Carl Heneghan and Jason Oke

Is Scotland over-counting Covid patients in hospital?

From our UK edition

Recently, the government has provided Covid data on a UK basis – merging official figures from the constituent parts of the UK. But are the English and Scottish figures really comparable? Take figures for the number of Covid patients in hospital in Scotland on 28 August. The Scottish official count is 255, a drop of 42 per cent since 1 July. But this is odd when you see that England has recorded a far higher drop, of 81 per cent (from 2,289 to 430 patients over the same timeframe). The difference is much starker when you analyse the number of patients in hospital beds per population, given England’s population is about ten times greater than Scotland’s. The answer seems to lie in the definitions.

Don’t put Oldham into lockdown

From our UK edition

The Manchester Evening News reports that political tensions are simmering as Oldham battles to avoid lockdown. Manchester itself could break through the 50 cases per 100,000 level by the end of the week – placing the city in the ‘red alert’ bracket. Andy Burnham, Mayor of Greater Manchester, is opposed to Oldham going into lockdown, saying he would like no new restrictions on Oldham beyond those already in place. He sent out a tweet last night with data showing that cases are coming down. In the week ending the 8th of August, there were 109.7 per 100,000 in Oldham: in the week ending the 15th cases were down to 83.1 per 100,000. Data from the Digital.nhs.uk 'Progression dashboard' is more up to date. It shows Oldham at the top of the dashboard with 70.