Alex Massie

Alex Massie

Mitt Romney’s campaign begins to leak; in 2012 post-mortems don’t even require a corpse – Spectator Blogs

One of the truths about campaign reporting is that results determine everything. That is, winners are treated as superstars, losers as dimwits. Winning campaigns are always focused, disciplined, well-organised, in-control, cool; losing campaigns are invariably dysfunctional, confused, prone to internecine warfare and staffed by borderline psychopaths. That's how the insta-historians in the press and blogosphere score these events. If Hillary Clinton had defeated Barack Obama in the 2008 Democratic primary her campaign staff would have been treated more kindly (even Mark Penn!) while the Obama campaign would have been written-up as, at best, a heroic, noble effort in the face of impossible odds. More probably, he'd have been castigated for failing to throw enough punches.

Salman Rushdie, A Hero for Our Time – Spectator Blogs

It's twenty years since I read The Satanic Verses. I didn't much care for it back then, chiefly, as I recall, because Rushdie's satirical and comic scenes left me untickled. But today - especially today - is a good moment to read the New Yorker's excerpt from Rushdie's forthcoming Fatwa Chronicle, Joseph Anton. If you can't read it today, read it tomorrow. But do read it. Among other things, it made me want to go back and re-read The Satanic Verses. There are many dates you could choose from which to start a chronicle of our times but, at least in terms of one big question, Valentine's Day 1989 is as good as any and better than most places from which to begin.

Is Mitt Romney Doomed Already? – Spectator Blogs

Put it this way: Mitt Romney's route to the White House is perilously thin. He has little margin for error. Recent polls suggest Barack Obama has benefited from the Democratic convention much more than Romney was helped by the Republican party's gathering in Florida. As always, it is worth recalling that polling advantages in late August or even early to mid September are rarely dispositive. Of course Romney can still win but that's hardly the same as thinking he's likely to. The map at the top of this post - compiled at 270 To Win - shows how Romney could squeak an electoral college tie and send the election to the House of Representatives. That result is necessarily improbable but it's just one illustration of how narrow Romney's path to victory really is.

The Lad Done Well: Andy Murray Comes of Age – Spectator Blogs

And then there were four. If Andy Murray's accomplishments still make him the least of the great quartet ruling tennis in this golden age that's about as useful a comment as remarking that Roberto Duran was outshone by Sugar Ray Leonard, Marvin Hagler and Tommy Hearns. It may be true but it doesn't matter very much. There have been other great eras in tennis - Borg, McEnroe and Connors for one - but there's never been a quartet quite like Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic and, yes, Andy Murray. Consider this: eight men shared the ten Grand Slam tournaments preceding Roger Federer's first Grand Slam victory (Wimbledon 2003). The subsequent 37 tournaments have been divvied up between eight players.

Independent Scotland: socialist paradise or neo-liberal nirvana? – Spectator Blogs

Well, probably neither actually. But there's every reason to suppose that just as some Unionists are fooling themselves when they discount the possibility of dear old Scotia thriving as an independent entity so some backers of independence may be deluding themselves if they think independence is a one-way ticket to a socialist paradise. That's the premise of this week's Think Scotland column, written in the aftermath of Jim McColl's decision to be out for independence. McColl, Heid Neep at Clyde Blowers and reckoned worth a billion pounds or so, is Alex Salmond's latest boardroom success. Admittedly McColl's support is less than whole-hearted. It's predicated upon Unionist reluctance to move much beyond the recent Scotland Bill. Independence is McColl's preferred second prize.

Conventional wisdom says the conventions are awful. Conventional wisdom is correct. – Spectator Blogs

My friend Kerry Howley heroically tried to find something nice to say about the conventions now mercifully past; I'm made of cheaper stuff and have written a piece for Foreign Policy that's a little less enthused by all this cultish, hagiographical absurdity. Sadly the editors removed the line: "Perhaps every aborted fetus perishes for Jesus" but, well, as you can see, if you dig beneath the surface the Democratic party is pretty much as repugnant as its Republican counterpart. My, how each party is doing its best to make the other seem strangely electable. If Republican arrogance grates, Democratic smugness is just as aggravating. [...] no sentient person can possibly watch these pep rallies and think he or she wants to have any part of either party.

Barack Obama Plays it Safe – Spectator Blogs

I'll have a fuller, more considered take on Barack Obama's convention speech in tomorrow's Scotsman but my initial impression was that this is not one of those Obama speeches people will remember. Doubtless it will be included in some edition of his selected speeches but that will be because of the occasion at which is was delivered, not because it was a magnificent example of his oratorical prowess. Perhaps the President is a victim of his own success. Expectations for an Obama speech are higher than for other politicians. Nevertheless, when one thinks of all the talking in Charlotte this week you can make a decent case that Obama was outshone by his wife, eclipsed by Bill Clinton and even, in terms of making a case for his re-election, second fiddle to Joe Biden on the night.

University Admissions Should Be a Matter of Discrimination – Spectator Blogs

Cristina Odone begins her latest oh-woe-is-Britain post most amusingly: Around the world, people have long envied Britain's two institutions: the BBC and Oxbridge. Britons, however, (or some of them) are determined to destroy both. They are going about it in a brutal and obvious way, by lowering standards for both Auntie and the great universities of Oxford and Cambridge. The BBC abroad was a byword for beautifully written and brilliantly produced programmes such as "The World at War" and "Upstairs Downstairs". But in its obsession with "diversity", the Beeb has allowed standards to slip: comedies that aren't funny (but don't sound middle class) and reality shows that teach nothing but how temporal celebrity is, have taken over the schedule.

Bill Clinton: The Great Communicator on Top Form – Spectator Blogs

Barack Obama is a great orator  - something of which we shall doubtless be reminded tonight - but Bill Clinton is the greater communicator. His speech to the Democratic convention in Charlotte last night was a masterclass. The old boy's still got it. Of course, it helps to be speaking in his new role - assumed upon the death of Edward Kennedy - as the party's elder statesman. It's easier to appear above the fray as a member of the ex-Presidents club. Most of the time, it invests you with extra gravitas. Even so, this was vintage Clinton, making by far the best - and most comprehensive - case for Obama's re-election yet. Better, perhaps, than the argument the President will advance tonight.

Ken Clarke: A Political Giant Mistreated by his Youngers and Lessers – Spectator Blogs

Say this for David Cameron's autumn reshuffle: it hasn't unravelled as quickly or spectacularly as George Osborne's last budget. Hurray for that. But nor has it been deemed a grand success. See Telegraph writers here, here and here for evidence of that. If you want to make a difference - that is, if you wish the general public to sit up and think, By Jove, he's finally got it - you need to defenestrate an admiral or two. A reshuffle that leaves the Great Offices of State as they were cannot pass that test. Which means, I'm afraid, that only sacking George Osborne would have made this a memorable reshuffle. Like Tony Blair before him, Cameron may yet regret not dealing with his Chancellor.

I Think Paul Krugman is Mistaken – Spectator Blogs

The great sage - once described to me by someone who attended a (highly) derivative speech he made on the Scottish economy as Woody Allen with statistics and no jokes - blogs that George Osborne is "Britain's Paul Ryan". Remarkably, this seems unfair on both Mr Osborne and Mr Ryan. Anyway, Krugman writes: Osborne’s big idea was that Britain should turn to fiscal austerity now now now, even though the economy remained deeply depressed; it would all work out, he insisted, because the confidence fairy would come to the rescue. Never mind those whining Keynesians who said that premature austerity would send Britain into a double-dip recession.

Morning of the Blunt Knives – Spectator Blogs

Provided you remember a few simple rules the Expectations Game should be the easiest test to pass in politics. It is not complicated: under-promise and over-deliver. Or, more succinctly, never hype anything. So only fools trail a cabinet reshuffle with the suggestion it will be some kind of transformational shot-in-the-arm for the government. First, doing so concedes that your government is not doing very well at present (otherwise there'd be no need for the reshuffle); second it all-but-demands the press responds to the reshuffle with extra vinegar and cynicism. Is this it? Blimey. Better by far to promise little and actually clear the bar you've set at a modest level for yourself.

The Conservative party has an empathy problem. Does it care about that? It should. – Spectator Blogs

For people in the communication business politicians have an uncanny ability to confuse even their better intentions by resorting to clumsy, even stupid, language. Thus David Davis earlier today. When normal people hear the phrase "shock therapy" I'm pretty sure they associate it with pretty awful, even ghastly, measures that, most of the time, don't even have the saving grace of working. You wouldn't want any of your relatives to be given shock therapy. It's A Clockwork Orange or One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest stuff. Davis is not alone. Dominic Raab says the "talented and hard-working have nothing to fear" from removing "excessive" employee protections. I suspect many hard-working people, including talented hard-working people, might say it's damn easy for him to say that.

New, Improved, Human, Mitt Romney Still Faces Demographic Difficulties – Spectator Blogs

Traditionally - that is, for the last 50 or so years - Labor Day is considered the "official" start of the Presidential campaign. Since Labor Day is today t's OK to pay attention now. The Democrats meet in Charlotte, North Carolina for their convention this week of which, I suppose, more later. I wrote a column on Romneypalooza in Tampa for the Scotsman. Here's the guts of it: No-one will ever be inspired by Romney, but the convention did its best to present him as a real-life, honest-to-goodness actual human being. This unpromising project was more successful than seemed plausible before the convention began. The week’s most moving moment came when two of Romney’s fellow Mormons recalled how Romney had visited and comforted and inspired their sick children.

American Exceptionalism: The Baloney and the Glory – Spectator Blogs

I'm writing a column about Mitt Romney for tomorrow's Scotsman so more on him later. Suffice it to say that I thought his speech less impressive than it had to be but that, by the end of the evening, I was more impressed with and by Mitt the Man than I've been previously. This was because of the Mormons. Magic underpants and Missouri and all the rest of it be damned, Mitt should talk about his religion more. He may be reluctant to do so and that speaks well of him but this is an election and Mormonism is about the only thing discovered thus far that transforms Romney from battery-powered robot to actual flesh and blood. Be that as it may, I've also written a piece for Foreign Policy about another trope on full, flag-sized, display this week: American exceptionalism.

Clint Eastwood: Dada Maestro and Republican Superstar – Spectator Blogs

To hell with Mitt Romney. He can wait. The star of last night's Republican extravaganza in the god-forsaken city of Tampa was Clint Eastwood. With the help of an empty chair he gave one of the finest performances of his career. It was magnificent [sic] and certainly worth more than Million Dollar Baby. It's only ten or so minutes so I recommend you watch it in all its awful glory. As I said on Twitter it was like watching the father of the bride make a speech at a wedding at which he dislikes the groom and does not recognise his daughter. It's all a little sad really.

Condi Rice gave a great speech. She still won’t be a contender. – Spectator Blogs

It's no surprise that John McCain gave a shriveled, bitter, small speech at the Republican convention during which he inadvertently confirmed that the electorate - boobs, nitwits, rubes and all - were quite right to deny him the keys to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue. More war, all war, war everywhere was, alas, all McCain had to say. He is a man diminished in every way and it is a sad business to see him so. More surprising - and pleasingly so - was Condoleezza Rice's return to form. She gave the best speech of the convention thus far. That this may be a low bar does not mean it's not one worth clearing. At the risk of granting the rest of these poltroons a comparison they do not merit, Rice gave the first plausibly grown-up speech of the week.

Paul Ryan and the Audacity of Seriousness – Spectator Blogs

If Paul Ryan looked and sounded like the tyro lawyer in a John Grisham movie delivering his first big courtroom speech then that's because, in a way, he was just that kind of rookie performing upon the biggest stage of his life. Happily he had Matt Scully on his team so there was reason to think Ran's speech would be well-crafted at least. And it was. Scully put lipstick on Sarah Palin four years ago, writing a speech that hoodwinked us all for a time. He had a hefty hand in Ryan's too. Not that Ryan is another Palin, you understand. Even so striking the correct balance between substance and style and content and tone with this kind of speech is pretty damn difficult.

Rape is rape and abortion is abortion. Except when they’re not. – Spectator Blogs

Way back in my debating days at Trinity College, Dublin we knew you could guarantee large crowds and impressively  - that is, pleasingly - bad-tempered debates twice a year. These were the annual debates on Northern Ireland and abortion. And they really were annual fixtures during which, for years on end, the same arguments were deployed with the same passion and no-one's views were ever changed by anything they heard. In those days it was usually pretty clear who the bad guys were too. In the case of abortion it was anyone speaking as a representative of the Society for the Protection of the Unborn Child or, more generally, anyone whose views seemed dictated by the Roman Catholic Church. These were the people standing in the way of Ireland's journey to modernity.