Uk politics

Thursday

Isabel Hardman

Ed Miliband’s price control pattern

From our UK edition

Ed Miliband has got the reaction he wanted to his speech on the private rented sector, which he used today to launch Labour's local election campaign. Landlords and nasty right-wingers hate this latest stage in his 'cost-of-living contract'. The Residential Landlords Association said rent controls 'would critically undermine investment in new homes to rent and are not needed' and the National Landlords Association said 'the proposal for a three-year default tenancy is unnecessary, poorly thought-through and likely to be completely unworkable'. On Coffee House, Policy Exchange's Chris Walker says 'rent controls are at best misguided and at worst could be counterproductive, longer-term'. Grant Shapps suggested that these were 'Venezuelan-style rent controls'.

Chris Walker

Labour’s rent control policy will not solve our housing problems

From our UK edition

Labour’s decision to impose rent controls will do little to solve our housing problems. Rent controls are at best misguided and at worst could be counterproductive, longer term. Misguided because rents have not actually been rising that fast in recent years. ONS figures show that rents rose by only 1 per cent in England in the year to March (1.4 per cent in London), a real terms fall. Indeed, since the beginning of 2011 they have only 4 per cent. Misguided also because this doesn’t deal with the root problem; a lack of supply in the housing market. Put simply we need to build many more houses, for rent and home-ownership, than we are building currently, around double to match the growing demand.

Alex Massie

Yes voters are the Union’s secret weapon

From our UK edition

Well some of them are anyway. Consider the tweet above. It's since been deleted and you can see why. Gerry Adams' arrest might not be an obvious element of the Pan-Unionist Conspiracy but if you think that you lack the imagination necessary to be the wilder kind of Scottish nationalist. Then again paranoia is a consequence of monomania and breathtaking solipsism. Of course it's just a tweet and only a single one at that. But there are plenty others like it. And yes, for sure, there are loonies on the Unionist side too. There really are people who think Alex Salmond evil and, lord knows, there are any number of Unionists making daft claims about the consequences of independence. But it's nationalists - or Yes voters - who need to make the case for change.

Sebastian Payne

Podcast: Britain’s masculinity crisis and Osborne’s Foreign Secretary aspirations

From our UK edition

Is the British male in serious trouble? On this week’s View from 22 podcast, the Labour MP for Hackney North and Stoke Newington Diane Abbott discusses the topic of this week’s Spectator cover feature with Isabel Hardman. Why are boys written off more frequently than girls? Are males in trouble because females are doing better? And is it now more difficult to grow up as a young boy or girl? James Forsyth and Isabel Hardman also discuss why George Osborne wants to take William Hague’s job and be the next Foreign Secretary. Does he risk lowering his profile and getting entangled in the sticky business of renegotiating our relationship with Europe? Or does the Chancellor simply love being where the action is?

Matthew Parris

Ukip isn’t a national party. It’s a Tory sickness

From our UK edition

It can happen that something ought to feel wrong yet somehow doesn’t; and you wonder whether this means that in some deep way it could be right. Take for example a discussion on BBC Radio 4’s Today programme on Saturday last week. The subject was the rise of the ‘Teflon’ United Kingdom Independence Party. I ought to have found the programme’s handling of this to be inappropriate; yet it felt both appropriate and natural. In this column I shall discuss why. Radio presenters do not give explanatory headlines to political interviews. At about 8.20 a.m.

Wednesday

Alex Massie

Nigel Farage is just Russell Brand for old people

From our UK edition

Yes, yes, yes, some young 'uns support UKIP. Just as a few black people do too. But come on. We all know - because the polling tells us so - that UKIP supporters are likely to be older and whiter than the average voter and, most importantly, also more certain that the whole bleedin' country is going to the dogs. The sodding dogs, I tell you. It isn't. Of course there are problems. Of course there are great injustices that need correcting. Of course there are difficult, often intractable, policy debates that resist easy answers. There always have been and always will be. Change is always alarming and always unavoidable. Stuff happens and the job of real politicians is to manage that change. Real politicians know this. Only phoneys pretend it isn't.

Isabel Hardman

Farage (wisely) bottles the Newark by-election: ‘I’m a fighter, I’m a warrior’

From our UK edition

Much relief in Downing Street this morning as Nigel Farage announces that he's not standing in the Newark by-election. Coffee House readers had the best insight into the Ukip leader's thinking when James posted the details of a conversation he'd had with Farage about the constituency. And his prediction that Farage may well decide to not stand was right. listen to ‘Nigel Farage says he's not standing in Newark: 'You have to pick your battles'’ on Audioboo Farage has bottled it, he's frit. That's what every relieved Conservative MP is saying this morning. It's true: Farage got to the cliff edge, looked down, and edged away from what he saw. He didn't fancy the battle and didn't think that he could beat the Conservatives.

Isabel Hardman

The Mercer mess

From our UK edition

Patrick Mercer has gone out in style. One Tory MP, hearing that the whips had tried to dissuade him from triggering a by-election fight with Ukip at an extremely inconvenient time for David Cameron, told me: 'It's a waste of time. He's determined to damage Dave. He's Colonel Nicholson in Bridge on the River Kwai!' Mercer has left Cameron a little present in the form of this by-election. Even if Nigel Farage announces today that he won't stand in the contest (and James's post from last night on the Ukip leader's thinking is a must-read), Ukip can still repeat its success in Eastleigh by fielding an impressive formerly unknown candidate.

Tuesday

James Forsyth

Why Nigel Farage might not stand in Newark

From our UK edition

Nigel Farage told me on Monday how closely he was watching the situation in Newark. He introduced the subject by saying, "there’s one other thing that could change everything". But Farage’s comments to me yesterday make me think that he’s unlikely to stand in Newark. He said that he’d ‘been looking at candidates’ and mused on how just one MP would make such a difference. He pointed to how the Canadian Reform party had won a seat in a by-election in 1989 and then go on to become the largest opposition party in at the next election. What struck me about this anecdote was how taken Farage was by the fact that the Reform party had picked "a completely unknown geography mistress, who lived in the town, who had lots of relations there".

Sebastian Payne

Who could win the Newark by-election?

From our UK edition

Who stands the best chance of winning the Newark by-election after Patrick Mercer's resignation? It is a safe Conservative seat, which Mercer has held since 2001. At the last general election, Mercer was reelected to Newark with a 32 per cent majority: [datawrapper chart="http://static.spectator.co.uk/xnER5/index.html"] The Tories announced when Mercer resigned the party whip that Robert Jenrick, a lawyer who currently works at Christie’s auction house, would be standing for Newark at the next election. Will Jenrick hold the seat? According to Electoral Calculus, there is an 87 per cent chance that the Conservatives will win Newark based on the current polls — but by-elections are more unpredictable.

Isabel Hardman

Patrick Mercer quits as MP and triggers awkward by-election in Newark

From our UK edition

Patrick Mercer has quit as an MP. The Sun has the story, with the former Conservative saying: 'It is clear to me that the constituency of Newark needs to be represented properly. I will not argue will the findings of the committee and I can only humbly apologise. “My military background has taught me that you must never let down the people who depend on you, and those people are my constituents of Newark. If that becomes the case, you must go without any argument.' listen to ‘Patrick Mercer resigns as the MP for Newark’ on Audioboo Now the question is when the Newark by-election will take place.

Isabel Hardman

Patrick Mercer banned from Parliament for six months

From our UK edition

Patrick Mercer has been banned from Parliament for six months, the Standards Committee has confirmed, following revelations by the Telegraph and BBC Panorama that he agreed to table questions in return for cash. He had already resigned the Conservative whip. The question now is whether Mercer resigns as an MP, triggering a by-election in Newark which the Tories could try to hold on 22 May? Nigel Farage today said he would consider standing in a by-election this year. In 2010, Mercer won a 16,152 majority, with Ukip coming fourth with 3.81 per cent of the vote.

Sebastian Payne

Briefing: the Tory HS2 rebels

From our UK edition

High Speed 2 moved another step closer to actually happening last night, as the Hybrid Bill passed its second reading and vote in the Commons. 41 MPs voted against the bill, including 26 Conservatives who rebelled against the party’s three-line whip. The rebellious MPs fall into three categories: those whose constituencies will be affected by HS2, those unconvinced by the project and the usual contingent of troublemakers. Then there are the MPs who stayed away from the Commons yesterday, mysteriously or otherwise. Here is a breakdown of the rebels and abstainers: HS2 runs through their constituency Cheryl Gillan (Chesham and Amersham) – The former Wales Secretary has been one of the most vocal critics of HS2.

Isabel Hardman

George Osborne: Britain is coming back (alright)

From our UK edition

Treasury Questions today was rather formulaic. George Osborne spent a little while congratulating himself on today's growth figures (only to be cut off by Bercow, who complained his answer was 'far too long'), and loyal Tory MPs congratulated him too. Many of them chanted the phrase 'long-term economic plan'. Some Labour MPs helped out by saying it too, which Osborne thanked them for. He has his own new phrase, which sounds a bit like a Backstreet Boys single: 'Britain is coming back'. 'Britain is coming back, alright,' he (nearly) told MPs, before demanding that Labour congratulate him on the GDP figures.

Anonymous

Senior Tory MP: Boris should stop messing our party around

From our UK edition

I have not asked anyone out on a date for over 35 years. In fact, the last time I did invite anyone out was, like most of my attempts, excruciatingly bad. It involved a bubbly and charismatic blonde who told me to get lost. Now, as a Conservative MP, I find myself being teased by another bubbly blonde: Boris Johnson. I can't understand why he is toying with me. Why won't he accept my party's offer of a safe seat? Like a desperate suitor, it has given him plenty of options, from a welcoming spot in Hampshire to a more familiar haunt in Kensington. I can't believe it's work that's holding him back. That's the sort of excuse that a chap gives when he's trying to let a girl down gently. But it doesn't quite ring true.

Isabel Hardman

Labour goes after Cameron over TV debates

From our UK edition

A smart move by Ed Miliband today to put pressure on David Cameron over the televised leaders' debates next year. Every time the Prime Minister is asked about these debates, he makes supportive noises while muttering about the 'right formula', but doesn't commit to anything. He has also said that he felt the debates 'dominated' the coverage of the 2010 election, which is as close as he'll come to saying that Nick Clegg's shiny new qualities at the time rather detracted from Cameron's own appeal which his strategists had been setting so much store by. But as the Prime Minister hasn't agreed to anything, Labour's trying to get ahead of the game and appear to drag Cameron into a studio.

Monday

Isabel Hardman

50 MPs make biggest rebellion on HS2 Bill

From our UK edition

As expected, the High Speed Rail (London - West Midlands) Bill 2013-14 has passed its second reading in the House of Commons by 452 votes to 41. Cheryl Gillan's amendment calling on the House to decline to give the legislation its second reading failed 451 votes to 50. The breakdown of who voted (and, more interestingly in this vote when some ministers have opted for a disappearing act, who didn't vote) will take a little while to come through. What will prevent ministerial resignations will be how the Bill progresses in the Committee stage, which will chug slower than a toy steam train. David Lidington wants further mitigation for his constituents, including the longer Chiltern tunnel that Cheryl Gillan has worked on.

Sebastian Payne

Brothers in arms — Ukip and the SNP are singing the same song

From our UK edition

You don't mean a thing if your seat ain't a swing. As this saying goes, political campaigning in safe seats is usually a thankless task — unless you are Nigel Farage. Last week, he managed to pack out The Sage concert hall in ultra-safe Labour Gateshead for Ukip’s biggest ever-public meeting. By going back to the simple idea of touring the country (even the sceptical parts) and giving speeches, Farage is appealing directly to the voters left behind by the other parties. He told the 1,200-odd assembled crowd of my fellow Geordies: ‘We are here to say that Labour used to stand up for the people in this region, but they have turned their backs on you in favour of the European project. Well, UKIP will stand up for you now.

Steerpike

Coffee Shots: Common Sense driving

From our UK edition

All aboard Ukip's Common Sense battle bus! Today Nigel Farage's party took the fight to Portsmouth - or more precisely, Portsmouth and Southsea Station. It's not entirely clear what the station did to offend Ukip, but the party's battle bus accidentally collided with it while trying to execute a U-turn. Hopefully it's not an omen for what will happen when the party drives back over previous commitments made in its 2010 manifesto.

Isabel Hardman

David Cameron’s mile-high fight

From our UK edition

How does a Prime Minister get a recalcitrant minister to agree to something? Well, if it's not going to make any difference to whether some legislation passes and the minister isn't directly responsible for the policy, then he can always let them avoid a vote, as he seems to be doing on HS2 today. But what if the minister is the one who needs to sign off on a policy change? I hear that David Cameron found himself in this situation late last year when trying to make some changes to the government's counter-extremism strategy. Baroness Warsi (not his favourite minister) was refusing to accept the changes, which the Prime Minister ambushed her over.