Kevin Warsh

Trump’s economic fantasies

Donald Trump has never had many reservations about attacking the Federal Reserve. Last night, at a rally in North Carolina, he renewed his attacks on the Fed after it raised interest rates by a quarter of a point to 4 percent, which remains historically low. With inflation persisting at well over 2 percent, the hike was long overdue. The longer inflation is allowed to fester, the harder it becomes to tame. For the self-described “King of Debt,” however, the Fed’s move was an intolerable affront. It is a reminder of the independence of a government agency, something that Trump regards with anathema. He, and he alone, is supposed to dictate economic policy.

Warsh Derangement Syndrome will prove very expensive

One of the sub-plots of the last twenty years has been the growth of “derangement syndromes.” It started with Bush Derangement Syndrome at the start of the century, morphed into the far more powerful Trump Derangement Syndrome, took a side trip to the other side of the Atlantic with Brexit Derangement Syndrome, and then turned into Tariff Derangement Syndrome. The basic symptoms are always the same. Some fairly minor, and probably not even very radical reforms, get reframed as an existential threat to the economy, democracy and even civilization itself. We are now seeing the latest example. Warsh Derangement Syndrome, named after the new Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh – and for investors it is likely to prove the most expensive yet.

Kevin Warsh

The role of ABBA in the Ajax fiasco

From our UK edition

‘It’s all about ABBA,’ a military acquaintance whispered when I mentioned the scandal of the British Army’s order of 589 Ajax armoured vehicles, for which -‘initial operating capability’ status has been withdrawn following multiple cases of soldiers suffering after-effects of intolerable noise and vibration. What could that possibly have to do with the great Swedish-songsters? Nothing, he explained: it is an acronym for ‘Anything But British Aerospace’, allegedly a mantra in defence procurement circles in a previous era.

What to make of Kevin Warsh

The news broke this morning that Donald Trump has, after considerable deliberation, settled on Kevin Warsh as his nominee to replace Jerome Powell as chairman of the Federal Reserve. "I have known Kevin for a long period of time," said Trump, on Truth Social. "There’s no doubt that he will go down as one of the GREAT Fed Chairmen, maybe the best." "On top of everything else," added the Commander-in-Chief, "he is 'central casting' and he will never let you down." The use of the phrase "central casting" shows Trump’s reality TV brain at work. The President likes people in major government positions who look the part on screen. Inevitably, senior Democrats are attacking Warsh’s nomination as Trump’s "latest attempt to seize control of the Fed.