Revealed: the documentary the BBC doesn’t want you to see
Nate Silver has a lot to answer for. Yes, he called the US general election correctly - but he then led the fashionable view that opinion polling technology is now so advanced as to be able to predict what people are feeling to a high degree of accuracy. So confident was Silver in his computers that he thought he could, from the other side of an ocean, predict the UK general election with '90 per cent confidence.' The BBC lapped this up, and filmed a Panorama with the hubristic title "Who will win the election?". Richard Bacon joined Silver as he visited the UK 'to try and forecast the outcome of the most uncertain British election in decades'.