Jacob Heilbrunn

Jacob Heilbrunn

Jacob Heilbrunn is editor of The National Interest. He lives in Washington DC

Will Donald Trump avoid the mistakes made by George Bush in Iraq?

26 min listen

Trump has signalled that the Middle East war could be 'over ​soon' and pledged to lift sanctions after talks with Russian president Vladimir Putin. Freddy Gray is joined by Jacob Heilbrunn and Robert Bryce to discuss why Trump was potentially unprepared for Iran's retaliation, what could come from the talks with Putin, and why Britain can only get their energy prices down by drilling.

Will Donald Trump avoid the mistakes made by George Bush in Iraq?

The Democrats are on the march in Texas

From our UK edition

It’s the best of times for the Democrats in Texas and the worst of times for the Republicans. James Talarico is the Democratic candidate for the Senate while Ken Paxton and John Cornyn are headed for a nasty and expensive three-month runoff that will culminate in a runoff election on 26 May. Cornyn has made no secret of his disdain for Paxton, deeming him a ‘dead weight’. Will it be the Alamo for Texas Republicans, their last stand as the Democrats swarm over their defences to reclaim the Lone Star state and the Senate majority itself? The significance of Talarico’s victory over Jasmine Crockett can hardly be overstated. She has latched onto voter confusion at precincts in Dallas Williamson counties, but her beef seems unlikely to go anywhere.

The Texas Republican revolt

Following last night’s primaries, Texas Democrats have a clear Senate candidate in James Talarico. Texas Republicans have a civil war. Ken Paxton and John Cornyn are headed for a nasty and expensive three-month runoff that will culminate in an election on May 26. Cornyn has made no secret of his disdain for Paxton, deeming him a “dead weight.” Are Texas Republicans facing an Alamo scenario, a last stand as the Democrats swarm over their defenses to reclaim the Lone Star state and the Senate majority? More than 2.4 million Texans cast ballots in the Democratic primary, the highest number in nearly two decades. The significance of Talarico’s victory over Jasmine Crockett can hardly be overstated.

Is this Trump’s Sarajevo moment?

Here we go again. Switch out Saddam Hussein for the Ayatollah Khamenei and Ahmed Chalabi for Reza Pahlavi and you have a fresh war for regime change in the Middle East, this time with Israel as America’s sidekick. With Operation Epic Fury, the American and Israeli bombing of Iran and push for regime change, the self-proclaimed “President of Peace” runs the risk not only of triggering wider upheaval in the Middle East, but also globally. Is this a new Sarajevo moment? With Trump’s own generals having warned him that attacking Iran could be a debacle, he may have torched his own presidency Unlike George W. Bush in 2003, who worked to bolster domestic and international support for attacking Iraq, Donald Trump has disdained the slightest effort to justify his war publicly.

Does Trump know what he is trying to do in Iran?

Does Trump know what he is trying to do in Iran?

Donald Trump has urged Iranians to ‘take over’ their government after the United States and Israel struck targets across the country. A multitude of Iranian military and government targets were hit by missiles in what is turning out to be a joint operation far more comprehensive than the 12-day air campaign last June. Freddy Gray and Jacob Heilbrunn join to discuss why now, how this attack is fraught with risk for Trump's presidency, and how Trump's administration was hijacked by the neoconservatives.

Trump’s reality-show State of the Union speech

Donald Trump may have celebrated Team USA for winning the gold at the Olympics in hockey, but he was not in a puckish mood during his State of the Union speech. Instead, Trump stuck to his tried-and-true script of denouncing Democrats as “sick,” mocking concerns about affordability and cooing over Melania as a great new movie star. Far from nobody ever seeing anything like it, Trump delivered what everybody has already seen. Ever the salesman, he was not shy with the superlatives, declaring that America is the “hottest” country in the world – “bigger, better, richer, stronger than ever before.” If there was one thing that was longer than ever, it was Trump’s own address, which set a record length of 108 minutes.

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The Supreme Court is right to reject Trump’s tariffs

From our UK edition

At a rally in Georgia on Thursday night, President Trump declared that he couldn’t wait ‘forever’ for the Supreme Court to rule on the legitimacy of his sweeping tariff policy. Whether or not it was listening to his complaint, forever arrived today as the court handed Trump a thumping defeat. It struck a blow not only for fiscal but also political sanity. The language of the ruling was as lapidary as it was persuasive. ‘President asserts the extraordinary power to unilaterally impose tariffs of unlimited amount, duration, and scope,’ Chief Justice John Roberts wrote in the 6-3 opinion. ‘In light of the breadth, history, and constitutional context of that asserted authority, he must identify clear congressional authorization to exercise it.

The Supreme Court is right to reject Trump’s tariffs

At a rally in Georgia on Thursday night, President Trump declared that he couldn’t wait “forever” for the Supreme Court to rule on the legitimacy of his sweeping tariff policy. Whether or not the court was listening to his complaint, forever arrived today as it handed Trump a thumping defeat. It struck a blow not only for fiscal but also political sanity. Government intrusion upon the free enterprise system is bound to prove inimical to prosperity and liberty The language of the ruling was as lapidary as it was persuasive. “President asserts the extraordinary power to unilaterally impose tariffs of unlimited amount, duration and scope,” Chief Justice John Roberts wrote in the 6-3 opinion.

Is Donald Trump becoming a globalist?

It was a banner day for Donald Trump. On Thursday, at the US justice department, a long perpendicular banner with his stern visage was unfurled, proclaiming 'Make America Safe Again'. And just across from the state department, Trump convened his shiny new Board of Peace at the former US institute of peace, which has a dove-shaped white roof. It was seized in 2025 by Secretary of State Marco Rubio and renamed after Trump. 'I had no idea,' Trump said. But for all his disclaimers, Trump was not shy about expressing his delight at the new name that adorned the building’s entrance. A bevy of strongmen, including Vietnam’s general secretary To Lam and Hungary’s prime minister Viktor Orban, looked on as Trump proclaimed that he would reshape the Middle East.

Washington is in a deep freeze

As the Potomac ices over for the first time in decades, Washington is in a deep freeze. Democrats are about to send it into an even deeper one. Intent on icing out ICE, they’re threatening to shutter the federal government over a bill funding the Department of Homeland Security and to impeach Kristi Noem. “Donald Trump must fire Kristi Noem immediately,” House minority leader Hakeem Jeffries wrote Tuesday in a post on social media. “Or Democrats will initiate impeachment proceedings against her in the House. We can do this the easy way or the hard way.”Ever since the shooting of Alex Pretti in Minneapolis, the Trump administration has been scrambling to recover its footing – and inadvertently helping the Democrats to get their groove back.

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Far from all Americans support Trump’s advance on Greenland

From our UK edition

President Trump isn’t ushering in a golden age but rather an age of gold. The precious metal has hit an all-time high of $4,650 (£3,466) an ounce following his latest threats to levy tariffs against Europe over Greenland. By contrast, the geopolitical ructions over Greenland mean that the once-proud dollar has continued to tumble against foreign currencies, jeopardising its status as the world’s reserve currency. A number of Congressional Republicans, including Louisiana Senator John Kennedy, are voicing their doubts about the wisdom of Trump’s eagerness to cosplay Russian president Vladimir Putin seizing Crimea. Kennedy referred to the notion of invading Greenland as 'weapons-grade stupid'.

Trump’s Greenland caper will heighten inflation

On February 24, Donald Trump will deliver the first State of the Union speech of his second term as president. That impending date goes a long way toward explaining Trump’s avidity for annexing Greenland – sooner rather than later – as the centerpiece of his program for restoring an American golden age of imperial power. Nothing would please Trump more than to be able to declare mission accomplished when he addresses Congress in February. Far from backing away from the issue, Trump, who will travel to Davos next week, is doubling down. He seems convinced that he can cow European leaders into submission, but the more he badgers them, the greater the likelihood that they begin to resist.

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Trump won’t back down after the Minnesota shooting

From our UK edition

So much for 'Minnesota nice', the phrase that Midwesterners like to use to describe their calm dispositions. Three gunshots – fired point-blank in the gelid snows of Minneapolis by a federal immigration officer at Renee Nicole Good, a 37-year-old white woman and American citizen – have plunged the North Star State into renewed political turmoil. The fatal shooting took place only a few blocks from where George Floyd was killed in May 2020. In responding to the tragedy, President Trump proceeded on his favourite premise – the best defence is a good offence.

Will Trump back down in Minnesota?

So much for Minnesota nice, the phrase that Midwesterners like to use to describe their calm dispositions. Three gunshots – fired pointblank in the gelid snows of Minneapolis by a federal immigration officer at Renee Nicole Good, a thirty-seven-year-old white woman and American citizen – have plunged the North Star State into renewed political turmoil. The fatal shooting took place only a few blocks from where George Floyd was killed in May 2020. In responding to the tragedy, President Trump proceeded on his favorite premise: the best defense is a good offense.

Venezuela has left Trump feeling cocky

From our UK edition

There was no dancing, let alone prancing, in the Brooklyn courtroom as former Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro was arraigned on four charges, including narco-terrorism and weapons trafficking, following his capture by American forces on a military base in Caracas on Saturday. Instead, Maduro, whose terpsichorean moves to a musical remix of his 'No War, Yes Peace' speech had apparently incurred Trump’s ire, seemed like a shrunken figure as he appeared in prison attire and ankle shackles. 'I’m still president,' Maduro stated. But the no-nonsense 92-year-old federal Judge Alvin Hellerstein quashed his attempt at delivering a personal liberation theology speech.

Maduro

As Maduro appeared in court, Venezuela swore in his replacement

There was no dancing, let alone prancing, in the Manhattan courtroom as former Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro was arraigned on four charges, including narco-terrorism and weapons trafficking, following his capture by American forces on a military base in Caracas on Saturday. Instead, Maduro, whose terpsichorean moves to a musical remix of his “No War, Yes Peace” speech had apparently incurred Trump’s ire, seemed like a shrunken figure as he appeared in prison attire and ankle shackles. “I’m still president,” he stated. But the no-nonsense 92-year-old federal Judge Alvin Hellerstein, quashed his attempt at delivering a personal liberation theology speech.

What is the Donroe Doctrine’s plan for Venezuela?

The US launched a military operation in Venezuela, targeting the regime in Caracas and detaining President Nicolás Maduro, who has been transferred to New York where he faces charges of narcoterrorism. Donald Trump has described the move as a decisive defence of American interests, but critics point point to the double standards when it come to Trump's ‘America First’ doctrine. Jacob Heilbrunn, editor of The National Interest, joins Freddy Gray to discuss the strategic importance of Venezuela’s oil reserves, the role of socialism in the country’s collapse, and how Trump may seek to manage the risk of regional backlash and a counter-insurgency.

Why does Trump care about Europe’s ‘civilisational erasure’?

From our UK edition

In Ukraine, as elsewhere in Europe, Donald Trump's new national security strategy is being met with a mixture of incredulity and incomprehension. 'What does it actually mean?' a general who advises Volodymyr Zelenskyy asked me on Tuesday as we met in the presidential administration building in downtown Kyiv. It’s not an easy question to answer. Is it a blueprint for surrendering to the Kremlin? Or a negligible document that, for all the hoopla surrounding it, President Trump has most likely never read? The document was apparently drafted by Michael Anton, who was until recently head of the US State Department’s policy planning staff. He seems to have tailored it to torment America’s European allies, including Great Britain.

Trump is running out of tricks to prop up the American economy

From our UK edition

President Donald Trump dozed off during his cabinet meeting on Tuesday. Who could blame him? Listening to Secretary of State Marco Rubio drone on about Russia would prompt souls less hardy than Trump to catch some shuteye. What should be keeping Trump awake, or at least uneasy, is the shaky state of the American economy. The federal government may not be releasing much data, but the payroll processing company ADP is reporting that private employers cut 32,000 jobs last month. The losses were heavily concentrated among small employers who have been slammed by Trump’s capricious tariff policy. The only positive sign has been in the data centre industry, where investments in AI have been fuelling stock market gains.

Donald Trump’s affordability blues

So President Donald Trump may have dozed off during his cabinet meeting on Tuesday. Who could blame him? Listening to Secretary of State Marco Rubio drone on about Russia would prompt souls less hardy than Trump to catch some shuteye.  What should be keeping Trump awake, or at least uneasy, is the shaky state of the American economy. The federal government may not be releasing much data about the economy, but the payroll processing company ADP is reporting that private employers cut 32,000 jobs last month. The losses were heavily concentrated among small employers who have been slammed by Trump’s capricious tariff policy.

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