Uk politics

How benefit reforms could close more women’s refuges

From our UK edition

Last week at Prime Minister’s Questions, Theresa May pleased MPs by telling them that the government will not place the same housing benefit cap on supported housing as for private rented accommodation. Supported housing includes long-term accommodation for people with severe disabilities and chronic conditions, as well as short-term housing such as hostels, women’s refuges and safe houses. This sounded sensible at the time, as domestic abuse charities had been warning that capping the housing benefit paid to the women staying in refuges would mean they would have to close (at an even greater rate than they have already been shutting down).

Parliamentarian of the Year 2017, in pictures

From our UK edition

If you ever needed a sign that politics is unpredictable then tonight's Spectator Parliamentarian of the Year awards offered it. Theresa May had to pull out at the last minute after the unfolding Westminster sleaze scandal claimed a member of her Cabinet, Michael Fallon. Happily another Michael was on hand to step in at the last minute. Michael Gove, the Environment Secretary, relished his one and only chance to play Prime Minister; 'I fought for the leadership of the Conservative party and the Conservative party fought back'. His joke about Diane Abbott's schooling decisions for her son entertained the room – even if the shadow home secretary wasn't laughing.

The £350m line on the Brexit bus was wrong. The real figure is higher

From our UK edition

The most regular attack-line used against leading Brexiteers is that they misled the public over how much money could be used to fund the NHS if Britain left the EU. Throughout the referendum campaign, Vote Leave said that we send £350 million a week to Brussels – a gross figure, applied before a rebate etc. But no one knew the real 2016 figure because the data is compiled in arrears. Only today do we have the data, published by the Office for National Statistics. Its figures show… Payment to Brussels, net of rebate and money returned to the UK: £9.4 billion a year, or £181 million a week. Payment to Brussels, net of rebate: £13.9 billion a year, or £267 million a week. Gross payment to Brussels: £18.

Tory policy chief: party needs Beveridge-style commission to survive

From our UK edition

The Conservative Party appears rather burnt-out at the moment. At its conference - even before Theresa May’s disastrous speech - it seemed to be the Knackered Party rather than the Nasty Party that the Prime Minister herself had warned about so many years ago. But it is still in government, and desperately needs to find new ideas and reasons to exist while also negotiating Brexit and dealing with unexpected scandals, such as the allegations swirling around Westminster at the moment of impropriety from Cabinet ministers. When parties are knackered, they often find a period of opposition to be a comfort, a chance to have the sort of debate about policy that you just don’t have time for in government.

The Catalans are making the same mistake as some Brexiteers

From our UK edition

The current crisis – not too strong a term – began a long time ago. And in a sense part of it really is the European Union’s fault. The EU’s failures, or rather shortcomings, play a part in this story but the greater share of it is the consequence of the EU’s successes, not its weaknesses. Across much of Europe, previously unquestioned ideas about the nation state – and its sanctity – are now subjected to some interrogation. The United Kingdom has some recent experience of this and so, of course, do Belgium and Spain. This moment has been building for some time; even, perhaps, for more than a quarter of a century.  The collapse of the Soviet Union unblocked a drain, reopening history.

Transport for London advertising: No to naked backs, yes to Russia Today

From our UK edition

Oh dear. Earlier this month there was a furore when it was revealed that a tights advert featuring a picture of a dancer's bare back had been banned from the Tube. As part of Sadiq Khan's promise to ban adverts on TfL which could cause body confidence issues, the firm were told by TfL's contractor to add a bandeau bra to the image of the model. So, Mr S was intrigued see some of the adverts that TfL appear to be perfectly relaxed about. While a bare back may be deemed too much for the daily commute, a 'propaganda machine' advert for Russia Today – the Kremlin-backed news outlet – is a-ok: Workers of the world, unite!

The Michael Fallon story distracts from more serious allegations of Westminster sleaze

From our UK edition

The Westminster sleaze row shows no signs of dying down with today's papers filled with more tales of MPs behaving badly. The Telegraph warns that the Parliament sex scandal ‘could be worse than expenses’ – reporting that two female staff stopped working for a minister over claims of inappropriate behaviour. Meanwhile the Sun leads on Michael Fallon's admission that he once touched a female journalist's leg. That journalist – Julia Hartley-Brewer – has since come forward to say that she does not count the incident as harassment.

The John Bercow guide to understanding women

From our UK edition

As Parliament sleaze dominated Commons business today, John Bercow told MPs 'there is a need for change' – describing allegations of a 'culture of sexual harassment' at Westminster as 'disturbing'. Although the Speaker placed the responsibility on political leaders to clean up Parliament, Mr S hopes that Bercow can also play an important role in helping MPs understand how to treat their female colleagues and staff with more respect. After all, it wasn't so long ago that Bercow found himself in the firing line over his approach to women. In 2009, a 'comical' John Bercow article dating back to 1986 was unearthed.

Are the Tories about to abandon austerity?

From our UK edition

Last week I wrote a column elsewhere arguing, among other things, that it is time for the government to look beyond its (almost impossible-to-meet) commitment to a budget surplus at some point in the 2020s and think about a looser target that might allow more public spending, seeking perhaps a primary but not overall surplus. (IE tax receipts equal spending on everything except debt interest.) I mention this not to advertise that column but because I think some of the reactions to it are worth sharing. As expected, one hawkish Cabinet friend was quick to scold me for advocating 'yet more borrowing'. But another, well-acquainted with Treasury thinking, simply described the idea as 'interesting' and suggested we discuss it soon.

Why the Westminster ‘sex pest list’ has existed secretly for so long

From our UK edition

Westminster is agog with whispers about who the Tory MPs are on a list of men and women alleged to be guilty of inappropriate sexual behaviour, sexual harassment and worse. Some names have been circulating for years, with many women across the Parliamentary Estate saying they have their own story about this MP or that minister. So why is it only now that there’s a threat to make the list public? The Harvey Weinstein allegations have prompted women - and men - in every industry to realise that they don’t have to just grin and bear bad behaviour as though it’s just an unfortunate side-effect to having your dream job.

Christian MPs aren’t ‘devout’. They’re self-confessed sinners

From our UK edition

There are a couple of predictable elements to the reporting of sex scandals involving a public figure, and both were in evidence when it was revealed that Stephen Crabb, MP, had sent 'pretty outrageous' messages to  a woman he’d turned down for a job in his parliamentary office. When it came to the reporting, Mr Crabb was duly described as a 'married father of two', then as a 'devout Christian', which instantly raises the suggestion: 'hypocrite'. So, you establish the individual’s respectability before proceeding with a story that suggests the contrary.

Some Tories are far from optimistic about their party’s chances of defeating Corbyn

From our UK edition

Sitting next to a former Conservative party bigwig at dinner, I ask if he thinks the Tories will be OK at the next election as long as they deliver a reasonable Brexit. ‘Not a chance,’ he says. ‘We’re totally fucked.’ What, even if May stands down once the deal is done? ‘Even then. The kids want Corbyn. The bloody 30/40-somethings want Corbyn. They don’t care or even understand about all that horrible IRA stuff, or Marxism, or nationalisation. After a couple of years of Corbyn government, they’ll get it. Too late by then. But at least the pendulum will swing back to us three years later.

Sunday shows round-up: Jeremy Hunt says Mark Garnier will be investigated over ‘sex toy’ claim

From our UK edition

Diane Abbott - Labour will have 'zero tolerance' of sexual harassment The Shadow Home Secretary joined Andrew Marr to discuss, among other things, the allegations that have been surfacing about sexual harassment in the House of Commons. Marr bought up the recent case of Jared O'Mara, the Labour MP for Sheffield Hallam who appears to have disgraced himself after several online comments were unearthed: AM: Jared O'Mara - when did the Labour party know about what he'd said? DA: When I heard about it was last Monday. He came to the PLP, he apologised, a lot of people took his apology quite seriously. But then on Tuesday we had more information. On Wednesday he was suspended and the Labour party is looking at it, there's going to be an investigation.

Jon Craig proves a professional on Sky

From our UK edition

With the Sunday papers filled with tales of male politicians behaving badly, it's a report in the Mail on Sunday involving a Brexit minister which is provoking the most outrage. The paper alleges that in 2010, Tory MP Mark Garnier – who now serves as an International Trade Minister – called a former aide ‘sugar t-ts’ and sent her to buy two vibrators for him at a sex shop in Soho. Garnier doesn't deny the claims made by Caroline Edmondson – but he does insists it was ‘good-humoured high jinks’ which 'absolutely does not constitute harassment'. Good-humoured or not, Mr S was impressed to see Sky News' Jon Craig prove the picture of professionalism this morning.

Economic forecasts are almost always wrong – so why do we take them seriously?

From our UK edition

There is a weird psychology behind economic forecasts. We know they are going to be wrong, because they always are. Yet such is our appetite for information – any information – that nevertheless we can’t stop ourselves taking them seriously. The Sunday Times this morning has gone big on a report by serial doomsayers the EY Item Club claiming that the government needs to move quickly to obtain a transitional deal on Brexit or face a collapse in business investment. Even with a deal it predicts that the growth in business investment next year will fall to 1.5 per cent, from 2.1 per cent this year. Maybe. But then again, maybe not. There is absolutely no evidence from previous EY Item Club forecasts to suggest that this is better than a figure plucked out of the sky.

May is repeating Cameron’s mistakes in dealing with the EU

From our UK edition

Theresa May’s style of negotiating with the European Union is coming spookily to resemble David Cameron’s. She is in the mindset where the important thing is to get a deal, rather than working out what sort of a deal is worth getting. The EU understands this, and therefore delays, making Cameron/May more desperate to settle, even on bad terms. Eventually, there is an inadequate deal which the British government then has to sell to a doubting electorate. Mr Cameron was punished for this at the referendum he had called. Mrs May is inviting punishment at a general election.

The EU needs to ask itself some searching questions about Brexit

From our UK edition

I have come to Greece in search of sanity over Brexit. Ostensibly it is a symposium to discuss relations between Britain and Greece. But it is also an excuse to step away from the minutiae of the negotiations to think about the future of Europe. It was from Greece, of course, that our continent derived its name — from the mythological Europa who was ravished by Zeus and bore a future king of Crete. One contributor notes dryly that Greece is also not a bad place to think about the rise and fall of empires, the follies of politicians, the failings of institutions and what happens to elites when they become obsessed by Byzantine theological detail. The EU has no monopoly on schism.