Uk politics

Just over twelve hours after Arlene Foster released a statement which appeared to suggest the DUP were ready to fudge their red lines on the Irish border, the party leader popped up on BBC Ulster to make clear that this is not the case. In an interview this morning, Foster said 'there cannot be any barriers between ourselves and the rest of the United Kingdom': BBC: Would you entertain checks being applied to goods being imported from Great Britain? AF: No because there are many instances as to when... if you take someone getting goods in Northern Ireland coming from Great Britain those would be checked as they come into Northern Ireland and then they might be subject to other checks as well. So we cannot have the single market of the United Kingdom interfered with.

Just last week Donald Tusk took to social media to claim that the EU's offer to the UK a 'Canada+++' deal was a mark of respect. Only the EU council leader failed to find space in his tweet to make clear that this offer only applied to Great Britain – not Northern Ireland. Now it's Jean-Claude Juncker's turn to show how he pays the UK respect. In a speech to the Committee of the Regions, the European Commission president appeared to do his best impression of Theresa May's Dancing Queen turn at conference: https://twitter.com/JamesCrisp6/status/1049283494004903936 Stay classy Brussels.

It was the line in her conference speech that demonstrated Theresa May’s desire to stay on as Prime Minister after Brexit. But it was also the line that will cause her the most trouble. I say in The Sun this morning that May’s declaration that austerity is over will cause problems even if the Tories couldn’t have fought another election on austerity. First of all, they have already pledged to spend an extra £20 billion on the NHS. At the time, many senior Tories regarded this as the party making a choice to spend ‘the proceeds of growth’ on the health service. But by now announcing the end of austerity, May has suggested that the taps will be turned on elsewhere too.

In the end, the star of Conservative conference was a Brexiteer. Only it wasn't Boris Johnson – or even Jacob Rees-Mogg. Instead, it was someone with a much lower media profile – Geoffrey Cox QC. Theresa May's recently appointed Attorney General stole the show with a Mufasa-inspired barn-storming stage routine. In it, Cox’s booming baritone echoed across the hall as he gave a robust defence of Britain’s decision to leave the European Union – and May's Chequers agreement: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y__GkNPKqeQ As Conservative MPs watched from the front row seats, a few had to admit that they weren't sure who their colleague was. The bulk found that they didn't have his phone number.

One of the things that the Tory conference taught us was quite how worried the party is about Labour. There was almost a Mean Girls-style obsession with talking about Jeremy Corbyn in speeches on the stage, including Theresa May’s own address at the end of conference, where she returned to the problems with the Labour Party a number of times. The Tories are right to be worried, and not just as a result of last year’s snap election. I understand that the reason Labour has decided to talk so much about the way capitalism has left certain voters behind is that recent polling carried out by the party found it had strong resonance with groups of voters who feel pessimistic about the future of the country.

James Duddridge has chosen to take advantage of the run-up to the Prime Minister’s conference speech to announce that he’s sent a letter of no confidence in Theresa May to the chairman of the 1922 Committee Graham Brady. This is, to state the obvious, a stunt. I doubt it presages a more serious effort to get to 48 letters and by sending it in before May has even spoken, he has made it clear just how pre-meditated it all is. Right now, the more senior figures in the ERG, the main Brexiter lobby in the party, don’t want a vote of no confidence in May. They calculate, correctly, that she would win it—and that would give her more room to make further compromises in the Brexit negotiations as she couldn’t be challenged for another year.

How does Theresa May plan to reinvigorate her party and send it out, united and happy, after this week's conference? If the extracts of her speech that have been trailed tonight are anything to go by, it's not clear that the Prime Minister knows how to answer that question, either. It's either the case that May is holding back a series of announcements for the speech itself or for individual newspapers, or that she is planning to make motherhood and apple pie look controversial in comparison to the epithets she is going to deliver. The Prime Minister will tell the country that 'our best days lie ahead of us and that our future is full of promise'.