Uk politics

The Boris approach

From our UK edition

It is sometimes easy to forget that Boris is more than just a personality, that he has policy views too. In interviews with The Mail and The Times this morning, Boris sets out his own philosophy. It is, as you would expect from someone who voted for Ken Clarke in the 2001 leadership contest, a broadly one nation platform. Johnson argues that the Tories should not ‘simply shrug their shoulders’ about inequality and backs Iain Duncan Smith’s plan to extend the right to buy to housing association properties. He also talks about immigration far more positively than Cameron does, saying that ‘Politicians need to point out that immigration is a positive symbol of something happening in the economy’.

Parliament is weak and ineffective — it needs to change

From our UK edition

Only a third of the public think Parliament is effective in holding government to account: two thirds want improvement of our democratic institutions. We struggle to get more than two in three adults to cast a vote at a general election. It is widely held that anti-politics is the prevailing mood of our times. With depressing regularity though, discussions involving politicians and the media focus not on how to improve our democracy, but rather on how we can better communicate the brilliance of our achievements to those too cynical or ill-informed to see them. My eighteen years in the Commons have led me to a different conclusion: I think Parliament is weak, ineffective and in need of radical change.

Main parties seem rather old and tired, say voters

From our UK edition

Perhaps there’s nothing wrong with negative campaigning (though surely there’s something a bit wrong about being inaccurate). But when parties pontificate about crafting messages of hope and avoiding smears and falsehood, before plumping for the latter, can they really be surprised that overall voters are a bit cheesed off with mainstream politics? All the parties negatively campaign against negative campaigning, accusing the others of doing something that they too are doing, and hoping that no-one notices. Well, voters do seem to notice. They’re also not particularly thrilled with any of the parties.

Labour launches scary NHS attack poster

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The post-Budget attack lines for Labour were clear in Ed Miliband's speech on Wednesday: his party will allege that the Tories have a 'secret plan that dare not speak its name' to cut the NHS in the next Parliament. To underline that claim, Labour has this morning published its first election poster, threatening that the Conservatives would 'cut to the bone'. Ed Balls, who is understood to have major input into this poster, said this morning: 'After five years of David Cameron, our health service is going backwards. Our NHS just can't afford these extreme and risky Tory cuts. And after their broken promises on the NHS in this Parliament nobody will trust what the Tories say about the NHS.

What real reform of business rates would look like

From our UK edition

Of all the measures talked up ahead of the Budget, the reannouncement of a ‘radical’ review of the business rates was the least concrete in content but the most important in potential impact on the domestic economy, and especially on business investment. This column has banged on for years about the iniquity of a system that imposes the highest local taxes on businesses of any EU country, based on pre-crash rental assessments and bearing no relation to the value of diminishing local authority services. It’s a system that, on top of other economic woes, has brought devastation to town centres — and gets away with all this because it has no democratic accountability, since businesses have no votes.

Tory MPs content with ‘boring’ Budget

From our UK edition

How has George Osborne’s Budget gone down with his party? The Tory MPs I’ve spoken to in the past 24 hours or so since the Budget seem reasonably content with it. They’re not skipping through the corridors singing, but they’re equally not furious or despairing. Most seem to have sympathy with the lack of a rabbit in the Chancellor’s speech, even though they’re a bit disappointed that the Chancellor gave enough signals for them to think he was keeping a rabbit in his hat, only for a hamster to come scuttling out in the form of his Help to Buy ISAs. One senior Tory backbencher says: ‘The judgement that he’s called has probably been right.

The Lib Dems’ alternative budget showed the difficulties of a Lib/Lab coalition

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The Tories described the Liberal Democrats’ alternative Budget statement today as ‘part of price they had to pay to have a Budget.’ But the Liberal Democrats, oddly, didn’t seem to take their own statement particularly seriously. When Danny Alexander got to his feet there were only six Liberal Democrat backbenchers present. Two of the Liberal Democrats’ Secretaries of States didn’t bother to turn up either and Nick Clegg left long before the end of it. This lack of Lib Dems’ strength in numbers was a particular mistake as Labour predictably barracked the statement very aggressively; Andrew Gwynne even stood up and shoved a copy of the Treasury Red Book at Alexander.

Osborne gets the post-Budget front pages he hoped for

From our UK edition

If George Osborne's Budget is going to end up in a mess, it hasn't done so yet. The worst criticism that the front pages of even hostile newspapers can come up with is that the Chancellor has produced a very political Budget which is hardly a surprise. Most splash on the retail offers in the Budget and the good economic news.    Some of the front pages have rather creative approaches to the Budget. Even front pages such as the i, which foregrounds the politics behind the Budget, still refer to the tax cuts for first-time buyers and savers. And the most critical front pages, from the Guardian and the Mirror, naturally, are below. Even the Guardian carries a quite positive 'at a glance' list of the offers that Osborne made to voters.

Labour’s aggressive election campaign was evident in Miliband’s Budget response

From our UK edition

Ed Miliband didn’t produce a spectacular response to the Budget, but neither did he have a bad outing at the despatch box. It was certainly better than his performance last year, and Labour MPs seem - in public at least - quite cheered by the whole thing. The Labour leader did have to contend with a wall of noise from heckling Tory MPs. The Treasury Support Group has got rather carried away with itself at the past couple of economic statements, producing a boorish roar that requires frequent interruptions from the Speaker rather than under-the-radar witty cricket sledging which works in unsettling the Opposition. You don’t want the public or indeed even the Speaker to notice what you’re doing, otherwise your attacks become part of the story.

A typical coalition Budget – designed to put the Tories back in power | 18 March 2015

From our UK edition

Here is a preview of James Forsyth's political column from this week's Spectator, out tomorrow George Osborne usually tells his aides to prepare for each Budget as if it were his last. This time round, the Chancellor and those around him needed no reminding of what is at stake. They knew that this statement had to boost the Tory election campaign and define the choice facing voters in May, otherwise it really will be the last Budget he gives. As one Tory MP put it, ‘The Budget’s got to deliver some political momentum or we’re done for.’ Osborne has long been aware of the importance of this Budget for his career. If David Cameron returns to No. 10 after the election, Osborne will take the applause.

Cabinet celebrates the Budget ‘in the traditional manner’

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The Cabinet met this morning to discuss the Budget, with the Chancellor telling ministers that today the Conservatives will ‘set out the next stage in a plan that is working’ and deliver a ‘truly national recovery’, a reiteration of the comments he's already posted on Twitter. The Prime Minister's official spokesman told journalists that 'there was an exchange of views from around the table' and that the Budget was greeted 'in the traditional manner' by those present. He refused, though, to clarify what the 'traditional manner' is. Is it popping the cork of your own individual magnum of champagne in unison?

How will the Tories sell today’s Budget?

From our UK edition

It's Budget Day, possibly George Osborne's last Budget and certainly the last big event in the House of Commons that anyone outside it will notice. The Chancellor will, within the limits set by the Coalition, try to give voters a vision of what life after the cuts will be like, with glimpses of sunlit uplands in the form of further rises to the personal tax allowance, freedom for pensioners who already have annuities to sell them for a lump sum, whizzy online tax returns, as well as the sort of spending that helps voters feel more secure, with the Sun predicting more cash for the intelligence services. He will describe today's announcements as forming a Budget 'that works for you'.

Labour and Lib Dems welcome ‘progress’ on TV debates

From our UK edition

So both Labour and the Lib Dems have responded to the TV debates with caution and enthusiasm respectively. A Labour spokesman said ‘based on the broadcasters’ proposals we have accepted and plan to attend all three debates on April 2nd, 16th and the 30th. If the Tories have confirmed they are to attend one of these debates then that is progress. It is one down, two to go. But no-one should be fooled: David Cameron is running scared of a head-to-head televised debate with Ed Miliband’. The Lib Dems have also welcomed the move as 'progress', with a spokesman saying: ' 'It's good news that we are finally making progress towards a sensible solution on the TV debates.

Tory knives dangle over Grant Shapps

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Though his Conservative colleagues have largely been very supportive of Grant Shapps during the latest row about his alter ego Michael Green, there is a contingent in the party who aren’t massive fans of the Tory chairman and who have pushed at previous reshuffles to have him removed. As I predicted yesterday, those opponents of Shapps certainly aren’t planning any trouble this side of an election. But that doesn’t mean they’ll leave him alone permanently. One critic whispers: ‘We’re keeping quiet as there is an election imminent. But the knives will be out after that. He lied on radio - and a Cabinet Minister who does that should be toast. And he will be.

Poll of key marginal seats finds swing towards Labour

From our UK edition

Are the Conservatives or Labour wining the ground war in marginal seats? Lord Ashcroft has polled eight key constituencies — of which seven are currently held by Conservatives and one by Labour — that he visited six months ago to see who is winning. In these seats, Ashcroft has found there is currently a five per cent swing away from the Conservatives. According to Ashcroft, Labour is on track to take five of these Tory seats: City of Chester, Croydon Central, Halesowen & Rowley Regis, Nuneaton and Wirral West — the latter being one of the few Tory seats on Merseyside, represented by the employment minister Esther McVey.

The Coalition is drawing to an end in a surprisingly civil manner

From our UK edition

It's the last Budget before the election tomorrow and there are just a few days left of the Coalition. Which is why it is hardly surprising that a few of the pre-Budget briefings aren't so much briefings designed to bag policies a bit more coverage but leaks by one party designed to embarrass the other. The Tories had been working on their inheritance tax policy for the Budget but will instead announce it in their election campaign because of Lib Dem opposition. But that hasn't stopped 'sources' leaking Treasury analysis of the planned cut to the tax to the Guardian, and saying 'this looks like a policy to buy more Tory votes to help the wealthy and would be highly regressive in its impact on society'. Those 'sources' don't sound very Tory, do they?

Four polls show that neither Conservatives nor Labour are pulling ahead

From our UK edition

Another week, another set of polls that put Labour and the Tories on an almost level footing. In his weekly national poll, Lord Ashcroft has the Conservatives two points ahead on 31 per cent — down three points from last week — while Labour are on 29 per cent. Today’s Guardian/ICM poll also has the Conservatives slightly ahead, by one point, while Labour has jumped three points to 35 per cent. But the latest The Sun/YouGov’s poll tonight shows the opposite: this poll has Labour two points ahead of the Tories, who are down to 32 per cent. Another poll from Populus yesterday put the two main parties on 34 per cent each. Two weeks to go until the election campaign properly begins and there is still no clear frontrunner.

Tories will continue Labour/SNP attacks, despite Miliband’s comments

From our UK edition

Labour has decreed today it won’t go into a formal coalition with the SNP, but this won’t stop the Tories from attacking Ed Miliband over the possibility. Despite Miliband's proclamation that 'Labour will not go into coalition government with the SNP' and 'there will be no SNP ministers in any government I lead', a Tory source says 'we'll continue to campaign on this'. So expect more stunts and adverts highlighting the dangers of any union between Labour and the SNP.