Fraser Nelson

Fraser Nelson

Fraser Nelson is a Times columnist and a former editor of The Spectator.

Bar talk | 8 June 2009

From our UK edition

It's over and Brown is safe. This, at least, is the verdict from the Commons bars from which I have just done a brief tour to sample the mood on behalf of Coffee Housers. One minister I spoke to - by no means a diehard Brown loyalist - whipped out a list of dissenters who had spoken at the meeting. He had jotted down the names by instinct. It kinda reminded me of that Judean People's Front sketch where they read out the name of a rival group and shout "splitters!" It's within Labour's instincts. Sniff out and round on the minority faction. It's what they do. I haven't spoken to anyone who claims Brown didn't do well, nor anyone who thinks his survival is an issue. The atmosphere is one of relief from everyone.

They might be spinning that the rebellion is over, but it’s not

From our UK edition

Ben Bradshaw has come out of the PLP meeting claiming Brown gave "the speech of a lifetime". What a shame the rest of us never see this fiery, articulate Prime Minister. When he goes out in public he is trapped in the body of a stuttering, gaffe-prone bully. Defence Secretary Bob Ainsworth was also sent out of the meeting at 6.50pm with The Line To Take from No10 - you could almost see him trying to remember his script: "Those people have had their say and they have failed to gain the support of their parliamentary colleagues and they should respect that". Staggering. Brown wants to bill this as the Star Chamber where the rebels staged their great attempt to oust him. Methinks he will have to wait for the party conference for that.

A farce behind closed doors

From our UK edition

I'm standing outside Committee Room 14 where Brown is having this supposed make or break meeting. As soon as he swanned in, there was a cheer and the banging of desks. Had he walked into a Tory meeting by mistake? No, this was his henchmen doing their version of crowd control. And there is plenty of crowd - David Lammy is standing in front of me being told there is no room. Ronnie Campbell tried to heave his hefty carcass in the door like he was squeezing into one of those Tokyo underground tubes, but no dice. "Doesn't he want my support?" he exclaimed as he left. Another round of desk-banging and applause at 6.14pm.   What a farce. About the entire parliamentary press corps is standing outside - as Brown's henchmen know too well.

Is Brown’s nightmare becoming reality?

From our UK edition

To understand why Jane Kennedy has gone, ask yourself: what does Gordon Brown fear most? Not the spineless Cabinet. Not the PLP. But he could be ousted if someone uses on him the tactics he ruthlessly used to depose Tony Blair: line up junior government members and have them resign hour after hour. Last summer, Brown instructed McBride and his other henchmen to identify and then "out" rebels like Siobhan McDonagh before they could co-ordinate and detonate themselves. It worked a treat. Looks like the Dear Leader is up to his tricks again. Kennedy, a junior environment minister, said she has left the government after being asked to give a statement of support of Brown which she could not do. No10 says she's lying, but her account rings true to me.

A government of automatons

From our UK edition

It gets worse for Labour members. As if yesterday's survival of Brown were not enough, as if tomorrow's Euro results will not make them suicidal, Guido has today exposed the lines that the automaton ministers are told to take about it all (see here) and the effect seems to be to hollow out the soul of the party. The tragedy is that Brown finds people to actually say this tripe. There has, so far, been a striking absence of free-speaking Labour MPs (Siobhan McDonagh and a few others excepted) but seeing this script drives home the situation Where once there was a living, breathing party there is now a few hundred MPs who seem to be there just to collect the salary. They can't even take control of their own leadership.

Politics | 6 June 2009

From our UK edition

Little wonder that Gordon Brown is gravely concerned about the state of British democracy. Labour’s poll rating has this week hit a (new) postwar low — and that was before Thursday’s elections. As the Prime Minister waits in misery for the final results on Sunday he may be tempted to recall the satirical words of Bertolt Brecht: ‘Wouldn’t it be easier to dissolve the people and elect another in their place?’ But Brown will go one better. He intends to change Britain’s constitutional system: the rules of the game, so to speak. His plan for a National Council for Democratic Renewal deserves to be taken seriously.

Facing Brown’s spending deceptions

From our UK edition

I was at Brown's press conference today and decided to tackle him on the way he spun the last Budget. Off topic on a momentous day like today, I know, but it was towards the end of the conference and the old rogue may be gone within a month. I may never get another chance to tackle him directly on the way he has misled the public over the huge cuts he has planned for us post-election. It seemed all the more relevant because his theme was that he is an honest chap. “Candid”, he said. He quoted his father telling him "always be honest". And then he claimed that the choice at the next election was between a party of cuts and one of investment. So when my turn came to ask a question, I addressed what is - in my view - one of the worst falsehoods he is peddling.

Andy Burnham to Health

From our UK edition

Andy Burnham, that football-mad Liverpool lad, is to be the new boss of the non-communist world's largest workforce: Health Secretary. He has thus fulfilled the prophesy bestowed on him when he was named The Spectator-Threadneedle's "minister to watch" in 2006. Burnham was a former health minister (I interviewed him in Richmond House at the time) so will know the department a bit. My guess is that we will see as much inactivity from him as we did from Alan Johnson. Burnham found being Chief Secretay to the Treasury too taxing during his six month stay there, and seemed delighted to be made minister for fun when he was moved to culture. He'll have a lot less fun in the Department of Health.

Alan Sugar’s take on Gordon Brown

From our UK edition

So what did Alan Sugar think of Gordon Brown before he was offered a (for a tsar, utterly unnecessary) peerage? My former colleague at The Scotsman, Gerri Peev, has unearthed something that CoffeeHousers may appreciate: This letter appeared in the FT on 19 March 1992, after Brown appeared to accuse City bosses of feeding off the recession: Sir, I have noted with disgust the comments of a certain Mr Gordon Brown who has accused me of doing well out of the recession after reading the letter published in The Times from 40 top industrialists. I do not know who Mr Gordon Brown is. Excuse my ignorance, but I don't. Whoever he is (shadow trade and industry secretary), he has not done his homework properly. The man doesn't know what he's talking about.

John Hutton joins the ranks of the rebels

From our UK edition

So John Hutton is quitting as Defence Secretary - this was NOT in the script.  Lord Mandeson said only an hour ago that "I believe you will find the entire Cabinet following the PM and nobody following James’s lead". But Hutton, an arch-Blairite who was made to distance himself from James Purnell's resignation last night, is on his way out. This will be an agonosing wrench for Hutton, who loved defence so much that in his old job (Work & Pensions Secretary) he would finish early, head over to the National Archives at Kew and go and research his various defence projects: books, plays etc. He felt passionately about the importance of our involvement in Afghanistan, the need to be vigilant on Iran and he felt in a minority there.

The rebellion grows

From our UK edition

Brown appears to be running out of Labour MPs whom he can trust not to resign. Word is that Louise Casey is to be ennobled and sent to the Home Office - this with Alan Sugar's purported role as a peer and minister would mean even more unelected ministers in the government of an unelected Prime Minister. No wonder there's talk of a 70 strong backbench rebellion - Brown sees no use in them and it appears to be mutual. It all becomes less tenable by the minute.

Latest: Darling to stay put

From our UK edition

Word is that Darling is staying put - if so, it would be the position of maximum weakness for Brown. It means he has had to abandon his plan to enstool Balls as Chancellor. And there was indeed such a plan - I know, for example, that Purnell was offered education, which suggests Balls was on the move. That was on Wednesday, the day Brown failed to back Darling in the Commons when Cameron asked him if Darling would survive the month. But Balls is so widely hated - and that letter (I hear) gathering signatures - that Brown figured he dare not. This, under the circumstances, is the safest option for Brown. But leaves him in the weakest possible position.

More reshuffle snippets

From our UK edition

It looks increasingly likely that this will be a Cabinet of has-beens (i.e. Beckett); clique members (Balls, Cooper, Vadera and - God help us - Alan Sugar); and toadies (Sean Woodward). Cameron's lot will look like veritable titans compared to this new axis of pygmies being assembled in No10. For the Tories this gets better and better.

All smiles for Yvette Cooper

From our UK edition

I've been in Westminster since 6.30am, a time when anyone awake is crying out for coffee and looking like death. But two metres in front of me now stands the biggest smile I have seen all day. Yvette Cooper was careful not to beam as much on camera, but was a ray of sunlight as she came bouncing up the stairs to the Sky News stage (where I have been doing a paper review). She is tipped for a big job today - probably DWP - and what a day, I suspect, it will be for the Balls-Cooper axis.

Why Purnell resigned

From our UK edition

I can reveal that James Purnell was offered education, which he turned down, and decided to resign because he couldn't go on continuing to go out in public and support a PM whom he'd lost faith in months ago. It's an open secret that Purnell supported David Miliband for the leadership last summer. And, in this context, reports of Miliband's resignation, expected tomorrow, made sense - it would have been four Cabinet resignations in four days. But Miliband has apparently denied it - to quit now, and choose the wilderness, takes a certain sort of courage. As Miliband showed us last summer, he doesn't have it. I believe Purnell when he says he acted alone - if he waited for some co-ordinated attempt he would be waiting forever.

How would CoffeeHousers reform our democracy?

From our UK edition

I would like to call on the substantial collective wisdom of CoffeeHousers. What changes do we need to make to Britain's democracy? Once, this would have been a closed debate - with Gordon Brown setting up a "national" committee then telling us what we think. Now, we can gatecrash - and this is what The Spectator proposes to do. We're teaming up wth PoliticsHome to start what should be a massive online consultation to take the debate outside of the Village. In my political column today I ask for suggestions, from select committee membership to having a directly-elected PM. To kick of the debate, click here (or click on one of the "Democratic Reform Survey" buttons on the right-hand side of any Coffee House page) and let's have your thoughts.

The Mandelson spin manual

From our UK edition

No one does it better than The Prince. So I have written up Lord Mandelson's comments on Simon Mayo's R5 programme (which I mentioned earlier) as they set a template for all ministers who will try to get through the next five days. They represent a truly audacious attempt to make the following four points...   a) All this is nothing to do with Brown's leadership crisis - it's just the expenses crisis, which understandably focuses on the government. b) Poor wee Hazel, poor wee Jacqui, they couldn't cope with the pressure. c) And did I remember to hint that their expenses were a bit suspect? d) Talk about Brown's leadership is gossip - just the wicked, shallow media focusing on personalities. So, now, over to The Prince... 1. Everybody hurts.

How they are trying to discredit Blears

From our UK edition

I was sitting next to Lord Mandelson in Simon Mayo's R5 studio and witnessed a class act. Poor Hazel, he said, she had all that blowback from her dodgy home flipping expenses "found all the world on her doorstep" and was being pursued by the media. Poor love. She wanted to have done with it. She couldn't carry on, not for a single day more. You musn't underestimate the effect this has had on the poor fragile wee thing, he says. Full of concern, you see, for her wellbeing. Damian McBride would have been far more brutal, saying "Blears quit because of her OWN GUILT and you know what there was MORE DIRT COMING - enough to BURY THE GREEDY WOMAN thats why she CRACKED UNDER THE PRESSURE and may her God have mercy on her:".