James Forsyth

James Forsyth

James Forsyth is former political editor of The Spectator.

More reshuffle talk

From our UK edition

Here’s the latest reshuffle speculation. Nearly all the papers are agreed that David Miliband is going to the Foreign Office, Alan Johnson to Health, Ed Balls to the schools part of a split education ministry and Jack Straw to the Justice Ministry. The Independent reports that Ed Miliband is going to the Cabinet Office and the FT hears that Geoff Hoon will be Chief Whip. Still lots of talk about a senior Tory joining Shirley Williams in some sort of advisory role.

Brown’s strategy

From our UK edition

Today’s absolute must read is Rachel Sylvester’s column on how Brown intends to take on Cameron. It is chock full of details such as this, "The man who will take over at Number 10 tomorrow wants to smash his big clunking fist on to the Conservative leader's head. I will never forget the look of hatred on Mr Brown's face when I asked him, at a Treasury party a few months ago, what he thought of a speech Mr Cameron had made about Africa. "Where's the policy?" he spat back with venom in his voice. He does not just dislike his opponent: he despises him." Do read the whole thing.

Gridlocked

From our UK edition

This Today Programme special on social mobility is well worth listening to. Also, do read this piece on how to break down the social barriers in education by the head of the Sutton Trust Sir Peter Lampl.

Margaret Beckett’s spin

From our UK edition

Margaret Beckett has been dismissing calls for a referendum by arguing that Britain is not a country that "governs by referendum" which begs the question as to why she was happy to run in 2005 on a manifesto that explicitly stated, “We will put it to the British people in a referendum”.

How is the treaty different from the constitution?

From our UK edition

With these European documents, the devil is always in the detail. Yes, Blair has passed the four tests on his ‘red lines’ that he set himself, but that doesn’t actually mean that much in reality as opposed to political terms. The invaluable think-tank Open Europe has gone through the document with a fine tooth comb and found that beneath the headlines this is a far more similar document to the Constitution, on which the Labour manifesto explicitly promised the public a vote, than the government are suggesting.  ps If you want to know how the sausage got made over the last few days, I’d thoroughly recommend Mark Mardell and Ben Brogan’s blogs.

Brown speaks

From our UK edition

This BBC interview with Gordon Brown is essential viewing; it’s the best example yet of ‘new and improved Gordon.’ Also worth a click right now, is Ben Brogan’s blog which is doing yeoman’s work tracking the twists and turns of the EU negotiations. As he points out, “if a deal is agreed later tonight, it will include concessions that will require Britain to give up its veto in about 40 areas, including transport, culture and the terms for entering the euro.” Over the weekend, Coffee House will have analysis of the agreement, or lack of one, from the Brussels summit and more on the build up to Brown.

What the CIA was up to during the Cold War

From our UK edition

Next week, the CIA will release its records of its activities up to the end of the 1970s. The Washington Post reports that Michael Hayden, the CIA Director, has confirmed that documents on the CIA’s overseas assassination attempts, domestic spying, kidnapping, infiltration of leftist groups, surveillance of journalists and "unwitting" drugs tests on U.S. civilians are all included in this declassification exercise. The CIA is, obviously, hoping to win brownie points for transparency. But, I fear, that if anything the CIA is suspected of doing is not included in this document dump it will just be written off as an elaborate cover-up. Anyway, brace yourself for a whole slew of stories on the CIA’s failed attempts to kill Castro.

The public wants a vote

From our UK edition

Open Europe have a new poll out today that shows that 86 percent of voters want a referendum on the proposed new treaty. Normally, I’m against referendums on the grounds that we live in a parliamentary democracy. But in this instance, that argument is made null and void by the fact that the 2005 Labour manifesto committed the party to a referendum. Worryingly for Brown, 57 percent of voters would be definitely less likely to vote Labour at the next election if it reneges on its promise to offer people a chance to vote on the treaty. It’ll be fascinating to see how Brown gets himself out of this one.

No laughing matter | 18 June 2007

From our UK edition

I must admit that I disagree with Matt about Bernard Manning. The man was a deeply unpleasant bully and while others who ‘say the unsayable’—Borat, for instance—are actually ridiculing racism, Manning was endorsing it. Consider his performance at an event in Manchester back in the 1990s that was secretly taped by World in Action. Manning turned to one of the very few black guests and asked, "Having a night out with nice white people? Isn't this better than swinging from the trees? Do you think it makes any difference what colour you are? You bet your bollocks it does" The same night, he also came out with this comment about non-white people who are born here: “They think they're English because they're born here.

Campaign Literature

From our UK edition

This essay by the US political commentator Michael Barone does a cracking job of explaining why 2008 presidential politics is so dynamic compared to the predictable politics of polarization that have dominated the last few elections. Also worth reading on the US front is this entertaining piece from the New York Times magazine about the candidates to be the next first family and what they tell us about modern American family life.

The odd couple

From our UK edition

The more you reflect on the Clintons’ story, the more remarkable it becomes. A boy and a girl meet at a prestigious Ivy League law school, fall in love not so much with each other as with the concept of themselves as a couple, leave their sophisticated world to go back to his Southern backwater and despite him never controlling his roving eye and hands climb the political ladder and make it to the White House. Once there, he suffers one of the most crushing mid-term reverses of any president but still wins re-election at a canter. He gets impeached but still leaves office as one of the most popular presidents on record. She is responsible for many of the biggest political blunders of his administration but still salvages his presidency.

A guide to Iraq for US GIs

From our UK edition

A few years ago, bookshops started selling the hand book that American GIs were given before coming to Britain during World War Two. With hindsight, it made for amusing reading—it was interesting to see how many of the respective stereotypes had stood the test of time. Well, this is the equivalent guide to Iraq. It makes for fascinating reading and gives you an idea of how much more difficult what we’re trying to do in Iraq now is than what we did there sixty-odd years ago. I heavily recommend giving it a read. The stuff on the national character of the Iraqis is particularly interesting.

The return of the established order?

From our UK edition

With Tony Blair’s departure from Downing Street there’ll be much talk of restoring ‘good government,’ an end to the centralisation of power, politicisation of the civil service and ‘spin’. Rachel Sylvester has a great scoop in today’s Telegraph about how the establishment is pushing for this through something called the “Better Government Initiative.” It is hard to dismiss a commission made up of five former permanent secretaries, two chiefs of the defence staff (ret.), Oxford academics and the like but this belief that the civil service is the answer to the government’s delivery problems seems wrong-headed.

Did the grammar schools row come at the right time?

From our UK edition

The conventional wisdom on the grammar school row is that it came at precisely the wrong time for the Cameroons. With Brown about to take over at No.10, they needlessly shot themselves in the foot so this narrative has it. This is undoubtedly true but the very nature of the operation the Cameroons are engaged in means that they are going to make mistakes as they try and ‘challenge’ their party. There’s a case to be made that it is better they received this shot across the bows now rather than after the policy groups reported. It would have been much harder to walk back from a radical—but half-baked—new policy that they had proudly adopted as an early pledge.

The boy behind the man

From our UK edition

This piece in the Telegraph about Brown’s upbringing is well worth reading. It gives you an idea of how precocious Brown was and how early he developed his sense of social mission. But there’s also an early foretaste of his puritanism: “In April 1962, aged 11, he wrote an article about a church campaign in favour of television commercials against the twin demons of alcohol and tobacco. Gordon concluded his piece with a typically opinionated flourish: "Let us hope that this plan will be a success and that the sale of drink and cigarettes to the younger and older generation will fall when these [commercials] against drink and cigarettes are shown.

Yes, Prime Minister Brown

From our UK edition

Interesting piece by Denis MacShane in the Telegraph on how Brown is planning to “trust the professionals” when he becomes PM. MacShane thinks that Brown is comfortable with the governing machine in a way that Blair—who “did not know how to make the Civil Service work for him”—never was. MacShane's take is certainly very different from Tom Bower’s.

How big a deal is the climate deal?

From our UK edition

Not very. As Matt pointed out the other day, anything like this that doesn’t mandate binding cuts is just hot air. The big winner from the failure to agree a deal: Al Gore. He gets to denounce world leaders for their passivity at his concerts and this inaction preserves one of the essential rationales for him jumping into the presidential race.

Name the date

From our UK edition

So, we’re going to get another, much-needed Bank Holiday to celebrate Britishness. Personally, I’d nominate the anniversary of the battle of Trafalgar on the 21st of October. It would break up that long stretch from the last August Bank Holiday to Christmas and celebrates the victory that ensured Britain retained dominance of the seas and thus her independence. What do you think?