Sebastian Payne

Podcast: Angela Merkel’s mistake on refugees — and is Tom Watson Labour’s saviour?

From our UK edition

Angela Merkel’s offer to welcome any Syrian refugees who reach Germany will have far reaching, potential devastating consequences. On this week’s View from 22 podcast, James Forsyth debates this week’s Spectator cover feature on Merkel's grandstanding with Holly Baxter from the Independent. Has David Cameron done the right thing by not offering asylum to more refugees? Are all European countries pulling equal weight in dealing with the crisis? And what will the European Union as a whole do next to help the refugees? Dan Hodges and former Labour adviser John McTernan also discuss whether Tom Watson could be the man who holds the Labour party together.

Will Jeremy Corbyn end up ‘doing a Blair’ as Labour leader?

From our UK edition

Jeremy Corbyn’s lack of experience in office makes it hard to predict how he will act as Labour leader. His tens of thousands of supporters are crowing that a new political age will begin on Saturday and are looking forward to a shadow cabinet made of like-minded folk from the hard-left — Diane Abbott, Michael Meacher etc. But the signs so far suggest that Corbyn as Labour leader will operate differently to Corbyn to march leader. Today’s Guardian offers an explanation why. The list of shadow cabinet ministers who would refuse to serve under Corbyn is growing, along with a unease among Labour MPs about a split between its Parliamentary party and grassroots.

How will the Conservatives react to a Jeremy Corbyn victory?

From our UK edition

If the bookmakers and pollsters are to be believed, there is little doubt that Jeremy Corbyn will be crowned Labour leader on Saturday. Westminster is therefore wondering: what happens next? I’ve written a piece for POLITICO Europe today looking at the personal and policy battles ahead if Corbyn is the new opposition leader. Instead of treating him as a joke, it seems the Tories would take Corbyn seriously and use the bucketloads of research they have built up over the summer to undermine and destroy him. While Conservative HQ and Downing Street are not revealing too much about their plans if Corbyn wins, insiders suggest that their core message of 'Labour hasn't changed' would be continued.

Listen: Bernard Jenkin vs. James Naughtie on BBC bias and the EU referendum

From our UK edition

The government’s humiliating defeat on purdah is the first major victory for Eurosceptics in the battle on how the EU referendum is fought. Bernard Jenkin, one of the lead Tory rebels, appeared on the Today programme to explain why his gang took on the government last night: ‘They initially wanted to abolish the purdah rules altogether, which would mean going to back to the kind of referendum that Wales had in 1997 which was so roundly criticised by the Committee on Standards in Public Life, where the government was spending money and ministers were being deployed by the civil service to conduct the campaign. In the general election and local election, there is a very strong tradition that that should not happen.

Labour defaults to Universal Credit attack at welfare questions

From our UK edition

Labour has had a difficult summer over welfare, so it’s no surprise its frontbench played it safe at Work and Pensions questions today. Instead of ruthlessly quizzing the government on the recent statistics showing the death of those being found fit to work or even the Welfare Bill, its frontbench team chose to attack on Universal Credit, something it tends to turn to in times of trouble. Iain Duncan Smith, the Work and Pensions Secretary, claimed ‘Universal Credit is going to be a remarkable success’ despite the endless delays and technical missteps: ‘Universal Credit is now available in over half of job centres across Great Britain and available in all Jobcentres early next year.

Mitchell and Cooper present two different paths on dealing with Syria

From our UK edition

It’s back to school day in Westminster and one of the first items on the agenda will be David Cameron's announcement on accepting more Syrian refugees. Exactly how many extra asylum seekers Britain will take in is, according to the Sunday Times, likely to be between 10,000 and 20,000. Someone who is particularly pleased with this is Yvette Cooper, the shadow home secretary and Labour leadership contender.

Nigel Farage: I’d love to share a platform with Jeremy Corbyn

From our UK edition

Nigel Farage held another event in Westminster this morning to announce the dates of his ‘Say No – Believe in Britain’ tour, through which he hopes to drum up support for a Brexit. While the venue and message were identical to his press conference in July, the Ukip leader did reveal some details: twelve regional co-ordinators have been chosen, 300 events are planned over the next few months and six million leaflets will be delivered by Christmas. In light of the British Future polling on the toxicity of Ukip’s immigration message, Farage was keen point out he will work with anyone to achieve a Brexit — even Jeremy Corbyn.

Nigel Farage’s immigration rhetoric may harm ‘Out’ campaign, new poll suggests

From our UK edition

Nigel Farage and Ukip are convinced they can win the EU referendum by focusing on immigration as the key issue. But other Eurosceptics have been concerned that the kippers will alienate the public — and non-Ukip sympathisers in particular — with their tough rhetoric on this topic and the ‘In’ side will triumph. British Future, a think tank which studies the effects of migration, has commissioned a set of polls which confirms this risk exists. According to the polling conducted by Survation, 58 per cent agree that ‘Ukip risk bringing prejudice into debates on immigration’ — something 44 per cent of those described as ‘leaning Out’ agree with, as well as 74 per cent of those ‘leaning In’.

George Osborne: criminal gangs ‘killed’ the drowned refugee boy

From our UK edition

George Osborne has given the first official comments today regarding the ongoing migrant crisis. The Chancellor told Sky News he was ‘very distressed’ at the picture on the front pages of today’s newspapers and argued criminal gangs are responsible for the death of the drowned boy: ‘(There is no) person who would not be very shocked by that picture - and I was very distressed when I saw it myself this morning ‑ of that poor boy lying dead on the beach. We know there is not a simple answer to this crisis. What you need to do is first of all tackle Isis and the criminal gangs who killed that boy, you’ve got to make sure the aid keeps coming. We’ve put £1 billion of overseas aid in to help these desperate people.

The Conservatives who have broken cover on the migrant crisis

From our UK edition

Pressure is growing on David Cameron to accept more migrants, both from the media and from many in his own MPs. After today's front pages hit social media yesterday evening, Conservatives from all corners of the party have publicly urged the government to take further action. These are the figures who have broken cover so far. Ruth Davidson – leader of the Scottish Conservatives: tweeted 'DfID is doing life-saving work abroad but we can - & must - do more at home' https://twitter.com/RuthDavidsonMSP/status/639356646364446720 https://twitter.

The ghost of Boris haunts the Conservative mayoral contest

From our UK edition

There is one topic the four Tory candidates for London mayor can agree on: Boris. Throughout the first public hustings at the Institute of Directors last night, Andrew Boff, Zac Goldsmith, Syed Kamall and Stephen Greenhalgh all tried to outdo each other by singing praises of the outgoing mayor. Greenhalgh, Boris’s deputy for policing and crime, said he was the ‘greatest mayor of greatest city on earth’, while Goldsmith said ‘London has been incredibly well served over the last 8 years by Boris Johnson, we’ve been lucky to have him as mayor’.

Podcast: what Jeremy Corbyn’s Britain looks like

From our UK edition

What will Jeremy Corbyn’s victory in the Labour leadership contest mean for Britain and the Labour party? On this week’s View from 22 podcast, James Forsyth, Dan Hodges and Ellie Mae O’Hagan discuss this week’s Spectator cover on the impact his leadership would have. Would it be a disaster for Labour if he wins? What would the impact be on the Conservatives? Might Corbyn soften his views and become more pragmatic as leader? And will Labour’s centrists find themselves in the wilderness for many years, or rally round their new leader?  Matthew Parris and Theo Hobson also discuss whether Christianity is offering enough moral guidance on the migrant crisis.

The Free Schools revolution marches on — if Cameron holds his nerve

From our UK edition

David Cameron has vowed he will ‘not waver’ in his commitment to free schools and has announced another 500 will open over the next five years — creating 270,000 new school places by 2020. Eighteen new projects have been given the go-ahead today, adding to the existing 252 free schools and the 52 new schools opening this week. As the chart above shows, the government’s target is ambitious. To see the commitment through, two waves of new free schools will be announced every year in March and September. The Prime Minister said the announcement shows that the government is focused on ‘delivering an excellent education and giving parents across the country real choice for their children’.

When will the EU referendum be held? Here are three possible dates

From our UK edition

David Cameron has promised to hold an EU referendum before 2017 is over, but there have been no more details on when exactly it will take place. Some Eurosceptics believe the Prime Minister will announce the date in his speech at Tory conference in a few weeks, but most expect he would like it to be held next year. Newsnight’s Allegra Stratton has revealed that the government is considering holding the vote in April 2016. This would mean finishing off the renegotiation at ‘breakneck speed’, primarily to take advantage of a Corbyn-lead Labour party in flux. So far, there are three potential dates the campaigns believe are likely.

Andy and Yvette — a tale of two ‘Anyone But Corbyn’ strategies

From our UK edition

Who has the best chance of beating Jeremy Corbyn: Andy Burnham or Yvette Cooper? The Burnham and Cooper camps are vying to be the clear ‘Anyone But Corbyn’ candidate, and trying to grab as much of the low-hanging ‘soft’ Corbyn vote as possible before the ballot closes on 10 September. Burnham is most blatant in his adoption of the ABC strategy. For example, in an op-ed for the Independent today, he says ‘I believe it has come down to a straight choice between Jeremy Corbyn and myself’ and outlined five policy areas he will pursue if elected leader to build a ‘bolder, more principled Labour party’. On housing, Burnham said he will oppose the extension of Right to Buy for housing associations.

‘Remain’ or ‘leave’ — the new EU referendum wording

From our UK edition

Forget ‘Yes’ and ‘No’ or ‘In’ and ‘Out’, the EU referendum question looks set to be a choice between ‘remain’ or ‘leave’. The Electoral Commission has recommended a change from the current question in the EU Referendum Bill: ‘Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union?’ To which the response is either ‘Yes’ or ‘No’. This wording could be judged to be helpful for those who want Britain to remain in the EU, as the question was posed in a particularly negative way as well as involving a change from the status quo.

Nigel Farage shows why he shouldn’t lead the ‘No’ campaign

From our UK edition

Nigel Farage is kickstarting Ukip’s ‘No’ campaign this week, having grown fed up with the lack of momentum from other corners. On the Today programme, the Ukip leader explained he is happy to work with either of the two groups vying to be the designated the Out campaign by the Electoral Commission — the Matthew Elliot Westminster-based campaign vs.

Revealed: Wikipedia’s panic over Shapps fiasco

From our UK edition

During the election campaign a cloud hung over Grant Shapps, the then chairman of the Conservative party. In April, he was accused of editing his own Wikipedia profile and those of other politicians by Richard Symonds, a Wikipedia member of staff and Lib Dem activist. Symonds claimed that Shapps 'or someone acting on his behalf' used an anonymous account 'Contribsx' to make edits that appeared to be to Shapps' benefit. But there has been no hard evidence Shapps edited the pages and Symonds has been censured by Wikipedia for his actions. Now, it transpires that Wikipedia may not have been acting neutrally. Coffee House has been passed an email that was sent around the board of Wikimedia UK, the charity responsible for Wikipedia in Britain.

Long-serving frontbenchers and the Spadocracy dominate the 2015 dissolution peers

From our UK edition

The 2015 Dissolution Peerages have been announced, with many of the names floated in the press over the last few weeks duly being elevated to the House of Lords. The appointment of long-serving politicians such as William Hague, Alistair Darling, Ming Campbell and David Blunkett is not a surprise, but there are a few unexpected names. The most striking is Tessa Jowell, who is running to be Labour's London mayoral candidate. If Jowell wins the nomination, she would end up doing a Boris and serving in City Hall and Westminster.

Podcast: Charlie Falconer vs Douglas Murray on assisted dying

From our UK edition

The Assisted Dying Bill will return to the Commons and Lords in the near future – are we prepared for the consequences? On the latest View from 22 podcast, Douglas Murray debates this week’s cover feature with Lord Falconer, the former Justice Secretary and Lord Chancellor who has been a key proponent of the bill. Are there lessons to be learnt from euthanasia legislation in Holland, Belgium and Oregon? What impact will the law have on the mentalities of older people? And are there enough provisions in the bill to stop assisted dying becoming a ‘slippery slope’? Isabel Hardman and James Cleverly, the Conservative MP for Braintree, also discuss the 2015 intake of Conservative MPs and how they differ from previous generations.