Fraser Nelson

Fraser Nelson

Fraser Nelson is a Times columnist and a former editor of The Spectator.

The broom, not the dust?

Francis Urquhart will be spinning in his fictional grave. Once Tory whips were the MI5 of the Commons. They put a bit of stick about, knew every skeleton in every closet - and provided the  best early-warning to the leadership. So Cameron should have been warned about the full horrors of the Conway crisis months ago - now he's fire fighting. And today he’s taken a gamble – he’s saved the Sunday papers time and announced 70 of his MPs employ family members. He wants to take the initiative cleaning this mess up – and portray his party as the broom, not the dust. But he won't know what lurks in that dust and I suspect his clueless whips won’t be able to help.

Follow the BoJo revolution

There's an old joke that the word "lies" is banned in the House of Commons because it would be used so often that you'd get no business done. The actual reason is that MPs (hilariously) judge themselves above telling untruths. Yet we do hear rather shameless porkies at PMQs. And Tiberius makes a point: why don't Team Cameron object more about Brown misleading the House like Boris Johnson did today?   One of Brown's main tactics is using misinformation, repeated with such force that no one objects to it (such as "Tory cuts" in the last election where the Tories, alas, would have raised spending and the tax burden with it). So why not take issue with it?

And the winner of PMQs is …  Boris Johnson

The best part of PMQs came just after it ended, in the form of an irate Boris Johnson. "I am sure the Prime Minister inadvertently misled the House when he said I want to cut spending on the Metropolitan Police".... Brown was walking out the door, to Tory roars. "I'm the only one who has to stay and listen to it" says Michael Martin. Boris had just done what the other Tories should do all the time: refuse to put up with falsehoods said by the Prime Minister. There were plenty. Brown said the Tories opposed increases in education spending. Untrue. He told MPs recently that inflation is down from 10% in the early 90s to 2% today. Untrue. He told them Britain has the world's second largest defence spending. Untrue. Normally, Tories roll their eyes and let this pass unchallenged.

Is withdrawing the whip enough for Conway?

After saying he wouldn't withdraw the whip from Derek Conway last night, Cameron has finally performed the U-Turn and done so now. Good. A night of dithering is better than a decade of it. So all eyes now on Old Bexley & Sidcup Conservative Association (a rather bashful lot, judging by their photo gallery) - will they deselect him? And what do CoffeeHousers think - is withdrawing the whip punishment enough? Or is it time for him to be deselected like Howard Flight was for talking about tax cuts?

No dithering Dave – axe Conway

We know that Team Cameron are keen readers of CoffeeHouse - and if so, our comment board has some free advice for them. Sack Conway. Remove the whip. De-select him. Give him the Howard Flight treatment. Flog him to the LibDems.  His "unreserved" apology was for "administrative oversight". As Quentin Letts says, is that what they call it nowadays? Sure, some of this punishment can't be meted out from the centre - but there are ways and means. This is an issue with deep resonance with the public. Hain's declarations may be a bit complex, but the public recognise a nose in the trough when they see one.  I praised Cameron for his quick decision over Patrick Mercer - where perception of his sin was a bigger problem than the sin itself.

Have the Tories lost the moral high ground?

This Derek Conway expenses scam is one of the most outrageous I’ve heard in some time. He bunged his son £1,000-a-month of taxpayers’ money on the basis that he was doing research. And as the Standards and Privileges Committee said, there was zero independent evidence of any work done – or any commissioned. A total of £40,000 of our money beefed up the Conway family finances as young Freddie Conway studied full-time at Newcastle University doing his “research”. His stash included “four one-off bonuses” (wonderful oxymoron) totalling £10,000 and he’s been ordered to repay £13,200. Now, this isn’t the same as £103,000 of Peter Hain’s undeclared donations.

The speech of 2008

It has been called the speech of the 2008 - and it's only January. But here on YouTube is William Hague at the Lisbon Treaty debate last Monday. People pay £25,000 to hear Hague on such form.

Purnell’s deceiving himself over “full employment”

James Purnell made his Marr debut today, filled with the Brownite script. Our new Work & Pensions Secretary should have looked more closely at those fake statistics he was given to regurgitate, because he repeated the most outrageous claim they make: that Britain has reached full employment. As he told Marr:- “We used to even worry as the Labour Party if we could commit to aiming for full employment. Now we’ve reached it. We have the lowest unemployment for 30 years.” If he genuinely believes this, God help us. I recommend he downloads this table (click here) from his own department, memorises its most egregious points, and sees what “full employment” soundbite means in the real world.

Clegg and spending

Nick Clegg continues to say the right things. This passage from Steve Richards’s interview on GMTV Sunday Programme this morning: "We understand that the years of unprecedented increase in public spending, and let's remember the increases in public spending since 2000, three years after New Labour came into power, is probably without precedent anywhere in the Western world since the war.  There's been an explosion in public spending.  That is not going to continue, in fact it's going to very much level off." Of course, he “envisages” that taxes will lower - while the Tories say taxes will fall “over the cycle”. So the Tory policy is still harder.

Web Extra: The Tories should fear the dynamic new team of professionals that Brown is assembling

It is a story that could have been scripted to boost morale in Conservative headquarters. At five o’clock one morning, security guards at 10 Downing Street were called in to intercept an intruder only to find the Prime Minister trying to enter his own office. Apart from the delicious image this conjures of Gordon Brown in his pyjamas, cursing as he bashes in the security code, it caricatures him as the ideal political opponent. An inept, flailing control freak, whose own shortcomings will lose Labour the next election. Alas for the Tories, this story is several months out of date. It took place in the earliest days of the Brown premiership, when he had no home access to the Prime Minister’s computer, forcing him to sneak downstairs to the office. Much has changed since then.

WEB EXCLUSIVE:  Meet the minister for selling the unsellable – uncut

Those whom the gods wish to destroy they first tip for stardom. Throughout his twenties, Jim Murphy suffered this affliction. Before Tony Blair led the Labour party he was starting a Blairite revolution in the National Union of Students. His slogan, ‘realism, not revolution,’ made a cover story in the Sunday Times magazine. No list of young talent in the mid-1990s was complete without him. Yet only now, 11 years after his election, is he beginning to blip on the national radar. The 40-year-old minister I meet in the vast Foreign Office room is a lot quieter and more bashful than the student firebrand I once saw shouting down far-left activists in Glasgow. As I walk in he jumps out of his seat and makes me a cup of tea, chatting non-stop.

Brown’s reputation for economic competence has gone. The Tories should seize the chance

It was easy to forget during Gordon Brown’s trip to India and China that he has actually been Prime Minister since June. His speeches were filled with export targets and trade deals, barely distinguishable from the rhetoric he deployed as Chancellor. This is deliberate. Mr Brown makes no claim to be a suave statesman (a reality he inadvertently reinforced by stumbling over a red carpet in Delhi). Abroad, as at home, he bills himself as the hardworking guardian of prosperity. His entire premiership is based upon the supposedly sturdy pillar of economic stability. This is why the turmoil to which Mr Brown returned on Tuesday morning could be as damaging to him as the problems which greeted the tanned Jim Callaghan on his return from the Guadeloupe arms summit in 1979.

Drafting in the youngsters

Andy Burnham was named “minister to watch” at the Spectator/Threadneedle parliamentarian of the years awards 2006. He has not disappointed us, replacing Purnell as Commissar of Culture. He reacted as if he’d won the pools. His beloved Liverpool being European City of Culture in 2008, and all that (quite right too, splendid city). But I suspect his joy comes from moving out of the Treasury when he was struggling to explain his way out of Northern Rock and the credit crunch. Just as ageing pop stars surround themselves with models in pop videos to look younger, so Brown brings the young bucks centre stage. If only he'd done this sooner, rather than claim (as he did at a private dinner recently) that Hain's fate was out of his hands.

James Purnell is the new Work and Pensions Secretary

For the three hours after Hain resigned, several names flew - none James Purnell. But thinking about it, his appointment makes sense. Aged 37 he will add zest to Brown's team, and he knows the DWP (he was pensions minister until Brown took over). He gave his first-ever interview to me in June (read it here) and I quizzed him about welfare. He'd stonewall, saying his brief was pensions. He'll be getting his head around it rather quickly now. A clever appointment, made far sooner than I expected.

Who will step into the breach at the DWP?

The last thing Gordon Brown can afford is to dither over the reshuffle. I hear he will, indeed, name a new Work and Pensions Secretary today - so the story by the evening news is one of him taking the initiative. The DWP moves at a glacial speed, but welfare reform will be a major electoral issue. If I were Brown, I'd look beyond the inner circle (ie, Ed Miliband and wee Dougie) and promote a sure hand like John Denham. Blair never got reshuffles  right. Let's see if Brown does better.

Boos, wine and tax cuts at the Channel 4 political awards

I was at the Channel Four political awards last night, where the strangest thing happened. Their main award - (most inspiring political figure of the last decade) - was given to the Countryside Alliance, introduced by Jeremy Irons. As he spoke, boos came from the crowd. At first, I thought it was a joke. Then when the award was accepted (by Ann Mallalieu, president of the Alliance) the booing grew louder and cries of "get off" could be heard as she delivered her acceptance speech. In front of an invited Channel Four audience. Incredible. One of the books up for an award was Peter Oborne's one on the rise of the political class. The video showed someone on the judging panel saying Oborne's thesis was not strong enough to sustain a book.

Dogged resistance from Brown over Northern Rock

In India, Brown was full of beans – boasting at one stage that he’d outlasted Dame Kelly Holmes who had to retire to her hotel. He should have saved his energy. He looked exhausted at PMQs today. Until Cameron piped up on Northern Rock, that was. Then he sprang to life and put up a hell of a fight. Much rests on whether Cameron can make Northern Rock stick. Brown is like a used car salesman – “he’s gone from Prudence to Del Boy without even touching the ground” (sure I’ve heard that before). “It’s a sub-prime deal from a sub-Prime minister”. Good. Ditto the line on liquidisation. But he didn’t get Brown on the ropes. Brown now has two strategies for Cameron at PMQs.

Must see TV

Some of the best journalism never appears in print and we had two stunning examples last night.  Ross Kemp's journey with 1 Royal Anglian as they prepared for and entered Helmand was vivid and compelling - it had me hooked like an episode of 24. It is the first series I have seen that takes the viewer to the frontline of Britain's most ferocious war since Korea. It was just episode one, but set your Sky Plus for the rest. And if you don't have Sky, this series is the excuse you need to get it. Next was Channel Four's Dispatches presented by my counterpart at the Statesman, Martin Bright, on the cost of Red Ken. It was one jaw-dropping exposure after another.

Are Brown and Darling the Del Boy and Rodney of British Politics?

Have a look at the stock market today, then the housing market, and then ask what kind of idiot would try to flog a mortgage bank like Northern Rock right now? Brown and Darling are fast becoming the Del Boy and Rodney of British politics – churning out dodgy figures, mesmerised by their own little scams and then getting fleeced when they engage in the real market and try to do deals with real business people (remember that gold sale?). The truly terrifying thing is it’s our money – about £60bn of it - bundled in the back of their Robin Reliant as they head off to see a man about a dog and a bank. At 11.30am the FTSE100 is down a bloody 3.6% but there’s one exception. Northern Rock is up a gravity-defying 35%.