Uk politics

Campaign to junk Juncker continues

From our UK edition

The campaign against Jean-Claude Juncker becoming President of the European Commission continues, with Martin Callanan (who might hope to benefit from another campaign against someone getting a job, namely Andrew Lansley becoming the UK's European Commissioner), telling the Today programme that the former Prime Minister of Luxembourg is the 'business-as-usual candidate' who is not the 'reformer who will institute bold and radical change'. Callanan argues that members of the European People's Party are not bound to support Juncker, because 'less than 10 per cent of the electorate in any of the countries that the EPP are now saying they have the votes from actually knew they were voting for anybody at all, never mind Jean-Claude Juncker'.

On the campaign trail with Ukip in Newark

From our UK edition

A battle cry has gone out for more troops, and the UKIP faithful have responded. Newark, packed with Tory spinners and regularly visited by David Cameron and assorted Tory grandees, has now attracted hundreds of purple campaigners for this week’s by-election. From all corners of the UK – from Scotland to Cornwall, the Eastern counties to Wales, the most fervent UKIP believers gathered yesterday for a public meeting near Newark, and a chance to see their chief protagonist, Nigel Farage. 'After the European elections, we can smell blood,' said a cheerful UKIP activist, Scott Cross, from Hampshire. Former Tory activist Steve Stanbury, who defected to UKIP a few years ago, felt 'exhilarated and invigorated for the first time in ages.

Osborne admits net migration target is impossible without EU reform

From our UK edition

George Osborne's interview today with the Sun on Sunday does show the Conservatives are starting to see a little bit of sense about their net migration target. They're starting to realise that they aren't going to meet it when they can only control non-EU migration. It's surprising, really, that it's taken them so long to realise that the target was going to be a bit tricky to meet. In this week's magazine, Douglas Murray argues that Cameron will need to listen - really listen - to voters' concerns about immigration if he is to have a hope of winning next year: 'Because the deep, underlying story of last week is clear: the British public have made the connection between the EU and mass immigration. They do not like the latter and they blame it on the former.

David Cameron is doing what Eurosceptics want him to do

From our UK edition

Tory Eurosceptics from the Cabinet down have long made clear that David Cameron will only be able to get a sufficiently different deal from the EU if he’s prepared to threaten that Britain will leave if it can’t get what it needs. Many have assumed that Cameron, who has been clear that he would prefer Britain to keep in the EU, would not be prepared to do this. But it seems that he is. The German magazine Spiegel reports that Cameron told his fellow EU leaders that if Jean-Claude Juncker, the Luxembourg federalist, became president of the Euroopean Commission he could not guarantee that Britain would stay in the EU. The threat here is implicit not explicit but it appears to have got the message across.

Video: Newark state of mind

From our UK edition

Ukip candidate Roger Helmer reckons that Farage would do a better job in the by-election campaign and defends employing an Italian citizen as his assistant Tory Robert Jenrick denies being a ‘carpetbagger’ and says he wants the UK to remain in Europe Yesterday our contributing editor Harry Cole interviewed the next MP for Newark. If the polls are to be believed that will be the Tories' safe if dull candidate Robert Jenrick. But Ukip’s Roger Helmer is confident of causing an upset.

Oh Scotland! You’ve really let yourself down. You should be ashamed.

From our UK edition

Lord, grant me strength. And serenity. Further evidence emerges that supporters of Scottish independence are losing their minds. Yesterday Iain Macwhirter was in full Can we no do anything right? mode; today it's the turn of Joyce Macmillan to wallow in self-pity. Again, you see, the problem with Scotland is that it is full of Scottish people and, golly, some of them hold nasty, inconvenient, dismal views. They are the enemy within. That may sound nastily conspiratorial but, hell, it's not my view. To wit: On Monday morning, as the final Euro elections results were being confirmed, I made my way up to the NHS outpost in Lauriston Place in Edinburgh for un ultrasound scan.

Europe Minister keeps close eye on Commissioner race

From our UK edition

What do Foreign Office ministers think about the possibility that Andrew Lansley could be the next European Commissioner? David Lidington was clearly intrigued by Isabel's column in the Telegraph this morning which says that Tory backbenchers are not fans at all. The Europe Minister, who would have to work closely with Lansley, retweeted the article with the headline 'the mysterious Mr Lansley will hardly set Brussels alight'. He then realised that this might not look very good, and tweeted: 'Apologies. Was trying to read last article not retweet it. Retweet def not my view.' Presumably he doesn't mean that he does think Lansley will set Brussels on fire?

Sir John Major: EU election results make renegotiation easier

From our UK edition

Sir John Major isn't a fan of Ukip and thinks it will fade away from its current position on the political scene. He's not the only one who thinks that: one of the problems that all three main parties have face is that they have continually assumed that Ukip is about to lose its head of steam, and have therefore made precious few preparations for the party getting bigger and stealing more of their voters. But there was one very interesting remark that Major made in his interview on the Today programme. He said: 'The circumstances between the 1990s and now are very different in many ways, and in a very curious way the recent European elections have emphasised that very clear. I think the results of these elections right across Europe have made a renegotiation much easier.

Ed Miliband must be careful when he talks about suicide

From our UK edition

Jim Waterson's BuzzFeed interview with Ed Miliband is well worth a read. But the opening paragraph stands out in particular: 'Ed Miliband was in Nottingham last Tuesday when a man approached him to say that his part-time job at a petrol station wasn’t paying enough to take care of two children. This is an anecdote of the sort Miliband is always telling in his campaign to lower Britain’s cost of living, but what the man said next was “chilling.” '“He was really, really desperate because he felt couldn’t properly provide for his family,” Miliband recalls. “He was thinking of ending it all because he just couldn’t make ends meet.” '“Suddenly bacon sandwiches look slightly beside the point,” Miliband says.

What’s the matter with Scotland? It’s full of Scottish people.

From our UK edition

Here's the thing many people misunderstand about Scotland's referendum on independence: it isn't really very much to do with England. When someone starts chuntering on about Braveheart and Bannockburn you know you're listening to a fruitcake. This is true whether the fruitcake is Scots or English. At least the latter have the excuse of ignorance, I guess. Anyway, the point is that as much as we may occasionally dislike or, more frequently, be irritated by the English they're not the problem. The people we really hate are our fellow Scots. And with good reason. I mean, look at us. The worst part of losing the referendum (whichever side you favour) is having to share a country with the winners. I spy much unhappiness. So I enjoyed Iain Macwhirter's column in today's Herald.

Peter Mandelson: Ed Miliband needs more policies and fewer promises

From our UK edition

In his Spectator diary this week Lord Mandelson offers Ed Miliband some advice... Nigel Farage has no trouble in heaping praise on Putin because of their shared antipathy towards Europe. Farage’s party had a good week. The challenge for them is to build a genuine movement beyond a charismatic leader, a band of fruitcake candidates and a clutch of reactionary ideas. I doubt they will succeed. In my political career we’ve seen two similar ‘breakthrough’ moments, both in the 1980s: the SDP’s rise and fall, then the Greens coming and going. Those parties’ success was only due to Labour’s weakness. When Labour got its act together, their appeal faded.

Why no one’s ready to oust Nick Clegg (except the Tories, of course)

From our UK edition

[audioplayer src="http://traffic.libsyn.com/spectator/TheViewFrom22_29_May_2014_v4.mp3" title="James Forsyth and Isabel Hardman discuss the Lib Dem's internal warfare" startat=818] Listen [/audioplayer]Nigel Farage is pretty good at giving people hangovers, and on Monday morning all three Westminster party leaders woke up with one. Ukip’s victory in the European elections represents the first time in more than a hundred years that Labour or the Tories had not won a nationwide vote. It showed that the old allegiances on which our politics are predicated have broken down. It also reminded us that none of the parties are national affairs any more; Labour came third in four regions, as the Tories did in six.

Nick Clegg is safe, but his party will continue to glower a while longer

From our UK edition

Nick Clegg is safer now than he was this morning. Lord Oakeshott's outing as the source of these ICM seat polls and his resignation from the party has put the plotters on the back foot. MPs who were ambiguous in their support for the leader are now much more forthright. Vince Cable himself is preparing a further statement of loyalty to Clegg following his denunciation of Oakeshott yesterday. The Clegg operation is more interested in getting this story over with than settling scores. It is vigorously defending Cable, arguing that he can't be held responsible for Oakeshott's actions. But the problem for Clegg is that the Lib Dems' internal structures mean that it will take a fair while for the last embers of this plot to be put out.

Will Oakeshott’s demise kill off Lib Dem revolt?

From our UK edition

Nick Clegg said this morning that 'appropriate steps' will be taken to deal with Lord Oakeshott after the peer was outed as the 'Lib Dem supporter' who had commissioned uncomfortable polling about the Lib Dems' chances in 2015. As with other difficult situations with Lib Dem peers, though, Clegg doesn't have that much power to remove the whip from Oakeshott, even if he'd like to.

Scottish Independence: The Cost of Living Like This

From our UK edition

Yippee! The number-crunching boffins are at war again. The UK and Scottish governments have today released rival forecasts for life in an independent Scotland. It will not surprise you that the UK government's projections run towards the pessimistic side of the ledger while their opponents in Edinburgh take a sunnier view of Scotland's future economic circumstances and performance. Fancy that! The Scottish government suggests there might be £5bn windfall from independence; the UK government reckons each Scot receives a 'Union dividend' worth something like £1,400 a year.  They can't both be right. In fact the probability is they are both wrong. That is, Scotland's fiscal and economic position would be neither as bleak as London suggests nor as rosy as Edinburgh claims.

Ukip pin Newark hope on data access

From our UK edition

Ukip types, already with a spring in their step this week, are further buoyed by the fact that they will be going into the Newark by-election with data up their sleeves. The Tory machine is in full swing on the ground, but the playing field has been levelled. Whereas in previous by-elections Farage turned up to the pub or hung about meeting people in the market square, Newark will be different. Thanks to the proximity of the crunch Nottinghamshire ballot to the European and local elections, the self-styled ‘people’s army’ will be on an equal footing with the embedded local Tories, as they will be able to see exactly who voted last week.

Who is behind the campaign to oust Nick Clegg?

From our UK edition

Lord Oakeshott has gone under the radar, as speculation mounts about his involvement in a bid to oust party leader Nick Clegg. Many believe he is responsible for commissioning a poll that appeared in today’s Guardian, showing that Clegg and other Lib Dems could lose their Commons seats if he remains leader. Looking through the House of Lords Register of Members' interests, it’s clear that Oakeshott is very rich indeed, boasting numerous Directorships and shareholdings. He certainly has the financial clout to fund such a poll. The register reveals something else, too: that Oakeshott has one member of staff, called Naomi Smith. She confirmed to me that she is 'a researcher for him in my spare time'.