum is a good idea. We will not do anything which damages the UK economy.' But they added that they were not ruling one out forever. And they were not ruling out a referendum commitment in the manifesto, either. So this is another 'for now' position, rather than a commitment of any sort.

PMQs: It’s Cameron’s turn to have some fun

From our UK edition

Last week at PMQs, Ed Miliband had great fun, mocking the wait for David Cameron’s Europe speech. He lampooned the Prime Minister as the weak leader of a divided party. It was a performance that disturbed even some normally calm Number 10 aides. But this week, it was Cameron who was relishing PMQs. By the end of the session, he was even telling Dennis Skinner — who normally brings out the Prime Minister’s irritable side — that he might agree with the speech Cameron is  giving in Davos tomorrow. Now that Cameron has set out his position, Miliband is under pressure to follow suit. Miliband appeared to rule out a referendum, responding to Cameron’s taunts with the line ‘No, I don’t want an In/Out referendum.

Cameron’s EU referendum pledge makes winning the Battle for Britain more difficult

From our UK edition

At the risk of seeming parochial, I'd suggest that David Cameron's long-awaited Europe speech and his endorsement of an In or Out referendum has implications and consequences for another referendum campaign closer to home. I suspect he has bought himself some time on the Europe question but this comes at a price. He has made winning the Battle for Britain - to be decided in 2014 - more difficult. The SNP should be very pleased today. Cameron has demolished a couple of core Unionist arguments. He can no longer credibly point to the unknown uncertainties of Scottish independence. Not when he has embraced, even made a point of celebrating, uncertainty regarding Britain's membership of the EU.

Cameron doesn’t want Britain to stay in the EU come what may

From our UK edition

One of the more intriguing lines in David Cameron’s speech this morning was his declaration that ‘when the referendum comes let me say now that if we can negotiate such an arrangement, I will campaign for it with all my heart and soul.’ This begs the question of what Cameron will do if we can’t negotiate such an arrangement. Now, Cameron made clear earlier in the speech that his strong preference and inclination is for Britain to stay in the EU. This seems to apply even if he can’t get everything he asks for in the renegotiation. As he put it: ‘You will not always get what you want. But that does not mean we should leave – not if the benefits of staying and working together are greater.

Sketch: Cameron’s EU climax

From our UK edition

This was no tantric anti-climax. This was a seismic moment in British politics. David Cameron breezed into a London press conference this morning and proceeded to reshape Europe. The wooden lectern he stood at was pale and municipal. He wore a dark suit and a nice purple tie, and his affable pink chops glowed with moderation and good sense. He looked like a council negotiator arriving to settle a hedge dispute between warring neighbours. The Euro-crisis will lead to the restructuring of Europe, he said. He called for a new design that would incorporate more openness, flexibility and competitiveness. And the single market, not the single currency, should lie at its heart.

‘Mrs Bone was singing in the shower’: PM’s EU speech delights Tory MPs

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David Cameron should savour today as the moment he finally satisfied Mrs Bone. I've been calling round Tory MPs, and Peter Bone, often a thorn in the flesh of the Prime Minister with his probing questions that his wife wants clearing up, is happy with the speech. He says: 'I could hear Mrs Bone singing in the shower room and it included the words "for he's a jolly good fellow".' Bone explains why his household is filled with such joy this morning: 'I am in a very good mood. A year ago, if I had said to you the Prime Minister is going to renegotiate the terms of the EU towards a Common Market and then put it to the British people in an In/Out referendum, you would have said I was barking mad.

David Cameron puts Nick Clegg on the spot

From our UK edition

Downing Street always hoped that once David Cameron had given his Europe speech, the pressure would shift on to the other party leaders. They believed that once Cameron had committed himself to a referendum, Ed Miliband and Nick Clegg would be required to say whether or not they’ll match this pledge. But Cameron has put particular pressure on the Deputy Prime Minister by making clear that renegotiation and a referendum will happen if he is Prime Minister after the next election. In other words, this is not up for debate in any 2015 coalition negotiation. Every interviewer can now ask Nick Clegg if he and the Liberal Democrats could be part of a government that was committed to renegotiating Britain’s terms of EU membership and then putting the result to a referendum.

Cameron’s red meat EU speech: five key points

From our UK edition

Cameron has finished delivering his 'red meat' speech on the European Union and answering questions from journalists. You can read the full text here, but here are five key points to take away: 1. The Prime Minister is a pro-European sceptical about the current EU settlement It actually took Cameron a long time to reach his vision of a new Europe because he was so busy praising its history. We had a whistle-stop tour through the EU's creation, dotted with praise for its peacekeeping mission first. He was clearly keen to emphasis his pro-European credentials as much as he was to criticise, saying: 'I am not a British isolationist' and 'I speak as a British Prime Minister with a positive vision for the future of the European Union'.

David Cameron’s EU speech: full text

From our UK edition

This morning I want to talk about the future of Europe. But first, let us remember the past. Seventy years ago, Europe was being torn apart by its second catastrophic conflict in a generation. A war which saw the streets of European cities strewn with rubble. The skies of London lit by flames night after night. And millions dead across the world in the battle for peace and liberty. As we remember their sacrifice, so we should also remember how the shift in Europe from war to sustained peace came about. It did not happen like a change in the weather. It happened because of determined work over generations. A commitment to friendship and a resolve never to re-visit that dark past - a commitment epitomised by the Elysee Treaty signed 50 years ago this week.

David Cameron’s EU speech: the Coffee House guide

From our UK edition

Downing Street has tonight released the following extracts from David Cameron's speech on the European Union, which he will deliver tomorrow at 8am. Here's your guide to what we know so far: 1. An unwilling EU could sleepwalk Britain out of the union 'I speak as British Prime Minister with a positive vision for the future of the European Union. A future in which Britain wants, and should want, to play a committed and active part. 'If we don’t address these challenges, the danger is that Europe will fail and the British people will drift towards the exit. 'I do not want that to happen. I want the European Union to be a success. And I want a relationship between Britain and the EU that keeps us in it. 'That is why I am here today. To acknowledge the nature of the challenges we face.

Tim Loughton vs the Department for Education, round 2

From our UK edition

The battle between Tim Loughton and the Education department rumbles on, with new foot soldiers joining the fray. The latest shot fired in the war comes from Labour's Stephen Twigg, who has demanded an investigation into the quotes we ran on Coffee House last week from a senior DfE source which described the former minister as a 'lazy incompetent narcissist obsessed only with self-promotion'. Twigg has written to the department's Permanent Secretary Chris Wormald, saying the following: 'You will be aware that both special advisers and civil servants are bound by a code of conduct, which precludes them from making personal attacks.

Cabinet agrees ‘difficult decisions’ due for 2015/16 spending review

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Ministers aren't just getting ready for March's Budget: they're also trying to work out a 'budget setting process' for 2015/16. The content of that slimmed-down departmental spending review formed the discussion at today's Cabinet meeting, with George Osborne and Danny Alexander leading. It's not clear when this spending review will be announced, other than that it will take place in the first half of 2013. But the discussion centred around that old chestnut, the 'difficult decisions'. The Prime Minister's official spokesman said: 'They set out that there was going to be a budget setting process for 15/16 in the first half of this year that the treasury will set out more on that process in due course.

Austerity latest: spending up, deficit up.

From our UK edition

We can all overdo it a little at Christmas, but the government's monthly overdraft statement — which came in this morning — is of a different order. In December, HM Treasury spent £15.4 billion more than it received in tax, a worse result than December last year where the monthly deficit was £14.8 billion. And why? Well, growth has been sluggish (we may learn on Friday that the UK economy is shrinking again) so tax revenues have fallen. But, more worryingly, state spending seems to be running out of control too. The below graph, from Citi, sums it up. The blue is what is expected (from those fiscal Mystic Megs at the Office for Budget Responsibility) for 2012-13 and the pink is what we have seen in the first nine months of that period.

Talk of a leadership challenge to David Cameron is reckless self-indulgence – Spectator Blogs

From our UK edition

For reasons I do not wholly understand, Labour partisans appear reasonably pleased with Ed Miliband. Liberal Democrats may not be especially gruntled with Nicholas Clegg but they do appear to appreciate that there's little point in changing leader now. Which brings us to the Conservative party. And there we discover madness aplenty. Again. For it seems as though more than 50 Tory MPs are sufficiently dissatisfied with David Cameron's leadership that they think a change of leader something worth considering before the next election. This, for all the reasons Robert Colvile suggests and many more he doesn't, would be folly. Madness. Lunacy. Proof that the party is unfit for office. Whatever his shortcomings there are only two things that really matter here: 1.

Restoring the 10p tax rate would be fair and simple

From our UK edition

MPs will today debate taxes and the living wage - in particular, my campaign to restore the 10p rate of income tax. For Conservatives, a 'starter' rate of 10p would help us to counter the Labour war-cry that the Coalition is only interested cutting taxes for millionaires. It would prove to the electorate, that this Government is on a moral mission to help the poor, by boosting the cash income of a worker on minimum wage by more than £250 a year. As Tim Montgomerie puts it: 'We must declare very loudly and clearly that tax cuts for the working poor will be our priority as the economy picks up.' As an economic reform, it would be hugely cheaper than raising the personal allowance to £12,500 and it would be symbolic of the Coalition’s mission to repair our economy.