Alex Massie

Alex Massie

Referendum Delayed: 2012 to be the new 2010?

From our UK edition

So, it seems that dreams of a referendum next year have been dashed. 2010, once the Year of the Referendum, will now be plebiscite-free. No referendum on the Lisbon Treaty and no referendum on the Act of Union either. This my be good news for voters but it's tough on hacks who'll need to find something else to write about. But, for a moment, let's consider some of the implications of this. I'll leave the Lisbon question to one side for now and reiterate my suspicion that Labour, the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats are helping, not hindering Alex Salmond, by agreeing to delay nay referendum until after the next Holrood elections. Granted, the SNP may not remain the largest party, nor form even a minority ministry in Edinburgh after the 2011 election.

The Neather Brouhaha: A Correction

From our UK edition

So I was wrong. It was a mistake to suggest that the alleged Neather Plot - that is, the conspiracy to "swamp" Britain with Labour-voting imigrants - was the kind of cockamamie scheme that could only be the work of over-excited junior clever chaps at the Home Office. Not so! It turns out that it's even simpler than that: the scheme didn't exist at all. Remember, Mr Neather originally claimed that a report from Downing Street's Performance and Innovation Unit saw immigration as a massive political opportunity for the government: But the earlier drafts I saw also included a driving political purpose: that mass immigration was the way that the Government was going to make the UK truly multicultural.

To hell with Alan Johnson, the Tories are just as moronically authoritarian as Labour

From our UK edition

I don't think that government ministers should necessarily listen to the advice they're given by independent, expert authorities. That is, the government is and should be free to decide that, whatever the merits of any given piece of independent analysis the larger, more general, interest is best served by rejecting that advice. So there's nothing wrong with Alan Johnson sacking Professor David Nutt. That's his prerogative. But we have our own views and interests too. And we may fairly say that Johnson is a fool and that Nutt's recommendation, shared by his colleagues at Advisory Council on the Misuse of Drugs, that Cannabis should be reclassified at a Class C, not Class B, drug is eminently sensible.

The Nonsensical Neather Plot

From our UK edition

Conspiracies are all the rage these days. And since this has turned into Immigration Week here one might as well address the Neather Brouhaha. This, British readers will need no reminding, refers to the uncovering of the nefarious New Labour plan to destroy Britain and spike the Tories' guns forever by destroying this green and pleasant land and turning it into a multi-cultural hellhole. We are led to understand that this was indeed a deliberate plot, apparently borrowed from the Democrats' presumed determination to make the United States a Spanish-speaking Banana Republic. The evidence [sic] for this rests upon two paragraphs from an article written by a former government speechwriter.

Playing Poker with Iran

From our UK edition

Robert Kagan worries that Barack Obama isn't a strong enough poker player to beat Iran. This is probably not much of a surprise. But here's how Kagan puts it: Many of us worry that, for Obama, engagement is an end in itself, not a means to an end. We worry that every time Iran rejects one proposal, the president will simply resume negotiations on another proposal and that this will continue right up until the day Iran finally tests its first nuclear weapon, at which point the president will simply begin negotiations again to try to persuade Iran to put its nuclear genie back in the bottle...

Vietnam Watch: Ben Macintyre

From our UK edition

An occasional series deploring pundits' determination to treat the curret Afghan campaign as though it were a replay of the Vietnam War. Today's episode disappoints me since I have a considerable regard for Ben Macintyre. Nevertheless, his column in the Times today is, right from the get-go, a classic of the genre: An unquiet ghost stalks the White House Situation Room as Barack Obama, increasingly Hamlet-like, ponders what to do in Afghanistan: it is the spectre of the Vietnam War, America’s enduring historical hang-up. Oh dear. The most important parallels with Vietnam are neither tactical nor practical, but cultural and emotional. Americans are not backward-looking by nature, but the trauma of Vietnam is seared on the national memory like no other event in US history.

David Cameron’s Watford Playground Problem

From our UK edition

Brother Liddle is right to despair at the latest local government absurdity: banning parents from children's playgrounds unless they've undergone a criminal background check to prove that they're not paedophiles. There would appear to be no limit to local government lunacy. O tempora, O mores indeed. This sort of thing, however, also poses a problem for David Cameron. The Tories' "localism agenda" is by some way their most interesting and, at least potentially, important idea. But there's one obvious drawback: it means giving more power to local councils. And, as we are reminded on a daily basis, local councils are more than amply-stocked with fools. Decentralisation is an admirable and, I would argue, necessary idea.

The Governator Strikes Back

From our UK edition

It's been a while since we last checked in on Arnold Schwarzenegger and last time we looked California remained a basket-case (making it an awkward poster child for the Tories "let's all be Californian" motif. But hey, that was in happier, more lucrative times. So fret not.) Still, it's good to see that the Governator still enjoys excellent relations with the state legislature. Consider this letter: As a practical matter, veto first ask questions later is a perfectly sound modus operandi. But it's good to see Arnold send a rather pointed message too: Over to you, Stephen Pollard...

One More Trip on the Immigration Merry-Go-Round

From our UK edition

This post on immigration prompted a pair of fine, Chestertonian (in the sense of we the quiet people of England stuff) responses to which I think it's only proper that I reply. First, Carroll Barry-Walsh writes: Of course, it's the type of people we let in because there is a difference between letting in people who share our values, who want to - and take positive steps to - become British and discard those elements of their culture which are inconsistent with or hostile to our culture. And then there are those who simply come from the Third World and continue to live here as if they were still there but with more money.

In which, whisper it, I confess to feeling sorry for MPs

From our UK edition

So, the expenses scandal may finally be coming towards a close. We can only hope so. The leaks emanating from the Kelly report suggest that MPs will only be able to claim for rent, not mortgages, on their second homes. This seems reasonable. Less sensible, however, is the proposal that MPs be banned from employing members of their family. Apart from the obvious potential for legal challenges to this proposal, it's manifestly unfair and ridiculous in equal measure. In the first place, it's not clear that MPs should be singled out in this fashion. Secondly, it creates the absurd situation in which it would, presumably, be OK for an MP to employ his mistress but decidedly not OK for him to employ his wife.

Afghanistan: A Modest Case for Dithering

From our UK edition

My old chum, and former boss, Iain Martin writes that time is, in fact, of the essence in Afghanistan and that Barack Obama needs to make a decision: We cannot go on like this indefinitely - making some progress but never winning, especially when money is so tight. We need to either commit more troops and firepower, get a move on, surge troop numbers, take the fight anew to the Taliban and aim for victory. Or if we don’t fancy that we can slim down our presence dramatically, fund the anti-Talban forces and back them up with special forces support and airpower. The worst option appears to be staying in limbo-land and sacrificing lives for years with no prospect of eventual victory. The choice is for President Obama.

A Question of Numbers or of Kind?

From our UK edition

David Aaronovitch's column in the Times today is excellent. Worthy of three cheers. I should say here that the ONS begins every such report with the explicit warning that its projections are not forecasts, as Mr [Frank] Field claims, but projections forward of recent trends.[Empasis added] When I spoke to him yesterday Mr Field essentially dismissed this as nit-picking. I think he’s wrong. ...What Mr Field didn’t point out — because his intention is propagandist, not informative — was that the 2008 projection was a reduction (albeit small) from the 2006 one. Nor did he mention that the last actual figures, for 2008, showed net inward migration of only 118,000, far below the ONS projection.

Lessons from Reagan’s Generosity of Spirit

From our UK edition

I've often written that the modern Republican party's obsession with Ronald Reagan obscures as much as it illuminates. The deification of the Gipper isn't a great substitute for addressing the particular problems the party - and the United States - faces today. Asking "What would Reagan do?" can't provide the answers to every issue. Nevertheless, there's at least one aspect of Reagan's career that all political parties might bear in mind: his generosity of spirit and, correspondingly, the empathy he felt, genuinely I believe, for people whose circumstances were very different from his own.

Latest Defence Fiasco: I See No Ships

From our UK edition

There's a decent discussion to be had on defence priorities and on the future of both the Royal Navy and the Royal Air Force. Furthermore, you can argue about the number of aircraft carriers this country might need. There's a case for saying that the resources devoted to the new Queen Elizabeth Class carriers could have been more usefully employed elsewhere. But if there's a case for scrapping the carriers there's also a case for building two of them or, though this is not on the cards, three "super-carriers". What makes no sense, however, is building just one aircraft carrier. And yet that's where we seem to be. Actually, it's worse than that.

Yes, Let’s Talk About Immigration

From our UK edition

Of all the great mysteries of modern British politics the notion that no-one is permitted to talk about immigration must surely be one of the most remarkable. After all, as this excellent, persuasive, post at the Enemies of Reason makes clear  there are plenty of people and plenty of newspapers that never shut up about immigration. And they tend to view it as a bad, even wicked, thing. Indeed one could go further. The people from whom one rarely hears are those that, generally speaking, think that immigration is a good, not a pernicious, thing. Heck, consider the political parties: Labour talk about "getting tough" about immigration and "cracking down" upon it while the Tories want to put a "cap" on the number of foreigners permitted entry into the United Kingdom each year.

Rory Stewart & Mr Micawber in Afghanistan

From our UK edition

From an interesting Jason Zengerle piece in the New Republic: And yet, for all his obvious ambition, Stewart believes the key to any successful U.S. policy in Afghanistan is modesty. "What muddling through is really about is recognizing that we don’t have all the answers," he says. "It’s not as if we have some amazing high modernist ideology that we’re kind of engineers of the human soul or central planners who are going to come out and create an ideal state. We don’t have that ideological certainty, we don’t know what we’re trying to do, nor do we actually have the power. We don’t have the kind of authoritarian weight to impose this on another country. Nor do we have the knowledge.

What BNP Bounce?

From our UK edition

Contra good Brother Hoskin, I'm not terribly troubled by this YouGov poll: The survey found that 22 per cent of voters would 'seriously consider' voting for the BNP in a future local, general or European election. This included four per cent who said they would 'definitely' consider voting for the party, three per cent who would 'probably' consider it, and 15 per cent who said they were 'possible' BNP voters." The poll, at least as reported by the Telegraph, does not find one in five voters considering the BNP. It finds that 15% of voters might, hypothetically speaking, consider casting a hypothetical vote for the BNP. In other words: they won't.

The Future of Policing

From our UK edition

PC Heckler and PC Koch prepare for life on the beat. Photo: Christopher Furlong/Getty Images. Let us concede that there may be problems in Brixton, Haringey and Tottenham that demand new approaches from the police. Let us further accept that perhaps there really are "no-go" areas in some of the estates in these boroughs. But even if one takes the police at their word, I think one may still be worried by the news that, for the first time on the British mainland, police officers on routine patrols in parts of London will be armed. Because will it stop there? How long before there are calls for all police to be armed everywhere they go? The ongoing efforts to paramilitarise the police are not, I think, an encouraging step.

Setting the Clocks Free

From our UK edition

Hardy Perennial Watch: Daylight Savings Time Edition. Yup, some things are certain and among them is the fuss over the ending of British Summer Time tonight. For years the North has handily Defeated the South but I suspect that, just as Dave Cameron's southern chums may be about to supplant Gordon Brown's North Britons, so too will the South, er, rise again and eventually prevail in the Great Clock Battle of Britain. The case for change - that is, for not changing the clocks -  is not a bad one even if it has always been defeated by the Scottish lobby. (No surprise there, eh, Spectator readers?) The Times makes that case here and it is persuasive. If southern England wants to extend British Summer Time through the winter then that seems fine to me.

Who cares about the BNP?

From our UK edition

Everyone, naturally, is all flustered and boggled by Nick Griffin's appearance on Question Time tomorrow. This has occasioned near record-breaking amount hand-wringing even though the BNP are, whisper it, less popular than the Greens. When you're beaten by the loopy eco-warriors you know you have a popularity problem. Chris Dillow reminds us just how few BNPers there really are: Nothing, in other words, can help the BNP as much as our apparent determination to take these clowns and clods seriously. In doing so we elevate their status and grant them massively more influence than they either have or merit. Judging from all the attention they've received this week you'd think they were going to be running the country pretty soon. But they're not.