Uk politics

What was in Brown’s speech for those turning away from Labour?

From our UK edition

Much like Peter Mandelson's address yesterday, Gordon Brown's speech was designed for the Labour Party members inside the conference hall.  It was effectively book-ended by two crowd-pleasing rat-a-tat lists: the first, a rundown of Labour "achievements" which received massive cheers; and the second, a disingenuous account of Tory measures "for the privileged few", designed to draw hisses and boos from the audience.  All very pantomine.  And all very fun, I'm sure, for the party faithful. But what about those voters who are turning away from Labour in their droves?  What was there for them?

Whatever you do in Brighton, don’t mention journalists

From our UK edition

Labour activists don’t have much in common with Republican activists but they seem to agree on one thing: the media are loathsome. The hostility towards journalists from the delegates this week reminds me of being at Republican gatherings in 2008. When someone stood up at a fringe meeting yesterday and introduced themselves by saying ‘I am not a journalist’ they received a spontaneous and sustained round of applause. There is a perception that the media are biased and beneath contempt. Undoubtedly this is due in part to Andrew Marr’s inappropriate question to Brown on Sunday morning. But there is something deeper at work, a belief that the press are preventing the party from getting its message out.

Brown’s uncertainty over a TV debate exemplifies his moribund premiership

From our UK edition

So what's the story with Brown and the leaders' TV debate?  There were reports, weeks ago, that the PM was going to use his speech today to, ahem, "challenge" his opposite numbers to a debate, but then Sky intervened and Downing Street fell silent.  Last we heard, Brown was veering towards a debate, but was still uncertain about the timing of it all. Now, this morning's FT reports that Brown "spent hours on Monday night agonising" over whether to mention a televised debate in his speech today.  Nick Robinson has followed that up by saying that the relevant passage has been removed from the speech.  If Brown does finally accept a debate, Robinson writes, then he may attach a set of demands which will slow the whole process down.

Brown is either fleet-footed or indecisive – he cannot be both

From our UK edition

Gordon Brown delivers the most important speech of his life this afternoon. Whether that speech can even check the march of the seemingly inevitable is doubtful, but his best chance is to express an alternative strain of personality from the severe and serious man the electorate plainly dislike. Jim Naughtie and Neil Kinnock debated the alleged disparity between Gordon Brown in public and Gordon Brown in private. Kinnock repeated the line that, behind closed doors, Brown is a barrel of laughs, a near dilettante, and he sang the usual ‘if you could see him through my eyes’ chorus.

Labour want Blair to hit the campaign trail

From our UK edition

Tom Watson has told the Times that Tony Blair should hit the campaign trail "if he fancies it". There have been rumours that both Blairs will campaign at the next election, but this is the first time, to my knowledge, that a Brownite has publicly implored the former PM to return to the fold, and perhaps it's a measure of the Brown camp's increasing desperation that they are prepared to bury the hatchet. I've no doubt that Blair will answer the call, he would have done so had no call come. His input will be valued by a party that grew accustomed to victory under his leadership, even if he only inspires false self-confidence. But, after 12 years of government and the catastrophic Brown premiership, I doubt whether even Blair can avert the inevitable.

Brown is drinking in the last chance saloon (again)

From our UK edition

Oh joy.  Alan Simpson's ultimatum to Brown today gives me an opportunity to update this list: 20 April, 2008 "The Prime Minister, who is battling a growing rebellion over his abolition of the 10p tax rate, has been given until the end of the summer to turn things round by backbenchers angry at a string of image and policy failures." (here) 24 May, 2008 "It is that Mr Brown be given until the end of July to prove himself and restore morale. If by then things have not improved, ministers, MPs and influential figures in the unions believe the only solution may be to send a delegation of his closest political friends – perhaps including Ed Balls, the Education Secretary, and Douglas Alexander, the International Development Secretary – to urge him to go.

Does Miliband the elder represent Labour’s future?

From our UK edition

Danny Finkelstein's right: there are some surprising results in today's ComRes poll for the Independent.  The one which catches my eye is that David Miliband would be the most successful alternative leader at reducing the Tories' poll lead.  Along with Jack Straw, the poll suggests, he would make Labour the largest party in a hung parliament. Now, I'm frequently surprised at how popular the elder Miliband remains in Labour circles.  But - after the failed coup of last year, the banana and Heseltine moments, and that disastrous trip to India, among other embarrassments - I'd assumed that that popularity wouldn't stretch to more general voters, and that, say, Alan Johnson would do more for Labour's chances.  Maybe not, it seems.

Brown’s new dividing line ignores that banks are our route to salvation

From our UK edition

Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling will launch their umpteenth fight back today by talking tough on banks and bonuses. They hope to prove the Conservatives are interested solely in “helping their rich friends”. The Times has the details: ‘The Chancellor will tell the party conference in Brighton that legislation to be introduced in the next few weeks will scrap automatic year-after-year bonuses and stop executives getting payouts unless they can prove they are deserved. Bonuses will be deferred over a period so that they can be clawed back if they are not warranted by long-term performance.’ This is not a dividing line.

Either debt goes up, or goes down. It really is that simple.

From our UK edition

Last night, I appeared on an hour-long phone in on Five Live listening in amazement as Angela Smith and Barry Gardiner defended Brown. You’d be amazed the lines the Labour MPs are being sent out with: that the shallow media is personality-based, but real people know that Brown did a great job on the economy. Seriously. That Brown’s fiscal decisions have somehow saved us all – rather than bankrupted us all. They are suggesting that the idea of 9% Labour cuts was a Treasury speculation, when it is a hard plan contained in the Budget.

Mandelson: I would work with the Tories

From our UK edition

The Conservative party’s seizure of the progressive agenda and the rhetoric of liberal democracy suggests that Cameron intends to build a broad coalition. But how large would the Tories’ tent be? Peter Mandelson reveals that he would have no trouble “serving his country” under a Conservative government. ‘In an interview with The Sunday Times magazine, the business secretary said he would be willing to put his “experience at the disposal of the country”, if Labour lost power. “As I grow older, I can imagine more ways of serving my country than simply being a party politician,” he said.

Question Time conundrum

From our UK edition

I was a panelist on Question Time last night, and it started me thinking about how they will handle the BNP episode – which I expect fairly soon. Make no mistake, a Question Time slot is as big for the BNP as winning seats in Europe. When I was on the campaign trail with them for a cover story in June, I noticed how they would refer to Question Time as a goal – almost as much as getting to Brussels. It represents one thing: the political mainstream. With two MEPs and almost a million voters the BNP have a legitimate claim to that Question Time panel. For them, it is totemic. It will be an historic moment – and one which could work to the BNP’s favour.

Brown ignores the small issues which precede the “big choices”

From our UK edition

James has already highlighted the New Statesman's interview with Gordon Brown, but it's worth flagging up this passage as well: "Again and again, throughout our interview, Brown refers to the next election as being about 'big choices', not the small issues, which he says the Conservatives would prefer. 'What was the latest thing? The cost of food in the House of Commons?' he asks, referring to David Cameron's recent gimmicky pledge to cut public spending by reducing subsidies on MPs' food. This theme of 'big choices', say Brown's aides, is one he is likely to pursue in his conference speech and beyond." To my mind, this exemplifies one of the main reasons why Brown will struggle to be trusted on the issue of the public finances.

Eureka!

From our UK edition

Brown's pursuit of Obama through the UN canteen has finally paid dividends: PoliticsHome is reporting that Barack Obama will hold bilateral talks with Gordon Brown later today. After yesterday's negative headlines, Obama was always going to make a gesture that indicated how much he valued Brown; but from the Prime Minister's point of view, the damage has already been done.

Getting ready for reform

From our UK edition

Given their position in the polls, and the challenges that face the next government, it's understandable that the Tories are turning their minds to the post-election period.  They've been meeting with high-ranking civil servants for months now, and have been hammering out the details and design of a cuts agenda.  But one of the most striking examples of the Tories' preparedness is outlined in today's Guardian: Michael Gove's team has called in the lawyers to help draft their first education bill. From the details the Guardian gives, the prospective bill is much as you'd imagine.

Mackay and the special relationship

From our UK edition

The news that General Andrew Mackay has quit over the government's failure to properly equip the Afghan mission is significant. For one thing, it will have ramifications for the UK US military relationship. Mackay is the British general from whom General Petraeus feels he has learnt the most; Petraeus affectionately called him the "King of Scotland" in his Policy Exchange lecture the other week. Mackay's departure will increase the US military's concern about the war-fighting capabilities of the British military.

Dereliction of duty

From our UK edition

The Ministry of Defence is the subject of two very damaging stories this morning. First, there are twice as many former service personnel in prison than there were six years ago. And second, Major General Andrew Mackay, a former commanding officer in Helmand, who masterminded the recapture of Musa Qala, has resigned his commission. Mackay is understood to have been dismayed at the direction of the war and army restructuring. The Independent has the details: ‘Mackay was disillusioned with what he considered to be a failure to carry out adequate reconstruction and development in Helmand. He had said privately that British soldiers risking their lives in the conflict had been let down by the Government in carrying out the vital tasks necessary to win over the local population.

Bercow wants Lords Mandelson and Adonis to be questioned by MPs

From our UK edition

Speaker Bercow has suggested that prominent cabinet ministers who sit in the House of Lords should be brought before the backbenchers for scrutiny. The Telegraph’s James Kirkup has the details: ‘Mr Bercow said: “I find the fact that backbenchers have no means of directly questioning prominent Ministers of the Crown because they happen to sit in the House of Lords to be less than satisfactory,” Mr Bercow said. “That is even more true at a time when the Cabinet contains the esteemed Lord Mandelson, whose empire is of a scale not seen since the death of Alexander the Great.” He also highlighted the role of Lord Adonis.