Isabel Hardman

Isabel Hardman

Isabel Hardman is assistant editor of The Spectator and author of Why We Get the Wrong Politicians. She also presents Radio 4’s Week in Westminster.

Interest rates are poised to rise – which means we’ll find out how much of the recovery is real

From our UK edition

Mark Carney's hefty hint that interest rates could rise sooner than markets anticipate is politically awkward but important, as until they do so, we shall have very little idea of how much of the recovery is based simply on cheap debt and how much of it is real. The car industry and house sales, for instance, benefit from ultra-low interest rates, and while they appear to be booming, it's not clear how much of that boom is pushed by the bellows of cheap debt. What's more, the current situation punishes those who are doing exactly what the government wants them to do.

Cameron: I speak for disillusioned European voters

From our UK edition

David Cameron is today pleading with European leaders to drop their support for Jean-Claude Juncker as president of the European Commission. In an article published in a series of newspapers across Europe, the Prime Minister argues that the EU needs 'bold leadership - people ready to heed voters' concerns and to confront the challenges Europe faces'. While claiming that his critique of the way spitzenkandidaten are chosen is 'not an attack on Mr Juncker, an experienced European politician', his article is quite clear that Juncker does not meet the job description as Cameron sees it. Cameron wants to set himself up as one of the few European leaders who is listening to the people of Europe after the elections last month.

Labour #won’tletbritaindecide: but are they bothered?

From our UK edition

Westminster has felt pretty dull recently, what with very little legislation and that. But now that, thanks to the bravery of Tory MP Bob Neill, could change. #LetBritainDecide fever could be back after Neill was the top Tory (not the top MP) in the Private Member's Bill ballot. And funnily enough, Neill chose to take up the baton from James Wharton and introduce an EU referendum bill, which could lead to the Prime Minister invoking the Parliament Act to get it into law - if it passes the Commons in the same way as the previous bill. This appears to be useful for the Conservatives on many levels. If Labour and the Lib Dems cause trouble in the Commons, they can argue that these two parties don't want to give people a choice: they #won'tletbritaindecide.

Will David Cameron delay the reshuffle to prolong MPs’ good behaviour?

From our UK edition

After addressing the 1922 Committee this evening, David Cameron will be holding a reception at Number 10 for the good MPs who obeyed the whips and made the requisite number of visits to the Newark by-election. One of the carrots that was dangled in front of MPs as they trundled up to Patrick Mercer's old constituency was the prospect of a reshuffle. Comments such as 'senior party figures will be observing how many times each of you visits' were dropped into conversations and emails. Some MPs showed me the sarky replies they drafted which involved imaginative suggestions for the whips about what they could do with their league table of campaigning MPs, but the reshuffle was for some a sufficient reason not to send those replies.

Don’t mention the war: Iraq absent from PMQs

From our UK edition

If PMQs today was anything to go by, everything is so hunky-dory in Iraq that MPs needn't discuss it at all. No-one raised it. Afterwards, the Prime Minister's official spokesman was repeatedly asked whether the UK would provide assistance. He said the government's message focuses on the 'Iraqi government working with partners in the region, for example the Kurdistan regional government'. Asked to rule out providing military assistance to the country, the spokesman said 'that's not on the table'. At the same time, the Prime Minister was finally being asked about Iraq in the Commons as he addressed MPs on the G7 talks. He said:- 'What we have to deal now is with the situation today, where we've got an extremely serious situation in Mosul.

May sends more staff to Passport Office

From our UK edition

She might not be worried enough to do anything more than a pooled clip to broadcasters, but Theresa May is clearly sufficiently concerned by the backlog in processing passports to announce the Passport Office will put more staff in place to deal with the backlog. Speaking to reporters this morning, the Home Secretary said: 'The Passport Office has been putting plans in place since the beginning of this year when they started to see this increase in numbers. They have been increasing the numbers of staff, they're now open, the Passport Office is working, from 7am to midnight. We're seeing them working longer hours, more days of the week.

Is Theresa May worried by passport backlog?

From our UK edition

Theresa May hardly needs another row this week after losing one of her special advisers as a result of last week's bust-up. But the occupational hazard of running the Home Office is that one of its agencies can suddenly spin out of control, and you're the one left trying to end the chaos. The Passport Office is always a prime candidate for this sort of trouble, not least because its operations are the kind of things that, when they go wrong, can really upset voters. Not much point in pontificating from the dispatch box about budgets for hardworking families when they find they can't take the holidays they've been working hard to afford.

Tories hit back at Clegg call for academy changes

From our UK edition

The way the Lib Dems have responded to the Trojan Horse revelations must be causing the Conservatives to thank their lucky stars they took Tony Blair's advice on shaking up the public sector and prioritised school reforms at the start of the Coalition, rather than leaving the reforms until later. Nick Clegg's comments about academy oversight and curriculum requirements this morning did rather suggest that if they'd had their time again, his party would only have backed legislation with a rather different character.

Gove wins spat with Wilshaw over no-notice inspections

From our UK edition

After a rather strange interview with Newsnight in which the Ofsted chief argued that Michael Gove had blocked no-notice inspections in 2012, Sir Michael Wilshaw has this afternoon backed down. The Education department has issued this statement: 'The Secretary of State and the Chief Inspector have today discussed the issue of no-notice inspections. The Chief Inspector confirmed that the Education Secretary did not ask Ofsted to halt its plans for no-notice inspections in 2012. Ofsted took the decision after considering the response to their consultation. 'The Secretary of State yesterday commissioned the Chief Inspector to examine the practicalities of extending the use of no-notice inspections, so that any school can expect an unannounced visit.

Cameron’s EU threats must be plausible; nobody likes a Prime Minister who cries wolf

From our UK edition

Angela Merkel is annoyed that David Cameron seems to be issuing threats to other European leaders in order to get what he wants. At a press conference concluding talks held by the centre-right EU leaders in Harpsund, the German Chancellor reiterated her support for Jean-Claude Juncker, and said: 'I made myself clear by saying that I am for Jean-Claude Juncker. But when I made that statement in Germany I also made the point that we act in a European spirit. We always do that because otherwise you would never reach a compromise. 'Thus we cannot just consign to the backburner the question of the European spirit. Threats are not part and parcel of that spirit. That is not part of the way in which we usually proceed.

Nick Clegg wants greater control over academies and the curriculum

From our UK edition

The 'Trojan Horse' scandal in Birmingham is, inevitably, being used to prove the pet arguments nurtured by a number of people, even though the reality is more complicated. Some argue that this shows the dangers of faith schools, even though these were not faith schools. Others, including Nick Clegg and Tristram Hunt, are arguing that the 'balance' of oversight of free schools and academies needs to be corrected, even though not all of the 21 schools investigated by Ofsted were outside local authority control. The Deputy Prime Minister was on the Today programme this morning, and he dropped a number of comments that suggest he's keen to make changes, and changes that will cause a row with the Tories.

Three things we learnt from Nick Clegg’s comeback speech

From our UK edition

Nick Clegg gave his mop-up speech today after the European elections. It was an attempt to reassure his party that he has listened to their concerns, and to tell everyone else watching that he's nowhere near giving up. Alongside his new budgetary rules, there were also three very interesting aspects of the speech worth considering: 1. The Lib Dems believe they have the moral high-ground. There is something fascinating about the mindset of a party leader who thinks that calls to set out his core beliefs can be satisfied with the following platitudes: You can be fair but responsible with it. You can be credible without being cruel. You can free our children from our debts while investing in their futures too.

David Cameron has let the extremism row go on – and Labour go on the attack

From our UK edition

Yvette Cooper has been granted an urgent question on the extremism row at 2.30 today in the Commons, focusing on the conduct of ministers within government. The Shadow Home Secretary is doing her job, making ministers uncomfortable by summoning them to the Commons to answer a question on whether they have broken the ministerial code. But it's impressive that the row was left to spin out for long enough for Cooper to manage to make an intervention at all. The dispute between Gove and May made Wednesday's front pages, but it wasn't until Saturday that Labour decided to launch its two-pronged attack from Cooper and Tristram Hunt.

The next test for Cameron in school extremism row

From our UK edition

Downing Street wants to move the May/Gove feud away from two ministers at war and back onto the substantive issue of extremism in Birmingham Schools. Naturally Cabinet ministers at war is a storyline the Prime Minister would like to end. But that doesn't mean that the statement the Education Secretary gives this afternoon will move the government into more comfortable terrain. Both Labour and the Lib Dems are likely to use this row to argue for better oversight of academies and free schools (although not all the schools involved in the investigation were free from local authority oversight).

May adviser resigns as Cameron takes control of extremism row

From our UK edition

Theresa May's adviser Fiona Cunningham has resigned as part of the fallout from the Cabinet row over extremism as David Cameron seeks to regain control of his ministers. The Prime Minister today received the results of Sir Jeremy Heywood's investigation into the row, which exploded onto the front page of the Times and spread like wildfire through other media as the Gove and May camps briefed against one another. Both have been set tasks by the PM to demonstrate that this row is over. Gove has written to Charles Farr and Cameron apologising for his briefing over lunch to the Times which sparked the row. As for the furious response from May's advisers, that has cost Cunningham, in a relationship with Farr and the source of those explosive briefings to the newspaper, her job.

How the Conservatives turned Labour’s attack dog into their PR agent

From our UK edition

Here's a clever way to get more exposure for your political slogan. You say it so often in speeches, press releases and planted questions from the whips that it seeps everywhere, you start dreaming it, and your opponents get very cross indeed. Then your opponents accidentally say your political slogan while all mithered. Then they get a bit jealous that it's popping up in every single piece of government literature so they complain about this political slogan, which they mention, again, thus ensuring it reaches more and more and more people. Bravo to an opposition that stays calm in the face of a barrage of 'long-term economic plans' designed to goad them and signify to voters that Labour has a short-term, wibbly sort of plan and only the Conservatives can finish the recovery.

George Osborne has won over the IMF to austerity. Now can he win over Eric Pickles to planning reform?

From our UK edition

Fresh from celebrating the Tories' victory in Newark, George Osborne is continuing a very joyful day by celebrating the International Monetary Fund admitting that it got it wrong on austerity. Christine Lagarde today conceded that 'we underestimated the growth of the UK economy in our growth forecast a year ago'. The report the IMF published today contains its usual mix of things that all parties can celebrate: plenty of compliments for the Government such as 'the economy has rebounded strongly and growth is becoming more balanced', along with criticisms that Labour finds useful for its press releases. Osborne has very little to worry about immediately from the main criticism, which unsurprisingly relates to the Help to Buy scheme.

The Tories have triumphed in Newark. Can they do the same in a national campaign?

From our UK edition

The Tories now have a great deal of confidence after Newark. It's not just, as George Osborne said on the Today programme this morning, that 'this all shows that if you've got a plan that is working for the country and you've got a good local candidate, as we did in Robert Jenrick, people respond to that'. It's also that the party managed to run a very slick and energetic campaign.

Gove and May ensured the Queen’s Speech wasn’t the day’s main story

From our UK edition

Downing Street must be hopping mad with Theresa May and Michael Gove for pursuing their own row on the day of a Queen's Speech that was carefully crafted so as not to rock the boat. This morning, a 'spokesperson for Michael Gove and Theresa May' - a role which hitherto has never existed - issued a statement saying 'the Department for Education and the Home Office take the problems in Birmingham schools and all issues relating to extremism very seriously. Michael Gove and Theresa May are working together to ensure we get to the bottom of what has happened in Birmingham and take the necessary steps to fix it.

What a bill about National Parks tells us about the Coalition

From our UK edition

One of the surprises in the Queen's Speech is something called the Draft Governance of National Parks (England) and the Broads Bill. Unless you live in a National Park or the Norfolk Broads, you may struggle to muster enthusiasm, but the reason this surprise is an interesting surprise is that it tells us something about the way the Coalition works. This bill, which will provide direct elections to National Park authorities in England, was, as I understand it, an important Lib Dem policy and a Coalition commitment. I'm told that Nick Clegg requested it, and this legislation may well have taken the place of a Forestry Bill to establish a public body to manage the forests.