Could inflation hit 18.6 per cent?
From our UK edition
When last month’s headline inflation figure was released, showing a rise to 10.1 per cent on the year, a little bit of optimism broke through the general discourse of outrage and horror: despite hitting double digits, might inflation be close to its peak? The main source of this optimism came from falling oil prices, which recently have been on a downward trajectory. But that narrative is by no means the consensus. This morning, investment bank Citi reports its most recent inflation forecast – which it estimates will hit 18.6 per cent on the year in January. This is more than 5 percentage points higher than the Bank of England’s most current forecast of 13.3 per cent for October.