Gavin Mortimer

Emmanuel Macron is the eighth and the youngest president of the Fifth Republic, winning an estimated 65pc of the vote in the second round of voting. It caps an astonishing rise for the 39-year-old former investment banker who only founded his En Marche! party in April last year. The news was greeted with delirium by his many supporters who had gathered throughout the day at the place des Pyramides at the Louvre in the centre of Paris in expectation of victory. There was never likely to be any upset with the polls predicting a comfortable Macron win from the moment he and Marine Le Pen finished first and second in the first round of voting a fortnight ago. The last poll on Friday, before campaigning officially ended, put Macron on 61.5pc and Le Pen on 38.5pc.

There were times during last night's televised debate between Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron when it resembled more a playground slanging match than a pitch to become president of France. The National Front leader and her En Marche! counterpart traded insults, exchanged stares and did their best to shout each other down during two-and-a-half hours of enthralling but unedifying television. A snap poll taken by French broadcaster BFMTV shortly after the dust settled on the extraordinary encounter showed that 63 per cent of people believed Macron had come out on top, while an online poll in Le Parisien newspaper also has the centrist candidate as the clear winner.

Bad weather swept across southern France over the May Day holiday but summer is just around the corner and with it will come the burkini. Last week, a call was issued to burkini-wearers to gather at the Cannes film festival later this month, with the organiser saying it will be the perfect moment 'to celebrate together this freedom in the town that was the first to ban the burkini'. The burkini brouhaha of last August made headlines around the world but it soon blew over like a summer storm.

After their humiliation with Brexit and Donald Trump, the pollsters returned to form in France with their predictions of a Macron and Le Pen first round victory. If the polls are as accurate with their forecast for the second round, then the new president of France will be the centrist Emmanuel Macron. The 39-year-old is the overwhelming favourite. But nonetheless, there are reasons for the National Front to hope that they could still replicate the political earthquakes of 2016. For that to happen Marine Le Pen will have to attack Macron on two fronts with the purpose of attracting votes from both the far-left and the conservative right.

With less than twenty four hours before polling booths open in France, the country's security forces are on full alert for another attack by Islamist extremists. More than 50,000 police and 7,000 soldiers have been mobilised as part of the massive security operation but they still lack the resources to safeguard every polling station. In Paris, for example, only 400 of the 896 polling booths will have security personnel on duty. But it's not just Islamists who are menacing France. The far left has called for a 'Night of Barricades' [a reference to the May demonstrations of 1968] to begin on Sunday at 6pm, to oppose what they describe as this 'masquerade of an election...between liberalism on the one side and fascism on the other'.

It was the 34th annual convention of France's Muslims at the weekend in le Bourget, just north of Paris, and the main topic of conversation was the upcoming presidential election. Five years ago, when François Hollande beat Nicolas Sarkozy to become president, the Socialist candidate benefited from 86 per cent of the Muslim vote. That won't happen in 2017. Jérôme Fourquet, director of IFOP, the international polling organisation, said recently that in the wake of the 2012 election 'the left committed the error of believing that they had acquired this [Muslim] electorate permanently'. And yet in Benoît Hamon, who hopes to succeed Hollande as the next president from the Socialist Party, Islam has a friend.

Marine Le Pen sees plots everywhere. In her view the media, the Socialists, the judiciary and even the European Union have been conniving in recent months to enfeeble her presidential campaign. As she said during last week's televised debate, 'I'm politically persecuted'. But the plot with the potential to cause the greatest damage to the National Front leader is likely to come from within. It will be led by her niece, Marion Maréchal-Le Pen, and her growing number of supporters within the National Front who believe Marine Le Pen's detoxification of the party she inherited from her father in 2011 has softened their core beliefs to an unacceptable degree.

The presidential campaign is nothing if not a test of endurance for the French public although there were moments yesterday evening when the televised debate felt more like a punishment. For four hours, the eleven candidates talked, or to be more precise, shouted, interrupted and ranted at one another. It was, in the words of Le Figaro, a 'cacophony' and one that 'rapidly turned the debate into a confusion'. It was the first time in a presidential campaign that all the candidates, not just the principal ones, have debated and it will probably be the last.

It's just as well François Hollande won't have the opportunity to meet Donald Trump in person before he leaves the Élysée Palace in early May. It will save the outgoing president of France any potential embarrassment. When Angela Merkel visited Washington earlier this month she stood in stony silence as the American president claimed in front of the world's media that his predecessor, Barack Obama, was a serial phone tapper. As The Donald memorably quipped, just about the only thing he and the German chancellor had in common was the fact they'd both, allegedly, had their phones bugged by the Obama Administration. Now it's claimed Obama wasn't the only western leader with a penchant for eavesdropping.

It was the burkini that brought Monday night's debate to life between the five main presidential candidates for next month's French election. For the first hour of the televised debate there had been much posturing and postulating but no sharp exchanges. That changed when Marine Le Pen accused Emmanuel Macron of turning a blind eye to the burkini, the Islamic swimwear that last summer caused such controversy in France. Macron rejected the charge, telling Le Pen in a forceful exchange she was a dangerous provocateur. The centrist candidate, who claims to be 'neither left nor right', then went on the counter-attack, accusing the National Front leader of sowing divisions within society by attempting to make four million French Muslims 'enemies of the Republic'.

I had an illuminating argument with a Socialist friend at the weekend. It began when I expressed my surprise that greater Paris has just passed a law compelling construction workers to speak only French. The 'Moliere clause' in the 'Small Business Act' requires all firms engaged in publicly-funded building projects to talk French. The intention is to stop foreign workers, particularly those from eastern Europe, taking the jobs of French builders and undercutting local companies. I suggested to my friend that the bill, which is already in force in Normandy, Hauts-de-France and Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes. is discriminatory. Not at all, retorted my friend, it's common sense. I see.

'One cannot govern France,' declared François Fillon last November, 'if one is not irreproachable.' A little over three months later, however, and the centre-right candidate for next month's French presidential candidate has had a change of heart. The 62-year-old has today announced that he will be placed under formal investigation over allegations that during a period of several years he fictitiously employed three members of his family on lucrative salaries. François Fillon and his Welsh wife Penelope have been summoned by magistrates to answer the charges on 15 March, two days before the registration deadline for presidential candidates. Fillon says it is clearly a politically-motivated decision.

As Emmanuel Macron stood on the steps of Downing Street on Tuesday urging Britain's 'banks, talents, researchers, academics' to move across the Channel after Brexit, security services in France were dismantling yet another Islamic terror cell preparing to launch a terrorist attack. That makes three this month, a clear indication that the Islamists are itching to carry out a major attack in the run-up to April's presidential election. Tuesday's police raid targeted addresses in Clermont, Marseille and the Paris area. 'The suspects had a plot that was sufficiently advanced for the police to decide to arrest them', said a police spokesman.