Isabel Hardman

Isabel Hardman

Isabel Hardman is assistant editor of The Spectator and author of Why We Get the Wrong Politicians. She also presents Radio 4’s Week in Westminster.

Both the Conservatives and Labour lack momentum – the election won’t be easy for either party

From our UK edition

What with his victory parade to celebrate a failure in Europe and Labour's continuing muttering and complaining, David Cameron must be feeling pretty positive about Prime Minister's Questions today. He's managed to annoy some of his MPs with a Downing Street hint that it will not oppose Michael Moore's bill to enshrine the 0.7 per cent aid target in law, but at least the Prime Minister can count on a good tribal feeling on his backbenches to tide him through today's session. He could taunt Miliband with Jon Cruddas' 'dead hand' quote, or Lord Glasman's assessment that his party lacks a sense of direction.

Minister demands apology from Miliband after stats blunder

From our UK edition

The Tories are very keen to sabotage Ed Miliband's big speech about rebalancing the British economy, which is probably a compliment to the Labour leader as it suggests that they think he might be onto something. Both parties are certainly engaged in a localism arms race at the moment, arguing that they're the party that really trusts voters and wants to give them back the power over their own lives. But Miliband appears to have made a bit of a statistical error which is allowing his opponents to create a bit of a sideshow to distract from the launch of Lord Adonis' final report on growth. In his speech, the Labour leader said 'independent experts say four fifths of all new private sector jobs created since 2010 are in London'.

Labour’s localism arms race

From our UK edition

How can politicians encourage this country's economy to grow more evenly? Do you build a nice big railway line? Or try - and largely fail - to devolve greater power to cities using directly-elected city mayors? Today Labour sets out its answer in Lord Adonis' growth review. Ed Miliband has already said that he will accept the central recommendation, which is to allow city and country regions to create combined authorities (like the Greater Manchester combined authority) which will gain control over all, rather than half, the revenue from business rates. George Osborne was making similar noises recently about greater powers for regional groups headed by elected mayors.

David Cameron makes a success of his Juncker failure in the Commons

From our UK edition

Normally when Speaker Bercow drags out a statement from the Prime Minister to over an hour and a half, the PM starts to look a bit pained. Today David Cameron looked as though he'd quite like a bit more: he'd spent most of the afternoon listening to Conservatives telling him how great he is and how pleased they are with him. It must have been an odd sensation to see MPs like John Redwood rising to congratulate him on his failure to block Jean-Claude Juncker. Some Tories went further: Stewart Jackson told the Chamber that this episode of Cameron standing up to Europe showed he had 'lead in his pencil' (Cameron told him, rather confusingly, that he would 'er, let the relevant people know').

Labour’s internecine squabbles mean it missed an open goal attacking Cameron over Europe

From our UK edition

David Cameron is currently giving his statement to the Commons on the European Council and Britain's new best friend forever, Jean-Claude Juncker. It's a failure that his colleagues have given him room to spin into a success, but it's worth watching how Labour manage it too. The party had an open goal at the weekend for the newspapers to pick over the Conservatives' European strategy, Cameron's suitability to renegotiate Britain's relationship with Europe and the chances of that renegotiation being successful now Juncker is at the helm. But instead, the narrative split so that the Sunday papers were full not just of Cameron and Europe but Labour tensions.

Number 10 pours cold water on National Insurance story: why?

From our UK edition

Why is Number 10 pouring cold water on suggestions that National Insurance and Income Tax could be merged? This story bobs to the surface every few months: it was suggested that National Insurance could be renamed the 'Earnings Tax' in the 2014 Budget, but then nothing came of it. Now the Times has splashed on the suggestion that the Conservatives will promise to merge the two in their 2015 manifesto. The principle is sound: it makes the tax system less confusing and stops parties from hitting taxpayers by stealth. Much better to have one tax than an income tax and and earnings tax. It's also politically sound for the Tories as they have already said that they plan to plug the post-2015 black hole with spending cuts, not tax rises.

David Davis: Cameron must turn Juncker failure into a tactical advantage

From our UK edition

David Cameron has survived the post-Juncker post-mortem without a Tory grandee briefing against him. This is comforting for the Prime Minister, although he shouldn't assume that he has the full loyalty of his party: it is quite clear that many are simply holding their fire until after the General Election. David Davis, who will again become a dangerous figure in 2015 if Cameron holds onto power, reminded everyone of what the PM has got coming to him when he popped up on the Today programme this morning. Davis said: 'He's had a very, very difficult few weeks to say the least, but what he has to do is turn this into a tactical advantage in the next year or two.

The most awkward phone-call ever? Cameron congratulates Jean-Claude Juncker

From our UK edition

In an exchange so awkward it might rival Gwendolen and Cecily's afternoon tea in The Importance of Being Earnest, David Cameron has this afternoon phoned Jean-Claude Juncker to congratulate him on his appointment after weeks of campaigning to thwart him. Here's the Downing Street read-out of the call: 'The Prime Minister called the Commission President-designate, Jean-Claude Juncker, this afternoon. The Prime Minister congratulated Mr Juncker on running a successful campaign and securing the Council nomination. They discussed how they would work together to make the EU more competitive and more flexible. The PM welcomed Mr Juncker's commitment of finding a fair deal for Britain and Mr Juncker said that he was fully committed to finding solutions for the political concerns of the UK.

David Cameron’s eurosceptic colleagues are pushing him to set out his renegotiation demands

From our UK edition

David Cameron has warned his European colleagues that there will be 'consequences' if they support Jean-Claude Juncker's appointment today. He's already seeing the consequences back home, with eurosceptics who are broadly supportive of his position still getting their advice out early on how he can deal with the disappointment of losing the battle. John Baron has today called for more detail from the Prime Minister on what he wants from the renegotiation. He said: 'Having played the man, we now need to play the ball. We need greater clarity regarding out reform agenda in order to both better form alliances across the EU and convince a sceptical public at home that we are serious about reform. 'Vague promises about 'a better deal for Britain' will no longer wash.

How will Cameron work with Juncker?

From our UK edition

David Cameron has been repeating his line about the importance of sticking to principles in opposing Jean-Claude Juncker this morning ahed of the European Council summit where his fate will be sealed. As he walked into the summit this morning, the Prime Minister said: 'There are times when it's very important to stick to your principles and stick to your convictions even if the odds are heavily stacked against you, rather than go along with something that you believe is profoundly wrong and today is one of those days.

What Cameron and Labour want to get out of the Juncker row

From our UK edition

Labour has supported David Cameron's attempt to block Jean-Claude Juncker as president of the European Commission, but that hasn't stopped it getting a little pre-emptive attack in today as the Prime Minister prepares for failure at the European Council. Douglas Alexander argued this morning that 'there was an alliance that was to be built, but alas it appears that the Prime Minister so badly misjudged his tactics and his strategy that that's not going to be the outcome in the next 24 hours'. At Business Statement in the Commons today, Angela Eagle joked: 'Two weeks ago, the Prime Minister sent the England football team a recorded good luck message, and jet over a week later, the team crashed out of the World cup.

The hacking trial has seen the Tories unite, but may have damaged Cameron’s character

From our UK edition

Today must have been the first that David Cameron thought 'thank goodness for the Leveson report' as he prepared for Prime Minister's Questions. He used the report as a shield in his exchanges with Ed Miliband, waving it about at the despatch box and saying that he had 'totally disproved him using the evidence' on a series of accusations that the Labour leader had made about whether or not he ignored warnings about hiring Andy Coulson and bringing him into Downing Street.

The Snooper’s Charter is back – and Nick Clegg will kill it again

From our UK edition

That Theresa May is now making a last-ditch effort to revive the 'Snooper's Charter' should come as no surprise to Coffee House readers: we reported in June 2013 that the Tories were mulling introducing something after the 2014 Budget as the Lib Dems would not be able to retaliate with a mansion tax or other such Lim Demmery. May is unlikely to succeed in doing this, though, as the Lib Dems are quite clear that they won't roll over on a new Communications Data Bill. But the Home Secretary is clearly trying to make the case for some more legislation in the future - and perhaps she hopes that her party will take a strong position on this matter in any coalition negotiations in 2015.

Can Labour weaken Cameron with the hacking trial verdict?

From our UK edition

The phone hacking jury will only be about an hour into their continued deliberations when Ed Miliband stands up at Prime Minister's Questions today, but the Labour leader does seem determined to raise the question of David Cameron's judgement in hiring Andy Coulson all the same. Harriet Harman did the Labour late shift yesterday on Newsnight in which she pointed out that the Conservative leader ignored warnings about Coulson. Labour's thesis is that Cameron hired Coulson in spite of those warnings because he was desperate to get closer to the Murdoch empire. The party is certainly right that Cameron was desperate: the Conservatives were not particularly worth joining in 2007 and so there would not have been an endless queue of former senior tabloid journalists desperate to join the team.

Gove vs Labour on Cummings, round 56

From our UK edition

Michael Gove has this afternoon replied to Labour's questions about Dominic Cumming's access to the Education department since finishing as a special adviser. Coffee House has got hold of the letter first. Labour became oddly fixated on whether or not Cummings was still visiting the department, rather than on his stinging criticisms of David Cameron and the Number 10 operation as 'bumbling' and a stumbling block for reform. So Gove's reply to Kevin Brennan's letter demanding more details is quite easy. He says he doesn't know how often Cummings has visited the department. And that's that, save for a gratuitous and teasing reference to the long-term economic plan... Here's the letter in full: Thank you for your letter of 17 June about my former special adviser, Dominic Cummings.

There’s poison in the Shadow Cabinet – and it could cost Ed Miliband the election

From our UK edition

That Ed Miliband is even having to state that he wants to carry on as Labour leader if he loses the general election when his party is ahead in the polls shows what a mess the operation around him is. There are a number of Shadow Cabinet members who seem more interested in what happens after the 2015 election than in their party's chances in that election. Perhaps this is because they have decided that though their party is ahead now, voters will panic about Miliband as they start to try imagining him as Prime Minister. Better to get your off-the-record briefings in now, and not make too much of an effort batting for this guy when you think you're doomed. The problem is, of course, that this becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Breaking: Andy Coulson guilty in hacking trial

From our UK edition

In the past few minutes, Andy Coulson has been found guilty on one count of conspiracy to hack phones. The jury has not given its verdict on all counts yet, but this is the verdict that David Cameron dreaded. As Coulson was his former director of communications, it again raises questions about his judgement in hiring the former editor of the News of the World. He has already said that if it turned out that he had been lied to, he will make a 'profound apology': 'If it turns out I have been lied to that would be a moment for a profound apology, and in that event I can tell you I will not fall short.

Jeremy Hunt: Better to be isolated and right in Europe

From our UK edition

Is it a good thing that David Cameron now appears isolated in Europe as he continues to dig a hole that Jean-Claude Juncker almost certainly won't fall into? Jeremy Hunt tried to argue on the Today programme this morning that it was, saying that people would respect an isolated Prime Minister who was prepared to make the right argument.

What we learned from leaked tapes showing Poland’s Radek Sikorski turning on Cameron

From our UK edition

Other than the revelation that politicians like to use bad language (hardly a shock to Coffee House readers), what have we learned from the tapes, leaked to Polish magazine Wprost, of Polish government ministers and officials? The tapes include conversations about Britain's European policy, and they are not complimentary. Open Europe have translated the key exchanges, and offered some points here, but here are a few further thoughts: 1. Senior Polish politicians are resigned to Britain leaving the EU in 2017. Former Finance Minister Jacek Rostowski and Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski discuss David Cameron's EU strategy, with Rostowski concluding that 'I think it'll be the case that [Cameron] will lose the elections. Great Britain will leave.