Conservative party

Why Sajid Javid could end up at the top of the Tory tree

From our UK edition

Sajid Javid's promotion to Culture Secretary will not surprise his many fans. And it underlines an advantage that the Conservative party has over Labour right now - the talent in its back benchers. The Tories, quite simply, have far more MPs who could be Prime Minister - thanks to the hugely successful recruitment process that David Cameron ran after becoming leader . One of them is Sajid Javid, who is interviewed by the Mail on Sunday today – this was done (as ever) months earlier by James Forsyth in the Spectator (his interview here). They're both worth reading, as I suspect Javid is one of these guys we'll be hearing a lot more from in coming years.

Class warriors and unpaid mercenaries

From our UK edition

Class war. It's not very classy, is it? But it's Labour's big thing at the moment, the class-of-politicians-crisis, which it thinks works well with the other crisis facing hardworking families up and down the country that the party likes to talk about, and allows Ed Miliband to duck awkward things like responding to the Budget. He and his henchmen have spent the past week and a half talking as much about Etonians as they have pensioners. On Tuesday, Rachel Reeves had her go, banging on about rich Tories buying Lamborghinis. Ed Balls was the follow-up act on Wednesday (having already had a first shot last week with his jokes about the PM's friend 'Bingo'). He told the Commons that: 'When the hon.

Knives out for Warsi in reshuffle

From our UK edition

After a few weeks of Boris vs George, Conservatives are now starting to gossip about something a little more immediate: a post-European elections reshuffle. I understand that the Prime Minister is currently experiencing concerted lobbying from many ministers and backbenchers to remove Baroness Warsi from her post as 'senior minister of state' after her decision to wave about a front page on the 'Eton Mess' in Number 10 on ITV's The Agenda a few weeks ago. There was fury at a senior level in the Conservative party about Warsi's behaviour: she was punching her party's bruise on class. One minister says: 'She should be dropped down a hole and a lid put on the top. She knew what she was doing, she's not naive.

Hampstead and Kilburn – it would be a disgrace if the Lib Dems don’t back Maajid Nawaz to the hilt

From our UK edition

In the past 30 years British English has received a number of loan words from Arabic, words which would have meant very little to our young grandparents but are now familiar enough to be used metaphorically: jihad, fatwa, taliban, dhimmi. Almost all refer to religion and religious conflict, and have a slightly unwelcome ear to most people. (It wasn’t always like this, of course; Arabic has in the past given us a number of terms, from zero to orange to racket and nadir, not to mention countless scientific phrases).

‘Net migration’ is bogus. Maybe we should look at ‘net foreign migration’?

From our UK edition

Mark Field, MP for Westminster, has set up a brand new campaign group of Tory backbenchers called Managed Migration - as opposed, you might think, to the unmanaged sort we have at present. But he's not actually in favour of managing migration in the conventional sense; he wants the PM to drop the party's commitment to containing overall numbers of net migrants to the ‘tens of thousands’ though there seems fat chance of that just now.  Big increases in net migration, he says, are a tribute to the recovering economy. He's got a point in one sense. As the economy improves, fewer Brits want to leave, which has an effect on net numbers.

Despite low-key launch, Tory ‘managed migration’ campaign should worry No. 10

From our UK edition

Mark Field's new Conservatives for Managed Migration group hasn't attracted overwhelming public support from MPs. When it launched this morning, it only had two Tory MPs openly signed up, with Field telling BBC News that 'I think we have got quite a few supporters' but refusing to give an exact number. This might be causing No. 10 some satisfaction, although Downing Street sources are insisting that they are 'relaxed' about the group. It does, after all, argue that there is a 'fundamental problem' with the Conservatives' net migration target. And there is considerable irritation among the Prime Minister's advisers that MPs feel the need to set up new groups whenever they want to discuss a policy as these groups are inevitably read as a sign of a new Tory split on an issue.

Tory MPs develop new Eton game

From our UK edition

Tory MPs from less privileged backgrounds than their leader have developed a fun new game to play in the members’ tea room: drawing up definitive rankings of Polite Old Etonians and Rude Old Etonians. I hear that the polite list includes Jesse Norman, Zac Goldsmith and Jacob Rees Mogg, while the rude list features not only the PM but his chief whip Sir George Young, who is accused of 'arrogance’. Apparently Sir George doesn’t say hello to people in the corridor. Keen bean Rory Stewart is also on the rude list: 'People don’t mind ambition in parliament, but vaulting Shakespearean ambition is a bit of a turn off,' whispers one game player. Will an Etonian ever lead the party again?

What today’s polls mean for the Tories and Labour

From our UK edition

The Labour party's reaction to today's opinion polls will tell us a great deal about how well Ed Miliband has really invested in his party. If the backbenchers feel they have a stake in the Labour leader, and as though he is worth fighting for - which Conservative MPs have often not felt about Cameron, leading to them airing their dirty laundry in public - then the panic in the party won't break out beyond John Mann's intervention today. The backbencher told Pienaar's Politics that 'of course it's a warning shot and it would be naive to think otherwise. I think the message is that we need to be much clearer and I think simpler in putting across what our alternative is and what we stand for.' Mann said this wasn't just a Miliband problem but also the Shadow Cabinet and the whole party.

#ToryBingo could still benefit the Conservatives

From our UK edition

Isabel and Sebastian are right: #ToryBingo is embarrassing. The advert was crass to the point of being idiotic. The use of the word 'they' rather than 'you' to describe 'hardworking people' was sloppy. The episode has taken some of the gloss off an otherwise shiny Budget. It is, emphatically, bad PR. That said; I don't imagine that the Tories will be too displeased by the furore. #ToryBingo has given a huge amount of exposure to two Budget measures that would otherwise have been buried beneath the pension announcement: the Tories have cut tax on bingo and duty on beer.

Tory Wars: Backbenchers threaten backlash against Shapps backlash

From our UK edition

There is a rather furious backlash underway against the backlash that Grant Shapps finds himself in the middle of after his bingo gaffe. Supporters of the Tory Chairman suspect he has been stitched up in some way. I understand that the graphic was emailed out to a number of tweeting MPs who all tweeted it at roughly the same time - Shapps was the first. And as Chairman, he has to take the flak. Others privately suspect that other ministers who are after his job are responsible for briefings such as this one to the Sun that he could lose his job if the Tories take a drubbing in the European elections.

Tories: There never was a bingo poster

From our UK edition

George Osborne got the front pages he wanted this morning. 'A budget for Sun readers' proclaims his target newspaper. But Labour, which doesn't have very much to say about the Budget, has been celebrating Grant Shapps' unfortunate infographic which he tweeted last night which takes a rather David Attenborough-style tone when describing what hardworking people like to do in their spare time. 'Cutting the bingo tax and beer duty to help hardworking people do more of the things they enjoy' the image says. Labour is delighted and many Tories are horrified. George Osborne has been pressed repeatedly about it on his post-Budget broadcast tour.

What I want from the Budget: some conservatism

From our UK edition

Budget day tomorrow, and I'm sure many of you will relish the reminder that you are, in George Osborne's reported view, 'successful' because you pay 40p tax band. It's better than that, in fact. I know of men who ask their partners to make obscene references about their tax contribution during intimate moments, about how they are part of the 15 per cent of taxpayers who are reducing the deficit and making Britain the fastest-growing economy in the G7. Stranger still, Osborne is reported to have said, although he denies everything, that the 40p tax made people more likely to vote Conservative.

Who judges the judges?

From our UK edition

I like Jonathan Calvert and Heidi Blake of the Sunday Times. I will not pretend they are anything like close friends or family. I doubt if I see them more than once a year. But before you read any further you should know about our acquaintance. It is important for journalists to declare their interests. Readers must be free to make up their own minds, even if I believe – especially if I believe – that a friendship or family bond could never influence my writing. In a few days, the Sunday Times will apply for the right to appeal against a decision by Mr Justice Tugendhat from July last year. Peter Cruddas, a former co-treasurer of the Conservative Party had sued the Sunday Times after it sent undercover reporters – Calvert and Blake – to interview him.

Tory leadership rivals may be jumping too early

From our UK edition

The Coalition is trying to make today about childcare after announcing plenty of housing initiatives over the weekend. Announcing different policies in a drip-drip in the run-up to the Budget means they get their own limelight - and that's fine if you've got enough left in the larder once the statement itself arrives. George Osborne has learned from the 2012 Budget the art of spinning things out while leaving enough to hand out on the day - particularly giveaways that Sun readers like. But today is also about the frankly weird shenanigans at the top of the Conservative party which continued this morning with Boris Johnson's father pressing his case for the party rules to be changed so that the Mayor could be party leader.

Hold the front page: Anne McIntosh is holding a constituency surgery!

From our UK edition

Mr S takes embargos very seriously. He respects the convention. An embargo is sacred. Yet the news that Anne McIntosh MP is holding a constituency surgery is so momentous that it took every ounce of my integrity not to share it with you before the appointed time this morning. Most ordinary MPs don't embargo news of their surgeries. These events happen every week, more or less; they ought not to be newsworthy. But McIntosh is extraordinary. Readers may recall that McIntosh, the Tory MP for Thirsk and Malton, has not been re-selected by her association. The Spectator's Martin Vander Weyer, a member of the association, wrote an account of the row.

Exclusive: PM vents fury at Gove for interview on Etonians

From our UK edition

Unsurprisingly, Michael Gove's FT interview in which he attacked the 'preposterous' number of Old Etonians around David Cameron - widely interpreted as a sally on behalf of George Osborne - has gone down like a lead balloon with the Prime Minister. I understand that Cameron had a stern word with the Education Secretary over the weekend, with one source telling me that 'he was torn a new one and given a right royal bollocking'. Cameron has made it very clear to Gove that his words were 'bang out of order' and that his aim is to focus on the Cabinet job in hand, not go on freelance missions. Meanwhile, those supporting Boris's leadership ambitions are deeply amused by the amount of energy being expended by the Osborne camp on furthering his prospects on the Tory backbenches.

Ken Clarke: We don’t need treaty change to reform Europe, and my eurosceptic colleagues are eccentric

From our UK edition

Tory europhiles don't often come out in the daylight: they normally give the impression they're frightened that their associations will get grumpy, or that their fellow MPs will try to shout them down. But today the pro-EU group European Mainstream launched their new pamphlet, In Our Interest: Britain with Europe, which takes a stance that is quite unusual in the Conservative party: it agrees with the Prime Minister's Europe strategy. The 62 MPs on the group - who include Ken Clarke, Damian Green, Richard Benyon and Caroline Spelman - didn't seem at all shifty or nervous when they gathered in Westminster Hall this afternoon to launch the pamphlet and make a positive case for Britain in Europe.

Why no Tory can lecture another on leadership challenges

From our UK edition

The continued speculation about who in the Conservative party is putting the most effort into preparing their leadership hat to throw into the currently non-existent ring is quite amusing. But it also means that those involved will struggle to have such a moral high ground when they need to lecture backbench colleagues for getting overexcited about potty-sounding leadership challenges after the European elections. Boris and George Osborne may be engaged in a strange fight about who is gaining the most currency with backbenchers so that they're in the best possible position post-Cameron, while backbench unrest will be focused on Cameron's own position.

David Davis should be in Cabinet – or at least in government

From our UK edition

Class never quite goes away as an issue for the Tories, for the simple and sufficient reason that it matters. Lately it was Michael Gove stating the obvious, that the Prime Minister mixes mostly with people with backgrounds like his own...a perfectly human impulse, but not a good look, the Old Etonian coterie. Now David Davis has observed (on the radio) over the weekend, as John Major did last year, that it's much harder than it was when he was growing up for a working class boy to get ahead in the world. Mr Davis is a product of a Tooting grammar school, a route that's now closed, but it wasn't just grammars that he was talking about, but social mobility generally. It's not the first time he's given the government the benefit of his views on class.