Uk politics

Happy Sunday, Nigel Farage – Barroso snubs Cameron’s migration cap

From our UK edition

Everyone's favourite unelected European was doing the broadcasting rounds this morning, popping up on the BBC's Andrew Marr show to tell David Cameron that he can forget any plans to cap the number of EU immigrants in Britain. Here's what José Manuel Barroso had to say:- "Any kind of arbitrary cap seems to be not in conformity with Europeans laws. For us it is very important – the principle of non-discrimination. The freedom of movement is a very important principle in the internal market: movement of goods, of capital, of services and of people. By the way, I remember when prime minister Cameron called me to ask the commission to be tough ensuring the freedom of movement between Gibraltar and Spain.

David Cameron and Ken Clarke clash over Ukip and immigration

From our UK edition

Ken Clarke is one of the biggest beasts left in the Tory jungle. He had been a fixture in every Tory government since Ted Heaths time until Cameron retired him at the last reshuffle. But Clarke is clearly deeply concerned with Cameron’s strategy at the moment.   On Tuesday night, at a meeting of the Tory parliamentary party, Clarke warned Cameron that by talking up immigration so much, he was only helping Ukip. He argued that the public have an ‘insatiable appetite’ for clampdowns on immigration and so the Tories could never match Ukip on this. He said that, instead, the Tories should be talking about their strongest suit, the economy.   A surprisingly large number of Tory MPs agree with Clarke’s analysis.

Labour’s NHS strategy – tax tobacco, save the cancer patients

From our UK edition

Labour wants the next election to be about the NHS, one of their strongest issues. Party strategists have been struck by how it has been rising up voters’ list of concerns and now want to keep it there. Ed Miliband’s pledge today that Labour will ensure that people who fear they have cancer are seen and tested for within a week is astute politics. It keeps the NHS near the top of the political agenda. It is also paid for by a levy on the tobacco companies, which have few friends and little public sympathy. Meanwhile Labour can claim that this is a prudent use of £150 million as cancer becomes more difficult and expensive to treat the longer it is left. But I suspect that Labour will not be able to win in 2015 on the NHS alone.

Happy ‘anti-slavery day’ to Clapham Christians, et al

From our UK edition

October 18 is 'anti human-trafficking' day by 2007 Act of European Parliament; along with 'anti-slavery day' by 2010 Act of UK Parliament. So there's that, for the 29.8 million people worldwide estimated to live in forced servitude. Over at SlaveryFootprint.org, your correspondent learns that I personally make use of 37 slaves in my London routine, mostly through my consumer electronics and my larger-than-average appetite. The survey, laden with factoids about the coerced labour behind shrimp cocktail and mascara, is macro-analysis at its mushiest - and a far more worthwhile use of 15 minutes online than all the 'carbon-footprint' calculators put together.

Margaret Thatcher would expect the Tories to retake control of Britain’s borders

From our UK edition

In a 1978 interview to mark her third year as leader of the Conservative Party, Margaret Thatcher addressed public concerns with immigration, stating that ‘people are really rather afraid that this country might be rather swamped’. Goodness knows what word she would use to describe the situation we face today. Anyone who has knocked on doors or surveyed their constituents in recent years will tell you the public have had enough. Immigration into the UK is the number one concern to the British public and, in my judgment, a party that does not address it will not win. In 2003 427,000 people arrived in Britain. In the years that followed it was 518,000, 496,000, 529,000, 527,000, 538,000, 528,000, 553,000, 531,000, and 426,000.

Why the Tories think they can win in Rochester

From our UK edition

One of the bits of their Parliamentary party meeting this week that cheered Conservative MPs the most was a speech by Tracey Crouch on why the Tories could win the Rochester and Strood by-election. Many of her colleagues who like to spend their spare time staring at spreadsheets are sincerely worried that the party could lose the seat, leading to all hell breaking loose in the party. Crouch, who represents the neighbouring constituency and will act as the campaign aide to the candidate once she is selected (the shortlist in the postal primary is a choice between two women), told the room that the demographic of Rochester favours the Conservatives far more than that in Clacton: it has fewer pensioners, more professionals and the voters are on higher incomes.

Labour’s football policy reveals what the party really thinks about business

From our UK edition

One of the few things that brought real joy at the Lib Dem conference last week was the party passing a football policy that included a lament about the sport's focus on winning and the danger of an influx of overseas investment into the hugely successful Premier League. But the Labour party clearly thought that this policy, mocked by so many, was actually something it should be considering too, and has announced its own football policy. Presumably on the basis that niche Lib Dem policies are apparently a good thing for Labour to mimic, goldfish will be next.

Champagne Tories, and a ring of truth from Bell

From our UK edition

It was Eighties night at Mark’s Club on Thursday evening for the launch of Tory PR guru Lord Bell’s memoirs. Some refreshing honesty from the spin man, who admitted ‘I don't know why I wrote this book.’ A who’s-who of Tory peers, including Lords Chadlington, Archer and Lloyd Webber, knocked back champagne, with Michael Portillo resplendent in at least three shades of pink. Meanwhile Rocco Forte chased Christina Odone around the room, and Andrew Mitchell looked glum in the corner. Bell may not know why he wrote the book, but at least it’s been an eye opener for him.

Labour has a better-than-expected week, but the party remains shaky

From our UK edition

This week has gone much better for Labour than many of its MPs thought it would. They started the week in very poor form indeed, grumpy after a bad conference, bruised after the narrow Heywood and Middleton result, and braced for good jobs figures to be published shortly before a very challenging PMQs. But the party has narrowly avoided real meltdown once again. Had Ukip won Heywood, Labour would be in chaos, but it didn't and instead those Labourites who do worry a lot about Ukip are now even more worried, which is still infinitely preferable to party uproar over a lost seat. Had Ed Miliband had a poor showing at PMQs, the worriers would have worried some more and encouraged other MPs to grow more doleful about next year's result.

Number 10: No final decision on European Arrest Warrant

From our UK edition

Is Number 10 really preparing for a U-turn on the European Arrest Warrant? After Coffee House reported some odd manoeuvres by chief whip Michael Gove involving him suggesting to Tory MPs that it might be better for the government not to opt back into the EAW, the topic came up at this afternoon's lobby briefing. The Number 10 spokesperson told journalists that: 'The government has set out the areas where it is, in principle, seeking to opt back in. We want to secure European agreement on that and then we will take a final view on which ones we opt back into.' That sounds rather like there is room for a shift. But a Number 10 source is insisting to me that 'there is no change'.

Three reasons why Ukip would benefit from a Labour win in 2015

From our UK edition

[audioplayer src="http://traffic.libsyn.com/spectator/TheViewFrom22_16_Oct_2014_v4.mp3" title="Lord Pearson and Damian Green join Lara Prendergast on this week's podcast to discuss Ukip and the Tories." startat=79.5] Listen [/audioplayer] What result at the next election would most suit Ukip? There is little doubt that the party would most benefit from a Labour victory in 2015, which I discussed in my Spectator column this week. In brief, Labour victory would mean: 1. No EU referendum and more EU immigration. Ed Miliband has taken a strong stance against an In/Out referendum despite pressure from inside his shadow Cabinet to agree to one. He is unlikely to change his mind on this if he became Prime Minister.

Watch: James Delingpole finds Michael Gove lurking in his garden

From our UK edition

Mr Steerpike is not really sure what is going on here, but he felt it deserved a wider audience. So the Government Chief Whip had a ramble through James Delingpole's garden and ends up having a chat about Game of Thrones. Does anyone else get the sense that Michael Gove may in some way relate to Tryion Lannister? 'My favourite character in Game of Thrones is undoubtedly Tyrion Lannister... This misshapen dwarf, reviled throughout his life, thought to be in eyes of some, a toxic figure, can at last rally a small band of loyal followers... I am reminded of the words of Winston Churchill: 'never, never, never surrender.' For gaiety's sake, it's refreshing to see those old stuffy rules about a Chief Whip being silent publicly go out the window. What could go wrong?

David Cameron: I want one last go at renegotiating Britain’s relationship with Europe

From our UK edition

Is David Cameron about to announce emergency controls on European jobseekers or a points-based system on EU migration? The Times and the Sun both splashed on these ideas today (after Coffee House first revealed Cameron had promised a 'big bang' policy to Tory MPs, then led some of them to believe that he could introduce an Australian-style points-based system), and the PM was confronted on both as he did his walkout in Rochester, where he is campaigning today for the by-election. Funnily enough, the Prime Minister didn't deny any of the reports - partly because it's convenient to do so when trying to beat Ukip but also because this is all as a result of comments he himself has made. On the 'emergency brake', he said: 'We'll be setting out all of our plans in due course.

‘Islamophobia’ strikes again – national students’ union refuses to condemn Isis

From our UK edition

[audioplayer src="http://traffic.libsyn.com/spectator/TheViewFrom22_16_Oct_2014_v4.mp3" title="Sean O'Callaghan and Govinda Clayton join Lara Prendergast to discuss talking to terrorists." startat=808.5] Listen [/audioplayer] In a world often devoid of good news, there has been a fine development on the farthest-flung shores of insanity. The British National Union of Students aspires to represent students, though traditionally tends only to represent those students who are politically ambitious and possess left wing views. In any case, its latest idiocy is that it has tied itself in knots over the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria - Isis. A condemnation of the ebullient Islamic group was tabled by a student of Kurdish descent.

Podcast: Tory-Ukip relations, terrorist negotiations and Brighton’s Green problems

From our UK edition

In this week’s issue, Lord Pearson, the former leader of Ukip, describes how he tried to offer the Tories a pact before the last general election, but Cameron refused to  meet with him to discuss it.  Now it's too late, says Lord Pearson, and Cameron has forced Ukip to fight him to the end. Lord Pearson and Damian Green, the Conservative MP for Ashford, join Lara Prendergast on the podcast to discuss relations between the Tories and Ukip. Should we ever negotiate with the Islamic State? Jonathan Powell has recently suggested we should consider it. Jenny McCartney takes issue with his stance though.

Brighton has become an object lesson in why it is a disaster to vote Green

From our UK edition

[audioplayer src="http://traffic.libsyn.com/spectator/TheViewFrom22_16_Oct_2014_v4.mp3" title="Tim Stanley and Jason Kitcat discuss Brighton" startat=1510] Listen Such is their incompetence that the Greens often hurt the very causes they push [/audioplayer]I have just moved back to Brighton, and I am happy to report that it remains as shambolic as ever. The estate agent said before opening the door to a prospective flat, ‘I’m obliged by law to tell you that the previous tenant was an alcoholic and died here.’ I replied, ‘I am not surprised and that is not a problem.’ No one who knows Brighton expects puritanism. Unfortunately, we have grown to expect dreadful politics.

Ukip is in the middle of the most cynical political repositioning ever

From our UK edition

[audioplayer src="http://traffic.libsyn.com/spectator/TheViewFrom22_16_Oct_2014_v4.mp3" title="Lord Pearson and Damian Green discuss Ukip and the Tories" startat=81] Listen [/audioplayer]I think I’ve cracked it. If you want to springboard your minor political party into the mainstream and take British politics by storm, then all you need to do is go on and on about helping the poor. You don’t need to do much else. You certainly don’t need to modify your policies so that they actually help the poor. This would be overkill. Nor, frankly, do you even need to be 100 per cent up to speed on who the poor are. Feel free to conflate them with the elderly or the skilled working class or people who aren’t from London, or pretty much anybody, really.

Exclusive: Cameron hints at points-based immigration system in meeting with Tory Right

From our UK edition

Whatever David Cameron's promised 'big bang' announcement on immigration in the EU is, it has certainly excited Conservative backbenchers. A group of them confronted him this afternoon to ask whether Britain would be moving to a points-based system for EU migration along the lines of Australia (something Ukip advocates), and they say that he did not reject it. This has made them even more excited. The Prime Minister was speaking to the 'No Turning Back' group of Tory MPs, which some of those present at the meeting described as 'a little uncomfortable', mainly because these are the MPs who tend to cause him the most trouble. Others felt the meeting was relaxed, but left wondering whether Cameron really would deliver on these hints that he's been dropping over the last few months.

Lord Freud was right and Miliband shameful

From our UK edition

Markets are amoral. If a severely disabled person cannot produce more than the minimum wage’s worth of work, no employer will be able to profitably employ them. Some generous ones might do so at a loss, but we cannot assume that there will be enough of them. Many severely disabled people who would like to work thus cannot do so. Lord Freud, a businessman turned welfare advisor to Tony Blair turned Tory minister, made this point at a fringe event at the recent Tory conference. He suggested that we could allow firms to employ severely disabled people at below the minimum wage. He also said we should use something like the Universal Credit financial-support scheme to make up the difference – although this has been much less widely reported.