Gráinne Gilmore

As we ready ourselves for what has become an annual pilgrimage to the polling booths, in terms of finance there is little doubt that housing is taking centre stage in this election. This was not always the case. It’s true that if you look back to newspaper coverage of the housing crisis in the late 1940s and 1950s, post-World War Two, some of the articles could be reproduced word for word in tomorrow’s nationals. But in the 1980s and 90s, back when the structural undersupply of new homes was just getting truly entrenched, housing didn’t seem quite so important. This is one of the reasons why it is escalating back up the agenda now, with Jeremy Corbyn announcing on the campaign trail that housing was his top priority.

Every month, some 1,500 households across the country tell us what they think has happened to the value of their home over the last month, and what they expect to happen to its value over the next year. This data is then crunched into something called the House Price Sentiment Index, or HPSI for short. The name doesn’t trip off the tongue, but the index, produced in conjunction with Markit Economics, gives us a good glimpse into the housing market. Sentiment is important for housing -- it can determine decisions by discretionary buyers, those who are not motivated by necessity, such as a move for work, for school or to house a growing or shrinking family. Anyway, back to the HPSI (the name will start to grow on you, promise).