Isabel Hardman

After a few weeks of Boris vs George, Conservatives are now starting to gossip about something a little more immediate: a post-European elections reshuffle. I understand that the Prime Minister is currently experiencing concerted lobbying from many ministers and backbenchers to remove Baroness Warsi from her post as 'senior minister of state' after her decision to wave about a front page on the 'Eton Mess' in Number 10 on ITV's The Agenda a few weeks ago. There was fury at a senior level in the Conservative party about Warsi's behaviour: she was punching her party's bruise on class. One minister says: 'She should be dropped down a hole and a lid put on the top. She knew what she was doing, she's not naive.

Remember that rather curious change to the Immigration Bill that would render foreign-born terror suspects 'stateless' that ministers managed to sneak through while most MPs were in a tizz about Dominic Raab? Well, it's facing its first major battle in the House of Lords soon, with a group of peers tabling an amendment which would in effect neuter it or spark a row in the Commons. The new clause, tabled by crossbenchers Lord Pannick and Lord Brown, Lib Dem former Director of Public Prosecutions Lord Macdonald and Labour's Baroness Smith, proposes setting up a committee of MPs and peers to consider whether the stateless policy should go ahead.

Today's joint FT article by George Osborne and Wolfgang Schäuble is yet another exhibit for David Cameron to wave at critics of his EU policy. While Nigel Farage and Nick Clegg fight over In or Out with no chance of leading the government that presents that choice to the British people (read Fraser's Telegraph column on this), David Cameron can say that he is inching closer to winning debates, point by point, with European leaders. Today's article contains the important acceptance that non-eurozone countries should be protected rather than disadvantaged by treaty change: 'A stable euro is good for the global economy, and especially for Europe. The crisis has shown that the eurozone needs a common fiscal and economic policy with corresponding improved governance.

Perhaps both David Cameron and Ed Miliband will try to take credit for SSE's announcement that it is freezing its prices until 2016 when they tussle at PMQs. Number 10 this morning said: 'Anything which helps consumers with their bills is to be welcomed, of course and one of the things that the company is explaining today is it is able to, a principle reason why it is able to make this decision is because of the rolling back of the green levies and green charges, which is a result of this government.' This is true, but it's not quite the full picture. The only reason the government decided to roll back the 'green crap' is that Labour spooked ministers with its energy prize freeze announcement. It was the political game-changer of the autumn.

Even though it's not unreasonable to predict that both Nick Clegg and Nigel Farage can emerge from tonight's LBC debate feeling they've won (they're preaching to quite different choirs), it's still worth remembering that the one who lands a killer blow or smart put down will get the best clip on the 10 o'clock news. David Cameron says he won't be watching the debate, implying he's not bothered by this sideshow. Few believe this. But as he does furtively follow the exchanges while pretending to watch one of his favourite box sets, the Prime Minister will see both Farage and Clegg rubbish his renegotiation strategy. The former thinks it is hopeless and that the UK should just leave the EU.

The Lib Dems are considering scaling back their fight for Maajid Nawaz to win the Hampstead and Kilburn seat after the row about his 'Jesus and Mo' tweet, I have been told. This very marginal seat, which Labour's Glenda Jackson holds with a majority of just 42, had been one of the Lib Dems' key target seats. But a very well-placed senior source tells me that after the 'Jesus and Mo' row (which Nawaz had an extremely bad-tempered debate about with Mehdi Hasan and Mo Ansar on yesterday's Newsnight), those involved in the party's campaigns have privately concluded that the candidate has seriously damaged his chances of winning the seat and that 'chucking the kitchen sink at it might not be worth the effort'. The Lib Dems defended Nawaz when a petition calling for his deselection was set up.

So Rachel Reeves confirmed in the Commons today that Labour will back the welfare cap when it comes to a vote. Tory MPs cheered her as she announced this. There is a rebellion brewing on the Labour benches on this, which party sources are saying they remain 'vigilant' about. Some claim that this will be the biggest revolt of Miliband's leadership. If it is, then it will have to surpass the 40 Labour MPs (39 and one teller) who rebelled against their party's official position on welfare sanctions just over a year ago. The then Shadow Work and Pensions Secretary Liam Byrne instructed Labour MPs to abstain on a bill which enabled the DWP to avoid repaying benefits to people sanctioned for refusing to take part in the government's work experience programme.

Nick Clegg spent the first 20 minutes of Deputy Prime Minister's Questions looking a little miserable. A wan smile did flicker across his lips at about 18 minutes in, but it didn't spread to his eyes or stay very long at all. In fact, he appeared to be doing his best to fit the best ever P.G. Wodehouse description of a man looking like 'a cat which has just been struck by a half-brick and is expecting another shortly'. Fortunately for Clegg, the other half of the brick didn't turn up. In fact, when the time came for Harriet Harman to savage the DPM, he appeared quite happy that she'd chosen tuition fees as her weapon. She asked about the new figures showing that the government's trebling of tuition fees will end up costing the taxpayer more than the current system.